Top match in the round of 16 between France and Belgium. AI prediction & analysis
Will the favored French prevail once again?
The big favorites in Group D, France, squandered their lead on the last matchday with a 1:1 draw against Poland and will therefore have to play Belgium in the round of 16. The French can hardly be satisfied with their performance at this tournament so far. They have scored just 2 goals in their 3 group games, one of which was an own goal by Austria. With 5 points to their name, however, they still remain unbeaten. The Belgians fared similarly. They also started the tournament as the big group favorites. Like all the other teams in the group, they ended up with 4 points. Thanks to their goal difference, they secured second place behind Romania. However, they were also far from convincing.
France
- 5 points after 3 group matches
- No defeat yet
- Only 2 goals scored
Belgium
- 4 points after 3 group matches
- Also only 2 goals scored
- No goals conceded in the last 2 games
What does the AI forecast predict in this game?
France versus Belgium is certainly the highlight match in the round of 16 of Euro 2024. While France is one of the absolute top favorites for the title, Belgium can also be counted among the extended circle of favorites. The two teams met in the semi-finals of the 2018 World Cup and the Nations League 2021, with France coming out on top twice. The AI also sees the French as having the advantage due to several factors. However, the artificial intelligence does not guarantee us a victory after 90 minutes, which is why the AI prediction is: Who will progress? France.
How did the group stage go for the French?
In a very difficult group with the Netherlands, Poland and Austria, France were considered the favorites to win the group. However, they did not live up to their expectations throughout the group stage. On matchday 1, they did manage a narrow 1:0 win against Austria, but this was only thanks to an own goal by the Austrians. On matchday 2, they drew 0:0 in the top match against the Netherlands and thus once again failed to score. On the final matchday, Kylian Mbappe scored his first goal at this Euro. In the end, however, it was again only enough for a 1-1 draw against Poland. With 5 points to their name, the team remained unbeaten, but just one win and one goal is not what France are looking for.
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France
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Poland
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1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Netherlands
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France
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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Austria
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France
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0:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| International |
France
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Canada
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.06.2024 - International
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| International |
France
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Luxembourg
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3:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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05.06.2024 - International
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What tactics will the French use in the round of 16?
Coach Didier Deschamps remained largely true to his line in the first 3 group games. The back four is set in stone and was the same for all 3 games. With William Saliba, Theo Hernandez, Dayot Upamecano and Jules Kounde, they also have a lot of quality here. In midfield, NGolo Kante now seems to be back in place. The full-back was also voted Man of the Match in 2 out of 3 group games. There could be one or two changes alongside him. In the last group game against Poland, Aurelien Tchouameni and Adrien Rabiot played alongside him.
In attack, captain Kylian Mbappe is of course the man to beat He is also the only player in the squad to have scored a goal. Ousmane Dembele currently plays on the right flank. The third position in attack, on the other hand, is still open. Bradley Barcola, Marcus Thuram and Antoine Griezmann have already been used here. The latter probably has the best chance of starting.
France
System: 4-3-3.
Historic duel between France and Belgium
The two top nations have repeatedly met in important matches in recent years. At the 2018 World Cup, the two teams met in the semi-finals. At that time, France narrowly prevailed 1:0. In the UEFA Nations League 2021, they met again in the semi-finals and France again prevailed (2:3). Belgium's last victory came in 2015 when they won a friendly match 3:4. However, this was also Belgium's only win since 2002.
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Belgium
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France
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2:3 (2:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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07.10.2021 - UEFA Nations League
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France
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Belgium
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1:0 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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10.07.2018 - World Cup 2022
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Belgium also disappointed in the group stage
In contrast to their opponents, Belgium had a little more luck in the group draw. In a group with Romania, Slovakia and Ukraine, they were considered the clear favorites to win the group. However, it was not as clear-cut an affair as expected, as in the end they only qualified for the round of 16 as group runners-up. The explosive fact: All 4 teams in the group ended up with 4 points. Belgium only secured 2nd place thanks to the positive goal difference of 2:1 goals.
The defeat came on matchday 1 against Slovakia. This was followed by a convincing performance against Romania, which ended with a 2:0 victory. On the final matchday, they then had to settle for a 0-0 draw against Ukraine. While they only managed to score in one game, they also went the last two games without conceding a goal. They therefore have exactly the same goal difference as their opponents from France.
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| Euro 2024 |
Ukraine
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Belgium
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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26.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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Belgium
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Romania
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2:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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22.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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Belgium
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Slovakia
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0:1 (0:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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Belgium
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Luxembourg
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3:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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08.06.2024 - International
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Belgium
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Montenegro
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2:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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05.06.2024 - International
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Can Belgium's squad keep up with their opponents?
The Belgian squad may not be able to keep up with that of the French, but they also have world-class players in almost every position. A small weak point is certainly the defense, where the really big world-class players are missing. With Wout Faes, Jan Vertonghen and Timothy Castagne, the team relies primarily on experience. The centerpiece is certainly the midfield and the winger positions. Captain Kevin de Bruyne is one of the best players in the world and has fast wingers next to him in Jeremy Doku, Leandro Trossard and Johan Bakayoko. Up front, they still have Belgium's record goalscorer, Romelu Lukaku, in their ranks. There is also a young Lois Openda, who was one of the top scorers in the last Bundesliga season.
Belgium
System: 4-2-3-1.
Who will the winner face in the European Championship quarter-finals?
The tournament tree is finalized after the group stage, so it is possible to say exactly who the next opponents would be in a quarter-final, semi-final and final. The winner of the France vs. Belgium clash will face the winner of the Portugal vs. Slovenia quarter-final. On paper, Portugal is certainly the clear favourite here, which is why this is probably the most likely opponent for France or Belgium.
Exciting odds for the match France vs. Belgium
The French are clearly favored by the bookmakers and have odds of 1.90 on a win. Belgium, on the other hand, have odds of over 4.00 to win. Both teams had major problems on offense in the group stage, which is why you can now get odds of 2.25 on an over/under bet on over 2.5 goals. The odds are similar for a betting tip "Both teams score YES".
Comparison statistics last 10 events
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5 Wins 5 |
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4 Draw 4 |
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1 Defeats 1 |
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28 Goals scored 16 |
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8 Goals received 4 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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ChatGPT predicts a close duel
The chat GPT prediction for the European Championship match between France and Belgium points to a close duel. The French are among the absolute top favorites for the title. However, they had great difficulties in the group stage and hardly showed their full potential. Belgium, on the other hand, stabilized significantly in the last 2 group games and kept a clean sheet for the 2nd time in a row. With Kevin de Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, they have players who can make the difference at any time.
Because of their individual class, France are slightly favored in this game. A narrow victory is predicted, although Belgium are certainly capable of opening up the game and causing a surprise.
Forebet announces the probability of victory
Forebet uses artificial intelligence to determine the probability of the winner between France and Belgium. In contrast to ChatGPT, a draw is the most likely outcome here. 44% predict a draw here, while only 19% favor a Belgian victory. France is the favorite to win with 37% probability of victory.
Interestingly, Forebet's result forecast predicts a 0-0 draw here This is probably also due to the poor performances of the two teams in the group stage. With only 2 goals each, both national teams fell far short of their own expectations.
- Victory France: 37%
- Undecided: 44%
- Victory Belgium: 19%
AI prediction - How many goals will be scored in the match?
One of the most popular betting markets is the over/under bet. How many goals will be scored in this game? We asked the artificial intelligence here and it recommends a game with rather few goals. This betting market always counts over 90 minutes, which means that goals in extra time or a penalty shoot-out do not count. The AI is clearly of the opinion that less than 2.5 goals will be scored in the match. The bookmakers take a similar view and give you odds of between 1.50 and 1.60 for this betting tip. As an absolute safety variant, the AI has also recommended a bet on under 2.5 goals. However, with average odds of 1.21, this is only suitable for a long combination bet.
The AI trend in this game
Almost all providers have the same AI trend in this game and are leaning towards a French victory. Well over half of the AI predictions expect France to win. In the result tips, a classic 2:1 is recommended. The probability that the Equipe Tricolore will win this game by a narrow margin is extremely high according to the AI.
Forebet takes a slightly different view. This AI considers a draw to be the most likely outcome and predicts an unspectacular 0:0. France is clearly favored with 37% probability of victory, in contrast to Belgium with 19%.
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Which TV channels are broadcasting this round of 16 match
In Austria, two broadcasters will share the broadcasting rights for Euro 2024: ORF and ServusTV will once again alternate for the round of 16 matches. Both broadcasters also offer a live stream on the internet. In Germany, several broadcasters will be broadcasting the European Championship matches. These are ARD, ZDF, RTL and Magenta TV.
Our betting tip for the match France vs. Belgium
A result bet is of course always associated with a certain risk, but it can still be worthwhile. We know that France and Belgium have a hard time scoring goals and that the last duels ended with a very close result. We would slightly favor the French, but a draw is not out of the question. The odds for a 1:1 are over 6.00. A 2:1 victory for the French would give odds of just under 9.00. These two result tips seem to us to be the most likely in this match.
Our expert conclusion - tips and forecast
It is certainly the match to watch in the round of 16 of this European Championship. Both teams are among the favorites for the title, but have not played a convincing group stage. The French have slightly more quality, but Belgium have not conceded a goal in their last two games. We think a draw after 90 minutes is not unlikely and therefore recommend a Tip X as a single bet. As a safe combo tip recommendation for your betting slip, we tend towards the betting market "under 2.5 goals".
