Niederlande Logo
Netherlands
:
Turkey Türkei Logo
W
W
D
L
W
W
W
L
D
L
06.07.2024 - 21:00 - Olympic Stadium Berlin
Euro 2024
1 1.57
X 7.00
2 25.00

Will the Netherlands stop Turkey's run of success? AI prediction & betting tip

Will Turkey's Montella fairytale continue?

Published on 04.07.2024 08:20.

In the coming days, the European Championship finals in Germany will slowly but surely enter the home straight. In our Netherlands - Turkey betting tip including AI prediction, we take a look at the last quarter-final and, as always, provide you with everything you need to know including the most important artificial intelligence predictions for this clash. Kick-off at the Olympiastadion in Berlin is this Saturday at 21:00. This is not least a duel between two relatively different match philosophies, as the following betting tip analysis will show.

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Netherlands

  • Better staffed
  • Regular players of the opponent are missing
  • more convincing offensively so far

Turkey

  • Strong in standard situations
  • Defensively stable
  • Dynamic wing play
Ergebnistipp
3:1
The Netherlands were convincing in the round of 16 against Romania with a 3:0 win. Turkey, on the other hand, were extremely dangerous in set-piece situations and scored 2 goals against Austria.

What are the most common AI predictions for this game?

We have looked at various AI predictions for this quarter-final. For their analyses and predictions, the artificial intelligence looks at factors such as the absence of key players, results in the head-to-head duels, strategy & tactics, so they proceed in a similar way to us in our European Championship betting tips. Based on these collected factors, the AI predictions believe that Turkey will achieve partial success, but expect a narrow victory for the Netherlands. This is in line with our assessment of this quarter-final clash.

Last 5 games Netherlands home vs. Turkey away
Netherlands Home Turkey Away
Austria 2:3 1:2 Austria
France 0:0 1:2 Czech Republic
Iceland 4:0 2:1 Poland
Canada 4:0 0:0 Italy
Scotland 4:0 6:1 Austria

Can the Netherlands confirm their performance from the Romania game? AI prediction & betting tip

We start our Netherlands - Turkey betting tip with an analysis of the Netherlands' current form. Especially in the case of the "Elftaal", it makes sense to follow a chronological order. First of all, there was the opening game against Poland, in which Koeman's team did not cover themselves in glory and only managed to secure a 2-1 win late on. This was followed by a 0-0 draw against the co-favorites from France, in which the Dutch were closer to victory than the favored French. The third group match ended with a 3:2 defeat against the eventual group winners from Austria. It could have been precisely this defeat that served as the "engine" for the rest of the tournament, because after all, 3rd place in the group meant that Romania had an "easy" draw in the round of 16.

Ronald Koeman's team were more or less fully convincing in this round of 16, especially in the second half, in which the opponents were played to the wall at times. Admittedly, Romania's defensive performance was anything but impressive in some actions, Gakpo & Co found it easy to score goals, but the Dutch offense seems to be really getting into its stride with 5 goals from the last two European Championship games. Accordingly, you should also have one or two goals for the favorites in the Netherlands - Turkey betting tip. It can be assumed that the available AI predictions also show a tendency in this direction, but more on that later.

Now to some important statistical and personnel matters: In 3 of their 4 European Championship matches so far, the Dutch have been able to cheer 2 or more goals, with the exception of the France duel, every Dutch match ended with more than 2.5 goals. The preparatory games for the EURO are similar in terms of the Netherlands - Turkey betting tip. Because: Koeman's charges won 4:0 against Iceland, and the result was exactly the same against Scotland and Canada. Even in their only defeat in the more immediate preparations for the European Championship, the Netherlands were able to celebrate a goal in the 2-1 defeat against Germany. Whether the AI tendency or the available AI predictions support a high-scoring encounter will be discussed separately later. They also see the Netherlands as the favorites

Last 5 results Netherlands
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
02.07.2024 Euro 2024
Romania
Netherlands
0:3 (0:1) S
25.06.2024 Euro 2024
Netherlands
Austria
2:3 (0:1) N
21.06.2024 Euro 2024
Netherlands
France
0:0 (0:0) U
16.06.2024 Euro 2024
Poland
Netherlands
1:2 (1:1) S
10.06.2024 International
Netherlands
Iceland
4:0 (1:0) S

Netherlands

System: 4-3-3.

Bart Verbruggen
Lutsharel Geertruida Stefan de Vrij Virgil van Dijk Nathan Aké
Jerdy Schouten Joey Veerman Donyell painting
Tijjani Reijnders Cody Gakpo Memphis Depay

How will the Netherlands set up their game on Saturday?

We assume that Koeman's team will look to attack on Saturday. There is no question that they have the players for an attacking approach. The 4-3-3 system that Dutch teams, including the national team, have preferred for years is also more or less predestined to see attack as the best form of defense. With Cody Gakpo, they also have one of the most goal-scoring players of the European Championship in their ranks so far, who could also be aiming for the top scorer's crown. The fact that players such as Bologna striker Joshua Zirkzee have not yet played a major role also says everything about the depth of the "Elftal" squad.

A betting tip on the Netherlands winning as favorites brings odds of 1.62

Will Turkey be the favorites again next Saturday? AI prediction & betting tip

In our Netherlands - Turkey betting tip, we take a look at the tournament history of the team from the Bosporus. Admittedly: Neither many experts nor AI predictions expected Turkey to reach the quarter-finals, and we are also surprised that Montella's charges have made it through to the last eight. All the more reason to take a look at the recent performances of Calhanoglu & Co. Like their opponents from the Netherlands, Turkey had a rather mixed group stage - as we have already mentioned in our European Championship betting tips. They opened with a 3:1 win against underdogs and European Championship newcomers Georgia, followed by a 3:0 defeat against co-favorites Portugal and a 2:1 win against Scotland. In this duel, however, they found it extremely difficult and, despite being outnumbered for more than 70 minutes, only secured the "three-pointer" late on.

Accordingly, Turkey went into the round of 16 clash against Austria as underdogs before this Netherlands - Turkey betting tip, and the AI predictions and our predictions were in line with the assessment of many expert tips that the 2008 European Championship semi-finalists would have a tough time against Austria. However, we had not taken into account Turkey's strength in set pieces. Both goals in the 2:1 win against Rangnick's side came from corners served up by young star Arda Güler and converted by Merih Demiral. However, the Austrian defense was not particularly clever.

The Turks were not really convincing going forward against Austria either, with Montella's side failing to create many goalscoring opportunities. For this reason, we see the underdog role in this Netherlands - Turkey betting tip once again on the side of the "guests". They are likely to play another home game in Berlin, however, and the Turkish fans are among the most frenetic of this final round. Whether this will be enough against a top team like the Netherlands remains to be seen; we are rather skeptical in this regard - also based on individual AI forecasts. Nevertheless, Vincenzo Montella's team should not be written off too early

Last 5 results Turkey
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
02.07.2024 Euro 2024
Austria
Turkey
1:2 (0:1) S
26.06.2024 Euro 2024
Czech Republic
Turkey
1:2 (0:0) S
10.06.2024 International
Poland
Turkey
2:1 (1:0) N
04.06.2024 International
Italy
Turkey
0:0 (0:0) U
26.03.2024 International
Austria
Turkey
6:1 (2:1) N

Turkey

System: 4-2-3-1.

Altay Bayındır
Zeki Çelik Samet Akaydin Abdülkerim Bardakcı Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Kaan Ayhan Hakan Çalhanoğlu
Yunus Akgün Orkun Kökçü Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Barış Alper Yılmaz

What style of play will Turkey adopt in the quarter-finals?

It is to be expected that Turkey will once again rely on a very physical and run-intensive game on Saturday, similar to what was already the case against Austria. On a positive note in terms of personnel: Hakan Calhanoglu, the team's "metronome", will return to midfield, but his first choice Orkan Kökcü will be missing, and Ismail Yüksek, another alternative in defensive midfield, will not be available either. It remains to be seen whether Merih Demiral's goal celebration against Austria - the "wolf salute" used is considered racist - will have consequences in the form of a ban.

How did the last direct duels between these two teams go?

If you look at the head-to-head meetings before this Netherlands - Turkey betting tip, you could say it was deja vu for Montella's team. As in the case of their round of 16 opponents from Austria, they also suffered a 1:6 defeat in their last clash with the Netherlands in 2021. In the previous 10 meetings with the favorites from Central Europe, Turkey had a total of 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. In other words, an even record.

2 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
07.09.2021 World Cup 2022
Netherlands
Turkey
6:1 (3:0)
24.03.2021 World Cup 2022
Turkey
Netherlands
4:2 (2:0)

When and where can you watch this game?

As already mentioned, kick-off is at 21:00 on Saturday and the match will be played at the Olympiastadion in Berlin. Football fans and betting fans will get their money's worth on various channels, some of which we have summarized for you here. RTL will broadcast the match on free TV, as will ServusTV, and this quarter-final can also be watched online on RTL+, while the ServusTV live stream is also an alternative.

What odds can you expect for your Netherlands - Turkey betting tip?

The odds for a Netherlands win are around 1.60 with various providers. A betting tip on a win for the underdogs from the Bosporus would bring you around five times your stake. The odds on over bets (more than 2.5 goals) diverge more widely, sometimes at over 2.00, but elsewhere at just over 1.70. A betting strategy on at least one goal for both teams would be rewarded with odds of around 1.75.

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Netherlands : Turkey

7

Wins

5

1

Draw

2

2

Defeats

3

27

Goals scored

15

6

Goals received

14

12

Shots on target

8

Netherlands
52%
Ball possession
88%
Accuracy of passes
55%
Duels
won
Turkey
55%
Duels
won
86%
Accuracy of passes
50%
Ball possession
Netherlands
20
Corners
12
Shots on target
21
Goal kicks
next to the goal
9
Goal kicks
blocked
29
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards
Turkey
20
Corners
6
Shots on target
23
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
23
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
3
offside
8
yellow cards
0
red cards

What are ChatGPT's AI predictions ahead of this duel?

ChatGPT is one of the most popular providers of AI predictions and was therefore consulted by us. As mentioned, our analysis and our recommended betting tips match those of ChatGPT in many areas. As a result tip, this provider would give you the following AI prediction: A 2:1 win for the Netherlands.

Which AI forecast is Forebet based on?

We also used the Forebet supercomputer for AI predictions. Its prediction is also in line with our observations and analyses of this duel. The AI predictions at ChatGPT and Forebet also agree on the result in this case. Forebet also expects the Koeman team to win 2:1.

What AI trends can be identified for this quarter-final?

As mentioned, the most common AI predictions are not very different in their tendencies in this case. Most AI programs expect the favourites from the Netherlands to win, but assume that Turkey will once again prove to be a tough opponent and record one or two successes themselves. Many AI predictions are also largely in agreement when it comes to the result.

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Netherlands
27
Goals scored
6
Goals received
ø 2,70
per game
+21
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Turkey
15
Goals scored
14
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+1
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 47.09%
over 2.5 goals 52.91%
under 3.5 goals 67.29%
over 3.5 goals 32.71%
under 4.5 goals 82.03%
over 4.5 goals 17.97%
both teams to score - yes 51.59%
both teams to score - no 48.41%

What would be our prediction for this quarter-final?

As already mentioned, we also expect the Netherlands to win. Depending on the extent to which Koeman's charges can bring their pace onto the pitch, we expect more or fewer goals. In the end, however - unlike the AI - we expect the favorites to score more goals and would predict the following result: 3:1 for the Netherlands.

Odd comparison Netherlands - Turkey

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