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Newcastle United
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FC Arsenal Arsenal Logo
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28.09.2025 - 17:30 - St. James’ Park
England England Premier League
1 3.45
X 3.40
2 2.15

Newcastle vs Arsenal betting tip & prediction: Are the Gunners the favorites?

Or will the Magpies be able to surprise in this duel?

The Newcastle - Arsenal betting tip takes center stage on 28/09/2025 when the Magpies host the Gunners at St. James Park. It's matchday 6 of the Premier League and both teams are pursuing ambitious goals. Newcastle are under pressure to finally find stability after an inconsistent few weeks. Arsenal, on the other hand, will be looking to continue their good form in the league and Champions League. In view of the two clubs' previous record and current form, this top match promises to be an exciting encounter, which is examined in detail in this Newcastle - Arsenal prediction.

Newcastle United - FC Arsenal: 28.09.2025 - 17:30
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Newcastle United

  • Newcastle: 13th place after 5 games
  • Only 3:3 goals were scored
  • Recently with the 0:0 against Bournemouth

FC Arsenal

  • Arsenal: Second place with 10 points
  • There were also 10:2 goals after 5 games
  • Most recently with the 1:1 against Man City
Result tip
1:2
Whether it really will be a soccer festival remains to be seen. But after this start to the 2025/26 season, we are relatively certain that Arsenal FC will start as favorites. We think Newcastle United can score a goal with Nick Woltemade in the squad. In the end, however, we're backing 1-2.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 5 5 0 0 11:5 6 15
2 FC Arsenal 5 3 1 1 10:2 8 10
3 Tottenham 5 3 1 1 10:3 7 10
4 AFC Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 6:5 1 10
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 6:2 4 9
6 FC Chelsea 5 2 2 1 10:5 5 8
7 AFC Sunderland 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
8 FC Fulham 5 2 2 1 6:5 1 8
9 Manchester City 5 2 1 2 9:5 4 7
10 FC Everton 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
11 Manchester United 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
12 Leeds United 5 2 1 2 4:7 -3 7
13 Newcastle United 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
14 Brighton 5 1 2 2 6:8 -2 5
15 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 5:9 -4 5
16 Burnley FC 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
17 FC Brentford 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
18 Aston Villa 5 0 3 2 1:5 -4 3
19 West Ham United 5 1 0 4 5:13 -8 3
20 Wolverhampton 5 0 0 5 3:12 -9 0

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Last 5 games Newcastle United home vs. FC Arsenal away
Newcastle United Home FC Arsenal Away
FC Everton 0:1 1:2 FC Southampton
FC Chelsea 2:0 2:2 FC Liverpool
Ipswich Town 3:0 2:1 Paris Saint Germain
Crystal Palace 5:0 0:4 Ipswich Town
Manchester United 4:1 1:2 Real Madrid

What speaks for Newcastle vs. Arsenal in our betting tips?

Newcastle's last ten games show a clear pattern: just one win, five draws and four defeats. With seven goals scored and ten conceded, it is noticeable that the offense often remains too harmless, while the defense is at least solid. The Magpies' biggest problem is their lack of penetration to decide close games. The loss of points due to too many draws is particularly noticeable in the Premier League. In international competition, the home defeat against Barcelona also highlighted the uncertainty. Newcastle are therefore currently in a phase in which consistency is urgently needed.

Last 5 results Newcastle United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
27.07.2025 Club Friendlies
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
3:2 (2:1) N
19.07.2025 Club Friendlies
Celtic Glasgow
Newcastle United
4:0 (2:0) N
25.05.2025 England Premier League
Newcastle United
FC Everton
0:1 (0:0) N
18.05.2025 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
1:0 (0:0) N
11.05.2025 England Premier League
Newcastle United
FC Chelsea
2:0 (1:0) S

This is how Newcastle last played!

The Magpies' difficulties have been underlined by their last five games. They only managed a 0-0 away draw against Bournemouth before Barcelona won 2-1 at Newcastle in the Champions League. A small ray of hope was the narrow 1-0 home win against Wolverhampton, but this could not be used to reverse the trend. There was another goalless draw at Leeds before Liverpool won a spectacular 3:2 at St. James Park. The result was a series of close games in which Newcastle were never completely without a chance, but often lacked that crucial little bit to pick up more points.

Newcastle United

System: 4-2-3-1.

Pope
Trippier Warping Burn Livramento
Guimarães Tonali
Joelinton Elanga Gordon
Barnes
WIN FC ARSENAL AT THIS BOOKMAKER:

How good is Arsenal's current form?

Arsenal have been much more stable in the last ten games. With six wins, one draw and three defeats, the Gunners are on a solid footing. The offense is particularly striking with 20 goals scored, which regularly asserts itself, while the defense is comparatively secure with eight goals conceded. This means that the Londoners are currently one of the league's more in-form teams. They have not only achieved strong results nationally, but also in Europe. These performances confirm that Arsenal will travel to the away game at Newcastle with confidence and will rely on their strengths.

Last 5 results FC Arsenal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
31.07.2025 Club Friendlies
FC Arsenal
Tottenham
0:1 (0:1) N
27.07.2025 Club Friendlies
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
3:2 (2:1) S
23.07.2025 Club Friendlies
FC Arsenal
AC Milan
1:0 (0:0) S
25.05.2025 England Premier League
FC Southampton
FC Arsenal
1:2 (0:1) S
18.05.2025 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
1:0 (0:0) S

That's how Arsenal played last time!

Recent results show the Gunners' versatility. They drew 1-1 against Manchester City in the Premier League, highlighting their defensive strength. Internationally, Arsenal shone in Bilbao with a 2:0 away win in the Champions League. This was followed by a commanding 3-0 win over Nottingham in the league before a narrow 1-0 defeat at Liverpool. The final point was the 5-0 home win against Leeds, which impressively underlined their attacking power. Arsenal thus proved that the team is capable of winning both close matches and clear victories - a quality that can be decisive, especially away from home.

Arsenal FC

System: 4-3-3.

Raya
Timber Saliba Magalhães Calafiori
Merino Zubimendi Rice
Madueke Gyökeres Trossard

H2H comparison of Newcastle vs. Arsenal

The history between the two teams is long and characterized by close duels. In total, Newcastle and Arsenal have met 198 times. The Magpies have won 72, while Arsenal have the edge with 87 victories and 39 draws. The statistics at St. James Park are particularly interesting: Newcastle have won 46 of their 95 games, 21 have ended in draws and the Gunners have won 28 times. Newcastle therefore have a very respectable record at home against the traditional London club. Nevertheless, recent years show that Arsenal have often had the better end of the stick, which makes the direct comparison particularly relevant for the analysis.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
27.07.2025 Club Friendlies
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
3:2 (2:1)
18.05.2025 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
1:0 (0:0)
05.02.2025 EFL - Carabao Cup
Newcastle United
FC Arsenal
2:0 (1:0)
07.01.2025 EFL - Carabao Cup
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
0:2 (0:1)
02.11.2024 England Premier League
Newcastle United
FC Arsenal
1:0 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Newcastle United : FC Arsenal

4

Wins

4

1

Draw

2

5

Defeats

4

18

Goals scored

13

15

Goals received

13

12

Shots on target

8

Newcastle United
42%
Ball possession
83%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
FC Arsenal
54%
Duels
won
87%
Accuracy of passes
58%
Ball possession
Newcastle United
26
Corners
21
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
18
Goal kicks
blocked
39
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Arsenal
22
Corners
11
Shots on target
14
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
30
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
11
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Newcastle United
18
Goals scored
15
Goals received
ø 1,80
per game
+3
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
FC Arsenal
13
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 1,30
per game
0
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 52.63%
over 2.5 goals 47.37%
under 3.5 goals 74.55%
over 3.5 goals 25.45%
under 4.5 goals 86.42%
over 4.5 goals 13.58%
both teams to score - yes 52.00%
both teams to score - no 48.00%

Our expert tip and prediction for Newcastle v Arsenal

There are two clear scenarios for the upcoming Newcastle - Arsenal betting tip. A lower-risk approach is to bet on "Both teams to score", as Arsenal regularly score goals and Newcastle rarely fail to score at home. A higher-risk option is an away win for the Gunners, underpinned by their recent form and attacking strength. This duel is therefore particularly exciting for betting tips today, as both teams have different trends. Those who prefer a bolder choice can put Arsenal in the foreground, but defensive stability could also determine the match picture - the perfect basis for precise football predictions.

Odd comparison Newcastle United - FC Arsenal

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