Spain and England duel for the European Championship title. AI prediction & tip, 14.07.24
Will the Three Lions win the final this time?
We had to wait just under a month for the final of the 2024 European Championship to be decided. With Spain and England, two favorites have definitely made it to the final. The young Spaniards are probably a little more surprising, but for England, reaching the final was almost a must. The Three Lions also reached the final in 2021, but were beaten by Italy. Spain have certainly put in the more convincing performances at this European Championship so far, but England's quality can decide a game at any time. They certainly played their best game in the semi-final against the Netherlands, which will give them confidence.
Spain
- France & Germany defeated
- Never conceded more than one goal
- Won 5 out of 6 games after 90 minutes
England
- Highest quality of all teams
- Already 2 winning goals in stoppage time
- Best performance in the semi-final against the Netherlands
The AI forecast for the 2024 European Championship final
The AI has two opinions on the game this time. Like the bookmakers, it favors the Spaniards based on their performances so far. However, due to the immense quality in the squad, it believes England have all the skills to win. The fact that the form of the day will be decisive here leads the artificial intelligence to the conclusion that it will be a draw after 90 minutes. However, Spain then has a slight advantage in extra time and becomes European Champion 2024.
- AI tip: Spain becomes European champion
| Spain Home | England Away |
|---|---|
| France 2:1 | 1:2 Netherlands |
| Germany 1:1 | 1:1 Denmark |
| Georgia 4:1 | 0:1 Serbia |
| Italy 1:0 | 1:1 Macedonia |
| Croatia 3:0 | 1:3 Scotland |
Spain was the most convincing team in the entire tournament
Although the Spaniards did not start this tournament as the absolute top favorites, they were naturally considered title contenders. After a very strong group stage with 3 wins from 3 games and a goal difference of 5:0 goals, they were suddenly considered the favorites for the title by many experts. They have already beaten two top nations in Italy and Croatia. They were also the only team not to concede a goal. They only conceded one in the round of 16 against the surprise team from Georgia. Despite conceding goals, they put in a convincing performance and ultimately won the game 4:1.
In the quarter-finals, Germany, the hosts and the first real opponent in the knockout phase, awaited. It was probably also the game where they had the most difficulties so far. After a 1-1 draw in regulation time, Mikel Merino secured a 2-1 victory in the 119th minute. In the semi-final against France, they left the pitch as winners after 90 minutes. After trailing 0:1, they turned the game around in the first half and ended up winning 2:1.
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| Euro 2024 |
Spain
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France
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2:1 (2:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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09.07.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Spain
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Germany
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1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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05.07.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Spain
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Georgia
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4:1 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Albania
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Spain
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0:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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24.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Spain
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Italy
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1:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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20.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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What makes Spain so strong at this European Championship?
Spain defines itself first and foremost through its offense. With Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, they probably have the best wing duo at this European Championship. Yamal, who is only 16 years old, has already impressed with 3 assists and a goal. Leipzig legionnaire Dani Olmo is also playing a very strong European Championship. He only came into the starting line-up after Pedri's injury and impressed in the semi-finals with a goal and an assist. In the knockout phase alone, the Spaniards scored a strong 8 goals and thus almost 3.00 goals per game.
Rodri is once again an anchor. The most valuable player in the squad is more than living up to his reputation as the best defensive midfielder in the world. Together with Fabian Ruiz, the center back is a real bench player and is also capable of scoring goals. Ruiz has already scored 2 goals, making him the team's top scorer behind Olmo. Dani Carvajal and Robin Le Normand return to the team after yellow cards. They will probably be seeded for the final. The current number 1 Unai Simon is also set to play. However, they have conceded a goal in every knockout game so far.
Spain
System: 4-2-3-1. Trainer: Luis de la Fuente.
England only jumps as high as it has to so far
The Three Lions were the big favorites for the title even before the tournament began. Never has a team been worth more, never has a team had so many players with a market value in excess of €100 million in the squad. Nevertheless, they disappointed in the group stage with some weak performances and scored just 2 goals in 3 games. In the end, however, 5 points were enough to win the group ahead of Denmark. Slovakia, a clear underdog, awaited them in the round of 16, but they were still 1-0 down until the 91st minute. Harry Kane in stoppage time and Jude Bellingham in extra time turned the game around. In the quarter-final against Switzerland, they even had to go into a penalty shoot-out after a 1-1 draw. The semi-final against the Netherlands was also turned around after trailing 0:1 and again Ollie Watkins scored the winning goal in stoppage time to make it 2:1.
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| Euro 2024 |
Netherlands
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England
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1:2 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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10.07.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
England
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Switzerland
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1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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06.07.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
England
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Slovakia
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1:1 (0:1) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
England
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Slovenia
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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| Euro 2024 |
Denmark
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England
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1:1 (1:1) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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20.06.2024 - Euro 2024
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England seem to have found their formation
Coach Gareth Southgate has only made a few changes over the course of this tournament, but one of them seems to be working very well. Young Kobie Mainoo has replaced Trent Alexander-Arnold in central midfield in recent games and has done very well. The substitutions of Ollie Watkins and Cole Palmer in the semi-final also proved to be spot on. Harry Kane has also overcome his slump in form and, with 3 goals to his name, could yet be crowned top scorer at this European Championship. Once again, the goalkeeper position is a weak point. Jordan Pickford is not world class and also conceded a not unstoppable ball in the semi-final against the Netherlands to fall 1-0 behind.
The Three Lions will probably go into the final with the same starting line-up. In any case, coach Gareth Southgate still has a number of options on the bench if they fall behind. These include Ollie Watkins, Ivan Toney, Cole Plamer and Eberechi Eze.
England
System: 4-2-3-1. Trainer: Gareth Southgate.
The direct duels between Spain and England are evenly matched
The last time these two top nations met was in 2018. Back then, they met in Group 4 of the UEFA Nations League. Interestingly, the away team always came out on top in these two meetings. In England, Spain won 1:2 and in Spain, England prevailed 2:3. In general, the last duels have been very evenly balanced, with 3 wins for Spain, 2 wins for England and a draw in the last 6 matches. 3 times in a row this game has ended with more than 2.5 goals. A high over/under bet is actually not recommended in a final, but in this case such a betting recommendation could be worthwhile.
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Spain
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England
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2:3 (0:3) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.10.2018 - UEFA Nations League
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England
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Spain
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1:2 (1:2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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08.09.2018 - UEFA Nations League
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When and where will the European Championship final be broadcast on TV?
The final of this European Championship will take place on Sunday, July 14, 2024 at 21:00. It will take place at the Olympiastadion in Berlin. ARD and Magenta TV will broadcast the match in Germany. The Sportschau and ARD Mediathek are also available as live streams. In Austria, the final will be shown on free-to-air television by private broadcaster Servus TV. The coverage starts at 18:00.
In Germany, ARD will broadcast the match on free-to-air TV, in Austria ServusTV
What are the odds for the most important betting markets?
The Spanish are the favorites, as the odds for a win bet show. Spain have odds of 2.40 for a win, while England are already at 3.40. A draw is even more realistic with odds of 2.85. Contrary to the last direct duels, the bookmakers believe in rather few goals and only give you average odds of 1.51 for an over/under bet on under 2.5 goals.
It is also not expected that both sides will score, if this happens the odds are already 2.00. By the way: If Spain win the title, they are also just ahead of England with 1.63 odds and 2.10 odds.
Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Spain | : | England | ||
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7 Wins 3 |
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2 Draw 5 |
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1 Defeats 2 |
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25 Goals scored 11 |
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8 Goals received 8 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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How does ChatGPT predict the European Championship final?
The AI is also struggling enormously in this game and is talking about a very tight and competitive final. Spain is seen by many as the slight favorite, which is mainly due to their performance. However, England have the higher quality in their squad and were able to improve significantly in the semi-final. ChatGPt predicts a 2:1 victory for Spain. The AI therefore also slightly favors the Spaniards, even if it will depend on the condition of the day.
Forebet expects a draw
Forebet's supercomputer gives a probability of 44% that this match will end in a draw after 90 minutes. The probabilities of victory for the two teams are balanced. England is the small favorite with 29%, but Spain follows almost in step with 27%. It is therefore only logical that the result bet is also a draw. The most likely result after 90 minutes for Forebet is 1:1.
- Victory Spain: 27%
- Undecided: 44%
- England win: 29%
AI trend - what do AI providers recommend for the final?
The artificial intelligence predicts an extremely close game where it is almost impossible to determine a winner. According to the AI, there is a lot to be said for a draw after 90 minutes. While ChatGPT has picked Spain as the slight favorite, Forebet sees the English as having a slight advantage. In any case, the AI providers do not recommend a goal spectacle, only ChatGPT has issued a 2:1 in the result prediction and thus more than 2.5 goals.
Surprisingly, the safest AI tip is therefore a tip X.
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
What forecast do our experts make?
We are leaning towards a Spanish win, simply because they have impressed us more at the European Championships so far. With Nico Williams and Lamine Yamal, they have the best wing-back pairing at the European Championships and their defense looks even more well-rehearsed. England are in the European Championship final for the 2nd time in a row, but could lose out again. After 90 minutes, we think a draw is also very likely, but Spain will be the European champions. Based on the last duels, we also believe in scores on both sides.
