Tottenham Logo
Tottenham Hotspur
:
FC Arsenal Arsenal Logo
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15.09.2024 - 15:00 - Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
England England Premier League
1 3.00
X 3.55
2 2.38

Top match in the Premier League: Tottenham host Arsenal in the derby. AI prediction, 15.09.24

Which top team will come out on top?

Published on 12.09.2024 17:22.

On matchday 4, the Premier League once again features a real top match. Reigning runners-up Arsenal travel to Tottenham Hotspur for the North London derby. The Gunners are in 4th place after 3 matchdays, 2 points behind City and Liverpool. On the last matchday, they suffered their first minor setback with a 1:1 draw against Brighton. They cannot really afford to lose, because then the gap could grow to 5 points. The situation is even more dramatic for Spurs. They picked up just 4 points in the first 3 matchdays and conceded their first defeat away at Newcastle United on the last matchday.

Double chance tip X/2 1.39
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under 3.5 goals 1.55
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Tottenham Hotspur

  • 10th place in the table
  • 4 points after 3 games
  • 4 points after 3 games

FC Arsenal

  • 4th place in the table
  • 7 points after 3 games
  • Only one goal conceded
Ergebnistipp
1:2
Arsenal are slightly favored by us. The Gunners have the slightly higher quality in their squad and have had the better results. Tottenham conceded a 2:1 defeat at Newcastle United on the last matchday.

The AI forecast does not give a win bet

The AI sees no clear favorite in this game, which is primarily due to the fact that Spurs have home advantage. Last season and this season's matches actually speak quite clearly in favor of Arsenal FC. However, the Gunners' captain Martin Ödegaard will be out injured. The AI prediction for this match is therefore: over 2.5 goals. You would have won 6 of the last 7 duels with this prediction. Both teams also have enough quality in attack to score at any time.

Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36:15 21 37
2 FC Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33:15 18 36
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35:20 15 35
4 Manchester City 16 10 3 3 38:18 20 33
5 Tottenham 16 9 3 4 33:23 10 30
6 Manchester United 16 9 0 7 18:21 -3 27
7 Newcastle United 16 8 2 6 33:21 12 26
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33:28 5 26
9 West Ham United 16 7 3 6 26:30 -4 24
10 FC Fulham 16 6 3 7 26:26 0 21
11 FC Brentford 16 5 4 7 23:22 1 19
12 FC Chelsea 16 5 4 7 26:26 0 19
13 Wolverhampton 16 5 4 7 21:26 -5 19
14 AFC Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21:30 -9 19
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15:23 -8 16
16 Nottingham Forest 16 3 5 8 17:28 -11 14
17 FC Everton 16 7 2 7 20:20 0 13
18 Luton Town 16 2 3 11 17:32 -15 9
19 Burnley FC 16 2 2 12 16:34 -18 8
20 Sheffield United 16 2 2 12 12:41 -29 8

Show all teams

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Last 5 games Tottenham home vs. FC Arsenal away
Tottenham Home FC Arsenal Away
FC Everton 4:0 0:2 Aston Villa
FC Bayern Munich 2:3 2:1 FC Liverpool
Manchester City 0:2 0:1 Manchester United
Burnley FC 2:1 2:3 Tottenham Hotspur
FC Arsenal 2:3 0:2 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

The Spurs have yet to find their feet this season

The first season under coach Ange Postecoglu was encouraging, even if they ultimately missed out on a Champions League place. The club management took a similar view and made more than €150 million available to the coach in the summer. They even made the most expensive Premier League transfer of the season with Dominic Solanke. However, like Richarlison, the Englishman is currently out through injury. However, it is not due to their offense that Tottenham are only in 10th place after the first 3 matchdays. They have scored 6 goals in the 3 games, with 4 alone in the 4-0 win against Everton. Nevertheless, they have scored in all 3 games so far.

Last 5 results Tottenham Hotspur
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
01.09.2024 England Premier League
Newcastle United
Tottenham
2:1 (1:0) N
24.08.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Everton
4:0 (2:0) S
19.08.2024 England Premier League
Leicester City
Tottenham
1:1 (0:1) U
10.08.2024 Club Friendlies
Tottenham
FC Bayern Munich
2:3 (1:3) N
20.07.2024 Club Friendlies
Queens Park Rangers
Tottenham
0:2 (0:1) S

Tottenham keep slipping up at their own stadium

One weakness that was already evident last season is the home record. They are not stable enough in their own stadium and clearly concede too many defeats for a top team. Since January, they have already been beaten 4 times, including 2 defeats against Manchester City and one against FC Arsenal. This season, however, they won their only home game 4-0. For Spurs, however, it was the first home game in 11 games this season without conceding a goal. With a win against Arsenal FC, they could catch up with them and make a leap in the table.

Tottenham Hotspur

System: 4-2-3-1.

Guglielmo Vicario
Pedro Porro Cristian Romero Micky van de Ven Destiny Udogie
Dejan Kulusevski Yves Bissouma
James Maddison Brennan Johnson Heung-min Son
Wilson Odobert
Tottenham can be expected to score in any case. Prediction: Both teams will score YES
To Scarabet

Arsenal have to make do without their captain

Arsenal FC have come close to winning the Premier League title in each of the last two years, but ultimately had to settle for the runners-up spot. This season, they will once again make an assault on the title, but will have to do without captain Martin Ödegaard for the time being. The Norwegian was injured during the international break and will miss the game against Tottenham. Although they have a replacement, the squad is not as broad as that of other top teams. Even without Mikel Merino, Riccardo Calafiori and Takehiro Tomiyasu, Arsenal have won 2 of their first 3 games, scoring 5 goals in the process.

Last 5 results FC Arsenal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
31.08.2024 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Brighton
1:1 (1:0) U
24.08.2024 England Premier League
Aston Villa
FC Arsenal
0:2 (0:0) S
17.08.2024 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Wolverhampton
2:0 (1:0) S
07.08.2024 Club Friendlies
FC Arsenal
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4:1 (3:0) S
01.08.2024 Club Friendlies
FC Liverpool
FC Arsenal
2:1 (2:1) N

Arsenal must keep up with the top teams

It may only be matchday 4, but Arsenal are almost obliged to win. At the moment, they are 2 points behind Manchester City and Liverpool FC. A further defeat could see this gap grow to 5 points and that would clearly be too much after matchday 4. However, if the Gunners put in the kind of performances they have shown in the first two matchdays, they have a good chance of winning. The two games against Wolverhampton and Aston Villa were won quite convincingly with 2:0. However, each of the Gunners' games ended with less than 2.5 goals.

Arsenal FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

David Raya
Benjamin White William Saliba Gabriel Magalhães Jurriën Timber
Jorginho Thomas Partey
Declan Rice Bukayo Saka Kai Havertz
Leandro Trossard
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
28.04.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
2:3 (0:3)
24.09.2023 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Tottenham
2:2 (1:1)
15.01.2023 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
0:2 (0:2)
01.10.2022 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Tottenham
3:1 (1:1)
12.05.2022 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
3:0 (2:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Tottenham : FC Arsenal

5

Wins

7

2

Draw

2

3

Defeats

1

21

Goals scored

19

11

Goals received

7

12

Shots on target

8
Tottenham
58%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
FC Arsenal
51%
Duels
won
85%
Accuracy of passes
33%
Ball possession
Tottenham
41
Corners
29
Shots on target
20
Goal kicks
next to the goal
17
Goal kicks
blocked
37
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
0
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Arsenal
9
Corners
15
Shots on target
5
Goal kicks
next to the goal
5
Goal kicks
blocked
17
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
8
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
offside
1
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Tottenham
21
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 2,10
per game
+10
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
FC Arsenal
19
Goals scored
7
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
+12
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities

2.38
under 2.5 goals 39.44%
over 2.5 goals 60.56%

2.38
under 3.5 goals 60.56%
over 3.5 goals 39.44%

1.22
under 4.5 goals 76.63%
over 4.5 goals 23.37%

2.60
both teams to score - yes 63.73%
both teams to score - no 36.27%

ChatGPT predicts a close derby

The AI is struggling to pick a winner, this game seems to be too evenly matched. Tottenham haven't been able to get the results so far, but have still impressed with their performance. Arsenal, on the other hand, have been unbeaten since April and also won their last clash against Tottenham. A double chance X/2 bet is therefore considered the most suitable betting option. The last direct duels in the London derby also ended with several goals. A goal spectacle could therefore await us and a bet on over 3.5 goals is best suited here.

Our experts' forecast

Our experts also have a slight favorite with Arsenal FC. Spurs do not yet look stable enough this season and have only won one game. We therefore also consider a double chance X/2 bet to be suitable. Arsenal can also score again with a strong defense. In contrast to ChatGPT, we therefore believe that less than 3.5 goals will be scored.

Odd comparison Tottenham Hotspur - FC Arsenal

Markets
1X2
1X2
Halftime 1
Halftime 2
Win both
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
both teams to score
Double Chance
1X2
Halftime 1
Halftime 2
Win both
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
both teams to score
Double Chance
All links to the latest tips summarized once again:
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