Florenz Logo
ACF Fiorentina
:
SSC Neapel SSC Napoli Logo
W
W
L
D
L
W
W
L
L
W
04.01.2025 - 18:00
Italien Serie A
1 3.05
X 3.25
2 2.45

Expert tip for AC Florence - SSC Napoli with odds & prediction

Fiorentina vs. Napoli: Battle for the next three points

While four Italian first division teams will play out the winner of the Supercoppa Italiana, the remaining teams will be in action in Serie A on this first weekend of the 2025 calendar year, where the 19th matchday will be played. The second match on Saturday (January 4, 2025) will take place at the Stadio Artemio Franchi from 6 p.m., where AC Florence and SSC Napoli will face each other in a direct duel. In this betting tip analysis, we determine the best odds for you with the appropriate expert tips and also take a look at the current AI forecast.

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Betting tips today

ACF Fiorentina

  • With just 15 goals conceded, Fiorentina currently have the second-best defense in Serie A.
  • Florence have not won any of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • In the past three matches, we have always recorded the Both Teams To Score.

SSC Neapel

  • SSC Napoli has the best defensive line in the championship (twelve goals conceded).
  • Napoli have not lost away from home in their last eight matches.
  • Five of the last seven away matches ended with an Under 2.5.
Ergebnistipp
0:1
We don't expect a goal festival due to the strong defenses. Napoli travel to Florence slightly favored, having recently gone six games without a defeat and in second place in the table.
Racket Serie A
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Atalanta Bergamo 18 13 2 3 43:20 23 41
2 SSC Neapel 18 13 2 3 27:12 15 41
3 Inter Mailand 17 12 4 1 45:15 30 40
4 Lazio Rom 18 11 2 5 33:25 8 35
5 ACF Fiorentina 17 9 5 3 31:15 16 32
6 Juventus Turin 18 7 11 0 30:15 15 32
7 FC Bologna 17 7 7 3 25:21 4 28
8 AC Milan 17 7 6 4 26:17 9 27
9 Udinese Calcio 18 7 3 8 23:28 -5 24
10 AS Rom 18 5 5 8 24:24 0 20
11 FC Turin 18 5 5 8 19:24 -5 20
12 Empoli 18 4 7 7 17:21 -4 19
13 CFC Genua 18 4 7 7 16:27 -11 19
14 FC Parma 18 4 6 8 25:34 -9 18
15 Como 1907 18 4 6 8 20:30 -10 18
16 Hellas Verona 18 6 0 12 24:42 -18 18
17 Lecce 18 4 4 10 11:31 -20 16
18 Cagliari Calcio 18 3 5 10 16:31 -15 14
19 FC Venedig 18 3 4 11 17:31 -14 13
20 Monza 18 1 7 10 16:25 -9 10

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Last 5 games ACF Fiorentina home vs. SSC Neapel away
ACF Fiorentina Home SSC Neapel Away
Udinese Calcio 1:2 1:2 CFC Genua
LASK Linz 7:0 1:3 Udinese Calcio
Cagliari Calcio 1:0 3:1 Lazio Rom
FC Empoli 2:2 0:1 FC Turin
Hellas Verona 3:1 1:1 Inter Mailand

What speaks for AC Florence vs SSC Napoli in the betting tip?

Today's betting tips start with the home side and the latest results as well as their current form. AC Florence occupy a good fifth place in the 2024/25 Serie A table ahead of matchday 19 and are only three points behind fourth-placed Lazio Roma and still within touching distance of the Champions League places. Fiorentina are particularly strong in defense, having only conceded 15 goals. Only their upcoming opponents SSC Napoli were better.

Last 5 results ACF Fiorentina
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
23.12.2024 Serie A
ACF Fiorentina
Udinese Calcio
1:2 (1:0) N
19.12.2024 UEFA Europa Conference League
Vitória Guimarães
ACF Fiorentina
1:1 (1:0) U
15.12.2024 Serie A
FC Bologna
ACF Fiorentina
1:0 (0:0) N
12.12.2024 UEFA Europa Conference League
ACF Fiorentina
LASK
7:0 (3:0) S
08.12.2024 Serie A
ACF Fiorentina
Cagliari Calcio
1:0 (1:0) S

Sporting dry spell for Fiorentina

After AC Florence really let it rip in the Champions League against LASK Linz with a 7:0, the worm was in the water. Fiorentina have now gone four competitive games without a win. Apart from a 1:1 in the European premier class at Vitoria Guimaraes, they have only managed one point in three Serie A matches: ACF fought their way to a 2:2 draw at Juventus Turin. The match at FC Bologna (0:1) was lost, as was the home match against Udinese Calcio (1:2).In the last 17 matches in all competitions, Florence have only failed to score once. We have recently registered the Both Teams To score three times in a row.

AC Florence

System: 4-2-3-1.

De Gea
Kayode Comuzzo Ranieri Gosens
Cataldi Adli
Colpani Beltrán Sottil
Kean
WE RECOMMEND THE GOAL BET UNDER 2.5 WITH QUOOTES OF 1.68

How good is SSC Napoli's current form?

Our football predictions continue with the visitors from Napoli and a statistic that we have already mentioned. Napoli are the most successful side in the Italian championship and will travel to Florence with the best defensive line (twelve goals conceded). SSC are also level on points with leaders Atalanta Bergamo (41 points each) in second place in the Serie A season 24/25. However, the team is showing its weaknesses in attack. 27 goals is the weakest figure in the top 5.

Last 5 results SSC Neapel
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
21.12.2024 Serie A
CFC Genua
SSC Neapel
1:2 (0:2) S
14.12.2024 Serie A
Udinese Calcio
SSC Neapel
1:3 (1:0) S
08.12.2024 Serie A
SSC Neapel
Lazio Rom
0:1 (0:0) N
05.12.2024 Coppa Italia
Lazio Rom
SSC Neapel
3:1 (2:1) N
01.12.2024 Serie A
FC Turin
SSC Neapel
0:1 (0:1) S

Double setback against Lazio immediately repaired

SSC Napoli suffered a double setback against Lazio Roma. While they lost the league match 1-0 at home, they were also eliminated in the round of 16 of the Coppa Italia with a 3-1 defeat in Rome. However, Napoli managed to put that right with three wins in a row. The runners-up celebrated away wins at Udinese Calcio (3:1) and FC Genoa (2:1). In the last match of the 2024 calendar year, they also recorded a narrow 1:0 win against SSC Venezia.

SSC Naples

System: 4-3-3.

Meret
Di Lorenzo Rrahmani Jesus Olivera
Anguissa Lobotka McTominay
Kvaratskhelia Lukaku Neres

Long tradition, balanced H2H statistics

To conclude this betting tip analysis, let's take a look at the H2H comparison. After exactly 150 matches in the Italian top flight, the balance is almost even. Florence have 55 wins, SSC Napoli 54 victories. And the two clubs have drawn 41 times. What is immediately striking, however, is that Fiorentina have not won their last six home games against Napoli. Three games ended in draws and three others were decided in the visitors' favor.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
17.05.2024 Serie A
ACF Fiorentina
SSC Neapel
2:2 (2:1)
08.10.2023 Serie A
SSC Neapel
ACF Fiorentina
1:3 (1:1)
07.05.2023 Serie A
SSC Neapel
ACF Fiorentina
1:0 (0:0)
28.08.2022 Serie A
ACF Fiorentina
SSC Neapel
0:0 (0:0)
10.04.2022 Serie A
SSC Neapel
ACF Fiorentina
2:3 (0:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

ACF Fiorentina : SSC Neapel

5

Wins

6

2

Draw

1

3

Defeats

3

19

Goals scored

12

9

Goals received

10

12

Shots on target

8

ACF Fiorentina
55%
Ball possession
84%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
SSC Neapel
49%
Duels
won
87%
Accuracy of passes
47%
Ball possession
ACF Fiorentina
22
Corners
14
Shots on target
14
Goal kicks
next to the goal
15
Goal kicks
blocked
24
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
19
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
11
offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
SSC Neapel
24
Corners
20
Shots on target
24
Goal kicks
next to the goal
15
Goal kicks
blocked
47
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
12
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

ACF Fiorentina
19
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
+10
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
SSC Neapel
12
Goals scored
10
Goals received
ø 1,20
per game
+2
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 54.79%
over 2.5 goals 45.21%
under 3.5 goals 74.06%
over 3.5 goals 25.94%
under 4.5 goals 86.24%
over 4.5 goals 13.76%
both teams to score - yes 51.56%
both teams to score - no 48.44%

Our expert tips & predictions for AC Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli

Two of the best defenses in Serie A meet in this pairing, and Napoli don't exactly have the most dangerous forward line offensively. In this respect, we can recommend the Under 2.5 as a goal bet in our expert tips. We also tend to see the visitors as having the advantage and have opted for the Double chance X2, which has always worked out in the last six away games in Florence. Despite the significantly better odds, an away win 2 seems too risky to us.

Odd comparison ACF Fiorentina - SSC Neapel

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