SC Freiburg Logo
SC Freiburg
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Bayer 04 Leverkusen Leverkusen Logo
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L
W
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04.05.2025 - 17:30 - Europa-Park-Stadion
Deutschland 1st German Bundesliga
1 3.50
X 15.00
2 100.00

Expert tip for SC Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen with odds & predictions

Bundesliga matchday 32: The still-champions fight for a series

It could happen this weekend and Bayer Leverkusen could be replaced by FC Bayern Munich as German champions in Bundesliga 1. The reigning champions are not in action until Sunday evening (May 4, 2025) from 5.30 pm at Europa-Park Stadium at SC Freiburg. We have compiled a detailed betting tip analysis for this fixture, including our own expert tips and the result of the AI prediction. You can also find out here which bookmakers have the best odds for the match on matchday 32.

SC Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 04.05.2025 - 17:30
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SC Freiburg

  • Freiburg's offense is not the best: 44 goals are the weakest in the top 9.
  • The last three matches were all decided in the Sport-Club's favor.
  • However, the Europa-Park Stadium had previously suffered two successive home defeats.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

  • Bayer Leverkusen are still without a defeat away from home since last season 23/24.
  • The Werkself have the second-best offense and defense and have only lost twice so far.
  • In each of the last four matches, the Rhinelanders have gone Under 2.5.
Result tip
0:2
Freiburg will not inflict the first away defeat on Bayer Leverkusen. The H2H speaks against it, perhaps also to a certain extent the enormous expectations of the fans. Bayer also only lost twice in 2024/25.
Racket 1st German Bundesliga
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Bayern Munich 34 25 7 2 99:32 67 82
2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 19 12 3 72:43 29 69
3 E. Frankfurt 34 17 9 8 68:46 22 60
4 Borussia Dortmund 34 17 6 11 71:51 20 57
5 Freiburg 34 16 7 11 49:53 -4 55
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 14 10 10 55:43 12 52
7 RB Leipzig 34 13 12 9 53:48 5 51
8 Werder Bremen 34 14 9 11 54:57 -3 51
9 VfB Stuttgart 34 14 8 12 64:53 11 50
10 Gladbach 34 13 6 15 55:57 -2 45
11 VfL Wolfsburg 34 11 10 13 56:54 2 43
12 FC Augsburg 34 11 10 13 35:51 -16 43
13 1. FC Union Berlin 34 10 10 14 35:51 -16 40
14 FC St. Pauli 34 8 8 18 28:41 -13 32
15 Hoffenheim 34 7 11 16 46:68 -22 32
16 1. FC Heidenheim 34 8 5 21 37:64 -27 29
17 Holstein Kiel 34 6 7 21 49:80 -31 25
18 VfL Bochum 34 6 7 21 33:67 -34 25

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Last 5 games Freiburg home vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen away
Freiburg Home Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 1:1 FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund 1:4 0:1 1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Union Berlin 1:2 2:1 Arminia Bielefeld
RB Leipzig 0:0 3:4 VfB Stuttgart
SV Werder Bremen 5:0 3:0 FC Bayern Munich

What speaks for SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen in the betting tip?

In our betting tips today, we naturally start our analysis from the home side's perspective. SC Freiburg are currently in a fantastic fourth place with a two-point lead over RB Leipzig and three points clear of BVB in sixth place. The Breisgau side have created a four-point cushion over seventh place, which is currently occupied by Mainz 05. Of all the teams in the top half of the Bundesliga 1 table, Freiburg also have the fewest goals to their name - just 44.

Last 5 results SC Freiburg
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
26.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg
Freiburg
0:1 (0:0) S
19.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Freiburg
Hoffenheim
3:2 (2:2) S
12.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Gladbach
Freiburg
1:2 (1:1) S
05.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
1:4 (0:1) N
30.03.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Freiburg
1. FC Union Berlin
1:2 (1:1) N

Breisgau's home games not very convincing

SC Freiburg recently celebrated three wins in a row. Including at home against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (3:2). However, you also need to know for your next betting slip that the Breisgau team had also suffered two defeats in their own stadium. Against Union Berlin, the scoreboard showed 1:2 after 90 minutes. Against BVB, Freiburg were even beaten 1:4. Before that, they also only managed a 0-0 draw against RB LeipzigIn addition, we have recorded a Both Teams To score with goals on both sides in each of the last three SC Freiburg matches.

SC Freiburg

System: 4-2-3-1.

Miller
Kübler Ginter Lienhart Macengo
Doan Eggestein
Osterhage Grifo Manzambi
Woodworker
WE RECOMMEND OUTCOME 2 with odds of 2.25

How good is Bayer Leverkusen's current form?

Bayer Leverkusen are eight points behind leaders FC Bayern Munich ahead of the 32nd matchday. This means that a decision on the title would only be postponed if the Werkself wins and Munich loses in Leipzig. If FC Bayern drew, there would still be a mathematical chance, but with a 30-goal lead in the difference, this is also considered utopian. In this respect, we look at the most important statistic in these football predictions: As in the last championship season 2023/24, Leverkusen have not yet lost away from home in the 24/25 season.

Last 5 results Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
26.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
2:0 (2:0) S
20.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1:1 (0:1) U
12.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1. FC Union Berlin
0:0 (0:0) U
05.04.2025 1st German Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0:1 (0:0) S
01.04.2025 DFB Cup | German Football Cup
Arminia Bielefeld
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2:1 (2:1) N

Little spectacle recently with the still-champions

Nine wins, six draws: that's the Rhinelanders' tally after 15 away games. Bayer 04 have also scored 32 goals and conceded just 17. Both are the second-best figures behind FC Bayern Munich. What is particularly striking, however, is that in the Werkself's last four games in Bundesliga 1 only a maximum of two goals were scored, meaning that the under 2.5 was always applied.The Leverkusen defense has also been particularly good in the last four games. Bayer conceded just one goal in this period and kept three clean sheets.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

System: 4-3-3.

Kovář
Tapsoba Andrich Tah Arthur
Buendía Xhaka Wirtz
Grimaldo Schick Tella

The H2H speaks more in favor of Leverkusen against Freiburg

Let's conclude our betting tip analysis with a look at the head-to-head duels. In the H2H comparison, Leverkusen are currently clearly ahead ahead of the 50th clash in the 1st Bundesliga with 23:12 wins. This pairing has ended in a draw 14 times. What is almost more important, however, is that Bayer have even won and drawn nine times in the Black Forest. The SCF, meanwhile, have only celebrated six home wins against the Werkself. And most recently, Bayer Leverkusen have won three in a row.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
21.12.2024 1st German Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg
5:1 (1:0)
17.03.2024 1st German Bundesliga
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2:3 (1:2)
29.10.2023 1st German Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg
2:1 (1:0)
26.02.2023 1st German Bundesliga
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1:1 (1:0)
03.09.2022 1st German Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Freiburg
2:3 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Freiburg : Bayer 04 Leverkusen

5

Wins

4

3

Draw

2

2

Defeats

4

16

Goals scored

12

11

Goals received

14

12

Shots on target

8

Freiburg
48%
Ball possession
82%
Accuracy of passes
45%
Duels
won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
52%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
61%
Ball possession
Freiburg
12
Corners
11
Shots on target
16
Goal kicks
next to the goal
17
Goal kicks
blocked
30
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
20
Corners
12
Shots on target
17
Goal kicks
next to the goal
12
Goal kicks
blocked
27
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Freiburg
16
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 1,60
per game
+5
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
12
Goals scored
14
Goals received
ø 1,20
per game
-2
Goal difference
6 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 45.51%
over 2.5 goals 54.49%
under 3.5 goals 65.15%
over 3.5 goals 34.85%
under 4.5 goals 80.65%
over 4.5 goals 19.35%
both teams to score - yes 58.79%
both teams to score - no 41.21%

Our prediction for SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

In our expert tips, we come to the conclusion that an away win 2 is the most likely scenario. On the one hand, of course, the data suggests this. On the other hand, Freiburg could tense up in view of their Champions League prospects. And the last few home games haven't gone particularly well either. In addition, we have opted for equally decent odds of under 2.5, which has been the case for Leverkusen four times in a row recently. Even though Freiburg have scored more goals recently, it remains the case that the Breisgauers are not particularly dangerous. Bayer, meanwhile, have recently scored three times in four matches.

Odd comparison SC Freiburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen

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