Expert tip for VfL Wolfsburg - BVB with odds & predictions

Matchday 21 in Bundesliga 1: Will Dortmund stay hot on Bayern's heels?

Borussia Dortmund is sniffing the morning air again in the championship race. BVB's next test comes on Saturday (February 7, 2026) at 3:30 pm at the Volkswagen Arena against VfL Wolfsburg. Our betting tip analysis for matchday 21 in Bundesliga 1 25/26 now explains in detail how good Dortmund's chances of another success actually are. Thanks to our expert tips and the matching AI forecast, you can also use this prediction perfectly to quickly and easily track down the best odds from the bookmakers for this pairing.

VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund: 07.02.2026 - 14:30

Tip 2 1.72
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over 3.5 goals 2.30
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Betting tips today All betting tips

VfL Wolfsburg were beaten 1-0 at 1 FC Köln on matchday 20.
Lower Saxony have only managed a single three-pointer in their last six games.
They even managed to beat Borussia Dortmund only once in 21 matches.

Borussia Dortmund recently turned around a 1:2 deficit against Heidenheim to win 3:2.
This means that BVB have now not lost in 13 consecutive Bundesliga matches.
The Black & Yellows have scored three goals in each of their last five matches.

Result tip

1:3

VfL Wolfsburg are always good for a goal. But Dortmund have scored three times in each of their last five matches. In addition, BVB have an impressive H2H record against Wolfsburg and VfL are clearly weak at home.

Racket 1st German Bundesliga
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	FC Bayern Munich	4	4	0	0	18:3	15	12
2	Borussia Dortmund	4	3	1	0	9:3	6	10
3	RB Leipzig	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9
4	1. FC Cologne	4	2	1	1	9:7	2	7
5	FC St. Pauli	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	E. Frankfurt	4	2	0	2	11:9	2	6
7	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	8:8	0	6
8	VfB Stuttgart	4	2	0	2	5:5	0	6
9	Hoffenheim	4	2	0	2	8:10	-2	6
10	1. FC Union Berlin	4	2	0	2	8:11	-3	6
11	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	8:7	1	5
12	VfL Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	7:6	1	5
13	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	1	1	2	5:4	1	4
14	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	8:10	-2	4
15	HSV	4	1	1	2	2:8	-6	4
16	FC Augsburg	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3
17	Gladbach	4	0	2	2	1:6	-5	2
18	1. FC Heidenheim	4	0	0	4	2:9	-7	0
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games VfL Wolfsburg home vs. Borussia Dortmund away
VfL Wolfsburg Home	Borussia Dortmund Away
SC Freiburg 3:4	0:3 1. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin 3:1	1:1 SC Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:3	1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2:3	1:1 Hamburger SV
Holstein Kiel 0:1	4:1 Manchester City

What speaks for VfL Wolfsburg vs BVB in the betting tip?

We want to provide you with the most accurate bets possible for your next betting slip. That's why we'll start our analysis directly with the performance data for VfL Wolfsburg. Before the 21st matchday, they are only in 14th place in the table and, like HSV and Werder Bremen, have collected 19 points. This means that the Lower Saxons have finally arrived in the relegation battle. The lead over third-last Mainz 05 is now just one measly point. This starting position means one thing above all for VfL Wolfsburg: great pressure against BVB.

Last 5 results VfL Wolfsburg
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
30.01.2026	1st German Bundesliga	1. FC Cologne	VfL Wolfsburg	1:0 (1:0)	N
30.01.2026 - 1st German Bundesliga
24.01.2026	1st German Bundesliga	1. FSV Mainz 05	VfL Wolfsburg	3:1 (0:1)	N
24.01.2026 - 1st German Bundesliga
20.12.2025	1st German Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg	Freiburg	3:4 (1:1)	N
20.12.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
13.12.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Gladbach	VfL Wolfsburg	1:3 (1:3)	S
13.12.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
06.12.2025	1st German Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg	1. FC Union Berlin	3:1 (2:0)	S
06.12.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga

Wolves drop many points against direct rivals

After losing 3:1 at 1. FSV Mainz 05, the Wolves also lost at 1. FC Köln on matchday 20. The score was 0:1 after 90 minutes. In their last home game against 1. FC Heidenheim, they only managed a 1-1 draw. And so we have to say: Wolfsburg have only won at home against FC St. Pauli against the competition for relegation. This 2-1 win was also their only three in the last six matches. And the Wolves have only won twice in ten home games.Despite all the negative figures, at least one statistic is also extremely interesting for betting tips. In the last twelve Bundesliga 1 matches, VfL have scored eleven goals of their own and also managed to score eleven times. Only last weekend in Cologne was this not the case.

VfL Wolfsburg

System: 4-2-3-1.

Kamil Grabara

Jan Bürger Moritz Jenz Konstantinos Koulierakis Aaron Zehnter

Yannick Gerhardt Maximilian Arnold

Christian Eriksen Lovro Majer Patrick Wimmer

Mohamed Amoura

WE RECOMMEND OUTCOME 2 with odds of 1.72

To Betnflix

How good is BVB's current form?

Next up in today's betting tips is the team from the Ruhr region. Borussia Dortmund have reduced the gap to six points after Bayern's two slip-ups against FC Augsburg and at Hamburger SV. However, because Munich are not in action until Sunday, BVB can increase the pressure even further and close the gap to three points. It could therefore still be very exciting, especially because Bayern Munich will have to face a TSG Hoffenheim side in absolute top form. All of this should be motivation enough for Borussia Dortmund.

Last 5 results Borussia Dortmund
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
01.02.2026	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	1. FC Heidenheim	3:2 (1:1)	S
01.02.2026 - 1st German Bundesliga
28.01.2026	UEFA Champions League	Borussia Dortmund	Inter Mailand	0:2 (0:0)	N
28.01.2026 - UEFA Champions League
24.01.2026	1st German Bundesliga	1. FC Union Berlin	Borussia Dortmund	0:3 (0:1)	S
24.01.2026 - 1st German Bundesliga
19.12.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	Gladbach	2:0 (1:0)	S
19.12.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
14.12.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Freiburg	Borussia Dortmund	1:1 (0:1)	U
14.12.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga

13 games in a row without a loss

But of course there are also a lot of numbers in the Black & Yellows' favor, if we look past the two 2-0 defeats in the Champions League at Tottenham Hotspur and against Inter Milan. After all, the last time BVB lost in the Bundesliga was at - that's right - FC Bayern (1:2). Since then, we have recorded 13 point games without defeat in these football predictions. What's particularly exciting is that Borussia Dortmund have scored three goals in each of their last five Bundesliga matches. This was the case in the 3:2 home wins against Heidenheim and St. Pauli as well as the 3:0 in the last away match at Union Berlin.

Borussia Dortmund

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gregor Kobel

Filippo Mané Waldemar Anton Nico Schlotterbeck Yan Couto

Jobe Bellingham Felix Nmecha

Daniel Svensson Karim Adeyemi Julian Brandt

Serhou Guirassy

In the H2H comparison, everything speaks for BVB against Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in six matches against VfL Wolfsburg in the 1st Bundesliga. BVB won the first leg 1:0. The Westphalians celebrated a 3:1 victory in the Autostadt in the 24/25 season. In addition, the Wolves have only managed a single three-pointer in the last 21 league games. All of this is also evident when looking at the overall record in the H2H comparison. Borussia have already won 36 of their 57 matches in the Bundesliga 1. Even away from home, the statistics are absolutely positive with 15:8 wins and seven draws.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
21.09.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	VfL Wolfsburg	1:0 (1:0)
21.09.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
03.05.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Borussia Dortmund	VfL Wolfsburg	4:0 (1:0)
03.05.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
22.12.2024	1st German Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg	Borussia Dortmund	1:3 (0:3)
22.12.2024 - 1st German Bundesliga
29.10.2024	DFB Cup \| German Football Cup	VfL Wolfsburg	Borussia Dortmund	0:0 (0:0)
29.10.2024 - DFB Cup \| German Football Cup
17.02.2024	1st German Bundesliga	VfL Wolfsburg	Borussia Dortmund	1:1 (0:1)
17.02.2024 - 1st German Bundesliga

Comparison statistics last 10 events

VfL Wolfsburg		:	Borussia Dortmund
2 Wins 6
1 Draw 2
7 Defeats 2
15 Goals scored 19
20 Goals received 9
12 Shots on target 8

VfL Wolfsburg

50%

Ball possession

83%

Accuracy of passes

50%

Duels
won

Borussia Dortmund

51%

Duels
won

83%

Accuracy of passes

54%

Ball possession

VfL Wolfsburg

9
Corners

15
Shots on target

18
Goal kicks
next to the goal

4
Goal kicks
blocked

26
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

11
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

6
Offside

3
yellow cards

0
red cards

Borussia Dortmund

24
Corners

23
Shots on target

31
Goal kicks
next to the goal

20
Goal kicks
blocked

49
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

25
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

1
Offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

VfL Wolfsburg

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,50

per game

-5

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Borussia Dortmund

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,90

per game

+10

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.38 1.57

under 2.5 goals 39.72%

over 2.5 goals 60.28%

1.54 2.50

under 3.5 goals 61.19%

over 3.5 goals 38.81%

1.22 4.33

under 4.5 goals 78.02%

over 4.5 goals 21.98%

1.57 2.25

both teams to score - yes 58.90%

both teams to score - no 41.10%

Our prediction for VfL Wolfsburg vs BVB

The current expert tips for the clash in Lower Saxony are very one-sided this time. All the numbers point to an away win 2 for Borussia Dortmund. Coach Niko Kovac's men can really only stand in their own way. At the same time, the odds for an over 3.5 are also good. After all, Wolfsburg have almost always scored at least one goal of their own recently. And BVB have recently been successful five times in a row, even scoring three times in front of the opponent's box.