Aston Villa Logo
Aston Villa
:
FC Chelsea Chelsea Logo
W
L
W
D
D
L
L
W
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W
22.02.2025 - 18:30
England England Premier League
1 2.70
X 3.70
2 2.60

Will Aston Villa win against a top 6 club - analysis & betting tips

Chelsea want to maintain their position

Published on 19.02.2025 07:04.

Next Saturday, the English Premier League will feature a city duel between Birmingham & London. The protagonists in this one: Aston Villa and Chelsea FC. Our Aston Villa - Chelsea betting tip has taken a look at this match and, as always, provides you with everything you need to know about the form of both teams. Kick-off at Villa Park is at 18:30 on February 22.

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Betting tips today

Aston Villa

  • Aston Villa have only lost one home game this season
  • Villa is in 9th place in the table
  • Villa have recently failed to win 4 games in a row

FC Chelsea

  • Chelsea are currently 6th in the table.
  • They recently lost 3-0 to Brighton
  • The head-to-head clearly favors Chelsea
Result tip
1:1
We are expecting a points-split in this clash. Neither team is currently in such good form that we would expect a win.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45:17 28 45
2 FC Arsenal 19 11 6 2 38:17 21 39
3 Nottingham Forest 19 11 4 4 26:19 7 37
4 FC Chelsea 19 10 5 4 38:23 15 35
5 Newcastle United 19 9 5 5 32:21 11 32
6 Manchester City 19 9 4 6 32:26 6 31
7 AFC Bournemouth 19 8 6 5 29:23 6 30
8 FC Fulham 19 7 8 4 28:25 3 29
9 Aston Villa 19 8 5 6 28:31 -3 29
10 Brighton 19 6 9 4 29:28 1 27
11 Tottenham 19 7 3 9 41:28 13 24
12 FC Brentford 19 7 3 9 33:35 -2 24
13 West Ham United 19 6 5 8 23:35 -12 23
14 Manchester United 19 6 4 9 21:26 -5 22
15 Crystal Palace 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
16 FC Everton 18 3 8 7 15:24 -9 17
17 Wolverhampton 19 4 4 11 31:42 -11 16
18 Ipswich Town 19 3 6 10 18:33 -15 15
19 Leicester City 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
20 FC Southampton 19 1 3 15 12:39 -27 6

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Last 5 games Aston Villa home vs. FC Chelsea away
Aston Villa Home FC Chelsea Away
FC Liverpool 2:2 3:0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Ipswich Town 1:1 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion
Tottenham Hotspur 2:1 3:1 Manchester City
Celtic Glasgow 4:2 1:1 Crystal Palace
West Ham United 1:1 2:0 Ipswich Town

Can Aston Villa win at home? - Analysis & Tips

Aston Villa have had a rather mixed 2024/25 season so far. Unai Emery's men are currently ninth in the table, so a leap forward would certainly be desirable given Villa's ambitions. In this respect, the "Villans" have some landmark days ahead of them. Even before the game for our Villa - Chelsea betting tip takes place, there is a clash with Liverpool FC on Wednesday, in which the team in 9th place in the table cannot necessarily be expected to win outright. Furthermore, the most recent results do not necessarily lead us to believe that a win will follow even against Chelsea, as Villa have recently come up against weaker teams and have also failed to win against them. Emery's charges have gone four league games without a win, losing to Ipswich Town (1:1), Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:2) and West Ham (1:1), among others. None of these teams were higher than 14th in the table at the time of the clash, so only the 2-2 draw against Arsenal London can be considered a success in the period under review before this Villa - Chelsea betting tip. At the same time, it must also be said that the defeat against Wolverhampton was the only one in the last 7 league games. Accordingly, a betting tip prediction on another draw - 4 of the last 7 matches ended in a draw - seems quite realistic.

In any case, the Birmingham team's home record gives hope for Saturday. Aston Villa have won a total of 6 out of 13 home games. They have also recorded 6 draws. This means that they have only suffered one defeat at home so far. This defeat came on matchday 02 of the new season against Arsenal (0:2). This also means that Aston Villa have been undefeated at home for no fewer than 12 league games. This also brings up a double chance bet (1/X), which you can and should find out how this affects the odds in our odds comparison. All in all, however, we believe the Villans are well equipped to at least score against a strong opponent on Saturday. It is also a fact that the pressure is more on the visitors due to the current results, which we will show in more detail in our following analysis of Chelsea FC.

Last 5 results Aston Villa
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
19.02.2025 England Premier League
Aston Villa
FC Liverpool
2:2 (2:1) U
15.02.2025 England Premier League
Aston Villa
Ipswich Town
1:1 (0:0) U
09.02.2025 FA Cup
Aston Villa
Tottenham
2:1 (1:0) S
01.02.2025 England Premier League
Wolverhampton
Aston Villa
2:0 (1:0) N
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
Aston Villa
Celtic Glasgow
4:2 (2:2) S

Aston Villa

System: 4-2-3-1.

Emiliano Martínez
Andrés García Axel Disasi Boubacar Kamara Lucas Digne
John McGinn Youri Tielemans
Donyell Malen Morgan Rogers Jacob Ramsey
Ollie Watkins
Bet on at least one goal for both teams - odds: 1.43

Will the law of the Chelsea series hold? - Analysis & expert tips

Even Chelsea FC can't claim to be having a flawless season ahead of this Villa - Chelsea betting tip. Especially since round 16 - when the "Blues" were still in second place - things have been going downhill for Enzo Maresca's team. Since then, the Londoners have celebrated just 2 wins in 9 games, so this Villa - Chelsea betting tip cannot automatically assume a complete success for the visitors. Especially as the capital city side recently suffered another heavy defeat, losing 3-0 to Brighton. Before that, they celebrated a narrow 2:1 home win against West Ham United, beating a team against whom Aston Villa "only" managed a draw. However, they lost 3:1 to Manchester City, while before that they won 2:1 against Wolverhampton Wanderers. So the last four rounds alternated between wins and defeats. According to the series schedule, another full success would be due on Saturday. However, the fact that it is an away game contradicts this. Chelsea FC have yet to celebrate a single win away from home in the 2025 calendar year. The last such victory came in the 4:3 derby win over Tottenham on December 8 of the previous year. Overall, Chelsea have already conceded twice as many defeats away from home as at home before this Villa - Chelsea betting tip. At the same time, more goals have been scored away from home. A betting tip on at least one goal for both teams therefore does not seem out of the question.

We also looked at the head-to-head in our Aston Villa - Chelsea analysis. This shows a relatively clear picture. Chelsea have won 6 of the last 10 encounters, with the "Blues" winning the last game so far this season clearly and emphatically 3-0. However: Coach Maresca is struggling with some huge problems in terms of personnel: no fewer than 8 squad players are once again unavailable this weekend, including some key players, especially in defence. For example, the two central defenders Fofana & Badiashile are still injured. Not the best conditions ahead of this difficult away game. Offensively, however, Chelsea FC have a number of weapons at their disposal that are capable of causing problems for any opponent in the league. However, we are not sure whether this will be enough for a complete success ahead of this Saturday duel.

Last 5 results FC Chelsea
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
14.02.2025 England Premier League
Brighton
FC Chelsea
3:0 (2:0) N
08.02.2025 FA Cup
Brighton
FC Chelsea
2:1 (1:1) N
03.02.2025 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
West Ham United
2:1 (0:1) S
25.01.2025 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Chelsea
3:1 (1:1) N
20.01.2025 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
Wolverhampton
3:1 (1:1) S
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
01.12.2024 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
Aston Villa
3:0 (2:0)
27.04.2024 England Premier League
Aston Villa
FC Chelsea
2:2 (2:0)
07.02.2024 FA Cup
Aston Villa
FC Chelsea
1:3 (0:2)
26.01.2024 FA Cup
FC Chelsea
Aston Villa
0:0 (0:0)
24.09.2023 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
Aston Villa
0:1 (0:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Aston Villa : FC Chelsea

4

Wins

3

4

Draw

2

2

Defeats

5

15

Goals scored

16

13

Goals received

17

12

Shots on target

8

Aston Villa
57%
Ball possession
87%
Accuracy of passes
56%
Duels
won
FC Chelsea
50%
Duels
won
89%
Accuracy of passes
60%
Ball possession
Aston Villa
22
Corners
12
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
12
Goal kicks
blocked
24
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
8
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Chelsea
25
Corners
21
Shots on target
40
Goal kicks
next to the goal
25
Goal kicks
blocked
59
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
27
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
7
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Aston Villa
15
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+2
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
FC Chelsea
16
Goals scored
17
Goals received
ø 1,60
per game
-1
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 39.36%
over 2.5 goals 60.64%
under 3.5 goals 59.38%
over 3.5 goals 40.62%
under 4.5 goals 76.33%
over 4.5 goals 23.67%
both teams to score - yes 64.26%
both teams to score - no 35.74%

Which Villa - Chelsea betting tip do we recommend?

In our opinion, you should refrain from betting on one of the two teams to win due to the rather "fickle" records of the two opponents. Instead, we recommend a betting tip variant that we have already briefly mentioned in our analysis: Both teams to score - yes.

Odd comparison Aston Villa - FC Chelsea

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