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Atletico Madrid Logo
Atletico Madrid
:
Real Madrid Real Madrid Logo
W
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L
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L
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27.09.2025 - 16:15
Spanien Primera Division
1 2.98
X 3.60
2 2.35

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid meet in the derby. Prediction, 27.09.25

Will the Whites remain top of the table?

Published on 25.09.2025 18:13.

Atletico Madrid have made a slow start to the new season and are only 9th in the table. Although they have only lost one game in the league, they have only won two. The hosts are already 9 points behind their city rivals. Therefore, they cannot afford to lose at home if they want to have a say in the league title this year. The visitors, on the other hand, have made a perfect start to the season and are top of the table after 6 wins from 6 games. Coach Xabi Alonso can boast outstanding statistics so far and will be hoping to build on this in the first real top match.

Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid: 27.09.2025 - 16:15
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Atletico Madrid

  • 9th place in the table
  • 3 draws in the last 6 games
  • Scored in every game this year

Real Madrid

  • Table leader
  • 6 games - 6 wins
  • Only 3 goals conceded
Result tip
0:1
Atletico are still struggling this year and are only in 9th place, while Real Madrid have won every league game.
Racket Primera Division
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Real Madrid 6 6 0 0 14:3 11 18
2 FC Barcelona 5 4 1 0 16:3 13 13
3 FC Villarreal 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
4 Espanyol Barcelona 6 3 2 1 10:9 1 11
5 Athletic Bilbao 6 3 1 2 7:7 0 10
6 FC Getafe 6 3 1 2 7:8 -1 10
7 FC Elche 5 2 3 0 7:4 3 9
8 Atletico Madrid 6 2 3 1 9:7 2 9
9 Betis Sevilla 6 2 3 1 9:7 2 9
10 Deportivo Alavés 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
11 FC Valencia 6 2 2 2 8:10 -2 8
12 FC Sevilla 6 2 1 3 10:10 0 7
13 CA Osasuna 5 2 0 3 4:4 0 6
14 Rayo Vallecano 6 1 2 3 7:9 -2 5
15 Celta Vigo 6 0 5 1 5:7 -2 5
16 Real Sociedad 6 1 2 3 6:9 -3 5
17 UD Levante 6 1 1 4 10:13 -3 4
18 Real Oviedo 5 1 0 4 1:8 -7 3
19 RCD Mallorca 6 0 2 4 5:11 -6 2
20 Girona 6 0 2 4 3:16 -13 2

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Last 5 games Atletico Madrid home vs. Real Madrid away
Atletico Madrid Home Real Madrid Away
Botafogo Futebol Clube 1:0 4:0 Paris Saint Germain
Betis Sevilla 4:1 0:3 FC Red Bull Salzburg
Real Sociedad 4:0 0:2 FC Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano 3:0 4:3 FC Barcelona
Real Valladolid 4:2 2:2 FC Barcelona

Atletico Madrid must not lose touch

The Rojiblancos have had a difficult start to the season and currently only occupy 9th place in La Liga. They are already 9 points behind league leaders and city rivals Real Madrid, which is why they cannot really afford to lose. Coach Diego Simeone's team have collected 9 points so far, but have only managed 2 wins. However, both of these victories came in home games. On matchday 4, they won 2-0 against Villarreal and only on Wednesday were they able to beat Rayo Vallecano 3-2. The outstanding man was once again Julian Alvarez, who scored a hat-trick. In addition to 2 wins, they have already drawn 3 games. However, each draw was a disappointment, as teams such as Mallorca, Elche and Alaves are significantly worse. Their only defeat in La Liga came on matchday 1 when they were beaten away to Espanyol Barcelona. They are unbeaten in 5 league games.

Last 5 results Atletico Madrid
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
23.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Atletico Madrid
Botafogo Futebol Clube
1:0 (0:0) S
20.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Seattle Sounders
Atletico Madrid
1:3 (0:1) S
15.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
PSG
Atletico Madrid
4:0 (2:0) N
25.05.2025 Primera Division
Girona
Atletico Madrid
0:4 (0:0) S
18.05.2025 Primera Division
Atletico Madrid
Betis Sevilla
4:1 (2:0) S

Unlucky start to the Champions League

Of course, Atletico Madrid are also one of the teams in the top eight of the Premier League who want to qualify directly for the round of 16. However, they faced an extremely tough opponent in Liverpool FC at the start. Away at Anfield Road, they were ultimately beaten 3:2. Nevertheless, it was a good performance, as they came back from 2:0 down at one stage and only conceded the goal in stoppage time that led to defeat.

Atletico Madrid

System: 4-3-3.

Jan Oblak
Nahuel Molina Robin Le Normand Dávid Hancko Javi Galán
Marcos Llorente Coke Pablo Barrios
Conor Gallagher Antoine Griezmann Julián Álvarez
Our betting tip: under 2.5 goals

Real Madrid has made a perfect start

After the change of coach to Xabi Alonso in the summer, many were naturally curious to see how Real Madrid would start the new season. After 6 matchdays in La Liga, it is fair to say that things have gone very well so far. They have won all 6 games in the league so far and are therefore deservedly top of the table, ahead of FC Barcelona. They are the only team still in the perfect position and would naturally like to extend their winning streak against Atletico. A win is also necessary, as a defeat could see them relinquish their lead at the top of the table. The newly formed defense is particularly impressive this year. In 6 games, they have conceded just 3 goals and have gone 3 out of 6 games without conceding a goal. The offense has scored 14 goals so far, which is more than 2.00 goals per game. Kylian Mbappe is the outstanding man with 7 goals to his name. The Frenchman also scored twice against Levante on the last matchday and thus played a decisive role in the 1:4 away win.

Last 5 results Real Madrid
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
09.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
PSG
Real Madrid
4:0 (3:0) N
05.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
3:2 (2:0) S
01.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Juventus Turin
1:0 (0:0) S
27.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
FC Red Bull Salzburg
Real Madrid
0:3 (0:2) S
22.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Pachuca CF
3:1 (2:0) S

Coach Xabi Alonso is a perfect fit

The former Leverkusen coach has had no problems adapting so far. Although he and his team suffered a heavy 4-0 defeat in the semi-final against Paris St. Germain at the FIFA Club World Cup, this was to remain their only defeat to date. Since then, they have won 7 in a row. In addition to the 6 wins in the league, they also won the Champions League opener. There was a 2:1 home win against Olympique Marseille. They are also unbeaten against Atletico in 5 competitive matches.

Real Madrid

System: 4-2-3-1.

Thibaut Courtois
Daniel Carvajal Raúl Asencio Éder Militão Álvaro Carreras
Franco Mastantuono Federico Valverde
Aurélien Tchouaméni Vinícius Júnior Gonzalo García
Kylian Mbappé
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
12.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1:0 (1:0)
04.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
2:1 (1:1)
08.02.2025 Primera Division
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1:1 (0:1)
29.09.2024 Primera Division
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1:1 (0:0)
04.02.2024 Primera Division
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1:1 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Atletico Madrid : Real Madrid

6

Wins

7

1

Draw

1

3

Defeats

2

19

Goals scored

20

9

Goals received

13

12

Shots on target

8

Atletico Madrid
50%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
52%
Duels
won
Real Madrid
51%
Duels
won
87%
Accuracy of passes
57%
Ball possession
Atletico Madrid
20
Corners
16
Shots on target
20
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
31
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
Offside
6
yellow cards
0
red cards
Real Madrid
27
Corners
32
Shots on target
30
Goal kicks
next to the goal
20
Goal kicks
blocked
42
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
33
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
3
yellow cards
1
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Atletico Madrid
19
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
+10
Goal difference
6 / 10
Games with goals
Real Madrid
20
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+7
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 44.81%
over 2.5 goals 55.19%
under 3.5 goals 65.63%
over 3.5 goals 34.37%
under 4.5 goals 81.04%
over 4.5 goals 18.96%
both teams to score - yes 58.90%
both teams to score - no 41.10%

Real can be slightly favored - Our forecast

Atletico Madrid are still struggling this season and are only in 9th place in the table. Although derbies have their own rules, Real Madrid must clearly be favored here. However, we don't expect a goal spectacle, as both defenses are usually too solid for that. Once again, we expect less than 2.5 goals.

Odd comparison Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid

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