Real Madrid vs Marseille betting tip & prediction: Will we see a royal start?
The French go into this duel as big underdogs!
The Real Madrid - Marseille betting tip opens matchday 1 of the Champions League on 16/09/2025 at 9pm. At the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, the Whites will face Olympique Marseille, who have started the new season in France with ambitious goals. Real Madrid will be looking to confirm their strong early form and assert themselves as favorites in the group from the outset. Marseille arrive as challengers who will be challenged defensively and at the same time rely on quick counterattacks. In our Real Madrid - Marseille prediction, we take a look at the current form of both teams, the latest results and the H2H record, which clearly favors the Spaniards.

Real Madrid
- Real Madrid from Spain
- With 3 wins in 3 league games
- Including the 2:1 win over RCD Mallorca
Olympique Marseille
- Olympique Marseille from France
- With 2 defeats in 3 league matches
- Including the 0:1 at Lyon
Real Madrid Home | Olympique Marseille Away |
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Borussia Dortmund 3:2 | 1:3 Le Havre AC |
Juventus Turin 1:0 | 1:1 OSC Lille |
Pachuca CF 3:1 | 3:0 AS Monaco |
Al Hilal Riad 1:1 | 3:1 Stade Reims |
Real Sociedad 2:0 | 3:1 Paris Saint Germain |
What speaks for Real Madrid vs. Marseille in our betting tips?
Real Madrid have an impressive record. In the last ten games, they have won eight, drawn one and lost just once. With 21 goals scored, the offense shows its quality, while nine goals conceded indicate a stable defense. In the league in particular, the team got off to a flawless start with victories against Mallorca, Oviedo and Osasuna. The test matches were also successful, although the 0:4 against PSG in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup was a damper. Anyone looking at sports betting tips today will find numerous arguments in this form curve for the Madrilenians to be the favorites, as they are currently one of the most stable teams in Europe.Real Madrid summary: The madridistas are usually the first contenders for the Champions League title. But last season, the Whites did not sell like royalty. Fans are therefore eagerly awaiting their club's first appearance.
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FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025 |
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4:0 (3:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
09.07.2025 - FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
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FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025 |
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3:2 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
05.07.2025 - FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
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FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025 |
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1:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
01.07.2025 - FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
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FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025 |
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0:3 (0:2) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
27.06.2025 - FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
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FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025 |
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3:1 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
22.06.2025 - FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
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This is how Real Madrid last played!
The Whites' recent results underline their dominance. In La Liga, Real Madrid won 2:1 against Mallorca, 3:0 at Oviedo and 1:0 against Osasuna. There was also a clear 4-0 win in the test match against WSG Tirol, with the only international defeat being a clear 4-0 defeat against PSG in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup, which showed weaknesses against absolute top opponents. Nevertheless, the positive results clearly outweigh the negative ones. This mixture of defensive stability and attacking power makes Madrid an opponent at the Bernabéu that is currently almost impossible to beat.
Real Madrid
System: 4-2-3-1.
How good is Marseille's current form?
Olympique Marseille are in solid, but not outstanding form. They have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten games. With 22 goals scored, the offense is proving itself to be a reliable force, while ten goals conceded indicate a decent defense. The start in Ligue 1 was mixed: A clear 5:2 win against Paris and a draw were followed by two narrow defeats against Rennes and Lyon. Anyone looking for a clear line in their analysis must take these fluctuations into account. For long-term success, a clear sports betting strategy is the only way to specifically evaluate strengths and weaknesses.
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Ligue 1 |
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4:2 (3:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
17.05.2025 - Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 |
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1:3 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
10.05.2025 - Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 |
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1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
04.05.2025 - Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 |
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4:1 (3:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
27.04.2025 - Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 |
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5:1 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
19.04.2025 - Ligue 1
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This is how Marseille last played!
Recent performances illustrate the inconsistent early phase. They suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Lyon, while they scored a spectacular 5-2 win against Paris. They were also beaten 1-0 in Rennes, which points to weaknesses on the road. Marseille were competitive in the test matches: A 3-1 win against Aston Villa and a 1-1 draw against Sevilla FC demonstrated the team's international level. These results show that Marseille can be dangerous in attack, but remain vulnerable if the game is not controlled. Ahead of the clash with Real Madrid, this record calls for caution, especially in defense.
Olympique Marseille
System: 4-3-3.
H2H comparison of Real Madrid vs. Marseille
The direct comparison clearly speaks in favor of Real Madrid. Four duels, four victories for the Whites, plus a clear goal difference of 12:4. The Spaniards have been unassailable at the Bernabéu in particular: Two games, two home wins. These figures demonstrate Madrid's dominance over Marseille in recent years. The H2H data provides important orientation for the assessment of the current game, even if current form curves carry even more weight. Nevertheless, it should be noted that Marseille have historically had few chances against Real, which further underpins the hosts' role as favorites and increases the pressure on the visitors.
Comparison statistics last 10 events
Real Madrid | : | Olympique Marseille | ||
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7 Wins 5 |
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1 Draw 1 |
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2 Defeats 4 |
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20 Goals scored 22 |
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13 Goals received 18 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
won
won
Corners
Shots on target
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next to the goal
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blocked
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in the penalty area
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outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our expert tip and prediction for Real Madrid v Marseille
There are two plausible approaches for the Real Madrid - Marseille betting tip. Those who prefer a lower risk bet on a home win for the Madrilenians. The current form, the home record and the H2H statistics clearly speak in Real's favor. If you want to take more risk, you can bet on "Over 3.5 goals". Both teams have scored several times in their last matches, and Marseille also showed their attacking threat in Ligue 1. This combination makes goals likely. This results in two plausible options for bettors: a safe bet on the favorite and a bolder choice for exciting betting slips to back.