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Spain
:
France Frankreich Logo
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05.06.2025 - 21:00
UEFA Nations League
1 2.40
X 3.30
2 3.20

Spain and France face off in the Nations League semi-finals. Prediction, 05.06.25

Who will make it to the final?

Published on 02.06.2025 07:01.

Spain secured the European Championship title just last summer and made it back to the top of Europe. They then also put in a convincing performance in the Nations League and remained unbeaten. They have not lost a game since March 2024 and are now looking to secure their next title. Germany or Portugal would be waiting in a possible final. Their opponents France also want to reach the final. The visitors certainly still have a score to settle, having lost 2-1 to the Spaniards in the semi-finals of the European Championship. However, with many Champions League winners in the squad, the Equipe Tricolore will certainly arrive with enough self-confidence.

Spain - France: 05.06.2025 - 21:00
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Spain

  • Reigning European champion
  • Not lost since March 2024
  • Last duel against France won

France

  • Some Champions League winners in the squad
  • Won 4 out of 6 games in the group
Result tip
2:1
As European champions, Spain are slight favorites in this duel. The last duel also ended with a 2:1 win.
Racket UEFA Nations League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Portugal 6 4 2 0 13:5 8 14
2 Croatia 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
3 Scotland 6 2 1 3 7:8 -1 7
4 Poland 6 1 1 4 9:16 -7 4

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Last 5 games Spain home vs. France away
Spain Home France Away
Switzerland 3:2 1:3 Italy
Serbia 3:0 1:2 Belgium
Denmark 1:0 1:4 Israel
England 2:1 2:1 Spain
France 2:1 0:0 Portugal

Spain currently number 1 in Europe?

The Spaniards haven't had much to say at the last few major tournaments and were usually not one of the big favorites. They were also not among the favorites for the title at last year's European Championship. However, coach Luis de la Fuente was able to call on a young team that suddenly found itself at the top of Europe. Once again, Spain are currently playing the most beautiful soccer and were able to impress at the European Championships. After a strong group stage, they first clearly beat Georgia (4:1) and then the hosts Germany (2:1) in the knockout phase. In the semi-finals, they then met France in a summit clash which they won 2:1. They then defeated England 2:1 in the final to be crowned European champions for the first time since 2012. Coach Luis de la Fuente had been in charge for just under 2 years. Now he could win a second title in the UEFA Nations League. But first they have to make it to the final. There, either Germany or Portugal await.

Last 5 results Spain
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
18.11.2024 UEFA Nations League
Spain
Switzerland
3:2 (1:0) S
15.11.2024 UEFA Nations League
Denmark
Spain
1:2 (0:1) S
15.10.2024 UEFA Nations League
Spain
Serbia
3:0 (1:0) S
12.10.2024 UEFA Nations League
Spain
Denmark
1:0 (0:0) S
08.09.2024 UEFA Nations League
Switzerland
Spain
1:4 (1:2) S

The European champions also impress in the Nations League

After their good performance at the European Championships, they were able to continue seamlessly in the Nations League. They won their group ahead of Serbia and Denmark with 16 points from 6 games, remaining unbeaten with 5 wins and a draw. They conceded no goals in half of their matches. They also scored more than 2.00 goals per game. They then faced the Netherlands in the quarter-finals. In two extremely even games, the final score was 5:5 and the Spaniards only won 8:7 on penalties.

Spain

System: 4-2-3-1.

Unai Simón
Óscar Mingueza Robin Le Normand Dean Huijsen Marc Cucurella
Dani Olmo Martín Zubimendi
Fabián Ruiz Lamine Yamal Mikel Oyarzabal
Nico Williams
A win for Spain brings you odds of over 2.30

France has lost some of its naturalness

The 2018 world champions are still one of the very best teams in the world. They made it to the final again at the 2022 World Cup, but lost to Argentina. At last year's European Championship, they at least made it to the semi-finals. Despite these good results, coach Didier Deschamps is coming under increasing criticism and is likely to step down after the 2026 World Cup at the latest. Before then, however, they could still secure the Nations League title. They made it through to the semi-finals in this competition. The group stage didn't exactly get off to the best of starts, as they suffered a 3:1 defeat against Italy on the first matchday. However, they went on to win 4 out of 5 games. At home against Israel, however, they were held to a 0-0 draw during this period. They also struggled against Croatia in the quarter-finals, losing 2-0 away from home, but were able to overturn this deficit at home and ultimately win on penalties.

Last 5 results France
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
17.11.2024 UEFA Nations League
Italy
France
1:3 (1:2) S
14.11.2024 UEFA Nations League
France
Israel
0:0 (0:0) U
14.10.2024 UEFA Nations League
Belgium
France
1:2 (1:1) S
10.10.2024 UEFA Nations League
Israel
France
1:4 (1:2) S
09.09.2024 UEFA Nations League
France
Belgium
2:0 (1:0) S

France has several Champions League players in its squad

One advantage for France could be that a large part of the squad is brimming with confidence. No fewer than five players in the squad play for Champions League winners Paris St. Germain. The attack in particular, with Ousmane Dembele, Desire Doue and Bradley Barcola, is currently unparalleled in Europe. They are joined by players such as Marcus Thuram and Kylian Mbappe. In central defense, William Saliba and Ibrahima Konate are likely to remain the mainstays.

France

System: 4-3-3.

Mike Maignan
Jules Koundé Dayot Upamecano William Saliba Theo Hernández
Manu Koné Aurélien Tchouaméni Michael Olise
Ousmane Dembélé Bradley Barcola Kylian Mbappé
3 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
09.07.2024 Euro 2024
Spain
France
2:1 (2:1)
10.10.2021 UEFA Nations League
Spain
France
1:2 (0:0)
28.03.2017 International
France
Spain
0:2 (0:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Spain : France

8

Wins

5

2

Draw

3

0

Defeats

2

22

Goals scored

15

8

Goals received

9

12

Shots on target

8

Spain
62%
Ball possession
86%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
France
48%
Duels
won
89%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Ball possession
Spain
18
Corners
15
Shots on target
6
Goal kicks
next to the goal
6
Goal kicks
blocked
18
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
9
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
Offside
5
yellow cards
1
red cards
France
7
Corners
7
Shots on target
3
Goal kicks
next to the goal
8
Goal kicks
blocked
10
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
8
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Spain
22
Goals scored
8
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+14
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
France
15
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+6
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 55.36%
over 2.5 goals 44.64%
under 3.5 goals 74.92%
over 3.5 goals 25.08%
under 4.5 goals 87.03%
over 4.5 goals 12.97%
both teams to score - yes 50.50%
both teams to score - no 49.50%

Spain slightly favored - Our forecast

The European champions have been the most consistent team in Europe in recent months and years. We therefore see the Spaniards as having a slight advantage, but the offensive firepower of the French should help them score at least one goal, which is why we recommend both teams score YES.

Odd comparison Spain - France

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