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20.06.2024 - 21:00 - Veltins Arena
Euro 2024
1 2.25
X 5.50
2 45.00

Spain vs. Italy: Who will win the duel between the southern Europeans?

The Spaniards are the favorites in the second game after the opener!

Published on 18.06.2024 06:21.

The Spain - Italy betting tip is one of the top-class analyses from Group B. Albania and Croatia are still in this group. But with three points each, the Spaniards and Italians have made a fantastic start to Euro 2024. In fact, the Squadra Azzurra could have won higher. In the end, a draw would have been possible because the Albanians missed two good chances shortly before the end. According to our Spain - Italy prediction, La Furia Roja left nothing to be desired. In our analysis, we take a closer look at the first group game. The clash between Spain and Italy will take place on Thursday, June 20, 2024 (9 pm). Fans are sure to flock to the Veltins Arena in Gelsenkirchen. 62,000 fans can watch the game there. Switch on Magenta Sport or ZDF in front of the TV. Let the 2nd matchday begin.

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Spain

  • Spain won the opener 3:0
  • The Croats had no chance
  • The team qualified with 21 points

Italy

  • Italy narrowly won 2:1
  • Albania was weaker, but had chances
  • The Italians qualified with 14 points

What speaks for Spain vs Italy in the betting tip?

In fact, there are various reasons in our soccer predictions why the Spaniards have the better chances in this clash. First of all, we would like to look at the qualification in Group A. There, La Furia Roja faced Scotland, Norway, Georgia and Cyprus. In the end, the Spaniards recorded seven wins and one defeat (against the Scots). In addition, they scored 25:5 goals. The last test matches before EURO 2024 ended with a 5:1 win over Northern Ireland and a 5:0 win over Andorra. Despite the strong group, the Spaniards tested themselves against rather weaker opponents. We look at the first group game for our Spain - Italy betting tip in the next section.

The Spaniards lacked a real goalscorer in the European Championship qualifiers. With 25 goals, the two top scorers Joselu and Morata only scored four goals each.

Last 5 results Spain
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.06.2024 Euro 2024
Spain
Croatia
3:0 (3:0) S
08.06.2024 International
Spain
Northern Ireland
5:1 (4:1) S
05.06.2024 International
Spain
Andorra
5:0 (1:0) S
26.03.2024 International
Spain
Brazil
3:3 (2:1) U
22.03.2024 International
Spain
Colombia
0:1 (0:0) N

How Spain came up trumps against Croatia

If we look at the quality and number of chances, Croatia weren't much worse against Spain on the first day of the group stage. In the end, however, it was the Spanish national team that was more composed. In principle, La Furia Roja sealed the deal in the first half. Morata, Ruiz and Carvajal scored to make the final score 3:0. There was one more excitement in the second half. The Croatians were denied a penalty goal by Petkovic because Perisic ran into the penalty area too early. In this case, the rules stipulate that the penalty cannot be retaken. So it remained 0:3 for the Croatians.

Spain have experience and talent in their squad. They are among the favorites right after England, France and Germany. They showed determination and accuracy on match day 1.
WIN SPAIN 1 AT NUCLEONBET (ODDS: 2.20).

How good is Italy's current form?

In our Spain - Italy prediction, we have to admit that the Squadra Azzurra are a little more difficult to predict. This is because the Italians only qualified in second place with 14 points (eight games). However, they were joined in the group by the English, who challenged them for top spot. They were followed by Ukraine, North Macedonia and Malta. According to our sports betting tips today, Italy recorded four wins, two draws and two defeats during the European Championship qualifiers. 16:9 goals were scored. They were tested against Bosnia (1:0) and Turkey (0:0) before the start of the tournament. Only a few goals were scored here. But the Italians have the talent to deliver when it counts.

The Italian offense can by no means be described as good. The top scorer during qualifying was Frattesi with three goals.

Last 5 results Italy
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.06.2024 Euro 2024
Italy
Albania
2:1 (2:1) S
09.06.2024 International
Italy
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1:0 (1:0) S
04.06.2024 International
Italy
Turkey
0:0 (0:0) U
24.03.2024 International
Italy
Ecuador
0:2 (0:1) N
21.03.2024 International
Italy
Venezuela
2:1 (1:1) S

How Italy secured three points at the start

For our Spain - Italy betting tip, we take another look back at the first matchday of Group B. The Italians had to survive a moment of shock. In the very first minute, the Albanians scored the fastest goal ever scored at a European Championship. Bajrami slammed the 1:0 into the top corner. But the Italians were by no means in shock. In fact, they hit back with Bastoni and Barella in the eleventh and 16th minutes. The Italians turned the game around in no time at all. In fact, the Albanians generally only had a few chances. However, they could have equalized shortly before the end. As the late goal failed to materialize, the score was still 2:1 for Italy after 90 minutes.

H2H balance of Spain vs. Italy

Spain and Italy have actually met 40 times. The most common result has been a draw, which has been achieved 16 times. The Spaniards have won 13 matches, while the Italians have won eleven. In our Spain - Italy prediction, we take a look at the most recent results. Spain won the Nations League 22/23 with a 2:1 victory, while the 2020 European Championship ended in a draw in the semi-finals. Italy prevailed in the penalty shootout.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
15.06.2023 UEFA Nations League
Spain
Italy
2:1 (1:1)
06.10.2021 UEFA Nations League
Italy
Spain
1:2 (0:2)
06.07.2021 Euro 2020
Italy
Spain
1:1 (0:0)
02.09.2017 World Cup 2022
Spain
Italy
3:0 (2:0)
27.06.2016 EURO 2016
Italy
Spain
2:0

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Spain : Italy

8

Wins

6

1

Draw

2

1

Defeats

2

31

Goals scored

17

7

Goals received

10

12

Shots on target

8

Spain
65%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
49%
Duels
won
Italy
53%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
55%
Ball possession
Spain
29
Corners
29
Shots on target
25
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
40
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
30
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
Italy
23
Corners
11
Shots on target
13
Goal kicks
next to the goal
15
Goal kicks
blocked
29
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
10
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
offside
10
yellow cards
0
red cards

Our prediction for Spain vs Italy

Over 1.5 goals is a Spain - Italy bet with which you can upgrade your combination. Betano has given us odds of 1.38 for this bet. If we take the preparation and the first matchday of the European Championship 2024 as a benchmark, then we see the Spaniards as the favorites. The betting tip today on the "home win" is worth odds of 2.20 for the bookmaker Interwetten.

Last 5 games Spain home vs. Italy away
Spain Home Italy Away
Croatia 3:0 0:0 Ukraine
Northern Ireland 5:1 3:1 England
Andorra 5:0 1:1 Macedonia
Brazil 3:3 2:3 Netherlands
Colombia 0:1 2:1 Spain

Odd comparison Spain - Italy

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