Portugal Logo
Portugal
:
Slovenia Slowenien Logo
W
L
W
W
L
D
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W
01.07.2024 - 21:00 - Deutsche Bank Park
Euro 2024
1 2.45
X 5.00
2 15.00

Portugal vs Slovenia Prediction & AI Forecast: Is it a clear match?

In fact, the Portuguese are the clear favorites in this duel

Our Portugal - Slovenia tip is based on a statistical analysis. In the meantime, we have adopted a two-pronged approach. On the one hand, our authors and sports betting experts analyze the available data manually. In the meantime, however, we have also switched to using a modern approach. We make the collected facts available to artificial intelligence. This part of our Portugal - Slovenia AI prediction is of course marked. The game itself is just around the corner. The group stage is over. In the round of 16, Portugal await the Slovenians for a clash at Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt. Kick-off will be on Monday, July 01, 2024 (9 pm). While our Portugal - Slovenia prediction is still pending, the bookmakers are relatively certain. They see the Portuguese as the favorites. Will Cristiano Ronaldo and co. have an easy game in this duel?

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Portugal

  • Portugal: 6 points (Group F)
  • First place with 5:3 goals
  • Last: 0:2 in the duel with Georgia

Slovenia

  • Slovenia: 3 points (Group C)
  • Third place with 2:2 goals
  • Most recently: 0:0 in the match against England

AI Prediction Portugal vs Slovenia

Portugal versus Slovenia is not necessarily considered the spectacle match of Euro 2024, but the Portuguese confirmed their role as favorites in the group stage. They prevailed with aplomb and only let up when they could afford to. For this reason, and because the Slovenians have yet to win a game at the 2024 European Championship, the AI tip is quite clear. In fact, the quality of the players on the pitch may also play a role. Because Portugal is more than just CR7. In any case, the majority of AI bets on a Portugal victory.

Last 5 games Portugal home vs. Slovenia away
Portugal Home Slovenia Away
Czech Republic 2:1 0:0 England
Ireland 3:0 2:2 Malta
Croatia 1:2 2:1 Denmark
Finland 4:2 0:1 Northern Ireland
Sweden 5:2 0:4 San Marino

How did the group stage go for the Portuguese?

According to our Portugal - Slovenia betting tip, the Portuguese were convincing right from the start in their Group F match. They even fell behind in their first game against the Czech Republic. Provod got himself on the scoresheet in the 62nd minute. Hranac's own goal and Conceicao's goal in the 92nd minute gave them a late but deserved victory.

A clear picture emerged from the start of the match against Turkey. According to our expert tips today, Portugal took the lead in the 21st minute through Silva. An own goal by Akaydin increased the lead to 2:0 in the first half. In the second half, the Portuguese, in the form of Bruno Fernandes, made everything clear. The attacker finished off a Ronaldo assist to make the final score 3:0.

Then the Portuguese national team wobbled. The last game of Group F was over. Portugal were first. You could see that in the team's face. Kvaratskhelia gave Georgia the lead as early as the 2nd minute. In the second half, Mikautadze increased the lead to 0:2 from Portugal's perspective with a penalty kick. Even CR7's increased chances didn't help.

Ronaldo and co were there when it mattered. Now it's time to get back into competitive mode against Slovenia

Last 5 results Portugal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
26.06.2024 Euro 2024
Georgia
Portugal
2:0 (1:0) N
18.06.2024 Euro 2024
Portugal
Czech Republic
2:1 (0:0) S
11.06.2024 International
Portugal
Ireland
3:0 (1:0) S
08.06.2024 International
Portugal
Croatia
1:2 (0:1) N
04.06.2024 International
Portugal
Finland
4:2 (2:0) S

What tactics will the Portuguese use in the round of 16?

Personally, we expect the Portuguese to play against the Slovenians in the same way as they did against Turkey. According to our Portugal - Slovenia prediction, Diogo Costa will be in goal. In front of him, a back four consisting of Joao Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Pepe and Nuno Mendes. This defense has proven to be quite stable. We can't see a real weak point here.

In midfield, Palhinha, who is being courted by FC Bayern Munich, is in the center. He is the axis of the center, builds up from the back, but also gets in between when it matters. Vitinha is on the right and Bruno Fernandes is on the left.

In the center of the attack is Cristiano Ronaldo. However, the game is no longer tailored to CR7, as we would like to point out for our Portugal - Slovenia betting tip. He likes to set the scene for his colleagues up front, such as Bernardo Silva and Rafael Leao. Joao Felix may also play. Nevertheless, Ronaldo will want to finally score his goal, which will make him the oldest goalscorer at a European Championship.

Portugal

System: 4-1-4-1.

Costa
Cancelo Slides Pepe Mendes
Vitinha
Palinha Fernandes Silva Ronaldo
Leao

Portugal vs. Slovenia in H2H comparison: Historical duels

In fact, we don't want to dwell on the H2H statistics for long with the Portugal - Slovenia prediction. Why not? Because there has only ever been one match between the two teams. However, the match dates back to March 2024, so it's quite recent. Cerin and Elsnik scored against Portugal in a 2:0 victory, with all the top-class players on the pitch for the Portuguese. This defeat could raise questions. On the other hand, it was only a test match. We give more weight to the statistics for the 2024 European Championship than the very abbreviated review of the H2H record.

Last game in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
26.03.2024 International
Slovenia
Portugal
2:0 (0:0)
OVER 2.5 GOALS AT WALLACEBET (BETTING ODDS: 2.02).

Slovenia went through Group C without a win or defeat

Of course, we can no longer offer surebets for the round of 16. But the prediction for Portugal vs. Slovenia goes into the next round. Now we look at the Slovenian group games. Here we start with the somewhat fortunate 1:1 against Denmark. Slovenia at least showed morale when they countered the 0:1 by Eriksen (17th) with a goal by Janza (77th minute). However, a slight superiority of the Danes was recognizable.

The supposedly easiest group match was then on the horizon. It was against Serbia. Karnicnik actually scored in the 69th minute to take a 1:0 lead. The team would have progressed had the Serbs not scored the equalizer in the 95th minute. Luka Jovic, who kept hopes alive, is no stranger to Germany.

With two points to their name, it was clear that the Slovenian national eleven needed more points. However, according to our Portugal - Slovenia betting tip, the last group game was against England. However, the Group C favorites often did not look good either. The 0-0 draw was at best a little flattering for the Slovenians, which of course also speaks against the Three Lions.

Slovenia have their strengths in defense. They have only conceded two goals in three group games. However, only two goals were scored as well.

Last 5 results Slovenia
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
25.06.2024 Euro 2024
England
Slovenia
0:0 (0:0) U
20.06.2024 Euro 2024
Slovenia
Serbia
1:1 (0:0) U
16.06.2024 Euro 2024
Slovenia
Denmark
1:1 (0:1) U
08.06.2024 International
Slovenia
Bulgaria
1:1 (1:1) U
04.06.2024 International
Slovenia
Armenia
2:1 (1:0) S

How the Slovenians will approach the match against Portugal

Of course, Slovenia are aware of their status as underdogs. However, Oblak is a good back-up at the back. On the other hand, we would like to mention that there is a lack of star players for the most part. Karnicnik, Drkusic, Bijol and Janza are likely to form the defense. This team kept a clean sheet against England. But Janza got his second yellow card. We therefore expect Balkovec to start.

Which brings us to the midfield, where Stojanovic played well on the right wing against England. He is expected to start again. He will be joined by Gnezda Cerin, Timi Max Elsnik and Jan Mlakar, who still has potential to improve on the left wing.

That leaves a look at the attack. Here we find two players in the Slovenian national team. Andraz Sporar is not without controversy. However, we know Benjamin Sesko from RB Leipzig only too well. He is technically strong, fast and a great counter-attacking player. If anyone is going to score a goal against a strong Portuguese side, it will almost certainly be him.

Slovenia

System: 4-2-3-1.

Oblak
Karničnik Drkušić Bijol Balkovec
Stojanović Cerin
Elšnik Mlakar Šporar
Šeško

Who will the winner face in the European Championship quarter-finals?

Now that the group stage has been completed, the tournament tree has been determined. Germany finds itself on the difficult side. This also applies to Portugal and Slovenia. The winner of this match will have to play the winner of the match between France and Belgium. We are therefore already looking forward to the soccer tips for the quarter-finals today. At EURO 2024, the quality of the pairings will continue to increase as the tournament progresses anyway.

Which TV channels broadcast Portugal - Slovenia live on TV?

Where can I watch Portugal vs Slovenia live on TV or stream? For German viewers, it is easy to watch the match between the teams on free TV. For ARD has won the rights to this duel. If you also have a subscription to MagentaTV from Deutsche Telekom, you can watch all the games anyway. Viewers from Austria can tune into Servus TV.

Attractive odds for the match Portugal vs Slovenia

According to our analysis, there are odds of a maximum of 1.42 for Portugal to win at home. From our point of view, this shows how big the favorite status of CR7 and Co really is. If you think the Slovenians will get a draw, we have discovered betting odds worth up to 4.50. The "away win" is backed with odds of a maximum of 9.00. This assessment by the bookmakers shows that it is highly unlikely that Slovenia will progress. For over 2.5 goals there are odds of up to 2.02. Under 2.5 goals are advertised with odds of up to 1.80. Whether both teams score (odds: 2.32) or not (1.60) also makes a difference in terms of odds.

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Portugal : Slovenia

7

Wins

4

0

Draw

5

3

Defeats

1

24

Goals scored

13

11

Goals received

9

12

Shots on target

8

Portugal
69%
Ball possession
90%
Accuracy of passes
61%
Duels
won
Slovenia
44%
Duels
won
79%
Accuracy of passes
38%
Ball possession
Portugal
19
Corners
7
Shots on target
17
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
21
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards
Slovenia
11
Corners
9
Shots on target
10
Goal kicks
next to the goal
5
Goal kicks
blocked
8
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards

Our ChatGPT betting odds for Portugal vs Slovenia

ChatGPT is probably the best-known and currently most accurate artificial intelligence on the World Wide Web. That's why we took the opportunity to carry out an evaluation of the Portugal - Slovenia match. We fed the AI with the data on the group stage, the European Championship qualifiers and the direct comparison.

According to the artificial intelligence, the Portuguese have the advantage. ChatGPT bases this on the first two group matches, which ended with a win. Slovenia, meanwhile, have yet to win. The AI also takes player material into account and attests that the Portuguese national team has the better squad. The ChatGPT prediction is therefore: Victory Portugal 1!

We also asked Forebet for an AI assessment

Forebet is a portal that specializes in the analysis of soccer bets. In this respect, the program may even have an edge over other AI tools. The odds of a Portuguese victory are also rated highest here. Of course, we don't want to withhold the exact results from you.

According to Forebet, Portugal will leave the pitch as the winner 43% of the time. Then there is a 37% chance of a draw in this duel. Only 20% of Forebet believes in the surprise, the success of the Slovenians. The provider also provides a result tip and comes to an assessment - 2:0 for Portugal.

AI forecast: How many hits can be expected?

The Portugal - Slovenia AI prediction is largely based on probabilities. The odds of Over/Under 2.5 goals are quite similar. However, there is a slight tendency for a few goals, which fits the result tip at Forebet. AHowever, we consider Over 2.5 goals, with a good Portuguese offense and with the higher odds, to be a valid option, because for more than 2.5 goals there are betting odds of 2.02.

The AI tendency in this match

If we summarize all AI programs, Portugal should come off the pitch as winners in the duel. Four-fifths of all AI queries have determined this result. However, there is also a tendency to score few goals, which we do not share in our manual analysis.

Portugal's offense is actually too strong for that. They already showed against the Turks that they are good for three or more goals themselves.

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Portugal
24
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 2,40
per game
+13
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Slovenia
13
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,30
per game
+4
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 48.41%
over 2.5 goals 51.59%
under 3.5 goals 68.49%
over 3.5 goals 31.51%
under 4.5 goals 82.83%
over 4.5 goals 17.17%
both teams to score - yes 42.86%
both teams to score - no 57.14%

Our betting tip for the match POR vs SVN

Betting on an exact result in the Portugal - Slovenia prediction is, to a certain extent, playing with fire. On the other hand, the high odds make up for this risk. As already mentioned, the Portuguese are the favored team. We also believe that three goals will be scored. We are not sure whether the Slovenians will score one of them. As a result, we are backing 3:0 for Portugal, which is quoted at 9.00 at Bet365.

Our expert conclusion tips and prediction

Within the analysis we have already explained that we are very convinced of the Portuguese offense. Therefore, we can very well imagine over 2.5 goals as a Portugal - Slovenia betting tip. Betano provides us with betting odds of 2.02 for this.

Odd comparison Portugal - Slovenia

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