Real Sociedad host the champions - AI predictions & tips

Real Madrid must win away from home

Published on 11.09.2024 16:53.

A highly interesting La Liga match is on the program next Saturday evening, which we have of course included in our La Liga betting tips. We're talking about our analysis of the clash between Real Sociedad and Real Madrid, a real soccer tidbit that awaits you this weekend and for which we once again want to give you an overview of the current form of both teams, with our usual support from AI predictions. Kick-off at the Reale Arena is at 21:00 on September 14.

Tip 2 1.72
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under 2.5 goals 1.90
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Real Sociedad have had problems so far, especially at home
The defense in particular is currently a cause for concern
Unfortunately, the home side will be missing important players on Saturday

Real also has to do without some squad players
The last duels in San Sebastián were always very close
Real has started the season better overall

Ergebnistipp

0:1

We assume that it will be enough for a narrow victory for the favorites in the end. However, we don't think the opponents will concede too much in their own stadium, so we take a slightly different view to many AI predictions.

How do AI predictions rate this top match?

Matches between top teams in particular naturally lend themselves to analysis using AI predictions. We took a look at the individual models and, unsurprisingly, found some overlaps. Most AI prediction providers predict a win for the visitors from the Spanish capital. Our Sociedad - Real betting tip shows how likely such an outcome is and which statistics speak for or against it.

Racket Primera Division
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	Girona	16	13	2	1	38:20	18	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	3	1	34:10	24	39
3	Atletico Madrid	15	11	1	3	32:14	18	34
4	FC Barcelona	16	10	4	2	30:18	12	34
5	Athletic Bilbao	16	8	5	3	31:19	12	29
6	Real Sociedad	16	8	5	3	29:18	11	29
7	Betis Sevilla	16	6	8	2	19:17	2	26
8	UD Las Palmas	16	7	3	6	14:13	1	24
9	FC Getafe	16	5	7	4	18:20	-2	22
10	Rayo Vallecano	16	4	8	4	16:22	-6	20
11	FC Valencia	16	5	4	7	17:21	-4	19
12	Deportivo Alavés	16	4	4	8	14:20	-6	16
13	FC Villarreal	16	4	4	8	22:29	-7	16
14	CA Osasuna	16	4	4	8	18:26	-8	16
15	RCD Mallorca	16	2	8	6	14:20	-6	14
16	FC Sevilla	15	2	7	6	20:21	-1	13
17	FC Cádiz	16	2	7	7	13:23	-10	13
18	Celta Vigo	16	1	7	8	15:25	-10	10
19	FC Granada	16	1	5	10	20:36	-16	8
20	Almeria	16	0	4	12	17:39	-22	4
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games Real Sociedad home vs. Real Madrid away
Real Sociedad Home	Real Madrid Away
Deportivo Alavés 1:2	1:1 UD Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano 1:2	1:1 RCD Mallorca
CA Osasuna 1:2	1:0 AC Milan
Atletico Madrid 0:2	0:2 Borussia Dortmund
FC Valencia 1:0	4:4 FC Villarreal

Can Real Sociedad surprise?

Even before this Sociedad - Real betting tip, the start to the new season had been rather poor for the home side. Especially since the Basques' expectations are now different than before after their performances and placings in recent years. In our opinion, two factors are particularly striking statistically, which have certainly also been taken into account by AI forecasts. Firstly, the fact that Sociedad do not currently have the home strength that characterized the team in recent seasons. Instead, they have lost the first two matches in front of their own fans in the current season, as happened in the two 2-1 defeats against Rayo Vallecano & Alavés. This is the second variable that we would like to mention in this part of our Sociedad - Real betting tip. Real Sociedad's defensive stability has been somewhat lacking, especially in home games. In the first two home games of the pre-season, for example, La Real conceded only half of the goals they have conceded this season. The fact that they have actually had an "easy" program so far also gives food for thought ahead of this Sociedad - Real betting tip.

In addition to Alavés and Rayo Vallecano - by no means the top teams in La Liga - Sociedad have also faced Espanyol Barcelona and FC Getafe, who are also not among the heavyweights of Spanish club soccer. The only win of the season so far came against the Catalans (1:0), while they managed a goalless draw against Getafe (0:0). The fact that several key players will be missing on Saturday evening does not make things any easier. AI forecasts also see the absence of Oyarzabal and Odriozola as particularly critical, while Traoré, Zakharyan and Elustondo are also out for the league clash. So the chance of improving from 12th place in the table is not too great.

Last 5 results Real Sociedad
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
01.09.2024	Primera Division	FC Getafe	Real Sociedad	0:0 (0:0)	U
01.09.2024 - Primera Division
28.08.2024	Primera Division	Real Sociedad	Deportivo Alavés	1:2 (1:1)	N
28.08.2024 - Primera Division
24.08.2024	Primera Division	Espanyol Barcelona	Real Sociedad	0:1 (0:0)	S
24.08.2024 - Primera Division
18.08.2024	Primera Division	Real Sociedad	Rayo Vallecano	1:2 (0:0)	N
18.08.2024 - Primera Division
09.08.2024	Club Friendlies	1. FC Union Berlin	Real Sociedad	1:1 (1:0)	U
09.08.2024 - Club Friendlies

Real Sociedad

System: 4-3-3.

Álex Remiro

Hamari Traoré Igor Zubeldia Jon Pacheco Javi López

Takefusa Kubo Martín Zubimendi Brais Méndez

Sergio Gómez Sheraldo Becker Mikel Oyarzabal

A betting tip on an away win brings odds of 1.72

To Nucleonbet

Will Real live up to their role as favorites? AI prediction and form

As already mentioned in our short paragraph on AI predictions for this clash, most providers for this Sociedad - Real betting tip see the visitors as the favorites. Accordingly, a betting strategy on an away win for the reigning champions should definitely play a role in your plans. Especially since the Madrilenians' start to the season, while not perfect, has been much better than that of their weekend opponents. 8 points after 4 games are clearly too few for Real's standards, but still exactly twice as many as Real Sociedad have managed to collect so far. Nevertheless, Real Madrid are particularly vulnerable away from home, a fact that should be kept in mind when making a Sociedad - Real betting tip due to the fact that this is an away game for the "royals". Carlo Ancelotti's team are still waiting for their first away win of the season. They only managed a 1-1 draw against RCD Mallorca after taking the lead, and the favorites also drew against Las Palmas, another Mallorcan side, although in this case they did at least make up for a deficit. At home, the second-placed team in the table - they are already four points behind arch-rivals FC Barcelona - have kept a clean sheet and have not even conceded a goal.

This was thanks to two wins, one against Betis Sevilla before the international break (2-0) and one in the clash with promoted Real Valldolid on matchday two (3-0). For this Sociedad - Real betting tip, let's take a look at the results from the most recent meetings between these two teams, whereby we - similar to AI predictions - look specifically at the last 5 encounters. Real have won three of the last five encounters, the last of which was a 1-0 away win. There has also been a draw and a 2-0 defeat, again away from home. Interesting fact: The last 4 matches in the Basque Country all ended with less than 2.5 goals.

Last 5 results Real Madrid
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
01.09.2024	Primera Division	Real Madrid	Betis Sevilla	2:0 (0:0)	S
01.09.2024 - Primera Division
29.08.2024	Primera Division	UD Las Palmas	Real Madrid	1:1 (1:0)	U
29.08.2024 - Primera Division
25.08.2024	Primera Division	Real Madrid	Real Valladolid	3:0 (0:0)	S
25.08.2024 - Primera Division
18.08.2024	Primera Division	RCD Mallorca	Real Madrid	1:1 (0:1)	U
18.08.2024 - Primera Division
14.08.2024	UEFA Super Cup	Real Madrid	Atalanta Bergamo	2:0 (0:0)	S
14.08.2024 - UEFA Super Cup

Real Madrid

System: 4-2-3-1.

Thibaut Courtois

Daniel Carvajal Éder Militão Antonio Rüdiger Ferland Mendy

Federico Valverde Aurélien Tchouaméni

Rodrygo Dani Ceballos Vinícius Júnior

Kylian Mbappé

How do our experts rate the possible outcome of this match?

As part of this expert analysis, our editorial team has discussed various scenarios for the course of the match. We assume that the favorites from Madrid will prevail in the end, although the victory is likely to be relatively close. At the same time, we are not sure whether the home side will be able to score at all on Saturday. In our opinion, you should therefore either bet on an away win for Real (tip 2) or on fewer than 2.5 goals in 90 minutes.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
26.04.2024	Primera Division	Real Sociedad	Real Madrid	0:1 (0:1)
26.04.2024 - Primera Division
17.09.2023	Primera Division	Real Madrid	Real Sociedad	2:1 (0:1)
17.09.2023 - Primera Division
02.05.2023	Primera Division	Real Sociedad	Real Madrid	2:0 (0:0)
02.05.2023 - Primera Division
29.01.2023	Primera Division	Real Madrid	Real Sociedad	0:0 (0:0)
29.01.2023 - Primera Division
05.03.2022	Primera Division	Real Madrid	Real Sociedad	4:1 (2:1)
05.03.2022 - Primera Division

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Real Sociedad		:	Real Madrid
3 Wins 5
3 Draw 4
4 Defeats 1
9 Goals scored 17
10 Goals received 8
12 Shots on target 8

Real Sociedad

53%

Ball possession

85%

Accuracy of passes

50%

Duels
won

Real Madrid

52%

Duels
won

91%

Accuracy of passes

50%

Ball possession

Real Sociedad

20
Corners

13
Shots on target

14
Goal kicks
next to the goal

11
Goal kicks
blocked

21
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

Real Madrid

13
Corners

13
Shots on target

10
Goal kicks
next to the goal

6
Goal kicks
blocked

13
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

8
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
offside

4
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Real Sociedad

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 0,90

per game

-1

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Real Madrid

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,70

per game

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

under 2.5 goals 51.59%

over 2.5 goals 48.41%

1.30

under 3.5 goals 72.34%

over 3.5 goals 27.66%

6.50

under 4.5 goals 85.53%

over 4.5 goals 14.47%

1.85

both teams to score - yes 49.20%

both teams to score - no 50.80%

Real Sociedad host the champions - AI predictions & tips

Real Madrid must win away from home

Real Sociedad

Real Madrid

How do AI predictions rate this top match?

Can Real Sociedad surprise?

Real Sociedad

Will Real live up to their role as favorites? AI prediction and form

Real Madrid

How do our experts rate the possible outcome of this match?

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Odd comparison Real Sociedad - Real Madrid