Inter Milan vs AC Milan betting tip & prediction: Will there be a winner in the Derby della Madonnina?

Who will score the first derby goal next Sunday?

In the Inter Milan - AC Milan betting tip, standings and form don't usually play a role, but anything is possible in Sunday's derby. That was the case last season, when Inter Milan were the better team against AC Milan for the entire season. But Inter Milan didn't manage a single win in the derby, neither in the league nor in the Supercup and not even in the two semi-finals of the Coppa Italia. The next Milan derby will now take place next Sunday, November 23, 2025. Of course, it will be played in front of 80,000 spectators at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, better known as the San Siro. The explosive Serie A match will kick off at 20:45. The Derby della Madonnina will be broadcast by DAZN. A subscription to the pay channel is required to watch the match. For our Inter Milan - AC Milan expert tip, we take a look at both of Milan's top clubs and analyze their form and results.

Inter Mailand - AC Milan: 23.11.2025 - 19:45

both teams to score - yes 1.73
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Inter Milan 24 points from 11 games
8 wins in 11 Serie A games
Most recently won 2:0 against Lazio Rome

AC Milan 22 points from 11 games
Only 1 defeat in 11 Serie A games
Last 2:2 draw at Parma Calcio

Result tip

2:1

We believe that the league leaders will come out on top in the traditional Derby della Madonnina. Our tip: Inter win 2:1.

Racket Serie A
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	SSC Neapel	4	4	0	0	9:3	6	12
2	Juventus Turin	4	3	1	0	8:4	4	10
3	AC Milan	4	3	0	1	7:2	5	9
4	AS Rom	4	3	0	1	3:1	2	9
5	Atalanta Bergamo	4	2	2	0	9:3	6	8
6	US Cremonese	4	2	2	0	5:3	2	8
7	Cagliari Calcio	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
8	Como 1907	4	2	1	1	5:3	2	7
9	Udinese Calcio	4	2	1	1	4:5	-1	7
10	Inter Mailand	4	2	0	2	11:7	4	6
11	FC Bologna	4	2	0	2	3:3	0	6
12	FC Turin	4	1	1	2	1:8	-7	4
13	Lazio Rom	4	1	0	3	4:4	0	3
14	Sassuolo Calcio	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3
15	Hellas Verona	4	0	3	1	2:6	-4	3
16	CFC Genua	4	0	2	2	2:4	-2	2
17	ACF Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	FC Parma	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
19	AC Pisa	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
20	Lecce	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
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Last 5 games Inter Mailand home vs. AC Milan away
Inter Mailand Home	AC Milan Away
Lazio Rom 2:0	2:2 FC Parma
FK Kairat Almaty 2:1	1:1 Atalanta Bergamo
ACF Fiorentina 3:0	0:0 Juventus Turin
US Cremonese 4:1	0:3 Udinese Calcio
Slavia Prague 3:0	2:4 FC Liverpool

What speaks for Inter Milan vs AC Milan in our betting tips?

For our Inter Milan - AC Milan betting tip, we're now turning our full attention to the current league leaders after matchday 11 of the 2025/2026 Italian Serie A season. The team of Romanian coach Cristian Chivu has 24 points after eight wins and three defeats. Inter Milan are at the top of the table thanks to their far superior goal difference compared to AS Roma. They are followed by derby opponents AC Milan and last year's champions SSC Napoli, who are two points behind. In this constellation, losing is not an option for Chivu's team if they are to avoid being overtaken by their city rivals.Inter Milan summary: The runners-up are on course in the league, even if not everything is working perfectly with three defeats. Inter Milan are doing extremely well in the UEFA Champions League. Alongside Bayern Munich and FC Arsenal, the Italian club is one of the top trio, having won all four games so far.

Last 5 results Inter Mailand
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
09.11.2025	Serie A	Inter Mailand	Lazio Rom	2:0 (1:0)	S
09.11.2025 - Serie A
05.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	Inter Mailand	FK Kairat Almaty	2:1 (1:0)	S
05.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
02.11.2025	Serie A	Hellas Verona	Inter Mailand	1:2 (1:1)	S
02.11.2025 - Serie A
29.10.2025	Serie A	Inter Mailand	ACF Fiorentina	3:0 (0:0)	S
29.10.2025 - Serie A
25.10.2025	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Inter Mailand	3:1 (1:0)	N
25.10.2025 - Serie A

How Inter Milan played recently

For our Inter Milan - AC Milan betting tip, we look at the last results of the Chivu team and note that Inter's last league defeat came on matchday 8. Inter lost 3-1 at the champions in Naples, after which an Inter Milan win tip was always a safe bet four times in a row. In the league, they won against Florence (3:0), Verona (2:1) and Lazio Roma (2:0), while in the Champions League, Inter beat Kairat Almaty from Kazakhstan 2:1 on matchday four. They go into Sunday's derby with a lot of tailwind.

Inter Milan

System: 4-2-3-1.

Yann Sommer

Manuel Akanji Francesco Acerbi Alessandro Bastoni Denzel Dumfries

Nicolò Barella Hakan Çalhanoğlu

Petar Sučić Federico Dimarco Ange-Yoan Bonny

Lautaro Martínez

BOTH TEAMS MEET AT THIS PROVIDER:

To Svenplay

How good is AC Milan's current form?

For our Inter Milan - AC Milan betting tip, we are now looking at AC Milan. After a disappointing 8th place in the table at the end of last season, the club has reacted in the coaching position. Massimiliano Allegri has been in charge of the team since the start of this season. With success, as AC Milan are in third place in the Serie A table with 22 points after 11 games. They are just two points off the leading duo Inter Milan/AS Roma. The situation ahead of Sunday's derby could not be more exciting. Because with a win, AC Milan will overtake their city rivals in the table.

Last 5 results AC Milan
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
08.11.2025	Serie A	FC Parma	AC Milan	2:2 (1:2)	U
08.11.2025 - Serie A
02.11.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	AS Rom	1:0 (1:0)	S
02.11.2025 - Serie A
28.10.2025	Serie A	Atalanta Bergamo	AC Milan	1:1 (1:1)	U
28.10.2025 - Serie A
24.10.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	AC Pisa	2:2 (1:0)	U
24.10.2025 - Serie A
19.10.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	ACF Fiorentina	2:1 (0:0)	S
19.10.2025 - Serie A

How AC Milan played recently

AC Milan suffered its only defeat of the season so far on matchday 1 of this season. They lost 2:1 against Cremonese. After that, coach Massimiliano Allegri's club fitted into every successful sports betting strategy. In addition to ten unbeaten league games in a row, they also won the cup against Lecce. However, AC Milan have only won one of their last four games, against Roma of all teams (1:0). Points were shared against Pisa (2:2), Atalanta Bergamo (1:1) and on the last matchday before the international break against Parma (2:2).

AC Milan

System: 4-3-3.

Mike Maignan

Koni De Winter Matteo Gabbia Strahinja Pavlović Alexis Saelemaekers

Youssouf Fofana Luka Modrić Samuele Ricci

Davide Bartesaghi Christopher Nkunku Rafael Leão

Our H2H comparison for Inter Milan vs. AC Milan

For our Inter Milan - AC Milan betting tip, we are now looking at the head-to-head comparison between the two Milan teams. Both have played each other 214 times so far. Inter lead the way with 82 wins. AC Milan have managed 67 wins. This means that the two clubs have drawn 65 times. Last season alone, Inter and AC Milan met five times. Surprisingly, Inter Milan failed to beat their rivals in the Supercoppa final, the championship or the Coppa Italia semi-final.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
23.04.2025	Coppa Italia	Inter Mailand	AC Milan	0:3 (0:1)
23.04.2025 - Coppa Italia
02.04.2025	Coppa Italia	AC Milan	Inter Mailand	1:1 (0:0)
02.04.2025 - Coppa Italia
02.02.2025	Serie A	AC Milan	Inter Mailand	1:1 (1:0)
02.02.2025 - Serie A
06.01.2025	Italien Supercup	Inter Mailand	AC Milan	2:3 (1:0)
06.01.2025 - Italien Supercup
22.09.2024	Serie A	Inter Mailand	AC Milan	1:2 (1:1)
22.09.2024 - Serie A

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Inter Mailand		:	AC Milan
9 Wins 6
0 Draw 4
1 Defeats 0
24 Goals scored 17
6 Goals received 7
12 Shots on target 8

Inter Mailand

58%

Ball possession

88%

Accuracy of passes

54%

Duels
won

AC Milan

54%

Duels
won

89%

Accuracy of passes

52%

Ball possession

Inter Mailand

20
Corners

22
Shots on target

27
Goal kicks
next to the goal

11
Goal kicks
blocked

43
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
Offside

2
yellow cards

0
red cards

AC Milan

14
Corners

13
Shots on target

15
Goal kicks
next to the goal

7
Goal kicks
blocked

22
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

4
Offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Inter Mailand

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,40

per game

+18

Goal difference

10 / 10

Games with goals

AC Milan

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,70

per game

+10

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

1.91

under 2.5 goals 49.60%

over 2.5 goals 50.40%

1.36

3.20

under 3.5 goals 70.18%

over 3.5 goals 29.82%

1.12

6.00

under 4.5 goals 84.27%

over 4.5 goals 15.73%

1.75

2.00

both teams to score - yes 53.33%

both teams to score - no 46.67%

Our expert tip and predictions for Inter Milan v AC Milan

Both Inter Milan and AC Milan are enjoying great success in the Italian Serie A. The match between the league leaders and the third-placed team in the table is highly charged, and for many fans a win in the Derby della Madonnina is more important than a good position in the league. We expect an exciting game in which both teams should get their chances. Our first recommendation, that both teams score, is due to the individual class of both attacking lines. Our second recommendation with the win tip Inter Milan is slightly better rewarded, without it being a surprise if the league leaders win the derby.