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Mainz Logo
1. FSV Mainz 05
:
Samsunspor Samsunspor Logo
L
L
L
D
D
L
L
L
D
D
18.12.2025 - 20:00
UEFA Europa Conference League
1 1.63
X 4.20
2 5.25

FSV Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor betting tip & prediction: Will the bottom team in the German Bundesliga go straight through to the Conference League round of 16?

Or will the Turkish Süper Lig club from Samsun score in the Rhineland-Palatinate state capital?

The FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor betting tip takes us into the final matchday of the league phase in the UEFA Conference League. Everyday Bundesliga life will fade out for 90 minutes in Mainz next Thursday. A look at the table after the fifth matchday in the Conference League reveals that the winner of this game will avoid the play-offs and qualify directly for the round of 16 in this competition. The players of both teams definitely don't need any more motivation than that. The match between FSV Mainz and Samsunspor will take place on Thursday, December 18, 2025. The match will be played at the Mewa Arena in Mainz, the capital of Rhineland-Palatinate. The match is scheduled to kick off at 21:00. Mainz's match against the Turkish club from Samsun will be broadcast on free-to-air TV on RTL. For our FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor expert tip, we take a look at the form of both teams and the latest results.

1. FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor: 18.12.2025 - 20:00
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Betting tips today All betting tips

1. FSV Mainz 05

  • FSV Mainz 05 10 points from 5 games
  • 5:3 goals in 5 Conference League games
  • Most recently 1:1 at Lech Poznan

Samsunspor

  • Samsunspor 10 points from 5 games
  • 10 goals in 5 Conference League games
  • Last lost 1:2 against AEK Athens
Result tip
1:1
In the match between two teams tied on points at the end of the league phase, we expect a close game with an open outcome. Our recommendation is a 1:1 draw.
Racket UEFA Europa Conference League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Chelsea 6 6 0 0 26:5 21 18
2 Vitória Guimarães 6 4 2 0 13:6 7 14
3 ACF Fiorentina 6 4 1 1 18:7 11 13
4 SK Rapid Wien 6 4 1 1 11:5 6 13
5 Djurgardens IF 6 4 1 1 11:7 4 13
6 FC Lugano 6 4 1 1 11:7 4 13
7 Legia Warsaw 6 4 0 2 13:5 8 12
8 Cercle Bruges 6 3 2 1 14:7 7 11
9 Jagiellonia Bialystok 6 3 2 1 10:5 5 11
10 Shamrock Rovers 6 3 2 1 12:9 3 11
11 Apoel Nicosia 6 3 2 1 8:5 3 11
13 Panathinaikos Athen 6 3 1 2 10:7 3 10
14 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 6 3 1 2 7:6 1 10
15 Betis Sevilla 6 3 1 2 6:5 1 10
16 1. FC Heidenheim 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
17 KAA Gent 6 3 0 3 8:8 0 9
18 FC Copenhagen 6 2 2 2 8:9 -1 8
19 Víkingur Reykjavík 6 2 2 2 7:8 -1 8
20 Borac Banja Luka 6 2 2 2 4:7 -3 8
21 NK Celje 6 2 1 3 13:13 0 7
22 Omonia Nikosia 6 2 1 3 7:7 0 7
23 Molde FK 6 2 1 3 10:11 -1 7
24 TSC Backa Topola 6 2 1 3 10:13 -3 7
25 Heart of Midlothian 6 2 1 3 6:9 -3 7
26 Istanbul Basaksehir 6 1 3 2 9:12 -3 6
27 Mlada Boleslav 6 2 0 4 7:10 -3 6
28 FK Astana 6 1 2 3 4:8 -4 5
29 FC St. Gallen 6 1 2 3 10:18 -8 5
30 HJK Helsinki 6 1 1 4 3:9 -6 4
31 FC Noah 6 1 1 4 6:16 -10 4
32 The New Saints FC 6 1 0 5 5:10 -5 3
33 Dinamo Minsk 6 1 0 5 4:13 -9 3
34 Larne 6 1 0 5 3:12 -9 3
35 LASK 6 0 3 3 4:14 -10 3

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Last 5 games 1. FSV Mainz 05 home vs. Samsunspor away
1. FSV Mainz 05 Home Samsunspor Away
Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:1 3:2 Galatasaray Istanbul
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 2:2 Breidablik Kopavogur
ACF Fiorentina 2:1 1:1 Besiktas Istanbul
SV Werder Bremen 1:1 1:3 Torku Konyaspor
VfB Stuttgart 0:2 1:3 Kayserispor

What speaks for FC Mainz 05 vs. Samsunspor in our betting tips?

For our FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor betting tip, we start by analyzing the form of new manager Urs Fischer's team. In doing so, we note that Mainz's additional workload due to the international matches in the UEFA Conference League will only have an effect in the Bundesliga. New coach Urs Fischer's team is bottom of the table after 13 games. The gap to relegation place 16 is already five points. By contrast, FSV Mainz 05 are in eighth place in the Conference League after three wins, one draw and one defeat.

Last 5 results 1. FSV Mainz 05
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
14.12.2025 1st German Bundesliga
FC Bayern Munich
1. FSV Mainz 05
2:2 (1:1) U
11.12.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League
Lech Poznan
1. FSV Mainz 05
1:1 (1:1) U
05.12.2025 1st German Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05
Gladbach
0:1 (0:0) N
30.11.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Freiburg
1. FSV Mainz 05
4:0 (2:0) N
27.11.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League
CS Universitatea Craiova
1. FSV Mainz 05
1:0 (0:0) N

How FSV Mainz 05 played recently

For our FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor betting tip, let's take a look at Mainz' recent results. The Bundesliga bottom team is currently not an option for a successful sports betting strategy. They have only won one of their last eight competitive matches. In the Conference League, Mainz defeated AC Florence 2:1 at home. FSV Mainz 05 have picked up just one point out of a possible twelve from their last four Bundesliga matches. After the 1:1 draw against Hoffenheim on matchday 11, the club from the Rhineland-Palatinate lost in Craiova (0:1), in Freiburg (0:4) and at home against Mönchengladbach (0:1).

1st FSV Mainz 05

System: 4-3-3.

Batz
da Costa Hanche-Olsen Leitsch Mwene
Lee Sano Amiri
Widmer Weiper Fur
BOTH TEAMS SCORE WITH THIS PROVIDER:

How good is Samsunspor's current form?

For our FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor betting tip, we will now take a look at the Turkish club. After 15 matches in the Turkish Süper Lig, Samsunspor are sixth in the table with 25 points after six wins, seven draws and two defeats. Currently one point off fourth place. In the Conference League, the team of German coach Thomas Reis is in a promising position. After five games, the club from Samsun are in fifth place and have a great opportunity to qualify directly for the round of 16 in this competition on their own with a win in Mainz in their last game.

Last 5 results Samsunspor
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
14.12.2025 Turkey Süper Lig
Samsunspor
Istanbul Basaksehir
0:2 (0:0) N
11.12.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League
Samsunspor
AEK Athens
1:2 (1:0) N
05.12.2025 Turkey Süper Lig
Galatasaray Istanbul
Samsunspor
3:2 (2:0) N
01.12.2025 Turkey Süper Lig
Samsunspor
Alanyaspor
1:1 (1:0) U
27.11.2025 UEFA Europa Conference League
Breidablik Kopavogur
Samsunspor
2:2 (1:1) U

How Samsunspor last played

The Turkish Süper Lig is always interesting for current betting slips. In recent weeks, however, betting on Samsunspor to win has not been profitable. After wins in the Conference League against Hamrun Spartans (3:0) and in the league against Eyüpspor (1:0) at the start of November, Reis' side have been waiting three games for their next win in the Süper Lig. They have drawn 1:1 twice in a row, first in Istanbul at Beşiktaş and then at home against Alanyaspor. Most recently, Samsunspor lost 3:2 at league leaders Galatasaray in Istanbul and will play at home against Istanbul BB on the third Sunday of Advent.

Head-to-head comparison for FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor

For our FSV Mainz 05 - Samsunspor betting tip, we wanted to take a final look at the direct comparison between the two teams, but we couldn't find anything on this point. This is because the clubs from Germany and Turkey will meet for the first time next Thursday. Since we also can't draw a cross comparison based on previous results in this competition, let's take a look at the international cup history of both clubs. While Mainz qualified for the group stage of the Europa League in the 2016/2017 season, the Turkish club from Samsun are completely new to the international stage.

Comparison statistics last 10 events

1. FSV Mainz 05 : Samsunspor

1

Wins

3

4

Draw

4

5

Defeats

3

7

Goals scored

15

15

Goals received

13

12

Shots on target

8

1. FSV Mainz 05
46%
Ball possession
79%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
Samsunspor
52%
Duels
won
83%
Accuracy of passes
48%
Ball possession
1. FSV Mainz 05
4
Corners
7
Shots on target
10
Goal kicks
next to the goal
4
Goal kicks
blocked
14
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
7
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
9
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards
Samsunspor
18
Corners
22
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
10
Goal kicks
blocked
23
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
22
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
9
Offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

1. FSV Mainz 05
7
Goals scored
15
Goals received
ø 0,70
per game
-8
Goal difference
5 / 10
Games with goals
Samsunspor
15
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+2
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 45.41%
over 2.5 goals 54.59%
under 3.5 goals 66.27%
over 3.5 goals 33.73%
under 4.5 goals 82.83%
over 4.5 goals 17.17%
both teams to score - yes 53.62%
both teams to score - no 46.38%

Our predictions and match tips for FSV Mainz 05 vs Samsunspor

The clubs from Mainz and Samsun are level on points at the top of the table ahead of the final matchday of the league phase in the UEFA Conference League. We expect both teams to adopt an attacking stance, knowing that the winner of the match will avoid the play-offs. Our first recommendation that both teams score does justice to the offensive alignment. In this close game, we cannot and do not want to pick a winner. Even if the second recommendation with the draw is risky, it doesn't seem far-fetched to us and this tip is also well rewarded.

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