Spain vs. Germany Prediction & AI Forecast: Who will be the first semi-finalist?
You have to beat every opponent on your way to the European Championship title!
Let's start our Spain - Germany prediction with an old tournament adage: If you want to hold the trophy in the air, you have to beat all your opponents anyway. Therefore, there is no reason for the Germans to curse the Spain draw. Incidentally, the same applies in reverse. The Spaniards also have a tough opponent in the DFB team. In our analysis, we look back at EURO 2024. After all, according to our Spain - Germany prediction, the teams have already played four matches. So it's worth taking a closer look. In addition to a manual prediction, we also provide you with a Spain - Germany AI prediction. The kick-off will take place on Friday, July 05, 2024 (6 pm). The match will take place at VfB Stuttgart's MHPArena. It will be the first quarter-final of Euro 2024.
Spain
- Spain: 9 points and 5:0 goals (Group B)
- Most recently, the Spaniards won 4:1 (Georgia)
- La Furia Roja have thus won all their matches
Germany
- Germany: 7 points and 8:2 goals (Group A)
- The "Nagelsmen" beat Denmark 2:0
- We can therefore look back on 3 wins and 1 draw
Spain - Germany AI Forecast
The Spanish national team has surprised on the positive side so far. The offense has pace and is accurate, at least over the course of an entire game. But alongside the Spanish, Germany have also won almost everything in the tournament so far. Only a 1:1 against the strong Swiss is worth mentioning. ChatGPT and co see two evenly matched teams on the pitch. In addition, there are H2H statistics, which we will go into in more detail later, where nine out of 26 games ended in a draw. Based on this data, the Spain - Germany AI prediction goes for the draw X. We can understand this assessment very well ourselves.
| Spain Home | Germany Away |
|---|---|
| Georgia 4:1 | 1:1 Switzerland |
| Italy 1:0 | 0:2 France |
| Croatia 3:0 | 2:0 Austria |
| Northern Ireland 5:1 | 2:2 Mexico |
| Andorra 5:0 | 1:3 USA |
Spain: Performance at the EM 2024
Of course, we start our Spain - Germany betting tip with an analysis of the 2024 European Championship. The Spaniards won all three games in the group and scored 5:0 goals. As a result, they have not conceded a goal. The defense is the most likely area of concern. The opponents in Group B sound very strong.
The Spaniards started the duel with Croatia. The Croatians did create chances, even scoring a (disallowed) penalty. But the Spaniards had the game under control almost around the clock. According to our betting tips today, Morata, Ruiz and Carvajal scored the 3:0 final score in the first half.
The game against the defensive Italians was a little tougher. But La Furia Roja also had no real trouble against the Squadra Azzurra. It could perhaps be criticized that only one of 20 shots landed in the goal. The goal was even an own goal by Calafiori. In the end, Spain won 1:0.
At the end, with Spain already qualified for the finals, they played Albania. The coach replaced many players. The regular team got a break. But the B team also delivered. The superiority was visible, even though it was again only enough for a 1:0. Torres added his name to the list of goalscorers.
Then it was on to the round of 16 against Georgia. The Spaniards had the easiest draw here. However, an own goal by Le Normand made life difficult for the Spanish national team. Rodri equalized in the first half. Even after Ruiz made it 2:1 in the 51st minute, there was still some suspense. According to our Spain - Germany prediction, Williams (75th) and Olmo (83rd) decided the game 4:1 for Spain.
The only goal Spain conceded was an own goal. Although the defense is considered vulnerable, it has shown itself to be very stable in the tournament so far
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Spain
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Georgia
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4:1 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Albania
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Spain
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0:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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24.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Spain
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Italy
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1:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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20.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Spain
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Croatia
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3:0 (3:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| International |
Spain
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Northern Ireland
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5:1 (4:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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08.06.2024 - International
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This was Spain's path to EURO 2024
Spain has already impressed in the European Championship qualifiers. The southern Europeans were in a group with Scotland, Norway, Georgia and Cyprus. According to our Spain - Germany prediction the Spaniards finished with 21 points (seven wins and one defeat). They were followed by Scotland (17 points), who qualified ahead of Norway (eleven points).
Let's stay with the Spaniards, who had their qualification under wraps early on with 25:5 goals. Only between first and second place was it close at times, because the Scots had done really well. However, the Spaniards won the last direct duel 2:0.
Finally, with an eye on the betting slips today, let's take a look at the test matches ahead of Euro 2024. The Red Fury played a test match against Northern Ireland and won 5:1 with aplomb. Before that, the players were supposed to recharge their batteries in the match against Andorra. In fact, this match ended with a 5:0 win.
Our verdict on Spain: The Iberians are top. The players are convincing. The only star in the squad is Rodri, who controls the game from the back. Apart from that, the Spaniards' performance seems very carefree. In our opinion, they are not going into this clash as underdogs.
Spain
System: 4-3-3.
Possible tactics for Spain
Spain play with Simón in goal. He has been a good back-up so far. He has only conceded one own goal. However, the truth in our Spain vs Germany betting tip is that the goalkeeper has rarely been tested.
Which brings us to the defense. Here, from right to left, we will most likely find Carvajal, Le Normand, Laporte and Cucurella. The full-backs in particular have been very agile of late. Although the Spaniards have all played well so far.
The heart of the midfield is Rodri, who controls the game from the back and even scored a goal against Georgia recently. His supporting players are Pedri and Ruiz. The mixture of experience and youth is perfect in this part of the team.
Which brings us to the attack. The youngest player of the tournament plays on the right wing. Yamal has a carefree attitude and makes you want more. Williams is perhaps the quickest player at Euro 2024 and is on the left wing. That leaves Morata in the center.
Germany at the European Championship 2024
Within the Spain - Germany prediction, we now look at the group stage of the DFB-Elf. The Germans had an interesting group with Scotland, Hungary and Switzerland. With two wins and a draw, our men narrowly progressed in first place. The score was 8:2.
Let's go through the games. If you're unsure, free bets are still available. Our opener against Scotland ended with an emphatic 5:1. With Wirtz, Musiala, Havertz, Füllkrug and Can, five different players made the list. Rüdiger is the sixth, but he scored an own goal. Nevertheless, the victory, one half in superior numbers, was highly deserved.
The 2:0 win over the Hungarians was more difficult, but also less attractive. However, we have often struggled against the Magyars in the recent past. That's why the result, which Musiala and Gündogan scored, is deserved. However, based on the chances available, the match was perhaps a goal too high.
The last group match against Switzerland was about first place. First Andrich had a goal disallowed for foul play - a shame. Then Switzerland took the lead through Ndoye. Füllkrug only equalized in the 92nd minute. Statistically, we were better. But the game was tough as hell.
We then got off to a furious start against Denmark. But we failed to score in the early stages. Schlotterbeck (Germany) and Andersen (Denmark) were both denied a goal. For the Germans, Havertz then scored from the penalty spot and Musiala made it 2:0. Wirtz was denied a goal at the end. Nagelsmann was shown a yellow card. Statistically, it was a deserved win.
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| Euro 2024 |
Germany
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Denmark
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2:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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29.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Switzerland
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Germany
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1:1 (1:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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23.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Germany
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Hungary
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2:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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19.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Germany
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Scotland
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5:1 (3:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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14.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| International |
Germany
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Greece
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2:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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07.06.2024 - International
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How Germany played before EURO 2024
We can shorten this section in the Spain - Germany betting tip. This is because the DFB team did not have to qualify for the tournament in their own country. Hosts are always seeded, which is why preparation is somewhat difficult. But the team got down to serious business in the last few test matches.
Although we had a really tough time in the clash with Greece. But this was also due to the 0:1 deficit. However, this match was a good exercise. Germany still won 2:1 through Havertz and Groß. The 0:0 against Ukraine was more moderate, where we simply didn't want to score.
The encounters with France and Holland in March 2024 were more spectacular and were good preparation for the Spaniards. Because we won 2:0 against the French. We were also slightly stronger. Wirtz and Havertz scored. Against the Netherlands, we turned around a 1-0 deficit (Veerman) through Mittelstädt (11th) and Füllkrug (85th).
Germany
System: 4-2-3-1.
Possible tactics for Germany
So far, the goal has always been Neuer and if he continues like this, then it will stay with Neuer. He made two brilliant saves against Denmark. Manuel is a wall in one-on-one situations. He is the back-up that the defenders in front of him demand.
Jonathan Tah returns from his yellow card suspension. Antonio Rüdiger is set alongside him. Kimmich will also line up in the right-back position. It's exciting on the left, where Mittelstädt first started and then Raum took over. David Raum probably has his nose slightly ahead.
In defensive midfield, Andrich acts as a clearer. Offensively, however, he always showed a hammer with long-range shots. Will Pascal Groß be allowed to take over here? Toni Kroos is the mastermind in midfield He is untouchable. Gündogan is considered the silent control center in the offensive center.
Musiala is the biggest asset in attack. He will start again. On the other side, it's between Sané and Wirtz. According to our Spain - Germany prediction, Florian Wirtz looks a little overplayed. Sané disappears too much in some games. However, he is viewed more critically by the fans than the statistics suggest.
The striker position is also vacant. Kai Havertz, however, has proven that he has the edge as a playmaking element. In Niclas Füllkrug, we have a player who can come off the bench and is always capable of scoring goals.
H2H comparison of Spain vs. Germany
Spain and Germany have met on the pitch in 26 matches. The Germans won nine of them. The Spaniards won eight times. Nine draws are an important factor in our analysis. The last time the teams faced each other was in Qatar in 2022, where the match ended 1-1. In 2020/21 there were duels in the Nations League that ended 1:1 and 6:0 for Spain. Overall, the Spaniards lead with 32:31 goals in 26 games.
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Spain
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Germany
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27.11.2022 - World Cup 2022
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Spain
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Germany
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6:0 (3:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17.11.2020 - UEFA Nations League
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Spain
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1:1 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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03.09.2020 - UEFA Nations League
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Spain
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1:1 (1:1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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23.03.2018 - International
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Where can I watch Spain vs. Germany live on free TV and stream?
Who is showing Spain - Germany live on free TV? ARD is back in the quarter-finals. Bastian Schweinsteiger will be there as a pundit. Of course, you can also watch the match live on Magenta Sport.
Odds on the most popular betting markets for this game
For the Spain - Germany betting tip, the Spanish have a slight advantage. The win odds here are 2.60 to 2.80. This is another reason why the draw X cannot be dismissed as a betting tip.
Over 2.5 goals are valued at up to 2.05. Under 2.5 goals are valued at a maximum of 1.80. Both teams will also score at this value. If at least one team fails to score, there are odds of up to 2.05.
Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Spain | : | Germany | ||
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8 Wins 6 |
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1 Draw 2 |
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1 Defeats 2 |
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28 Goals scored 18 |
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8 Goals received 9 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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Forecast ChatGPT
We provided ChatGPT with all the available information. The AI bot has spit out the draw as the most likely result. Since both teams are in good form, the odds are close and the direct comparison is also well positioned with regard to a draw, we can understand this Spain - Germany AI prediction.
Forebet win probability
The Forebet site uses a supercomputer to give percentage probabilities for winning bets and result bets. Explain and analyze them here
AI tendency for Spain vs. Germany
The probabilities of Forebet were still missing at the time of this Spain - Germany prediction. Nowadays, reliable betting tips are also based on AI analyses. Multiple bots (artificial intelligence) are going for the draw here. One prediction was in favor of Spain.
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our expert tip and the AI prediction for Spain v Germany
Let's summarize the results of our prediction guide. The AI prediction for Spain - Germany recommends a draw X. Interwetten has prepared odds of 3.20 here. Especially based on the H2H comparison, we can understand this result. The 1:1 would be an exciting result tip.
Our own Spain - Germany tip goes for the Both2Score (both teams score). Bet365 has the best odds on offer with 1.80.
