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BVB Logo
Borussia Dortmund
:
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao Logo
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01.10.2025 - 19:00
UEFA Champions League
1 1.80
X 5.75
2 50.00

Dortmund vs. Bilbao betting tip & prediction: Will Dortmund triumph again in front of the Yellow Wall?

Or will Bilbao take the points from Signal Iduna Park?

In order to make a good bet from our Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao betting tip, we need to analyze both teams intensively in our prediction, take into account their current form and look at the direct comparison. Both teams have the potential to at least aim for the play-offs in the league phase of the Champions League. Borussia Dortmund failed to reach the knockout round of the Champions League last season. Athletic Bilbao played in the Europa League and reached the semi-finals, where they were eliminated by Manchester United. Next Wednesday, the two teams will meet on matchday 2 of the 2025/2026 Champions League season at Signal Iduna Park in the Westphalian metropolis of Dortmund. Kick-off for the match on 01.10.2025 will be at 21:00. The match will be broadcast live on DAZN pay TV. A corresponding subscription is required.

Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao: 01.10.2025 - 19:00
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You can find more expert tips here:

Betting tips today All betting tips

Borussia Dortmund

  • BVB with 10 points from the first four Bundesliga matches
  • Regular Champions League participant
  • Spectacular 4:4 against Juventus on matchday 1

Athletic Bilbao

  • Bilbao with 7:7 goals in La Liga after six matches
  • Top team with numerous top 5 finishes in Spain
  • 2-0 home defeat against Arsenal in CL opener
Result tip
2:0
The poor form of the visitors from Bilbao is currently decisive for the game. Our recommendation: Dortmund win 2:0 against the Spaniards.
Racket UEFA Champions League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 E. Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
2 PSG 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
3 Club Brugge 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
4 Sporting Lissabon 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
5 Saint-Gilloise 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
6 FC Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
7 FC Arsenal 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
8 Inter Mailand 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
9 Manchester City 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
10 FK Qarabag Agdam 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
11 FC Liverpool 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
12 FC Barcelona 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
13 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
14 Tottenham 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
15 Borussia Dortmund 1 0 1 0 4:4 0 1
16 Juventus Turin 1 0 1 0 4:4 0 1
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
18 FK Bodø/Glimt 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
19 Slavia Prague 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
20 FC Copenhagen 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
21 Paphos FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
22 Olympiakos Piräus 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
23 Atletico Madrid 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
24 Benfica 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
25 Olympique Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
26 Newcastle United 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
27 FC Villarreal 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
28 FC Chelsea 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
29 PSV Eindhoven 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
30 SSC Neapel 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
31 Ajax Amsterdam 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
32 Athletic Bilbao 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
33 AS Monaco 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
34 FK Kairat Almaty 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
35 Galatasaray Istanbul 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
36 Atalanta Bergamo 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0

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Last 5 games Borussia Dortmund home vs. Athletic Bilbao away
Borussia Dortmund Home Athletic Bilbao Away
VfL Wolfsburg 1:0 1:0 FC Villarreal
CF Monterrey 2:1 2:0 FC Valencia
Ulsan Hyundai 1:0 2:1 PSV Eindhoven
Holstein Kiel 3:0 1:0 Deportivo Alavés
VfL Wolfsburg 4:0 0:1 FC Valencia

What speaks for Borussia Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao in our betting tips?

Let's take a look at the home side in our Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao prediction. Borussia Dortmund are in second place in the German Bundesliga, just two points behind Munich's superior Bayern. The team have won three of their first four league games and have 10/12 possible points. The team has a difficult away game at Mainz 05 this weekend, and for editorial reasons we cannot include the result in our sports betting strategy for the Champions League game against Athletic Bilbao. The goal difference of 9:3 achieved so far in the Bundesliga speaks for a solid defensive performance.Interim summary of Borussia Dortmund. Dortmund are generally a very strong team at home and often play like a changed team in front of their frenzied fans. They have won two home games in the Bundesliga, both without conceding a goal. The fans push the team even harder in the Champions League.
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Last 5 results Borussia Dortmund
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
27.09.2025 1st German Bundesliga
1. FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0:2 (0:2) S
21.09.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
1:0 (1:0) S
16.09.2025 UEFA Champions League
Juventus Turin
Borussia Dortmund
4:4 (0:0) U
05.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
3:2 (2:0) N
02.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Borussia Dortmund
CF Monterrey
2:1 (2:0) S

This is how Borussia Dortmund last played!

BVB began the season with an initially disappointing 3:3 at FC St. Pauli. However, the team then improved greatly and won both of its home games against Union Berlin (3:0) and VfL Wolfsburg (1:0). An away win in Heidenheim was added to this and then an epic game against Juventus Turin in the Champions League opener, which also influences our soccer forecast. Borussia were already leading 4:2 in the 90th minute of the game and conceded two goals to the hosts, meaning that in the end they only managed a draw.

Borussia Dortmund

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gregor Kobel
Nico Schlotterbeck Waldemar Anton Ramy Bensebaini Julian Ryerson
Marcel Sabitzer Felix Nmecha
Daniel Svensson Karim Adeyemi Maximilian Beier
Serhou Guirassy
DORTMUND WINS THIS COMPETITION:

How good is Athletic Bilbao's current form?

Before the Champions League match against Borussia Dortmund, Athletic Bilbao have to play a tough away game at FC Villarreal in the league. We can no longer include this game in our Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao betting tip. Coach Ernesto Valverde's team is currently in fifth place in the Spanish La Liga and has actually fulfilled the target. However, they have already lost two of their first six games and their goal tally of 7:7 shows a weakness in attack that is currently costing them points. This was also evident in the last away game in Valencia, when the team lost 2-0.Interim summary of Athletic Bilbao. Bilbao are currently struggling to score goals. Coach Valverde must quickly teach his team how to get the ball into the opponent's goal again, otherwise it will be very difficult, especially in the Champions League.

Last 5 results Athletic Bilbao
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
27.09.2025 Primera Division
FC Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao
1:0 (0:0) N
23.09.2025 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
Girona
1:1 (0:1) U
20.09.2025 Primera Division
FC Valencia
Athletic Bilbao
2:0 (0:0) N
16.09.2025 UEFA Champions League
Athletic Bilbao
FC Arsenal
0:2 (0:0) N
13.09.2025 Primera Division
Athletic Bilbao
Deportivo Alavés
0:1 (0:0) N

That was Bilbao's last game!

Bilbao began the La Liga season in outstanding fashion with three wins in a row. However, the 1-0 home defeat against Alaves marked a negative turnaround. This was followed by a 2-0 defeat against Arsenal and a loss at Valencia. Athletic failed to score a single goal in all three games. The game in Valencia was unlucky with a red card. On the final matchday, they at least managed to score again in a 1-1 draw against FC Girona. After initially falling 1-0 behind against Girona, Mikel Jaureguizar broke the spell with his goal shortly after half-time to make it 1-1.

Athletic Bilbao

System: 4-3-3.

Unai Simón
Andoni Gorosabel Aitor Paredes Aymeric Laporte Adama Boiro
Mikel Vesga Mikel Jauregizar Iñaki Williams
Oihan Sancet Nico Serrano Gorka Guruzeta

Our H2H stats for Dortmund v Bilbao

The two teams have met twice so far in head-to-head clashes. The games went to the Spaniards and Borussia Dortmund has not yet managed to score a goal against Athletic Bilbao. Both matches were friendlies. In 2016, Athletic won 1:0, five years later the Basques even won 2:0. The two teams have yet to face each other in a competitive match and will certainly provide additional excitement next Wednesday.

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Borussia Dortmund : Athletic Bilbao

7

Wins

2

2

Draw

1

1

Defeats

7

23

Goals scored

5

13

Goals received

13

12

Shots on target

8

Borussia Dortmund
62%
Ball possession
87%
Accuracy of passes
48%
Duels
won
Athletic Bilbao
54%
Duels
won
85%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Ball possession
Borussia Dortmund
13
Corners
18
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
7
Goal kicks
blocked
22
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
Offside
7
yellow cards
0
red cards
Athletic Bilbao
26
Corners
18
Shots on target
18
Goal kicks
next to the goal
24
Goal kicks
blocked
40
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Borussia Dortmund
23
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 2,30
per game
+10
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Athletic Bilbao
5
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 0,50
per game
-8
Goal difference
4 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 53.43%
over 2.5 goals 46.57%
under 3.5 goals 70.18%
over 3.5 goals 29.82%
under 4.5 goals 84.27%
over 4.5 goals 15.73%
both teams to score - yes 52.00%
both teams to score - no 48.00%

Our predictions and match tips for Borussia Dortmund v Athletic Bilbao

Borussia Dortmund are currently in much better shape, which leads us to prioritize the hosts in our Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao expert tip. Thetip for a Borussia home win is based on the fact that Dortmund have won their home games so far and Athletic Bilbao are currently in a goal crisis. In addition, Borussia Dortmund has always stood out for its extraordinary home strength, especially in international matches. The atmosphere at Signal Iduna Park is crucial for every game. In this case, we see the bet on a home win as a realistic assessment. Alternatively, the Under 2.5 is an option. Precisely because of the Basques' weak offense.

Odd comparison Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao

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