Italy vs. Estonia betting tip & prediction: Will the Squadra Azzurra score three points?
Or will the Estonians have a say in the points?
Welcome to the Italy - Estonia betting tip. Of course, this match sounds like a clear-cut affair. However, our task is not primarily to determine the winner, but the outcome of the match. In case of doubt, this also refers to the amount of the victory or the number of goals to be expected. This is exactly where we come in with the Italy - Estonia prediction. We therefore take a look at the last few games and the performance so far in the World Cup qualifiers. We also take a look back at the UEFA Nations League and the H2H comparison. We will not analyze the squads in this case. Here Italy is superior. Incidentally, the Italians not only put the stronger team on the pitch in terms of quality, they also have the right to play at home. In their third World Cup qualifier, their own fans are already waiting in the Gewiss Stadiuim in Bergamo. Incidentally, it will be Estonia's fifth match on Friday, September 5, 2025 (8:45 p.m.).
Average risk
Italy
- Italy with favorite status in the duel
- All duels with Estonia won so far
- Most recently with the 2:0 win over Moldova
Estonia
- Estonia in the underdog role
- Lost all matches against Italy so far
- Recently with the 0:1 against Norway
| #Place | Team | WGames | WWins | DDraw | LDefeats | GoalsGoals | +/- | PointsPoints | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Italy Home | Estonia Away |
|---|---|
| Moldova 2:0 | 2:3 Moldova |
| France 1:3 | 1:0 Slovakia |
| Israel 4:1 | 0:0 Azerbaijan |
| Belgium 2:2 | 3:0 Sweden |
| Albania 2:1 | 4:0 Switzerland |
What speaks for Italy vs. Estonia in our betting tips?
Where should we start in the Italy - Estonia betting tip? Of course, let's first take a look at Group I. There we currently find Norway at the top with four games and four wins. Of course, Erling Haaland has also contributed to the 13:2 goals. The Italians are facing tough competition. Israel are in second place with six points from three games. They have scored 7:6 goals. The Italians follow in third place. They have played two matches and collected three points (2:3 goals). Estonia follow with three points. Moldova are bottom of the table with three matches, three defeats and 2:10 goals. Perhaps you can already decide whether you need free bets for your betting slip.Interim conclusion on Italy: The three-pointer against Moldova was a must-win. However, the 0:3 against Norway is more memorable. Italy must not allow themselves any further slip-ups. The Squadra Azzurra are already under pressure for the World Cup qualifiers.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| WM 2026 |
Italy
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Moldova
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2:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.06.2025 - WM 2026
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| WM 2026 |
Norway
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Italy
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3:0 (3:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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06.06.2025 - WM 2026
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| UEFA Nations League |
Germany
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Italy
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3:3 (3:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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23.03.2025 - UEFA Nations League
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| UEFA Nations League |
Italy
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France
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1:3 (1:2) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17.11.2024 - UEFA Nations League
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| UEFA Nations League |
Belgium
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Italy
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0:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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14.11.2024 - UEFA Nations League
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This was the last time Italy played like this!
We want to go into the last few games in as much detail as possible. The Italians had a bit of luck against Moldova to start with. A goal conceded early on was disallowed for offside. Raspadori and Cambiaso then wrapped up the 2:0 victory. That was balm for the Italian fans. After all, they had previously lost the match against Norway 3-0. Haaland, Nusa and Sorloth scored the goals in the first half. During the UEFA Nations League, there was then a 1-2 and a 3-3 draw against the German national team. Before that, the Italians lost 3:1 to France.
Italy
System: 4-3-3.
How good is Estonia's current form?
We can't resist a brief squad comparison. Karl Hein plays for FC Arsenal in Estonia. This is the Estonian goalkeeper. Patrick Kristal is perhaps well known because he plays in the kit of 1. FC Köln. Otherwise, the young coaching team of Vassiljev and Henn should be mentioned. According to our Italy - Estonia tip, the quality density is higher in Italy. From Donnarumma, Bastoni, Dimarco and Barella to Raspadori and Retegui. Nevertheless, the Italians have had stronger teams in the past. Gennaro Gattuso is the coach on the sidelines.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| WM 2026 |
Estonia
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Norway
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0:1 (0:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.06.2025 - WM 2026
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| WM 2026 |
Estonia
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Israel
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1:3 (1:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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06.06.2025 - WM 2026
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| WM 2026 |
Moldova
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Estonia
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2:3 (0:2) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.03.2025 - WM 2026
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| UEFA Nations League |
Slovakia
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Estonia
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1:0 (0:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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19.11.2024 - UEFA Nations League
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| UEFA Nations League |
Azerbaijan
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Estonia
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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16.11.2024 - UEFA Nations League
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This is how Estonia last played!
Let's take a look at the Estonian national team's most recent matches in the expert tip. There is the 0:1 against Norway. No need to panic, as Italy conceded two more goals against Norway. Estonia also lost 3:1 against Israel, but they still managed to pick up three points with a 3:2 win against bottom-placed Moldova. The first World Cup qualifier was also against Israel. The last matches in the UEFA Nations League ended with a 0:1 (Slovakia) and 0:0 (Azerbaijan).
Estonia
System: 4-3-3.
H2H stats of Italy vs. Estonia
The teams played seven matches between 1992 and 2020. Italy emerged victorious seven times. The scoreline was 20:2. In the four home matches, the record is even 13:1 goals. The starting position could hardly be clearer.
| Home | Visitor | Result | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Italy
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Estonia
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4:0 (2:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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11.11.2020 - International
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Italy | : | Estonia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5 Wins 3 |
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2 Draw 1 |
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3 Defeats 6 |
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18 Goals scored 11 |
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16 Goals received 16 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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won
won
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our expert tip and prediction for Italy v Estonia
We believe in the Italy - Estonia betting tip that the Italians will win at home - even by a margin. That's why we're backing the 1 handicap 0:1. At a similar odds level is the Under 3.5 goals, which we also recommend at the end of the analysis.
