Top match in the Champions League! Atletico host Inter Milan. Prediction, 26.11.25

Will the Italians get their 5th win in 5 games?

Published on 21.11.2025 12:27.

A real top match awaits us in the premier class. Atletico Madrid will face last year's finalists Inter Milan on matchday 5. The Italians have started the season extremely strongly again this year and are in 3rd place in the Champions League with 4 wins from 4 games. Until the last matchday, they had not even conceded a goal. They now want to continue their winning streak in Madrid. The hosts need the points, however, as they are currently only 17th in the table. While they have lost both games away from home, they have won two at home. Uncharacteristically, however, they have conceded too many goals so far.

Atletico Madrid - Inter Mailand: 26.11.2025 - 20:00

Draw 3.40
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under 2.5 goals 1.93
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Betting tips today All betting tips

17th place in the table
Both home games won
Already conceded 9 goals

3rd place in the table
Won all 4 games so far
11:1 Goal difference

Result tip

1:1

Atletico have clearly improved in recent weeks and have won both home games in the Champions League. Inter Milan have won all 4 of their matches in the top flight so far.

Racket UEFA Champions League
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	E. Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	5:1	4	3
2	PSG	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Sporting Lissabon	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Saint-Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
6	FC Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	FC Arsenal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Inter Mailand	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	FK Qarabag Agdam	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
11	FC Liverpool	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	FC Barcelona	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
14	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Borussia Dortmund	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
16	Juventus Turin	1	0	1	0	4:4	0	1
17	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
18	FK Bodø/Glimt	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
19	Slavia Prague	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
20	FC Copenhagen	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
21	Paphos FC	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
22	Olympiakos Piräus	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
23	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
24	Benfica	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
25	Olympique Marseille	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
26	Newcastle United	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
27	FC Villarreal	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
28	FC Chelsea	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
29	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
30	SSC Neapel	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Ajax Amsterdam	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	Athletic Bilbao	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
33	AS Monaco	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	FK Kairat Almaty	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
35	Galatasaray Istanbul	1	0	0	1	1:5	-4	0
36	Atalanta Bergamo	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
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Last 5 games Atletico Madrid home vs. Inter Mailand away
Atletico Madrid Home	Inter Mailand Away
UD Levante 3:1	1:2 Hellas Verona
Union Saint-Gilloise 3:1	3:1 SSC Neapel
FC Sevilla 3:0	0:4 Union Saint-Gilloise
CA Osasuna 1:0	0:1 AS Rom
Eintracht Frankfurt 5:1	0:2 Cagliari Calcio

Atletico Madrid have improved in recent weeks

The Rojiblancos got off to a very slow start this season, but have steadily improved in recent weeks. They naturally want to make it into the top 8 in the Champions League, but to do so they also need to score away from home. However, they have lost their two away games against Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC so far. All 6 points were therefore scored at home. They won 5:1 against Eintracht Frankfurt and 3:1 against Union Saint Gilloise. However, the once so strong defense has not yet managed to keep a clean sheet this year. In just 4 Champions League games, they have already conceded 9 goals. Seven of them in the two away defeats alone. A win against a direct rival would be hugely important if they are to stay in touch with the top 8. They should be in good form in any case, as the hosts have won all of their last 4 competitive matches, scoring a strong 11 goals in the process.

Last 5 results Atletico Madrid
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
08.11.2025	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	UD Levante	3:1 (1:1)	S
08.11.2025 - Primera Division
04.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid	Saint-Gilloise	3:1 (1:0)	S
04.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
01.11.2025	Primera Division	Atletico Madrid	FC Sevilla	3:0 (0:0)	S
01.11.2025 - Primera Division
27.10.2025	Primera Division	Betis Sevilla	Atletico Madrid	0:2 (0:2)	S
27.10.2025 - Primera Division
21.10.2025	UEFA Champions League	FC Arsenal	Atletico Madrid	4:0 (0:0)	N
21.10.2025 - UEFA Champions League

They were able to fight their way up in La Liga

They have made up some ground in the domestic league in recent weeks. Although they are still 6 points behind league leaders Real Madrid, they are only 3 points behind FC Barcelona. They have won 4 games in a row in the league, including victories against Betis Sevilla and Sevilla FC. They have also only conceded a single goal in these last 4 games. Atletico have not lost in the league since matchday 1, making it 11 games unbeaten in a row and the most in-form team in the league. .

Atletico Madrid

System: 4-2-3-1.

Jan Oblak

Marcos Llorente José María Giménez Dávid Hancko Matteo Ruggeri

Giuliano Simeone Coke

Pablo Barrios Alejandro Baena Alexander Sørloth

Julián Alvarez

The odds for a draw are 3.40

To Wallacebet

Inter Milan is one of the strongest teams in Europe

Last year, the Italians made it to the Champions League final, but suffered a lesson against Paris St. Germain. Cristian Chivu is the new coach on the sidelines this season. The change has certainly paid off so far, because they are top of the table in Serie A and have won all four games in the top flight so far. Ajax, Slavia Prague, Union Saint Gilloise and Almaty have not yet been major tests, but they have been good performances nonetheless. Inter did not concede a goal until matchday 4 and only conceded their first goal in a 2:1 win against Kairat Almaty. Overall, they have a goal difference of 11:1, which is only slightly worse than Bayern at the top. After Atletico, further heavyweights await with Liverpool, Arsenal and Dortmund. These games will show just how strong Inter really are this season.

Last 5 results Inter Mailand
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
09.11.2025	Serie A	Inter Mailand	Lazio Rom	2:0 (1:0)	S
09.11.2025 - Serie A
05.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	Inter Mailand	FK Kairat Almaty	2:1 (1:0)	S
05.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
02.11.2025	Serie A	Hellas Verona	Inter Mailand	1:2 (1:1)	S
02.11.2025 - Serie A
29.10.2025	Serie A	Inter Mailand	ACF Fiorentina	3:0 (0:0)	S
29.10.2025 - Serie A
25.10.2025	Serie A	SSC Neapel	Inter Mailand	3:1 (1:0)	N
25.10.2025 - Serie A

Suddenly top of the Serie A table

It has not been the best of starts for Inter Milan, who have lost 2 of their first 3 league games. They lost 2-1 at home to Udinese and 4-3 away to Juventus in their top match. They also lost their top game against Napoli 3-1 away from home. But apart from these 3 defeats, they won the remaining 8 games, including the last 3 matchdays in the league, where they prevailed against Florence and Lazio Roma. While they shone in the Champions League with a secure defense, they impressed in Serie A with the best offense. .

Inter Milan

System: 3-5-2.

Yann Sommer

Manuel Akanji Francesco Acerbi Alessandro Bastoni

Denzel Dumfries Nicolò Barella Hakan Çalhanoğlu Petar Sučić Federico Dimarco

Ange-Yoan Bonny Lautaro Martínez

2 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
13.03.2024	UEFA Champions League	Atletico Madrid	Inter Mailand	2:1 (1:1)
13.03.2024 - UEFA Champions League
20.02.2024	UEFA Champions League	Inter Mailand	Atletico Madrid	1:0 (0:0)
20.02.2024 - UEFA Champions League

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Atletico Madrid		:	Inter Mailand
8 Wins 9
1 Draw 0
1 Defeats 1
26 Goals scored 24
12 Goals received 6
12 Shots on target 8

Atletico Madrid

54%

Ball possession

87%

Accuracy of passes

46%

Duels
won

Inter Mailand

54%

Duels
won

88%

Accuracy of passes

58%

Ball possession

Atletico Madrid

28
Corners

28
Shots on target

25
Goal kicks
next to the goal

7
Goal kicks
blocked

40
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

11
Offside

10
yellow cards

1
red cards

Inter Mailand

20
Corners

22
Shots on target

27
Goal kicks
next to the goal

11
Goal kicks
blocked

43
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
Offside

2
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Atletico Madrid

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,60

per game

+14

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Inter Mailand

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,40

per game

+18

Goal difference

10 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.00

1.80

under 2.5 goals 47.37%

over 2.5 goals 52.63%

1.36

3.20

under 3.5 goals 70.18%

over 3.5 goals 29.82%

1.14

5.50

under 4.5 goals 82.83%

over 4.5 goals 17.17%

1.67

2.10

both teams to score - yes 55.70%

both teams to score - no 44.30%

We expect a points split - Our prediction

Atletico won both home games, while Inter won all 4 games anyway. However, the Spaniards have shown great improvement in recent weeks, which is why we would recommend a draw in this top match. As a rule, both teams are among the best defensive teams in Europe. We therefore believe that less than 2.5 goals will be scored.