ELF Cup quarter-final between Manchester City and Brentford. Prediction, 17.12.25

Can Brentford overcome their weakness on the road?

Published on 15.12.2025 16:23.

Manchester City are making a much better impression this season than they did last season. Their aim is clearly to win another title and so far they are doing well in several competitions. They are already through to the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup and have a formidable opponent in Brentford FC. After 4 wins in a row in the Premier League, the team is brimming with confidence. Brentford can only dream of such statistics so far. The Bees are 14th in the table and have not won in 3 games. Brentford naturally find it very difficult away from home, where they have conceded 7 defeats in 8 games. The visitors are therefore regarded as the clear underdogs in this game.

Manchester City - FC Brentford: 17.12.2025 - 19:30

Tip 1 1.39
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over 3.5 goals 2.30
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Betting tips today All betting tips

2nd place in the Premier League
4 wins in a row
Won 7 of 8 home games

14th place in the table
Lost 7 out of 8 away games
First duel against City this year "only" lost 0:1

Result tip

3:1

Manchester City are currently in very good form and have won 7 out of 8 home games in the league. Brentford, on the other hand, have only picked up 3 points from 8 away games.

Last 5 games Manchester City home vs. FC Brentford away
Manchester City Home	FC Brentford Away
AFC Sunderland 3:0	2:0 Tottenham Hotspur
Leeds United 3:2	2:0 FC Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0:2	2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion
FC Liverpool 3:0	2:0 Crystal Palace
Borussia Dortmund 4:1	0:5 Grimbsy Town

ManCity move closer to their first title of the season

Last season without a title was a huge disappointment for coach Pep Guardiola and the entire club. This should not happen again this year and at the moment everything is being done to ensure that this is not the case. City are doing well in the league, are performing well in the Champions League and have already reached the quarter-finals of the EFL Cup. Brentford FC are certainly a formidable opponent there, not least because they enjoy home advantage. The hosts have played 2 games in the EFL Cup so far and won both of them quite comfortably. In the 3rd round, they celebrated a 0:2 away win at Huddersfield Town and in the round of 16, there was a 1:3 win at Swansea City. However, difficult opponents await in the semi-finals with Arsenal, Chelsea and Newcastle. The Citizens have also not won the cup since 2021. In the past four years, the quarter-finals were the best they could achieve. Last year, they were eliminated in the 3rd round against Tottenham Hotspur.

Last 5 results Manchester City
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
14.12.2025	England Premier League	Crystal Palace	Manchester City	0:3 (0:1)	S
14.12.2025 - England Premier League
10.12.2025	UEFA Champions League	Real Madrid	Manchester City	1:2 (1:2)	S
10.12.2025 - UEFA Champions League
06.12.2025	England Premier League	Manchester City	AFC Sunderland	3:0 (2:0)	S
06.12.2025 - England Premier League
02.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Fulham	Manchester City	4:5 (1:3)	S
02.12.2025 - England Premier League
29.11.2025	England Premier League	Manchester City	Leeds United	3:2 (2:0)	S
29.11.2025 - England Premier League

First in the Premier League

Manchester City are of course once again a candidate for the title in the English Premier League this year. After 16 matchdays, they are also in 2nd place in the table and are therefore the first runners-up to Arsenal FC. After one or two slip-ups by the Gunners, the Citizens are now only 2 points behind the leaders. They have recently won 4 games in a row and have shown outstanding performances, especially offensively. In the games against Leeds, Fulham, Sunderland and Crystal Palace, they scored a total of 14 goals! They have also kept a clean sheet in the last two games. With 7 wins from 8 home games, they are one of the best home teams in the entire league. Only on matchday 2 did they suffer a 2-0 defeat against Spurs.

Manchester City

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gianluigi Donnarumma

Matheus Nunes Rúben Dias Joško Gvardiol Nico O'Reilly

Phil Foden Nico González

Bernardo Silva Rayan Cherki Erling Haaland

Jeremy Doku

Safe bet recommendation: City win with odds of 1.39

To Betsamigo

Brentford want to keep their title chance alive

Brentford FC once again lost important players in the summer, as well as successful coach Thomas Frank. The club therefore had to reposition itself and has managed to do so with ease so far. The club is currently only 14th in the Premier League, but is a comfortable 7 points clear of the relegation places and only 3 points off the top half of the table. However, the Bees' form has dipped somewhat in recent weeks. After 2 difficult games and defeats against Arsenal and Tottenham, they only managed a 1-1 draw against promoted Leeds on the last matchday. In total, only one of the last 5 games was won. Added to this is the almost historic weakness on the road. In 8 away games, they picked up just 3 points. They have lost 7 of their 8 games and have a goal difference of 6:16. Their only win came against West Ham United on matchday 8. They have lost all of their last 4 away games and have failed to score in the last two.

Last 5 results FC Brentford
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
14.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Brentford	Leeds United	1:1 (0:0)	U
14.12.2025 - England Premier League
06.12.2025	England Premier League	Tottenham	FC Brentford	2:0 (2:0)	N
06.12.2025 - England Premier League
03.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Arsenal	FC Brentford	2:0 (1:0)	N
03.12.2025 - England Premier League
29.11.2025	England Premier League	FC Brentford	Burnley FC	3:1 (0:0)	S
29.11.2025 - England Premier League
22.11.2025	England Premier League	Brighton	FC Brentford	2:1 (0:1)	N
22.11.2025 - England Premier League

Strong performances in the EFL Cup

Unlike their opponents, Brentford have already survived three rounds of the EFL Cup. They have had to overcome some very difficult tasks. In the 2nd round, they faced AFC Bournemouth, who were extremely strong at the time, but were defeated 2-0 away from home. The next top opponent awaited in the 3rd round: Aston Villa. However, they were able to defeat the current 3rd-placed team in a penalty shoot-out. In the round of 16, they then recorded a very clear 0:5 away win against Grimsby Town.

Brentford FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

Caoimhin Kelleher

Michael Kayode Nathan Collins Sepp van den Berg Aaron Hickey

Jordan Henderson Vitaly Janelt

Dango Ouattara Mathias Jensen Keane Lewis-Potter

Igor Thiago

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
05.10.2025	England Premier League	FC Brentford	Manchester City	0:1 (0:1)
05.10.2025 - England Premier League
14.01.2025	England Premier League	FC Brentford	Manchester City	2:2 (0:0)
14.01.2025 - England Premier League
14.09.2024	England Premier League	Manchester City	FC Brentford	2:1 (2:1)
14.09.2024 - England Premier League
20.02.2024	England Premier League	Manchester City	FC Brentford	1:0 (0:0)
20.02.2024 - England Premier League
05.02.2024	England Premier League	FC Brentford	Manchester City	1:3 (1:1)
05.02.2024 - England Premier League

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Manchester City		:	FC Brentford
8 Wins 5
0 Draw 1
2 Defeats 4
27 Goals scored 18
13 Goals received 13
12 Shots on target 8

Manchester City

61%

Ball possession

89%

Accuracy of passes

53%

Duels
won

FC Brentford

51%

Duels
won

77%

Accuracy of passes

44%

Ball possession

Manchester City

24
Corners

29
Shots on target

15
Goal kicks
next to the goal

15
Goal kicks
blocked

44
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

15
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

8
Offside

4
yellow cards

0
red cards

FC Brentford

27
Corners

14
Shots on target

17
Goal kicks
next to the goal

12
Goal kicks
blocked

33
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

9
Offside

4
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Manchester City

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,70

per game

+14

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

FC Brentford

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,80

per game

Goal difference

7 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.40

1.53

under 2.5 goals 38.93%

over 2.5 goals 61.07%

1.54

2.38

under 3.5 goals 60.49%

over 3.5 goals 39.51%

1.22

4.00

under 4.5 goals 76.63%

over 4.5 goals 23.37%

1.80

1.95

both teams to score - yes 52.00%

both teams to score - no 48.00%

City will win at home - Our prediction

ManCity are currently one of the Premier League's most in-form teams with 4 wins in a row. Brentford have lost 7 out of 8 away games in the league this year. For us, ManCity are therefore the clear favorites. The hosts' strong offense in recent weeks could also be responsible for more than 3.5 goals again.