Expert tips & AI prediction for Portugal - France for sports betting
Why the Equipe Tricolore is the favorite in the European Championship quarter-final against Portugal
The wheat is increasingly being separated from the chaff at the 2024 European Football Championship in Germany. Because the European Championship quarter-finals have begun. On Friday (July 5, 2024), the tension will rise for the first time, as the first two of them will take place and two participants for the European Championship semi-finals will be determined. The DFB team will kick things off against Spain at 6 pm. If they make it through to the last four, the German national team's next opponent will be determined in the second match. Speaking of which: In this betting tip analysis, we determine the best European Championship bets for Portugal's quarter-final against France. In this article, you can find out who has the better cards in this match, how the H2H comparison turns out and which team the AI predictions of the artificial intelligences see ahead. We also give you the best odds and which provider you can get them from. This match will kick off at 21:00 at the Volksparkstadion in Hamburg.
Portugal
- Portugal have not scored in their last two Euro 2024 matches.
- In the European Championship qualifiers, however, the Portuguese collected ten wins in ten games.
- In the seven competitive matches against Les Bleus, they only scored more than two goals once.
France
- France have yet to lose at this European Championship 2024.
- However, the French also only scored one goal from the penalty spot - with two own goals.
- All four matches against Portugal at a European Championship final ended in a draw after 90 minutes.
What is the AI prediction for the match Portugal - France?
The artificial intelligences agree on one thing: World Cup runners-up France will not lose this match against Portugal in regulation time. If you read our expert tip right away, the most recommended AI prediction of Double Chance X2 will hardly surprise you. Les Bleus have never actually lost to Portugal in a competitive match at a World Cup, European Championship or in the Nations League. ChatGPT and co. agree on another point: this match will see few goals. The Under 2.5 goale clearly dominates the AI tips of various providers. We can also verify this right away as part of our analysis.
| Portugal Home | France Away |
|---|---|
| Slovenia 0:0 | 0:0 Netherlands |
| Czech Republic 2:1 | 0:1 Austria |
| Ireland 3:0 | 2:2 Greece |
| Croatia 1:2 | 1:2 Netherlands |
| Finland 4:2 | 2:1 Germany |
How has Portugal fared at Euro 2024 so far?
We start our betting tips today with the Portuguese national soccer team. First, we analyze the performance of the southern Europeans at this tournament. In a comparatively easy Group F, Portugal emerged as group winners early on. Francisco Conceicao scored at literally the last second to give the southern Europeans a 2-1 win against the Czech Republic after trailing 1-0 in their first group game.
The Portuguese footballers then produced their most convincing performance to date in the second match. A clear 3:0 victory against Turkey. Portugal were already 2:0 ahead at the break, especially as the Turkish international Akaydin scored a curious own goal.
First place was therefore already secure before the final matchday. However, the 2016 European champions then made a huge gamble. This was the case in the third match against Georgia. Starting with a better B-team, Portugal lost 2:0 against the underdogs. Above all, however, these changes also seem to have had an impact on their rhythm. After all, the round of 16 match against Slovenia went anything but smoothly for the favored Portuguese. After a 0-0 draw, the game went into extra time, in which Cristiano Ronaldo even missed a penalty.
The only positive thing to emphasize in our betting analysis of the tournament is that Portugal won the penalty shootout: Portugal have already rehearsed penalty shoot-outs for the real thing against France. Keeper Diogo Costa saved all three Slovenian attempts, so that his team prevailed 3-0.
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| Euro 2024 |
Portugal
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Slovenia
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.07.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Georgia
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Portugal
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2:0 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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26.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Portugal
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Czech Republic
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2:1 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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18.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| International |
Portugal
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Ireland
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3:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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11.06.2024 - International
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| International |
Portugal
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Croatia
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1:2 (0:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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08.06.2024 - International
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What speaks for Portugal vs. France in the betting tip?
The fact that the Portuguese national soccer team's performances have been anything but consistently good of late and that Cristiano Ronaldo has also lost some of his charisma has not gone unnoticed at Euro 2024. And yet, of course, we can't forget to mention the southern European team's impressive European Championship qualification in this betting tip analysis.
The Portuguese won all ten matches and were the best national team in this qualifying campaign. Offensively, CR7 and Co. scored 36 times. But even more impressive were theonly two goals Portugal conceded. Another record that was confirmed at least in the European Championship matches against Turkey and Slovenia, when they again played to nil.
Prior to these two matches, the Over 2.5 went up five times in a row. And before these two games, Portugal had only failed to score once in their 17 international matches - in the test match against Slovenia (0:2). However, the 2016 European champions have scored at least twice or more 13 times in this period. The 0-0 draw after 90 minutes against Slovenia in the round of 16 was a special result. It was Portugal's first ever draw after 29 international matches.
Similarly to France, Portugal's national team have also benefited from two own goals from their opponents in their four matches so far. However, they also scored three more times in regulation
Portugal
System: 4-2-3-1.
How good is France's current form?
France was one of the big favorites for the European Championship. No wonder, as the reigning runners-up in the 2022 World Cup, but the truth is somewhat different in these football predictions. But let's start at the beginning: the Equipe Tricolore celebrated a narrow 1:0 victory against the Austrian national team in the difficult Group D. On the second matchday, Les Bleus then had to settle for a goalless 0:0 draw against the Netherlands. Until then, we could have pointed to an extremely stable defense.
However, the French national team then squandered their group victory on matchday three with a 1:1 draw against Poland, who had already been eliminated at that point. Nevertheless, the French are now in the quarter-finals because they scored the all-important 1:0 against Belgium in the round of 16 five minutes before the threat of extra time. Which, however, is only half the story.
Because both this 1:0 against the Red Devils and the 1:0 winning goal against Austria resulted from an own goal. The interim 1:0 against Poland was scored by Kylian Mbappe from a penalty. Which also means that the highly praised French attacking unit has yet to score a goal of its own from play. That is a disappointing interim result in these European Championship betting tips.
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| Euro 2024 |
France
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Belgium
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1:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.07.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
France
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Poland
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1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Netherlands
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France
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Austria
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France
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0:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| International |
France
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Canada
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.06.2024 - International
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The Equipe Tricolore has lost its goal threat
However, such a goal drought had already become apparent shortly before the start of the European Championship. Les Bleus had messed up their dress rehearsal and had also failed to get past 0-0 against Canada. In the last five encounters, we have always had the Under 2.5 on the cards for France. Four times, only one goal was scored - or none at all. The Both Teams To Score was also on the agenda in only one of the last six French international matches.
In terms of goal betting, there is already a very clear trend towards Under 2.5 for the French national team. Especially as Kylian Mbappe, an important player, can only play with a suitable mask following his broken nose, which is obviously slowing him down a little - measured against the form that the future Real Madrid player could theoretically call upon.
However, it is also a fact that France have never lost a game in either the European Championship qualifiers (seven wins, one draw) or the European Championship finals (two wins, two draws). Of the last 22 international matches, only two were defeats after 90 minutes. Tragically, however, they also lost the 2022 World Cup final against Argentina on penalties.
Curiously, France's national team suffered their only two defeats in test matches against the DFB team. First with 1:2 in Germany, then two months later with 0:2 in their own stadium
France
System: 4-2-3-1.
Where is Portugal vs France on free TV?
The European Championship round of 16 match between Austria and Turkey was the last match to be shown in Germany exclusively as a paid livestream on MagentaTV. From the quarter-finals onwards, in which one match will also be broadcast by RTL, ARD and ZDF will also be responsible for the broadcasts. You will therefore be able to watch Portugal v France live on free TV. The broadcasters will agree at short notice who will show this match. The two semi-finals will then be shown on the first and second channels. The Euro 2024 final on July 14, 2024 will be broadcast on MagentaTV and on ARD on free TV. In Austria, ServusTV will offer the final. In Switzerland, the match between the two winners of the semi-finals will be shown on SRF 2.
France has only lost once in competitive matches - and that was in extra time
In this part of the betting analysis, everything revolves around the direct duels between Portugal and France. And in this case, it's particularly worth taking a look at the H2H comparison, because the two national teams have actually met four times at the European Football Championship. In fact, all four matches ended in a draw after 90 minutes.
Including the last one at Euro 2021 in Group F with a high-scoring 2:2. All three other matches were part of the knockout round and went into extra time. In 2016, Portugal were crowned European champions with a 1-0 win over hosts France. Four years earlier, France had come out on top in the semi-final in extra time with the all-important 2:1. And also in the semi-final, Les Bleus defeated the Portuguese 3:2 in 1984, after the score was still 1:1 after 90 minutes.
The two nations played three more competitive matches, firstly at the 2006 World Cup in Germany. There, France narrowly prevailed 1-0 in the semi-finals. In the UEFA Nations League, there was a 0-0 draw in Group 3 of League A and another 1-0 win for the Equipe Tricolore. So let's summarize for your betting slip: Six of the seven competitive matches always ended with an Under 2.5 after regular time. And after 90 minutes, the French have yet to lose a competitive match against Portugal (two wins, five draws).
Incidentally, Portugal and France have faced each other 21 times in friendly matches. Here too, the H2H statistics are quite clear, with 15 French victories and only five Portuguese ones. We only recorded one draw in this case.
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Portugal
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France
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23.06.2021 - Euro 2020
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Portugal
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France
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14.11.2020 - UEFA Nations League
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Portugal
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France
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10.07.2016 - EURO 2016
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Portugal | : | France | ||
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6 Wins 5 |
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1 Draw 4 |
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3 Defeats 1 |
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19 Goals scored 25 |
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11 Goals received 7 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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won
won
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
How have Portugal and France performed at European Championship finals so far?
Portugal's greatest triumph on the European stage was not so long ago. In 2016, at the European Championships in France of all places, Cristiano Ronaldo and his team-mates became European champions, beating Les Bleus 1:0 in the final after extra time. However, the defending champions then fell to Belgium in the round of 16 at Euro 2021. It didn't help that CR7 was the tournament's top scorer. In 2004, Portugal reached the final at their home European Championships, but were defeated by sensational winners Greece. The semi-finals have been reached three times. Twice the Portuguese lost out to France.
For Les Bleus, the big moment came in 1984 at the European Football Championship in their own country, when France won the European Championship. In 1988, the Equipe Tricolore failed to qualify, and in Germany in 1988 they were eliminated after the preliminary round. A golden era then dawned with the 1998 World Cup title. France also won their second European Championship in 2000. In 2016, as already mentioned, they were beaten by Portugal in the final. However, Les Bleus became world champions in Russia in 2018 and runners-up four years later in Qatar. At Euro 2021, they were eliminated in the round of 16, just like Portugal.
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our tips & AI predictions for Portugal v France
With the double chance X2 and the Under 2.5 goals, various AI programs have presented two betting options that also match up according to our analysis. In particular, we can confirm the Under 2.5 goals, as it worked out this way in the last two European Championship matches of the Portuguese, but also in all four matches of the French national soccer team. In this respect, we can definitely recommend this goal bet to you.
Forebet's AI forecast goes one step further and predicts a 0:0 after 90 minutes. That's a bit too risky for us. We at least want to keep the option open that this match could well end 1:1 after regulation time. After all, that was also the case in two of the four matches between these two teams at previous European Championships.
However, we consider the draw X to be a very likely outcome. France and Portugal have already drawn five of their seven competitive matches. Les Bleus won the other two encounters by the narrow margin of 1-0 after 90 minutes, so this result is also a good bet alongside a 1-1 or 0-0 if you want to take full risk. However, you can get very good odds from the bookmakers with tip X.
