Manchester City Logo
Manchester City
:
FC Liverpool Liverpool Logo
L
W
L
W
L
D
W
D
L
W
23.02.2025 - 17:30 - Etihad Stadium
England England Premier League
1 2.90
X 3.90
2 2.30

Man City are underdogs against Liverpool this season. Prediction, 23.02.25

The Reds want to defend their comfortable lead

Published on 19.02.2025 08:01.

Reigning champions Manchester City will have nothing to do with the league title this season, which is as good as certain after 25 matchdays. They are already 16 points adrift of league leaders and their next opponents Liverpool, but they currently occupy 4th place in the table and therefore a Champions League place. However, a defeat could see them quickly drop back to 6th place. Liverpool, on the other hand, will keep the lead in the table in any case, as the gap to their closest rivals Arsenal is too big. However, the Reds have struggled somewhat so far in 2025 and have not necessarily scored with outstanding performances.

You can find more expert tips here:

Betting tips today

Manchester City

  • 4th place in the table
  • Most recently won 4:0 against Newcastle
  • Won 8 of 12 home games

FC Liverpool

  • 1st place in the table
  • Only one defeat in 25 games
  • Won 9 of 13 away games
Result tip
1:2
Liverpool are still unbeaten away from home and won their first clash against City 2-0. The league leaders are therefore slight favorites.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45:17 28 45
2 FC Arsenal 19 11 6 2 38:17 21 39
3 Nottingham Forest 19 11 4 4 26:19 7 37
4 FC Chelsea 19 10 5 4 38:23 15 35
5 Newcastle United 19 9 5 5 32:21 11 32
6 Manchester City 19 9 4 6 32:26 6 31
7 AFC Bournemouth 19 8 6 5 29:23 6 30
8 FC Fulham 19 7 8 4 28:25 3 29
9 Aston Villa 19 8 5 6 28:31 -3 29
10 Brighton 19 6 9 4 29:28 1 27
11 Tottenham 19 7 3 9 41:28 13 24
12 FC Brentford 19 7 3 9 33:35 -2 24
13 West Ham United 19 6 5 8 23:35 -12 23
14 Manchester United 19 6 4 9 21:26 -5 22
15 Crystal Palace 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
16 FC Everton 18 3 8 7 15:24 -9 17
17 Wolverhampton 19 4 4 11 31:42 -11 16
18 Ipswich Town 19 3 6 10 18:33 -15 15
19 Leicester City 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
20 FC Southampton 19 1 3 15 12:39 -27 6

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Last 5 games Manchester City home vs. FC Liverpool away
Manchester City Home FC Liverpool Away
Newcastle United 4:0 2:2 Aston Villa
Real Madrid 2:3 2:2 FC Everton
Club Brugge 3:1 1:0 Plymouth Argyle
FC Chelsea 3:1 0:2 AFC Bournemouth
West Ham United 4:1 3:2 PSV Eindhoven

Current form Manchester City

The reigning English champions are experiencing a season of horror. They were knocked out of the EFL Cup, finished fourth in the Premier League and are in danger of being knocked out of the Champions League in the play-offs against Real Madrid. The only real chance of winning the title therefore seems to be the FA Cup. The team's lack of consistency is to blame for this situation. In the Premier League alone, the team has already conceded 7 defeats in just 25 games. In December and November 2024 alone, they suffered 9 defeats. They have also been beaten 3 times this year. In the league, the last away game was a 5:1 defeat against Arsenal FC. In the first leg against Real Madrid, they were beaten 3-2 at home. They put in another good performance on the last matchday in the Premier League. They secured a well-deserved 4:0 win against Newcastle United. With 52 goals, they now also have the best offense of all teams behind Liverpool FC. Alone 28 goals were scored in 12 home games, which is significantly more than 2.00 goals per game. 8 out of 12 home games were won, only 2 times they had to admit defeat. The last time was in mid-December in the derby against Manchester United (1-2).

Last 5 results Manchester City
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
19.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3:1 (2:0) N
15.02.2025 England Premier League
Manchester City
Newcastle United
4:0 (3:0) S
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
2:3 (1:0) N
08.02.2025 FA Cup
Leyton Orient
Manchester City
1:2 (1:0) S
02.02.2025 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Manchester City
5:1 (1:0) N

Not a good record against Liverpool FC

In addition, Manchester City do not have a good record against Liverpool and have been their toughest opponents in recent years. This season, the hosts lost the first leg quite unspectacularly 2-0 at Anfield Road. Before that, there were 2 draws in a row. In the Premier League, City have only won one of the last 7 duels. It is also interesting that in the last 3 duels between these two, there have never been more than 2.5 goals scored. The teams probably already know each other so well that they neutralize each other.

Manchester City

System: 4-2-3-1.

Ederson
Rico Lewis Abdukodir Khusanov John Stones Joško Gvardiol
Nico González İlkay Gündoğan
Phil Foden Omar Marmoush Savinho
Erling Haaland
Liverpool is traded as a slight favorite - our recommendation: Double chance X/2

Liverpool has lost some of its invincibility

In the fall, Arne Slot's team only lost one game and that was at home against Nottingham Forest. In 2025, they have already suffered 3 defeats, but 2 of them were in the Champions League and in the EFL Cup, where they still managed promotion. The defeat in the FA Cup against Plymouth Argyle, on the other hand, was painful and cost them a chance at the title. In the league, they were also held to a 2-2 draw in the derby against Everton in their last away game. They also struggled immensely last weekend in a 2-1 home win against Wolverhampton. Despite these slight weaknesses, the team is still in first place in the table and a full 7 points ahead of Arsenal FC. Liverpool are also completely unbeaten away from home and have won 9 out of 13 games. With 34 goals, they also have by far the best offense of all teams.

Last 5 results FC Liverpool
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
19.02.2025 England Premier League
Aston Villa
FC Liverpool
2:2 (2:1) U
16.02.2025 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
Wolverhampton
2:1 (2:0) S
12.02.2025 England Premier League
FC Everton
FC Liverpool
2:2 (1:1) U
09.02.2025 FA Cup
Plymouth Argyle
FC Liverpool
1:0 (0:0) N
06.02.2025 EFL - Carabao Cup
FC Liverpool
Tottenham
4:0 (1:0) S

Liverpool had a game off in the Champions League

The Reds finished first in the group stage of the top flight and qualified directly for the round of 16. They won 7 out of 8 games, only narrowly losing to PSV on the last matchday with a B team. Unlike their opponents, they therefore had no games in this competition. However, coach Arne Slot has a broad squad anyway, with hardly any long-term injuries this season. Only Joe Gomez is currently missing and will not be available for the game against ManCity.

Liverpool FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

Alisson
Trent Alexander-Arnold Ibrahima Konaté Virgil van Dijk Andrew Robertson
Ryan Gravenberch Alexis Mac Allister
Mohamed Salah Dominik Szoboszlai Luis Díaz
Diogo Jota
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
01.12.2024 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
Manchester City
2:0 (1:0)
10.03.2024 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
Manchester City
1:1 (0:1)
25.11.2023 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Liverpool
1:1 (1:0)
01.04.2023 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Liverpool
4:1 (1:1)
22.12.2022 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester City
FC Liverpool
3:2 (1:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Manchester City : FC Liverpool

5

Wins

6

1

Draw

2

4

Defeats

2

26

Goals scored

22

20

Goals received

11

12

Shots on target

8

Manchester City
59%
Ball possession
91%
Accuracy of passes
46%
Duels
won
FC Liverpool
46%
Duels
won
87%
Accuracy of passes
60%
Ball possession
Manchester City
27
Corners
17
Shots on target
15
Goal kicks
next to the goal
18
Goal kicks
blocked
34
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Liverpool
29
Corners
31
Shots on target
25
Goal kicks
next to the goal
25
Goal kicks
blocked
57
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
24
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
6
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Manchester City
26
Goals scored
20
Goals received
ø 2,60
per game
+6
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
FC Liverpool
22
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+11
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 33.78%
over 2.5 goals 66.22%
under 3.5 goals 52.97%
over 3.5 goals 47.03%
under 4.5 goals 71.27%
over 4.5 goals 28.73%
both teams to score - yes 67.14%
both teams to score - no 32.86%

Liverpool will not lose - Our prediction

Manchester City is still not a consistent team this season. Liverpool, on the other hand, are top of the table and are winning most of their games despite a minor crisis. We would therefore recommend a double chance X/2 bet as a safety option. As in the last few duels, the two teams could neutralize each other again. With less than 3.5 goals in the match, you still get odds of over 1.70 - perfect for a combination betting slip.

Odd comparison Manchester City - FC Liverpool

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