Expert tip for Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart with odds & predictions

Matchday 11 of Bundesliga 1: Who will win the clash of the chasing pack in Dortmund?

It's one of the most interesting fixtures on the eleventh matchday of Bundesliga 1 2025/26 - no question about it. And that's why we're not going to waste any time in presenting our betting tip analysis for Borussia Dortmund v VfB Stuttgart ahead of the clash between the chasing teams. The match will kick off on Saturday (November 22, 2025) at 3:30 pm at Signal Iduna Park. Until then, there's time to read carefully. Here we present you with suitable odds, give you our expert tips and also take a look at the AI forecast for artificial intelligence.

Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart: 22.11.2025 - 14:30

under 3.5 goals 1.60
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Tip 2 4.30
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Borussia Dortmund is currently in third place after a 1:1 draw at Hamburger SV.
BVB have won three of their four home games and all of them by a clean sheet.
However, Dortmund have now scored just one goal five times in a row.

In the Bundesliga, VfB have won five home games in five matches at the MHP Arena.
Away from home, however, the Swabians recently lost 3-1 to RB Leipzig.
On the other hand, the Swabians have scored at least one goal in all ten matches so far.

Result tip

1:2

VfB Stuttgart have always scored a goal in the league so far. At the same time, BVB have problems in attack - and have lost all of their last five competitive matches against the Swabians.

Racket 1st German Bundesliga
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	FC Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	18:3	15	12
2	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	1	0	9:3	6	10
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9
4	1. FC Cologne	4	2	1	1	9:7	2	7
5	FC St. Pauli	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	E. Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	11:9	2	6
7	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
8	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	8:10	-2	6
10	1. FC Union Berlin	4	2	0	2	8:11	-3	6
11	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	8:7	1	5
12	VfL Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5
13	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
14	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
15	HSV	4	1	1	2	2:8	-6	4
16	FC Augsburg	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
17	Gladbach	4	0	2	2	1:6	-5	2
18	1. FC Heidenheim	4	0	0	4	2:9	-7	0
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games Borussia Dortmund home vs. VfB Stuttgart away
Borussia Dortmund Home	VfB Stuttgart Away
1. FC Cologne 1:0	3:1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1:1	0:2 1. FSV Mainz 05
Athletic Bilbao 4:1	1:0 Fenerbahçe Istanbul
VfL Wolfsburg 1:0	0:3 VfL Wolfsburg
CF Monterrey 2:1	2:0 FC Basel

What speaks for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart in the betting tip?

We will start our betting tips today with Borussia Dortmund and take a close look at BVB's recent results and performances. On a positive note, the Westphalians have only lost one match in the Bundesliga in the current 2025/26 season. That has only been beaten by leaders FC Bayern Munich. Borussia have kept a clean sheet in their four home games so far, winning three and drawing one.

Last 5 results Borussia Dortmund
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
08.11.2025	1st German Bundesliga	HSV	Borussia Dortmund	1:1 (0:0)	U
08.11.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
05.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	Manchester City	Borussia Dortmund	4:1 (2:0)	N
05.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
31.10.2025	1st German Bundesliga	FC Augsburg	Borussia Dortmund	0:1 (0:1)	S
31.10.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
28.10.2025	DFB Cup \| German Football Cup	E. Frankfurt	Borussia Dortmund	1:1 (1:0)	U
28.10.2025 - DFB Cup \| German Football Cup
25.10.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	1. FC Cologne	1:0 (0:0)	S
25.10.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga

BVB is defensively stable, but scores extremely rarely itself

In addition, the Black & Yellows have only conceded one goal in their four matches at Signal Iduna Park, but that goal also cost them their first two points in the 1-1 draw against RB Leipzig. Where there is light, there is also shadow. Dortmund only scored six goals themselves in their home games. BVB failed to score more than one of their own three times. That was enough for two 1-0 victories against Wolfsburg and Cologne, with the all-important goal coming in stoppage time.

WE RECOMMEND OUTCOME 2 with odds of 4.30

To Svenplay

How good is VfB Stuttgart's current form?

The Swabians only have to settle for fourth place in the Bundesliga table due to their inferior goal difference. Like Dortmund, VfB Stuttgart have 21 points, one fewer than RB Leipzig but one more than Bayer Leverkusen. VfB have already lost three times, two more than BVB, but have yet to draw. This is another important statistic in our football predictions that we keep in mind.

Last 5 results VfB Stuttgart
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
09.11.2025	1st German Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart	FC Augsburg	3:2 (2:2)	S
09.11.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
06.11.2025	UEFA Europa League	VfB Stuttgart	Feyenoord	2:0 (0:0)	S
06.11.2025 - UEFA Europa League
01.11.2025	1st German Bundesliga	RB Leipzig	VfB Stuttgart	3:1 (1:0)	N
01.11.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
29.10.2025	DFB Cup \| German Football Cup	1. FSV Mainz 05	VfB Stuttgart	0:2 (0:1)	S
29.10.2025 - DFB Cup \| German Football Cup
26.10.2025	1st German Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart	1. FSV Mainz 05	2:1 (1:1)	S
26.10.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga

Strong home record, weaknesses away from home

The home games in particular have been going like clockwork for Stuttgart so far. All five matches have ended in a three-pointer, including the last one on matchday ten against FC Augsburg (3:2) and both games in the Europa League. Meanwhile, the Swabians have impressed away from home with victories in the cup in Mainz (2:0) and in the league in Wolfsburg (3:0). However, they failed to pick up any points away from home at RB Leipzig (1:3).

BVB becomes the Swabians' favorite opponent

It gets exciting when we take a look at the H2H statistics in the head-to-head duels as part of our analysis. And you shouldn't miss these numbers for your betting slip either. Because it smells like a surprise here. Stuttgart have won all of their last five games against Borussia Dortmund, one of which was a 2-0 win in the cup. VfB recently won twice at BVB, 2-1 and 1-0. In the MHP Arena, the Swabians even celebrated a 5:1 victory and another 2:1.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
08.02.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	VfB Stuttgart	1:2 (0:0)
08.02.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
22.09.2024	1st German Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart	Borussia Dortmund	5:1 (2:0)
22.09.2024 - 1st German Bundesliga
06.04.2024	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	VfB Stuttgart	0:1 (0:0)
06.04.2024 - 1st German Bundesliga
06.12.2023	DFB Cup \| German Football Cup	VfB Stuttgart	Borussia Dortmund	2:0 (0:0)
06.12.2023 - DFB Cup \| German Football Cup
11.11.2023	1st German Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart	Borussia Dortmund	2:1 (1:1)
11.11.2023 - 1st German Bundesliga

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Borussia Dortmund		:	VfB Stuttgart
5 Wins 7
3 Draw 0
2 Defeats 3
17 Goals scored 16
12 Goals received 10
12 Shots on target 8

Borussia Dortmund

55%

Ball possession

84%

Accuracy of passes

47%

Duels
won

VfB Stuttgart

51%

Duels
won

84%

Accuracy of passes

61%

Ball possession

Borussia Dortmund

16
Corners

10
Shots on target

18
Goal kicks
next to the goal

8
Goal kicks
blocked

23
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

5
Offside

4
yellow cards

0
red cards

VfB Stuttgart

20
Corners

14
Shots on target

20
Goal kicks
next to the goal

9
Goal kicks
blocked

26
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
Offside

3
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,70

per game

Goal difference

10 / 10

Games with goals

VfB Stuttgart

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,60

per game

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.62

1.50

under 2.5 goals 36.41%

over 2.5 goals 63.59%

1.67

2.22

under 3.5 goals 57.48%

over 3.5 goals 42.52%

1.25

4.00

under 4.5 goals 76.19%

over 4.5 goals 23.81%

1.50

2.50

both teams to score - yes 62.50%

both teams to score - no 37.50%

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart

Because VfB Stuttgart have not yet played a draw this season, we are going straight for the draw in our expert tips and are dispensing with the double chance. We have therefore opted for Away win 2 for particularly attractive odds, because VfB have beaten Dortmund five times recently and BVB have scored just one goal five times in a row in the current 25/26 season. These weaknesses in the offense also lead us to the Under 3.5 for all those who want to exercise caution. This goal bet has always worked out in Dortmund's four home games so far.