Schweiz Logo
Switzerland
:
Italy Italien Logo
W
D
W
D
D
D
L
W
W
D
29.06.2024 - 18:00
Euro 2024
1 3.25
X 17.00
2 66.00

Round of 16 match number 1 between Switzerland and Italy. AI Prediction & Tip, 29.06.2024

Switzerland wants to challenge the next top nation

Published on 26.06.2024 12:32.

It is the first round of 16 at this European Championship. Switzerland, second in Group A, will face Italy, second in Group B. While Switzerland only squandered their group win in the final minutes of their clash against Germany, Italy were able to secure second place with a 98th-minute equalizer against Croatia. The Italians certainly have the slightly higher quality in the squad and are also slight favorites with the bookmakers, but Switzerland have remained unbeaten in the 3 group games so far. We therefore expect an exciting match. Switzerland have the chance to send the reigning European champions home.

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Switzerland

  • 5 points after 3 games
  • Already scored 5 goals
  • Most recently 1:1 against Germany

Italy

  • 4 points after 3 games
  • Only 3 goals scored so far
  • Reigning European champion

Which AI forecast is recommended here

Switzerland and Italy are two similarly strong teams. Switzerland have been very strong so far and have yet to lose a game. However, as the reigning European champions, Italy know how to win knockout matches. The artificial intelligence takes a similar view and predicts a balanced match. The AI tip after 90 minutes is therefore: a draw. Italy will prevail again in a penalty shoot-out after a goalless extra time.

Last 5 games Switzerland home vs. Italy away
Switzerland Home Italy Away
Germany 1:1 1:1 Croatia
Austria 1:1 1:0 Spain
Estonia 4:0 0:0 Ukraine
Kosovo 1:1 3:1 England
Belarus 3:3 1:1 Macedonia

Is Switzerland once again turning into a shock favorite?

Our Swiss team reached the quarter-finals of the last European Championship in 2021, where they only lost to Spain on penalties. Before that, they were able to eliminate world champions France. They want to go far again at this Euro and their goal is clearly to beat Italy. They put in a strong performance in the group stage, including a draw against Germany. Now they want to upset the next top nation and advance to the quarter-finals. They need at least one goal against Italy to do so and the offense has been in top form so far. 5 goals in 3 games is a good figure. They scored in all 3 group games and even won 3:1 against Hungary on matchday 1.

The Swiss defense, on the other hand, is not always solid. They conceded exactly one goal in every game. This was actually still the team's great strength before the European Championship, as they did not concede a single goal in the test matches in 2024. Coach Murat Yakin has so far relied on a back three consisting of Fabian Schär, Ricardo Rodriguez and defender Manuel Akanji. In offense, 5 different players have scored a goal so far. With Dan Ndoye, Kwadwo Dua and Breel Embolo, 3 strikers have already scored. Switzerland have now failed to score in just 2 of their last 19 international matches. The last time this happened was in March against Denmark when they drew 0-0.

In the round of 16, 3 players must be careful not to pick up a yellow card, otherwise they would be banned from the quarter-finals. In addition to Dan Ndoye and Silvan Widmer, this also includes captain Granit Xhaka. Alongside him is Remo Freuler, an enormously dangerous midfielder who has already scored 2 goals.

Last 5 results Switzerland
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
23.06.2024 Euro 2024
Switzerland
Germany
1:1 (1:0) U
19.06.2024 Euro 2024
Scotland
Switzerland
1:1 (1:1) U
15.06.2024 Euro 2024
Hungary
Switzerland
1:3 (0:2) S
08.06.2024 International
Switzerland
Austria
1:1 (1:1) U
04.06.2024 International
Switzerland
Estonia
4:0 (1:0) S
Recommended betting tip: under 2.5 goals with odds of 1.53

Italy has been less than convincing so far

The reigning European champions have struggled so far at this tournament and have not yet been able to fully convince in any of their matches. All the more impressive that they were still able to secure 2nd place behind Spain in the end. However, this was only thanks to the equalizer in the 98th minute against Croatia. It was one of only 3 goals they managed to score in the group stage. In the top match against Spain, they even failed to score a goal of their own. Their famously strong defense has made a good impression so far, but like their opponents, they have conceded a goal in every game. As a result, they can only boast an even goal difference of 3:3 goals.

Italy also lack a genuine world-class striker at this Euro. The 3 goals scored so far have been scored by defender Alessandro Bastoni, midfielder Nicolo Barella and winger Mattia Zaccagni. The regular strikers Gianluca Scammaca and Matteo Retegui, on the other hand, have failed to score. Italy's best player so far has probably been Riccardo Calafiori, who also provided the assist for the late equalizer against Croatia. Nevertheless, coach Luciano Spalletti cannot be satisfied so far. Under his leadership, however, they have only conceded 2 defeats and have won 7 of their last 13 games. However, Italy have only managed to score more than one goal in one of their last 5 international matches. The 21 goals in the 13 games are also not an outstanding figure. Only twice have they managed to score more than 2 goals and that was against North Macedonia and Malta.

In contrast to their opponents, Italy have hardly any problems with yellow cards. Only defender Riccardo Calafiori could be suspended in the quarter-finals if he receives another yellow card. Nicolo Fagioli is another player who has been booked, but he has only played a few minutes.

Last 5 results Italy
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
24.06.2024 Euro 2024
Croatia
Italy
1:1 (0:0) U
20.06.2024 Euro 2024
Spain
Italy
1:0 (0:0) N
15.06.2024 Euro 2024
Italy
Albania
2:1 (2:1) S
09.06.2024 International
Italy
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1:0 (1:0) S
04.06.2024 International
Italy
Turkey
0:0 (0:0) U
3 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
12.11.2021 World Cup 2022
Italy
Switzerland
1:1 (1:1)
05.09.2021 World Cup 2022
Switzerland
Italy
0:0 (0:0)
16.06.2021 Euro 2020
Italy
Switzerland
3:0 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Switzerland : Italy

3

Wins

4

6

Draw

3

1

Defeats

3

13

Goals scored

12

7

Goals received

11

12

Shots on target

8

Switzerland
58%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
47%
Duels
won
Italy
53%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
55%
Ball possession
Switzerland
16
Corners
16
Shots on target
11
Goal kicks
next to the goal
14
Goal kicks
blocked
25
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
Italy
23
Corners
11
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
15
Goal kicks
blocked
29
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
offside
10
yellow cards
0
red cards

The first extension could await us - the forecast

Switzerland have shown the better performances so far, but as the reigning European champions, Italy have an incredible amount of experience in knockout matches. We are therefore struggling and, just like the AI, recommend a tip X. In our opinion, not too many goals are to be expected. Italy is still struggling in offense and Switzerland will probably bite their teeth out against the Italians' strong defense. Our tip therefore: under 2.5 goals.

Odd comparison Switzerland - Italy

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