Expert tip for Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid with odds & predictions
Club World Cup semi-final: Who will advance to the final in the clash of the big guns?
This pairing reads like a final. But both teams want to get there first. Because in the semi-finals of the Club World Cup 2025, Paris Saint-Germain and Real Madrid will face off on Wednesday evening (July 9, 2025) at 9 pm at the MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. It goes without saying that we have prepared a comprehensive betting tip analysis for this exciting game in the knockout round. Here you will not only find the best odds from the bookmakers, but also our own expert tips and a corresponding AI forecast. We have compiled all the information for you in detail in the following sections.
Paris Saint Germain
- Paris Saint-Germain won the quarter-final against Bayern Munich 2:0.
- The French have also won six of their last seven matches by a clean sheet.
- The French champions have won nine of the last ten matches.
Real Madrid
- Real Madrid defeated BVB 3:2 and Juventus Turin 1:0 in the knockout round.
- The Whites have scored 15 times in a row in all competitions.
- Real have not lost in eight matches (seven wins, one draw).
| PSG Home | Real Madrid Away |
|---|---|
| Olympique Marseille 3:1 | 1:2 FC Villarreal |
| FC Liverpool 0:1 | 1:0 Atletico Madrid |
| OSC Lille 4:1 | 2:1 Betis Sevilla |
| Stade Brest 29 7:0 | 0:1 Real Sociedad |
| AS Monaco 4:1 | 1:1 CA Osasuna |
What speaks for Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid in the betting tip?
We start our football predictions with the reigning Champions League winners. Paris Saint-Germain qualified for the semi-finals of this Club World Cup 2025 with a hard-fought 2:0 win over FC Bayern Munich. Prior to that, the French side had beaten Inter Miami 4:0 in the round of 16. In the preliminary round, PSG had also scored two further victories and thus six points, which were enough to progress. Small blemish: Paris SG lost 1-0 to Botafogo on the second matchday of the group stage.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Ligue 1 |
PSG
|
Olympique Marseille
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3:1 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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16.03.2025 - Ligue 1
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| UEFA Champions League |
FC Liverpool
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PSG
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0:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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11.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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| Ligue 1 |
Stade Rennes
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PSG
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1:4 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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08.03.2025 - Ligue 1
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| UEFA Champions League |
PSG
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FC Liverpool
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0:1 (0:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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05.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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| Ligue 1 |
PSG
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OSC Lille
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4:1 (4:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.03.2025 - Ligue 1
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PSG impresses (almost) across the board
What quickly catches the eye, however, is that Paris Saint-Germain have not only won four of their five matches in this tournament. The French champions have also won all of them by a clean sheet. PSG have also won six of their last seven matches. Not least in the magnificent Champions League final against Inter Milan, which they won 5:0. The 2024/25 CL winners have also won nine times in all competitions. The form is absolutely right.In nine of the ten games mentioned, PSG not only won. No, the top club from France always scored at least one brace with two goals. Six times they scored three or more goals.
Paris Saint Germain
System: 4-2-3-1.
How good is Real Madrid's current form?
And which statistics have particularly caught our eye in the Real Madrid betting tips today? Let's find out in the next two sections. The 3:2 win against Borussia Dortmund in the quarter-finals looks tighter than it actually was in the end. Real took an early 2-0 lead and had the game under control for a long time. The Spaniards had reached the next round with a 1-0 win against Juventus. The only minor slip-up for the Whites in the group stage was a 1-1 draw against the uncomfortable Al Hilal.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Primera Division |
FC Villarreal
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Real Madrid
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1:2 (1:2) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.03.2025 - Primera Division
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| UEFA Champions League |
Atletico Madrid
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Real Madrid
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1:0 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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12.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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| Primera Division |
Real Madrid
|
Rayo Vallecano
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2:1 (2:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.03.2025 - Primera Division
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| UEFA Champions League |
Real Madrid
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Atletico Madrid
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2:1 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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04.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
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| Primera Division |
Betis Sevilla
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Real Madrid
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2:1 (1:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.03.2025 - Primera Division
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Very good record for the royals
The 3:2 win against BVB was also the eighth match in a row in which Real Madrid have not lost. The Spaniards have seven wins and one draw to their name. The Whites have scored at least one goal in 15 consecutive matches. They have already scored three goals in a match three times at this Club World Cup 2025. And in two of the last three matches in this competition, Madrid have also managed a clean sheet.
Real are still without a title. They were knocked out of the Champions League against Arsenal FC and lost to Barca not only in the race for the La Liga title, but also in the Copa del Rey (2:3 after extra time).
Real Madrid
System: 4-2-3-1.
Narrow lead in the H2H for Real Madrid against PSG
So that we can provide you with as precise an assessment as possible for your betting slip, we have also taken a look at the H2H comparison in this betting analysis. And it is almost even. Because Paris have won four times so far, while Real Madrid have prevailed five times in this duel. We have also recorded three draws. The last time the two clubs met was in the round of 16 of the 2021/22 Champions League. PSG won 1-0 at home, but that was not enough. The return match went 3:1 to the Whites.
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Real Madrid
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PSG
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3:1 (0:1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.03.2022 - UEFA Champions League
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PSG
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Real Madrid
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1:0 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.02.2022 - UEFA Champions League
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Real Madrid
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PSG
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2:2 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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26.11.2019 - UEFA Champions League
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PSG
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Real Madrid
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3:0 (2:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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18.09.2019 - UEFA Champions League
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PSG
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Real Madrid
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1:2 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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06.03.2018 - UEFA Champions League
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| PSG | : | Real Madrid | ||
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9 Wins 7 |
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0 Draw 1 |
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1 Defeats 2 |
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33 Goals scored 17 |
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6 Goals received 10 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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won
won
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
Offside
yellow cards
red cards
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid
PSG were perhaps a little more convincing than the Spaniards at the 2025 Club World Cup. That's why we recommend the Win 1 on Paris Saint-Germain in the expert tips if you want to take a little more risk and play for better odds. Otherwise, Under 3.5 is also a good option. Because both clubs have usually been very well positioned defensively so far and have conceded very little.
