West Ham United Logo
West Ham United
:
FC Chelsea Chelsea Logo
L
W
W
L
D
W
D
L
W
W
21.09.2024 - 13:30 - Olympiastadion London
England England Premier League
1 75.00
X 20.00
2 1.95

London derby between West Ham United and Chelsea FC. AI Prediction, 21.09.2024

The difficult opening program for the Hammers continues

Published on 17.09.2024 09:02.

West Ham have had a tough opening program with games against Aston Villa and Manchester City and now face Chelsea FC on matchday 5. After 4 matchdays, they are only in 14th place in the table, but at least they have collected 4 points. In the London derby, they now want to get their first points in their own stadium, preferably the full 3 points, of course. However, Chelsea FC remain the favorites in the match. Although the Blues are only 8th in the table, they have remained unbeaten in their last 3 games after their opening defeat to Manchester City. They will now be looking to extend this run.

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Wett Tipps heute

West Ham United

  • 4 points after 4 games
  • Only 5 goals in 4 games
  • No home win yet

FC Chelsea

  • 7 points after 4 games
  • 8 goals already scored
  • Unbeaten for 3 games
Ergebnistipp
1:2
West Ham are still without a win at home, while Chelsea have not lost in 4 competitive matches. The last head-to-head ended in a 5-0 win for the Blues.

The AI forecast recommends a risk bet

On paper, Chelsea are the favorites, but the Blues have not won against the Hammers in 3 away games. West Ham are actually a very strong home team, but have yet to record a win this year. The Hammers are without Niclas Füllkrug, an important striker, through injury. Chelsea were lucky to win 1-0 at Bournemouth on the last matchday. A tip X could therefore be a good risk option according to the AI.

Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 16 11 4 1 36:15 21 37
2 FC Arsenal 16 11 3 2 33:15 18 36
3 Aston Villa 16 11 2 3 35:20 15 35
4 Manchester City 16 10 3 3 38:18 20 33
5 Tottenham 16 9 3 4 33:23 10 30
6 Manchester United 16 9 0 7 18:21 -3 27
7 Newcastle United 16 8 2 6 33:21 12 26
8 Brighton 16 7 5 4 33:28 5 26
9 West Ham United 16 7 3 6 26:30 -4 24
10 FC Fulham 16 6 3 7 26:26 0 21
11 FC Brentford 16 5 4 7 23:22 1 19
12 FC Chelsea 16 5 4 7 26:26 0 19
13 Wolverhampton 16 5 4 7 21:26 -5 19
14 AFC Bournemouth 16 5 4 7 21:30 -9 19
15 Crystal Palace 16 4 4 8 15:23 -8 16
16 Nottingham Forest 16 3 5 8 17:28 -11 14
17 FC Everton 16 7 2 7 20:20 0 13
18 Luton Town 16 2 3 11 17:32 -15 9
19 Burnley FC 16 2 2 12 16:34 -18 8
20 Sheffield United 16 2 2 12 12:41 -29 8

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Last 5 games West Ham United home vs. FC Chelsea away
West Ham United Home FC Chelsea Away
Manchester City 1:3 0:1 AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth 1:0 2:1 Servette Geneva FC
Aston Villa 1:2 2:6 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Celta Vigo 2:2 2:1 Real Madrid
Luton Town 3:1 1:2 Brighton & Hove Albion

West Ham have not yet fully arrived in the season

The hosts got a new coach on the sidelines in the summer with Julen Lopetegui. However, the start to the season under the Spaniard, who is already familiar with the Premier League thanks to a spell at Wolverhampton Wanderers, has not been flawless. Although the opening program with games against Aston Villa and Manchester City was anything but easy, after 4 match days they were probably hoping for a place other than 14th place. In the league, however, the club has only managed one win so far and this was away against Crystal Palace. At home, they have suffered 2 defeats against Aston Villa and Manchester City. Although they managed to score in both games, they also conceded 5 goals. A 1-1 draw against FC Fulham on the last matchday was also rather disappointing. They picked up their 2nd win of the season in the EFL Cup, where they beat Bournemouth 1-0 at home. It was one of only 3 games that ended with less than 2.5 goals.

Last 5 results West Ham United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
14.09.2024 England Premier League
FC Fulham
West Ham United
1:1 (1:0) U
31.08.2024 England Premier League
West Ham United
Manchester City
1:3 (1:2) N
28.08.2024 EFL - Carabao Cup
West Ham United
AFC Bournemouth
1:0 (0:0) S
24.08.2024 England Premier League
Crystal Palace
West Ham United
0:2 (0:0) S
17.08.2024 England Premier League
West Ham United
Aston Villa
1:2 (1:1) N

The offense scores too few goals for its quality

The Hammers presumably have the most quality in their offense. They have players like Mohammed Kudus, Lucas Paqueta and Jarrod Bowen. All 3 are among the best offensive players in the league. So far, however, none of them has managed to direct the offense. Not a single player in the squad has scored twice, and Kudus is still without a goal of his own. In general, 5 goals in 4 Premier League games is too few for such a strong attacking department. Coach Julen Lopetegui must find a solution quickly in the coming weeks, otherwise his chair could soon start to wobble.

West Ham United

System: 4-3-3.

Alphonse Aréola
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Max Kilman Konstantinos Mavropanos Emerson Palmieri
Edson Álvarez Guido Rodríguez Jarrod Bowen
Lucas Paquetá Mohammed Kudus Michail Antonio
Betting recommendation: Both teams score YES with odds of 1.43

How stable is Chelsea FC already?

The Blues can probably be satisfied with their performance in the Premier League so far. Although they lost their opening game against Manchester City, they still put in a very strong performance. They were able to underline this impressively on matchday 2 with a 2:6 away win against Wolverhampton Wanderers. The last two games were a little shakier, but they still picked up another 4 points with a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace and a 0-1 win at Bournemouth. The team is now in 8th place in the table with 7 points and is only 2 points behind the top 4 in the table. The offense is convincing with 8 goals from 4 games so far. The defense looks a little more stable from week to week and they have hardly had any injury problems so far. In the Conference League qualifiers, they narrowly beat FC Servette 3:2. Away from home, however, they were beaten 2-1 by the Swiss side.

Last 5 results FC Chelsea
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
14.09.2024 England Premier League
AFC Bournemouth
FC Chelsea
0:1 (0:0) S
01.09.2024 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
Crystal Palace
1:1 (1:0) U
29.08.2024 UEFA Europa Conference League
Servette Geneva FC
FC Chelsea
2:1 (1:1) N
25.08.2024 England Premier League
Wolverhampton
FC Chelsea
2:6 (2:2) S
22.08.2024 UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Chelsea
Servette Geneva FC
2:0 (0:0) S

Enzo Maresca is spoiled for choice in offense

The breadth of the squad, especially in attack, is something special at Chelsea FC. They have players such as Cole Palmer, Christopher Nkunku, Joao Felix, Jadon Sancho, Pedro Neto and Noni Madueke. The latter is currently his team's top scorer with 3 goals already. Cole Palmer has already contributed 4 assists this year. There are currently no absentees, with Reece James and Malo Gusto the only absentees at right-back.

Chelsea FC

System: 4-3-3.

Robert Sánchez
Malo Gusto Wesley Fofana Levi Colwill Marc Cucurella
Moisés Caicedo Enzo Fernández Noni Madueke
Cole Palmer Pedro Neto Nicolas Jackson
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
05.05.2024 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
West Ham United
5:0 (3:0)
20.08.2023 England Premier League
West Ham United
FC Chelsea
3:1 (1:1)
11.02.2023 England Premier League
West Ham United
FC Chelsea
1:1 (1:1)
03.09.2022 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
West Ham United
2:1 (0:0)
24.04.2022 England Premier League
FC Chelsea
West Ham United
1:0 (0:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

West Ham United : FC Chelsea

3

Wins

4

3

Draw

2

4

Defeats

4

13

Goals scored

17

16

Goals received

14

12

Shots on target

8

West Ham United
46%
Ball possession
82%
Accuracy of passes
44%
Duels
won
FC Chelsea
52%
Duels
won
87%
Accuracy of passes
60%
Ball possession
West Ham United
14
Corners
12
Shots on target
18
Goal kicks
next to the goal
11
Goal kicks
blocked
28
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Chelsea
17
Corners
15
Shots on target
14
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
32
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

West Ham United
13
Goals scored
16
Goals received
ø 1,30
per game
-3
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
FC Chelsea
17
Goals scored
14
Goals received
ø 1,70
per game
+3
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 36.95%
over 2.5 goals 63.05%
under 3.5 goals 56.99%
over 3.5 goals 43.01%
under 4.5 goals 75.73%
over 4.5 goals 24.27%
both teams to score - yes 63.12%
both teams to score - no 36.88%

ChatGPT rates Chelsea FC higher

ChatGPT's AI has Chelsea as a clear favorite. The Blues are unbeaten in 4 games and clearly have the better quality in their squad. West Ham have also lost their 2 home games so far and are still struggling to get their offense going. They have already scored 3 goals less than the Blues after 4 games. A win for Chelsea is therefore recommended by the AI.

We think West Ham can score a goal - Our analysis

We would also slightly favor Chelsea FC in this game, but a bet 2 is associated with a certain risk. As an alternative, a safety variant Draw no Bet 2 could also be suitable. However, we think the Hammers are capable of scoring at home, as they have always managed to do so so far this season. The tip Both teams to score YES should therefore also be suitable for a combination bet.

Odd comparison West Ham United - FC Chelsea

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