Atletico vs Barcelona betting tip & prediction: Who has the better chance in the second leg?
Will there be another spectacle like the 4-4 draw in the first leg?
Right at the start of the Atletico - Barcelona betting tip, we want to draw your attention to a special feature. Perhaps we should rather talk about a difference to the DFB Cup, which takes place at the same time. Because this Copa del Rey semi-final is already the second leg. Therefore, in the course of the Atletico - Barcelona prediction, we will also look at the first leg, which ended in a spectacular 4-4 draw. Other statistics we refer to are the last matches of both clubs - regardless of the competition. This is because the teams play in the same tournaments. On Wednesday, April 02, 2025 (21:30), the ball will be in play at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid. If you want to watch this match from Germany, you'll need to tune into DAZN.

Atletico Madrid
- Atletico: Third place after 28 games
- 56 points with 46:22 goals
- Highlights: Strong defense
FC Barcelona
- Barcelona: Leaders after 28 games
- 60 points with a fantastic 75:27 goals
- To be highlighted: Best offense
Atletico Madrid Home | FC Barcelona Away |
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FC Barcelona 2:4 | 2:4 Atletico Madrid |
Real Madrid 1:0 | 0:1 Benfica Lissabon |
Athletic Bilbao 1:0 | 0:2 UD Las Palmas |
Celta Vigo 1:1 | 1:4 FC Sevilla |
FC Getafe 5:0 | 0:5 FC Valencia |
What speaks for Atletico vs. Barcelona in our betting tips?
Before we decide on betting strategies, we want to examine the available statistics for the Atletico - Barcelona betting tip. To do this, we take the statistics from La Liga. Here we find Atletico Madrid in third place with 16 wins, eight draws and four defeats. 46 goals is a relatively good performance. Atletico's strength, however, is their defensive work. The team has only conceded 22 goals. This data is correct after 28 games. At home, they have won ten, drawn four and lost one. Here we still see 27:12 goals. The most recent home game of all was lost.Interim summary of Atletico Madrid: Form is currently only mixed. The most recent home game was lost against FC Barcelona of all teams. On a good day, Atletico have the chance to win. But we see Barca ahead in the comparison.
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Primera Division |
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2:4 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16.03.2025 - Primera Division
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UEFA Champions League |
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1:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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Primera Division |
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2:1 (0:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09.03.2025 - Primera Division
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UEFA Champions League |
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2:1 (1:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
04.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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Primera Division |
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1:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
01.03.2025 - Primera Division
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This is how Atletico Madrid played last time!
Atlético Madrid are going through a mixed phase: in their last six competitive matches, they have only managed one win (excluding the CL second leg against Real) - a 1:0 against Bilbao. This compares to three defeats and two draws. The defensive vulnerability is particularly noticeable: Atlético conceded at least one goal in five of the six games, 13 in total. Offensively, they scored ten goals, but only scored more than one goal in two games. Most recently, they lost 4:2 against Barcelona and 2:1 away at Real Madrid. The team also showed weaknesses in their transition play in the 2-1 defeat at Getafe. Although they won a spectacular 4:4 in the cup in Barcelona, they lacked consistency. The current form curve is clearly pointing downwards - with too many goals conceded and a lack of stability in tight games.
Atletico Madrid
System: 4-2-3-1.
How good is Barcelona's current form?
For the Atletico - Barcelona betting tip, we also have to look at the visitors. This is the only way to get a coherent result in the football predictions. Hansi Flick's team are top of the table with 19 wins, three draws and five defeats from 27 games (catch-up game still to be played). The Catalans have 75:27 goals to their name. The offense is particularly impressive here. Away from home, there have been ten three-pointers, three draws and two defeats (42:18 goals).Interim summary of FC Barcelona: Hansi Flick and his team are back at the top. This is due to the fact that the team is currently in the best form of all the top clubs in La Liga.
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Primera Division |
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2:4 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16.03.2025 - Primera Division
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UEFA Champions League |
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3:1 (3:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
11.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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UEFA Champions League |
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0:1 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
05.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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Primera Division |
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4:0 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
02.03.2025 - Primera Division
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Copa del Rey |
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4:4 (3:2) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25.02.2025 - Copa del Rey
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This is how FC Barcelona last played!
FC Barcelona are currently in absolute top form. The team has remained unbeaten in its last six competitive matches and celebrated five victories. Only the 4-4 draw in the cup against Atlético Madrid was not a complete success - a game that was also outstanding offensively. Barcelona scored at least two goals in five of the six games, and 18 in total. At the same time, the defense did not concede a goal three times - including in clear victories against Las Palmas (2-0), Real Sociedad (4-0) and Benfica (1-0). Most recently, a strong 4:2 win at Atlético in the league and a 3:1 home win against Benfica. Despite conceding a few goals, Barcelona have shown impressive stability both defensively and offensively. The team is confident, dominant and takes advantage of scoring opportunities with great efficiency.
FC Barcelona
System: 4-2-3-1.
Atletico vs. Barca in H2H comparison
FC Barcelona have a slight advantage in the last five head-to-head meetings. Barça won three of these games, Atlético won once and another game ended in a draw. The goal tally is particularly striking: Barcelona scored a total of 13 goals in these encounters, compared to eight for Atlético. Two games were particularly high-scoring - the 4:2 in Madrid and the 4:4 in the cup. Barcelona also won twice by the same scoreline, including a 3-0 win in Madrid. Atlético last surprised with a 2-1 away win in December 2024, but the overall balance shows that Barça have the edge - both in terms of efficiency and in controlling the key duels in the recent past.
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2:4 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16.03.2025 - Primera Division
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4:4 (3:2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
25.02.2025 - Copa del Rey
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1:2 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
21.12.2024 - Primera Division
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0:3 (0:1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17.03.2024 - Primera Division
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1:0 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
03.12.2023 - Primera Division
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
Atletico Madrid | : | FC Barcelona | ||
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4 Wins 9 |
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3 Draw 1 |
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3 Defeats 0 |
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20 Goals scored 29 |
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14 Goals received 8 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our expert tip and prediction for Atletico v Barcelona
Atlético have scored in 5 of their last 6 games, but have also conceded goals in 5 of those games - 13 in total. Barcelona have scored in all six games, five times at least twice. Six or more goals have also been scored in each of the last two head-to-head meetings. The offensive strength of both teams combined with Atlético's defensive problems clearly speaks for scoring on both sides. Three of the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams have resulted in four or more goals - most recently 4-2 and 4-4. Barcelona are in top form with 18 goals in six games. Atlético may be weaker, but they are still dangerous offensively. A high-scoring duel is likely - especially in cup mode. That's why the second Atletico - Barcelona betting tip is over 3.5 goals.