Sporting Lissabon Logo
Sporting Lissabon
:
FC Porto PC Porto Logo
L
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07.01.2025 - 20:45 - Estádio José Alvalade XXI
Portugal Taça da Liga

Sporting Lisbon and FC Porto want to reach the final. Prediction, 07.01.25

Who will stay in the League Cup title race?

Published on 02.01.2025 14:26.

One of two semi-final duels will take place in the Cup on Tuesday. Liga Portugal leaders Sporting Lisbon will face their closest rivals FC Porto. The winner of this match will advance to the final and will therefore be very close to winning their first title of the new year. There is no real favorite, as both teams have exactly 40 points in the league. Sporting, however, have the home advantage and recently celebrated a 1-0 win over Benfica in the league, which is why they are considered slight favorites by the bookmakers. Porto will also arrive with plenty of confidence, having won their last 3 league games without conceding a goal. A top-class match is therefore certainly awaiting them.

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Betting tips today

Sporting Lissabon

  • Table leader with 40 points
  • Most recently won 1:0 against Benfica
  • Won 7 of 8 home games

FC Porto

  • 2nd place in the table with 40 points
  • Best defense in the league
  • Last 3 wins in a row
Ergebnistipp
2:1
Sporting can easily be favored in their own stadium, also because Porto is struggling enormously away from home this season.
Last 5 games Sporting Lissabon home vs. FC Porto away
Sporting Lissabon Home FC Porto Away
CD Santa Clara 1:1 0:3 Moreirense FC
Boavista Porto 3:2 1:1 FC Famalicão
CD Santa Clara 0:1 2:2 RSC Anderlecht
FC Arsenal 1:5 2:1 Moreirense FC
Manchester City 4:1 4:1 Benfica Lissabon

Sporting back on the winning track

Following the change of coach, things have not been going well for Sporting in recent weeks and they have squandered their lead in the league. The club reacted quickly and decided to appoint Rui Borges as the new head coach. Although he has only played one game so far, the change appears to have paid off. In the derby against Benfica, the team won 1:0 at home. This also kept them at the top of the league table, but with 40 points they are level with Porto. They are now their next opponents in the League Cup. Sporting will be relying on their home strength. They have won 7 out of 8 home games in Portugal this season. They have scored a strong 19 goals and conceded just 5. Their only defeat came on 30.11 against Santa Clara. It was also their only game without scoring. This was one of two defeats for Sporting this season.

Last 5 results Sporting Lissabon
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
22.12.2024 Primeira League
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting Lissabon
0:0 (0:0) U
18.12.2024 Taça de Portugal
Sporting Lissabon
CD Santa Clara
1:1 (0:0) U
14.12.2024 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
Boavista
3:2 (1:1) S
10.12.2024 UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge
Sporting Lissabon
2:1 (1:1) N
05.12.2024 Primeira League
Moreirense FC
Sporting Lissabon
2:1 (2:1) N

Sporting wants to seize its first title opportunity

They are currently top of the league table, but have two strong opponents in Porto and Benfica in the battle for the championship. In the Champions League, however, they are not among the title favorites after a good start. With two recent defeats against Arsenal and Bruges, they have also slipped to 17th place in the table. The title that is probably the easiest to get hold of at the moment is the League Cup. After a win in the semi-final against Benfica, they are now only separated by a single victory. Incidentally, they won 3:1 against Nacional in the quarter-finals.

Sporting Lisbon

System: 4-2-3-1.

Franco Israel
Eduardo Quaresma Ousmane Diomande Jeremiah St. Juste Matheus Reis
Morten Hjulmand Hidemasa Morita
Geny Catamo Francisco Trincão Geovany Quenda
Viktor Gyökeres
Safe betting recommendation: under 3.5 goals with odds of 1.41

FC Porto senses its chance

Porto is playing a strong season in Portugal and is currently the first runner-up to Sporting Lisbon. They only occupy 2nd place in the table because they have the slightly worse goal difference. However, the current form speaks more in favor of the visitors. Porto have not lost in 5 games and have won the last 3 in the league with ease. In these 3 victories, they have not conceded a single goal and have a goal difference of 9:0 With only 9 goals conceded in 16 games, they have the best defense of all teams together with Benfica. Porto also have a perfect home record with 9 wins from 9 games. Away from home, however, they have struggled somewhat. In addition to 4 wins, they have also lost 2 games and one ended in a draw. In these 7 games, 7 of the only 9 goals conceded this season were scored. {{07/01/2025 06:30| In December, they won an away game against Moreirense 0:3, but their second ended in a 1:1 draw against Famalicao. It was the 3rd time in 7 games that they conceded at least one goal.}}

Last 5 results FC Porto
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
28.12.2024 Primeira League
FC Porto
Boavista
4:0 (1:0) S
21.12.2024 Primeira League
Moreirense FC
FC Porto
0:3 (0:1) S
16.12.2024 Primeira League
FC Porto
CF Estrela Amadora
2:0 (1:0) S
12.12.2024 UEFA Europa League
FC Porto
FC Midtjylland
2:0 (1:0) S
07.12.2024 Primeira League
FC Famalicão
FC Porto
1:1 (1:0) U

Porto has good chances in the Europa League

Unlike their opponents, Porto are only playing in the Europa League this year. Although they are only in 18th place after 6 match days, they are still one of the favorites for the title. The visitors are definitely one of the strongest teams in this competition in terms of quality. However, they also struggle away from home. In 3 away games, they have only collected a single point. They lost against Bodo/Glimt and Lazio Roma. In every away game, they conceded at least 2 goals.

FC Porto

System: 4-3-3.

Diogo Costa
Martim Fernandes Nehuén Pérez Otávio Wenderson Galeno
Nico González Stephen Eustaquio André Franco
Rodrigo Mora Pepê Samu Aghehowa
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
31.08.2024 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
FC Porto
2:0 (0:0)
26.05.2024 Taça de Portugal
FC Porto
Sporting Lissabon
1:1 (1:1)
28.04.2024 Primeira League
FC Porto
Sporting Lissabon
2:2 (2:0)
18.12.2023 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
FC Porto
2:0 (1:0)
12.02.2023 Primeira League
Sporting Lissabon
FC Porto
1:2 (0:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Sporting Lissabon : FC Porto

4

Wins

5

2

Draw

2

4

Defeats

3

20

Goals scored

19

17

Goals received

11

12

Shots on target

8

Sporting Lissabon
58%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
52%
Duels
won
FC Porto
48%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
62%
Ball possession
Sporting Lissabon
20
Corners
17
Shots on target
17
Goal kicks
next to the goal
15
Goal kicks
blocked
36
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
0
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Porto
16
Corners
8
Shots on target
12
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
21
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Sporting Lissabon
20
Goals scored
17
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+3
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
FC Porto
19
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
+8
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals

The form of the day decides - Our forecast

Sporting are slight favorites at home, but we would advise against a win bet and lean more towards a draw no bet 1. The first clash in the league this season ended with a 2-0 win for Sporting. We don't expect an offensive spectacle this time either, the defenses of both teams are too good. We would therefore also recommend a safe bet on under 3.5 goals.

Odd comparison Sporting Lissabon - FC Porto

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