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Belgium
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Slovakia Slowakei Logo
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17.06.2024 - 18:00 - Deutsche Bank Park
Euro 2024
1 1.50
X 4.40
2 7.00

Belgium go into matchday 1 against Slovakia as clear favorites. Tip, 17.06.2024

The Red Devils are the clear favorites in their group

Published on 05.06.2024 18:36.

Belgium will once again be hoping for the big win and are already relying on many young players. The mixture of experience and youth should be right this year and with Domenico Tedesco, they also have a coach on the sidelines whose style of play they implement well. The Red Devils also have a bit of luck of the draw and are the heavy favorites to win their group with Romania, Ukraine and Slovakia. Slovakia, on the other hand, are outsiders, but are of course still hoping to advance to the knockout phase. A point win against Belgium would certainly be considered a successful start.

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Belgium

  • Over € 600 million market value
  • No defeat yet under Tedesco
  • 8 wins from the last 12 games

Slovakia

  • Market value of just under € 160 million
  • Qualified for a European Championship for the 3rd time in a row
  • Only 16 goals conceded in the last 16 games
Last 5 games Belgium home vs. Slovakia away
Belgium Home Slovakia Away
Luxembourg 3:0 1:1 Norway
Montenegro 2:0 1:2 Bosnia and Herzegovina
Azerbaijan 5:0 0:1 Luxembourg
Serbia 1:0 3:2 Portugal
Sweden 1:1 0:1 Liechtenstein

Belgium will arrive with great self-confidence

Domenico Tedesco has been on the sidelines of the Belgian national team since March 2023. He was tasked with driving forward the transition and integrating young players into the team. He has done this extremely well so far. Although the team continues to rely on leading players such as Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku and Leandro Trossard, more and more young talents are joining them. With Zeno Debast, Arthur Vermeeren, Aster Vranckx, Arne Engels and Johan Bakayoko, there are 5 players in the squad who are 21 years old or younger. In addition, there are some players who made a big impression last year, such as Lois Openda and Jeremy Doku. With a squad market value of just under €600 million, they are the 8th most valuable team in this Euro.

In addition, the Belgian national team is in top form. Under Tedesco, they have not lost any of their 12 international matches so far and have a record of 8 wins and 4 draws. In these games, they have scored a strong 28 goals and thus more than 2.00 goals per game. The team is also good defensively, having kept a clean sheet 7 times and only conceded 8 goals in total. Their most prestigious victory came in March 2023 when they beat Germany 3:2. In 2024, however, there have only been 2 draws so far. While a 0-0 draw against Ireland was rather disappointing, the 2-2 draw against top favorites England was probably very good. Both goals in this match were scored by Youri Tielemans, who is also in the squad for Euro 2024. Romelu Lukaku also seems to be set as captain, even if he has a strong competitor behind him in Lois Openda.

Last 5 results Belgium
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
08.06.2024 International
Belgium
Luxembourg
3:0 (1:0) S
05.06.2024 International
Belgium
Montenegro
2:0 (1:0) S
26.03.2024 International
England
Belgium
2:2 (1:2) U
23.03.2024 International
Ireland
Belgium
0:0 (0:0) U
19.11.2023 Euro 2024
Belgium
Azerbaijan
5:0 (4:0) S

Belgium

System: 3-4-2-1.

K. Casteels
W. Faes J. Vertonghen A. Theate
T. Castagne O. Mangala K. de Bruyne J. Docu
J. Bakayoko L. Trossard
R. Lukaku
A favorite win for Belgium gives you odds of 1.49

Slovakia is back at the European Championship finals

While Slovakia last qualified for a World Cup in 2010, they regularly take part in European Championship finals. Since 2016, they have always managed to get through qualifying. They even made it through to the round of 16 at Euro 2016. They failed to do so three years ago and are clearly the underdogs this year too. They will probably be battling with Ukraine and Romania for 2nd and 3rd place respectively. Winning a point in the opening match against the big favorites Belgium would of course be a big advantage.

Slovakia no longer have the squad they had 10 years ago, but they are still very well positioned in defense. With Milan Skriniar and David Hancko, they have two top European defenders. They also have Stanislav Lobotka, a defensive midfielder who is a mainstay at SSC Napoli. Almost two thirds of the entire market value of the squad can therefore be found in the defense. In attack, on the other hand, there is a small hole. The team lacks a genuine top player of international caliber. This has also been evident in recent games. In 2024, they scored just one goal in 2 test matches against Austria and Norway. 22 goals in 16 games under coach Francesco Calzona is also not an outstanding figure. In only 7 of these 16 games did they manage to score more than one goal, 4 times they remained without a goal of their own. Nevertheless, only 4 defeats in 16 games is still respectable, even if the opponents were mostly worse teams.

Last 5 results Slovakia
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
09.06.2024 International
Slovakia
Wales
4:0 (1:0) S
05.06.2024 International
Slovakia
San Marino
4:0 (3:0) S
26.03.2024 International
Norway
Slovakia
1:1 (1:0) U
23.03.2024 International
Slovakia
Austria
0:2 (0:1) N
19.11.2023 Euro 2024
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Slovakia
1:2 (0:0) S

Slovakia

System: 4-3-3.

Martin Dúbravka
Peter Pekarík Norbert Gyömbér Adam Obert Dávid Hancko
Juraj Kucka Stanislav Lobotka Ondrej Duda
Tomáš Suslov Róbert Boženík Lukáš Haraslín

Slovakia is still waiting for its first win against Belgium

These two nations have only met three times so far. The duels have usually been very even, even though Slovakia are still waiting for their first win. After 2 draws in 2002 and 2006, Belgium won 2:1 in the last friendly match in 2013. The clash at Euro 2016 will therefore also be the first competitive match between these two national teams. In all 3 games so far, both teams have managed to score. However, they have never scored more than 3.5 goals. However, since the duels date back more than 10 years, we would not put these statistics too high.

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Belgium : Slovakia

7

Wins

6

3

Draw

1

0

Defeats

3

23

Goals scored

21

5

Goals received

10

12

Shots on target

8

Belgium
64%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
58%
Duels
won
Slovakia
49%
Duels
won
82%
Accuracy of passes
49%
Ball possession
Belgium
29
Corners
24
Shots on target
17
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
37
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
3
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
Slovakia
10
Corners
16
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
8
Goal kicks
blocked
23
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
offside
1
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Belgium
23
Goals scored
5
Goals received
ø 2,30
per game
+18
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Slovakia
21
Goals scored
10
Goals received
ø 2,10
per game
+11
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 47.09%
over 2.5 goals 52.91%
under 3.5 goals 68.49%
over 3.5 goals 31.51%
under 4.5 goals 82.03%
over 4.5 goals 17.97%
both teams to score - yes 47.09%
both teams to score - no 52.91%

Belgium lives up to its role as favorites - Our analysis

The Red Devils are clearly favored in this group. Both their quality and their current form speak in Belgium's favor. They have also not yet lost a game against Slovakia. A Tip 1 is therefore the logical betting option for us. With odds of just under 1.49, this is well suited for a combination betting slip. Slovakia's offense is probably one of the worst at this Euro. We could therefore also imagine a zero victory for the Belgians.

Odd comparison Belgium - Slovakia

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