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30.10.2024 - 21:15 - Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
England EFL - Carabao Cup
1 2.38
X 5.00
2 30.00

Tottenham and Manchester City battle for promotion in the EFL Cup. Forecast, 30.10.2024

The Spurs want to knock the reigning champions out of the competition at home

Published on 28.10.2024 09:03.

Manchester City is once again the most stable team in the English Premier League this year and is unsurprisingly in first place in the table after nine matchdays. However, the reigning champions have evidently struggled in recent weeks and have only won their games by the narrowest of margins. In the round of 16 duel against Tottenham in the EFL Cup, they will now have to improve significantly if they are to achieve promotion. Tottenham may not be playing their best season and are only 8th in the Premier League, but Spurs can beat any opponent on a good day. They also have the home advantage on their side and have won 3 out of 4 games there in the league.

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Tottenham Hotspur

  • 8th place in the Premier League
  • 2 defeats in the last 3 games
  • 3 out of 4 home games won

Manchester City

  • 1st place in the Premier League
  • Won 7 of 9 league games
  • Won the last 3 games with only one goal difference
Ergebnistipp
1:2
Tottenham are difficult to beat at home, but Manchester City are once again the best team in the Premier League at the moment. The visitors have also won their last two games against Spurs.
Last 5 games Tottenham home vs. Manchester City away
Tottenham Home Manchester City Away
AZ Alkmaar 1:0 1:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
West Ham United 4:1 0:4 Slovan Bratislava
FK Qarabag Agdam 3:0 1:1 Newcastle United
FC Brentford 3:1 1:3 West Ham United
FC Arsenal 0:1 0:2 FC Chelsea

Tottenham has potential, but is not consistent enough

Spurs had a good first season under Ange Postecoglu and finished 5th in the Premier League. This year, the goal is clearly to reach the top 4 in the league. The team is now one of the most attractive attacking teams in the league and plays attractive soccer, but their performances have not been consistent enough so far. Spurs have already conceded 4 defeats in 9 games this year and are therefore only 8th in the table. They are already 10 points adrift of rivals Manchester City, but the team is finding it particularly difficult away from home, where they have only won once in 5 games. However, that was a 0:3 at Manchester United. At home, they are much stronger and have won 3 out of 4 games. The only defeat was against FC Arsenal (0:1). It was one of 2 games in which they failed to score. This was also the case last weekend in the 1:0 away defeat against Crystal Palace. The absence of captain Heung-min Son, who is still out with a thigh problem, is particularly painful. Nevertheless, the South Korean is still his team's top scorer along with Brennan Johnson.

Last 5 results Tottenham Hotspur
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
27.10.2024 England Premier League
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
1:0 (1:0) N
24.10.2024 UEFA Europa League
Tottenham
AZ Alkmaar
1:0 (0:0) S
19.10.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
West Ham United
4:1 (1:1) S
06.10.2024 England Premier League
Brighton
Tottenham
3:2 (0:2) N
03.10.2024 UEFA Europa League
Ferencvarosi TC
Tottenham
1:2 (0:1) S

Still without blemish in the cup competitions

After finishing 5th last season, Spurs are playing in the Europa League this season and are naturally one of the big favorites for the title. They have lived up to this role so far, winning all 3 games. With 9 points to their name and a goal difference of 6:1, they are in second place in the table. They beat Qarabag 3:0, Ferencvaros 1-2 and Alkmaar 1:0. They have also already made it through one round of the EFL Cup. In the clash against second division side Coventry City, they came out on top with a 1:2 win. As a result, they have won 7 of their last 9 competitive matches.

Tottenham Hotspur

System: 4-2-3-1.

Fraser Forster
Archie Gray Radu Drăguşin Ben Davies Destiny Udogie
Rodrigo Bentancur James Maddison
Lucas Bergvall Mikey Moore Richarlison
Timo Werner
A win for the visitors from Manchester brings you odds of 2.20

Manchester City is number 1 in England again

It almost seems like a law of nature in recent years that Manchester City end up winning the Premier League. This year they are once again the top favorites and after 9 match days they are also in first place in the league. However, the last few weeks have not gone as smoothly as one might expect. In the league in particular, they have only managed very narrow victories against Fulham (3:2), Wolverhampton (1:2) and Southampton (1:0). At the same time, however, this is also what has flushed Manchester City back into first place. The only two points lost were away at Newcastle and at home against Arsenal. There has not yet been a defeat this season. The last time they lost away to Aston Villa was on matchday 15 of last season. The outstanding man is once again Erling Haaland. He has already scored 14 goals in 13 competitive matches this season and is the only player in his team with more than three goals to his name. He also scored the important 1:0 goal in the win against Southampton FC on the last matchday.

Last 5 results Manchester City
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
26.10.2024 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Southampton
1:0 (1:0) S
23.10.2024 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
AC Sparta Prague
5:0 (1:0) S
20.10.2024 England Premier League
Wolverhampton
Manchester City
1:2 (1:1) S
05.10.2024 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Fulham
3:2 (1:1) S
01.10.2024 UEFA Champions League
Slovan Bratislava
Manchester City
0:4 (0:2) S

On course in the Champions League

City did not have a perfect start in the Champions League. On matchday 1, they faced Italian champions Inter Milan at home. City only managed a 0:0 draw on this occasion. On the following two matchdays, however, they were able to record two commanding victories against Slovan Bratislava and Sparta Prague. In this match, the total score was 9:0 goals. With 7 points to their name and a goal difference of 9:0, they are now in 3rd place in the Champions League table behind Aston Villa and Liverpool. In the EFL Cup, they faced a second division team like their opponents Tottenham. They defeated Watford FC 2:1 in the 3rd round.

Manchester City

System: 4-3-3.

Ederson
Rico Lewis Manuel Akanji Rúben Dias Joško Gvardiol
Mateo Kovačić Savinho Matheus Nunes
Bernardo Silva Phil Foden Erling Haaland
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
14.05.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
Manchester City
0:2 (0:0)
26.01.2024 FA Cup
Tottenham
Manchester City
0:1 (0:0)
03.12.2023 England Premier League
Manchester City
Tottenham
3:3 (2:1)
05.02.2023 England Premier League
Tottenham
Manchester City
1:0 (1:0)
19.01.2023 England Premier League
Manchester City
Tottenham
4:2 (0:2)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Tottenham : Manchester City

7

Wins

7

0

Draw

3

3

Defeats

0

20

Goals scored

22

9

Goals received

8

12

Shots on target

8

Tottenham
57%
Ball possession
86%
Accuracy of passes
48%
Duels
won
Manchester City
54%
Duels
won
92%
Accuracy of passes
70%
Ball possession
Tottenham
27
Corners
16
Shots on target
19
Goal kicks
next to the goal
23
Goal kicks
blocked
39
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
19
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
offside
3
yellow cards
1
red cards
Manchester City
46
Corners
27
Shots on target
29
Goal kicks
next to the goal
28
Goal kicks
blocked
56
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
28
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Tottenham
20
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+11
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Manchester City
22
Goals scored
8
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+14
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 37.97%
over 2.5 goals 62.03%
under 3.5 goals 57.32%
over 3.5 goals 42.68%
under 4.5 goals 74.62%
over 4.5 goals 25.38%
both teams to score - yes 64.69%
both teams to score - no 35.31%

City remain favorites, but a win bet is risky - Our forecast

Manchester City is once again the most consistent team in England and therefore the slight favorite. However, we wouldn't risk a win bet, most likely a double chance X/2 bet. Tottenham has won 3 out of 4 home games this year and has a strong offense. Our preferred betting tip in this game would therefore be clear: Both teams score YES.

Odd comparison Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester City

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