Real Madrid Logo
Real Madrid
:
Manchester City Manchester City Logo
L
W
D
W
D
W
L
W
L
W
19.02.2025 - 21:00 - Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
UEFA Champions League
1 1.95
X 12.00
2 32.00

Expert tip for Real Madrid - Manchester City with odds & prediction

Will the Whites make short work of the match against Man City?

Real Madrid are well on their way to reaching the last 16 of the Champions League as defending champions. Even a draw would be enough against Manchester City in the second leg of the play-offs. Find out in this comprehensive betting tip analysis with AI prediction and, above all, our detailed expert tips whether that will be possible or even a home win on Wednesday evening (February 19, 2025) from 9 pm at the Santiago Bernabeu against the Skyblues. We also give you the best current odds from the bookies. So read on directly.

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Betting tips today

Real Madrid

  • Real Madrid beat Man City 3:2 in the first leg of the play-offs.
  • The Whites have only lost one of their last 17 home games in this competition.
  • Both sides scored eight times in succession at the Bernabeu.

Manchester City

  • Manchester City have conceded in each of their last three CL away games.
  • Four goals have been scored in eight of the last nine matches in foreign stadiums.
  • The Both Teams To Score also worked in ten out of twelve away matches.
Result tip
3:1
Man City were mostly weak away from home in the Champions League, conceding numerous goals, while Real Madrid rarely lose at home in the top flight.
Last 5 games Real Madrid home vs. Manchester City away
Real Madrid Home Manchester City Away
Atletico Madrid 1:1 1:2 Leyton Orient
FC Red Bull Salzburg 5:1 5:1 FC Arsenal
UD Las Palmas 4:1 4:2 Paris Saint Germain
Celta Vigo 2:2 0:6 Ipswich Town
FC Barcelona 2:5 2:2 FC Brentford

What speaks for Real Madrid vs Manchester City in the betting tip?

We begin our football predictions with the defending champions. Real Madrid played a rather mixed Champions League league phase, at the end of which one statistic in particular caught the eye: none of the eight games ended in a draw. The madridistas claimed five victories, but were also beaten three times. Including at home against AC Milan (1:3), meaning that the visitors from Manchester do not appear to be completely without a chance. However, we have only recorded home wins in five of the last six matches in the European top flight at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Last 5 results Real Madrid
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.02.2025 Primera Division
CA Osasuna
Real Madrid
1:1 (0:1) U
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
2:3 (1:0) S
08.02.2025 Primera Division
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
1:1 (0:1) U
05.02.2025 Copa del Rey
Leganes
Real Madrid
2:3 (1:2) S
01.02.2025 Primera Division
Espanyol Barcelona
Real Madrid
1:0 (0:0) N

Strong home record with an unconvincing defense

Another thing that immediately catches the eye in today's betting tips is the high number of goals scored in Real's home games in the Champions League. Six times recently an Over 2.5 was always on, five times it was even four or more goals. And above all: In the last eight games at the Bernabeu, the home side's defense has been shaky at times - both teams have always scored goals and the Both Teams To score has worked out. Of the last 17 games at home in the Champions League, Real Madrid have only lost one.The madridistas were in mediocre form at CA Osasuna in La Liga and could not get past 1-1 at the weekend. But because Atletico also only drew 1-1 with Celta da Vigo, Real remain top of the table.

WE RECOMMEND WIN 1 WITH BETTING odds of 1.86

How good is Manchester City's current form?

The Sky Blues were anything but convincing in the league phase of the 2024/25 European premier class. In the end, they only managed a balanced record with three wins and three defeats and two draws. This left Man City in 22nd place, just just barely making it into the play-offs. The Skyblues picked up the three points they needed at home against FC Brugge (3:1). Just like Real, 32 goals were scored in the Sky Blues' eight matches, an average of exactly four goals per game.

Last 5 results Manchester City
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
15.02.2025 England Premier League
Manchester City
Newcastle United
4:0 (3:0) S
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
2:3 (1:0) N
08.02.2025 FA Cup
Leyton Orient
Manchester City
1:2 (1:0) S
02.02.2025 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Manchester City
5:1 (1:0) N
29.01.2025 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Club Brugge
3:1 (0:1) S

Black streak in the Skyblues' away games

So does a goal bet over 3.5 make sense for your betting slip? At least Manchester City have scored four or more goals eight times in their last nine away games. However, the English side have not been successful away from home recently and have lost three games in a row in foreign stadiums. A 1:4 at Sporting Lisbon was followed by a 0:2 at Juventus Turin and finally a 2:4 defeat at Paris Saint-Germain. In the last twelve away games in the European premier class, Man City have only won once.Manchester City made short work of Newcastle United in the Premier League, winning 4-0 at the weekend thanks in part to new signing Omar Marmoush's brace.

Manchester City

System: 4-2-3-1.

Ederson
Lewis Khusanov Stones Gvardiol
González Gündoğan
Foden Marmoush Savinho
Haaland

Completely even balance in H2H comparison

The two clubs have already faced each other 13 times in the UEFA Champions League. And the H2H comparison suggests a potentially close affair. Because these clubs have drawn five times. Real and Man City have each scored four times so far. With 44 goals in these 13 encounters, the average is also a strong 3.4 goals, so we expect another match with a lot of goals. Especially as the Skyblues have to catch up and open up their defense early on.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
11.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
2:3 (1:0)
17.04.2024 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
1:1 (0:1)
09.04.2024 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3:3 (2:1)
17.05.2023 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Real Madrid
4:0 (2:0)
09.05.2023 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1:1 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Real Madrid : Manchester City

6

Wins

6

3

Draw

1

1

Defeats

3

25

Goals scored

29

11

Goals received

18

12

Shots on target

8

Real Madrid
62%
Ball possession
92%
Accuracy of passes
58%
Duels
won
Manchester City
46%
Duels
won
91%
Accuracy of passes
59%
Ball possession
Real Madrid
34
Corners
29
Shots on target
22
Goal kicks
next to the goal
21
Goal kicks
blocked
44
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
28
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
8
Offside
5
yellow cards
1
red cards
Manchester City
27
Corners
17
Shots on target
15
Goal kicks
next to the goal
18
Goal kicks
blocked
34
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Real Madrid
25
Goals scored
11
Goals received
ø 2,50
per game
+14
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Manchester City
29
Goals scored
18
Goals received
ø 2,90
per game
+11
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 31.75%
over 2.5 goals 68.25%
under 3.5 goals 49.93%
over 3.5 goals 50.07%
under 4.5 goals 69.44%
over 4.5 goals 30.56%
both teams to score - yes 68.34%
both teams to score - no 31.66%

Our expert tips & predictions for Real Madrid v Manchester City

In the league phase, both clubs scored exactly four goals on average. Then there is the high-scoring first leg in the playoffs, which is why we have opted for Over 3.5 in our expert tips. You can count on even better odds if you back Home win 1 for Real Madrid. The fact is that the English side have recently suffered three consecutive defeats away from home in the top flight. We don't think they'll be able to turn the deficit around at the Bernabeu.

Odd comparison Real Madrid - Manchester City

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