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Real Madrid Logo
Real Madrid
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Olympique Marseille Olympique Marseille Logo
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16.09.2025 - 21:00 - Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
UEFA Champions League
1 1.38
X 5.75
2 8.00

Real Madrid vs Marseille betting tip & prediction: Will we see a royal start?

The French go into this duel as big underdogs!

The Real Madrid - Marseille betting tip opens matchday 1 of the Champions League on 16/09/2025 at 9pm. At the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, the Whites will face Olympique Marseille, who have started the new season in France with ambitious goals. Real Madrid will be looking to confirm their strong early form and assert themselves as favorites in the group from the outset. Marseille arrive as challengers who will be challenged defensively and at the same time rely on quick counterattacks. In our Real Madrid - Marseille prediction, we take a look at the current form of both teams, the latest results and the H2H record, which clearly favors the Spaniards.

Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille: 16.09.2025 - 21:00
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Real Madrid

  • Real Madrid from Spain
  • With 3 wins in 3 league games
  • Including the 2:1 win over RCD Mallorca

Olympique Marseille

  • Olympique Marseille from France
  • With 2 defeats in 3 league matches
  • Including the 0:1 at Lyon
Result tip
4:0
Real Madrid certainly have something to make up for from the last Champions League season. We expect a dominant performance at home in front of their own fans. That's why we've decided to bet on 4:0.
Last 5 games Real Madrid home vs. Olympique Marseille away
Real Madrid Home Olympique Marseille Away
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 1:3 Le Havre AC
Juventus Turin 1:0 1:1 OSC Lille
Pachuca CF 3:1 3:0 AS Monaco
Al Hilal Riad 1:1 3:1 Stade Reims
Real Sociedad 2:0 3:1 Paris Saint Germain

What speaks for Real Madrid vs. Marseille in our betting tips?

Real Madrid have an impressive record. In the last ten games, they have won eight, drawn one and lost just once. With 21 goals scored, the offense shows its quality, while nine goals conceded indicate a stable defense. In the league in particular, the team got off to a flawless start with victories against Mallorca, Oviedo and Osasuna. The test matches were also successful, although the 0:4 against PSG in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup was a damper. Anyone looking at sports betting tips today will find numerous arguments in this form curve for the Madrilenians to be the favorites, as they are currently one of the most stable teams in Europe.Real Madrid summary: The madridistas are usually the first contenders for the Champions League title. But last season, the Whites did not sell like royalty. Fans are therefore eagerly awaiting their club's first appearance.

Last 5 results Real Madrid
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
09.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
PSG
Real Madrid
4:0 (3:0) N
05.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
3:2 (2:0) S
01.07.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Juventus Turin
1:0 (0:0) S
27.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
FC Red Bull Salzburg
Real Madrid
0:3 (0:2) S
22.06.2025 FIFA Klub Weltmeisterschaft 2025
Real Madrid
Pachuca CF
3:1 (2:0) S

This is how Real Madrid last played!

The Whites' recent results underline their dominance. In La Liga, Real Madrid won 2:1 against Mallorca, 3:0 at Oviedo and 1:0 against Osasuna. There was also a clear 4-0 win in the test match against WSG Tirol, with the only international defeat being a clear 4-0 defeat against PSG in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup, which showed weaknesses against absolute top opponents. Nevertheless, the positive results clearly outweigh the negative ones. This mixture of defensive stability and attacking power makes Madrid an opponent at the Bernabéu that is currently almost impossible to beat.

Real Madrid

System: 4-2-3-1.

Courtois
Alexander-Arnold Militão Huijsen Carreras
Valverde Tchouaméni
Mastantuono Güler Vinícius Júnior
Mbappé
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How good is Marseille's current form?

Olympique Marseille are in solid, but not outstanding form. They have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten games. With 22 goals scored, the offense is proving itself to be a reliable force, while ten goals conceded indicate a decent defense. The start in Ligue 1 was mixed: A clear 5:2 win against Paris and a draw were followed by two narrow defeats against Rennes and Lyon. Anyone looking for a clear line in their analysis must take these fluctuations into account. For long-term success, a clear sports betting strategy is the only way to specifically evaluate strengths and weaknesses.

Last 5 results Olympique Marseille
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
17.05.2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Marseille
Stade Rennes
4:2 (3:1) S
10.05.2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre AC
Olympique Marseille
1:3 (0:0) S
04.05.2025 Ligue 1
OSC Lille
Olympique Marseille
1:1 (0:0) U
27.04.2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Marseille
Stade Brest
4:1 (3:1) S
19.04.2025 Ligue 1
Olympique Marseille
HSC Montpellier
5:1 (1:0) S

This is how Marseille last played!

Recent performances illustrate the inconsistent early phase. They suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Lyon, while they scored a spectacular 5-2 win against Paris. They were also beaten 1-0 in Rennes, which points to weaknesses on the road. Marseille were competitive in the test matches: A 3-1 win against Aston Villa and a 1-1 draw against Sevilla FC demonstrated the team's international level. These results show that Marseille can be dangerous in attack, but remain vulnerable if the game is not controlled. Ahead of the clash with Real Madrid, this record calls for caution, especially in defense.

Olympique Marseille

System: 4-3-3.

Rulli
Murillo Egan-Riley Balerdi Garcia
Gomes Højbjerg Greenwood
Gouiri Weah Aubameyang

H2H comparison of Real Madrid vs. Marseille

The direct comparison clearly speaks in favor of Real Madrid. Four duels, four victories for the Whites, plus a clear goal difference of 12:4. The Spaniards have been unassailable at the Bernabéu in particular: Two games, two home wins. These figures demonstrate Madrid's dominance over Marseille in recent years. The H2H data provides important orientation for the assessment of the current game, even if current form curves carry even more weight. Nevertheless, it should be noted that Marseille have historically had few chances against Real, which further underpins the hosts' role as favorites and increases the pressure on the visitors.

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Real Madrid : Olympique Marseille

7

Wins

5

1

Draw

1

2

Defeats

4

20

Goals scored

22

13

Goals received

18

12

Shots on target

8

Real Madrid
54%
Ball possession
87%
Accuracy of passes
54%
Duels
won
Olympique Marseille
54%
Duels
won
90%
Accuracy of passes
66%
Ball possession
Real Madrid
21
Corners
25
Shots on target
24
Goal kicks
next to the goal
19
Goal kicks
blocked
34
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
27
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
2
yellow cards
2
red cards
Olympique Marseille
19
Corners
21
Shots on target
18
Goal kicks
next to the goal
5
Goal kicks
blocked
34
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Real Madrid
20
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+7
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Olympique Marseille
22
Goals scored
18
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+4
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 31.94%
over 2.5 goals 68.06%
under 3.5 goals 53.04%
over 3.5 goals 46.96%
under 4.5 goals 70.47%
over 4.5 goals 29.53%
both teams to score - yes 57.36%
both teams to score - no 42.64%

Our expert tip and prediction for Real Madrid v Marseille

There are two plausible approaches for the Real Madrid - Marseille betting tip. Those who prefer a lower risk bet on a home win for the Madrilenians. The current form, the home record and the H2H statistics clearly speak in Real's favor. If you want to take more risk, you can bet on "Over 3.5 goals". Both teams have scored several times in their last matches, and Marseille also showed their attacking threat in Ligue 1. This combination makes goals likely. This results in two plausible options for bettors: a safe bet on the favorite and a bolder choice for exciting betting slips to back.

Odd comparison Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille

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