Real Madrid Logo
Real Madrid
:
FC Villarreal Villarreal Logo
W
W
W
W
D
W
W
L
W
D
05.10.2024 - 21:00 - Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Spanien Primera Division
1 1.25
X 6.75
2 11.00

Real Madrid and Villarreal want to keep Barcelona on their heels. AI forecast, 05.10.24

Who will take on the role of first runner-up?

Published on 02.10.2024 15:22.

The Whites are still unbeaten and drew the Madrid derby last weekend. Now the next top game awaits this weekend, as they face the current 3rd-placed team in the table, FC Villarreal. They are currently just a single point ahead of them, which is why they could even slip to fourth place if they lose. The visitors from Villarreal have made a great start to the season and have already established themselves at the top with 17 points. A win against Real Madrid would suddenly see them take first place from league leaders Barcelona. They are still unbeaten away from home and would like to stay that way in Madrid.

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Real Madrid

  • 2nd place in the table
  • Still unbeaten after 8 games
  • Most recently 1:1 against Atletico

FC Villarreal

  • 3rd place in the table
  • 3 wins from the last 4 games
  • Haven't lost a game away from home yet
Ergebnistipp
3:1
Real Madrid have won all 4 of their home games so far. Villarreal are in top form, but have already been beaten 5-1 by Barcelona.

The AI forecast sees Real Madrid clearly favored in the home game

The AI has a clear favorite in this top match and that favorite is Real Madrid. The reigning champions are still unbeaten this year and have also impressed in the Champions League. Villarreal have had a surprisingly good season so far and are still unbeaten away from home. However, quality could be decisive here and Real clearly have the edge, especially as Kylian Mbappe should also be fit again. The AI tip is therefore: Real Madrid win.

Racket Primera Division
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 Girona 16 13 2 1 38:20 18 41
2 Real Madrid 16 12 3 1 34:10 24 39
3 Atletico Madrid 15 11 1 3 32:14 18 34
4 FC Barcelona 16 10 4 2 30:18 12 34
5 Athletic Bilbao 16 8 5 3 31:19 12 29
6 Real Sociedad 16 8 5 3 29:18 11 29
7 Betis Sevilla 16 6 8 2 19:17 2 26
8 UD Las Palmas 16 7 3 6 14:13 1 24
9 FC Getafe 16 5 7 4 18:20 -2 22
10 Rayo Vallecano 16 4 8 4 16:22 -6 20
11 FC Valencia 16 5 4 7 17:21 -4 19
12 Deportivo Alavés 16 4 4 8 14:20 -6 16
13 FC Villarreal 16 4 4 8 22:29 -7 16
14 CA Osasuna 16 4 4 8 18:26 -8 16
15 RCD Mallorca 16 2 8 6 14:20 -6 14
16 FC Sevilla 15 2 7 6 20:21 -1 13
17 FC Cádiz 16 2 7 7 13:23 -10 13
18 Celta Vigo 16 1 7 8 15:25 -10 10
19 FC Granada 16 1 5 10 20:36 -16 8
20 Almeria 16 0 4 12 17:39 -22 4

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Last 5 games Real Madrid home vs. FC Villarreal away
Real Madrid Home FC Villarreal Away
Deportivo Alavés 3:2 1:2 Espanyol Barcelona
Espanyol Barcelona 4:1 1:2 RCD Mallorca
VfB Stuttgart 3:1 1:1 FC Valencia
Betis Sevilla 2:0 1:2 FC Sevilla
Real Valladolid 3:0 4:0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Real Madrid has forgotten how to lose

Real Madrid have not lost a competitive match since January 18, 2024. Since then, they have won the Spanish championship and the Champions League title. They therefore go into this season as defending champions. Everything has gone very well so far, as they are still unbeaten. In the Champions League, they beat VfB Stuttgart on matchday 1 and are in second place in the league, 3 points behind FC Barcelona. They have had to settle for a draw 3 times so far, including last weekend in the Madrid derby against Atletico. However, all 3 draws were conceded away from home, while at home they have won all 4 games in the league and have a goal difference of 12:3. After two home games without conceding a goal, they recently conceded 3 goals in 2 games. Their last home game ended with a 3-2 win against Alaves.

Last 5 results Real Madrid
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
29.09.2024 Primera Division
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
1:1 (0:0) U
24.09.2024 Primera Division
Real Madrid
Deportivo Alavés
3:2 (2:0) S
21.09.2024 Primera Division
Real Madrid
Espanyol Barcelona
4:1 (0:0) S
17.09.2024 UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid
VfB Stuttgart
3:1 (0:0) S
14.09.2024 Primera Division
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
0:2 (0:0) S

The offense remains the showpiece

The names in Real Madrid's attack are in a class of their own. Vinicius Junior could soon be awarded the BallondOr and has already scored 6 goals in the league this year alone. Kylian Mbappe has already scored 5 goals after a slight teething problem and should be fit again after his injury. Rodrygo is also having another good season with 3 goals and an assist. Endrick, who is only 18 years old, has already scored 2 goals as a wild card. Brahim Diaz is another important player who is currently missing.

Real Madrid

System: 4-2-3-1.

Thibaut Courtois
Lucas Vázquez Éder Militão Antonio Rüdiger Ferland Mendy
Federico Valverde Aurélien Tchouaméni
Jude Bellingham Rodrygo Kylian Mbappé
Vinícius Júnior
A high-scoring match with more than 3.5 goals has odds of 1.75

Villarreal are one of the positive surprises this season

Although the team once again had to lose a number of key players in the summer, they have impressed so far this year. With coach Marcelino at the helm, they are in 3rd place in the table after 8 matchdays and therefore ahead of Atletico Madrid. With 17 points to their name, a win against Real Madrid would even give them the chance to overtake them and become FC Barcelona's closest rivals. Villarreal have only lost one game this season, which was at home against FC Barcelona with a score of 1:5. In general, the defense has not been very solid so far and has already conceded 15 goals in 8 games. They have won 4 out of 5 victories by just one goal.

Last 5 results FC Villarreal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
30.09.2024 Primera Division
FC Villarreal
UD Las Palmas
3:1 (1:0) S
26.09.2024 Primera Division
Espanyol Barcelona
FC Villarreal
1:2 (1:1) S
22.09.2024 Primera Division
FC Villarreal
FC Barcelona
1:5 (1:2) N
14.09.2024 Primera Division
RCD Mallorca
FC Villarreal
1:2 (0:1) S
31.08.2024 Primera Division
FC Valencia
FC Villarreal
1:1 (1:1) U

Villarreal can concentrate fully on La Liga

Last season, the club only finished in 8th place and therefore failed to qualify for the international competition. Villarreal can therefore concentrate fully on La Liga this year. The goal is certainly a top 6 place, but the Champions League would also be nice. The last time they were there was in the 2021/22 season, when they only lost to Liverpool FC in the semi-finals. They even won the Europa League the year before and reached the round of 16 there last season.

Villarreal FC

System: 4-3-3.

Diego Conde
Kiko Femenía Logan Costa Eric Bailly Sergi Cardona
Ilias Akhomach Dani Parejo Pape Gueye
Denis Suárez Nicolas Pépé Thierno Barry
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
19.05.2024 Primera Division
FC Villarreal
Real Madrid
4:4 (1:4)
17.12.2023 Primera Division
Real Madrid
FC Villarreal
4:1 (2:0)
08.04.2023 Primera Division
Real Madrid
FC Villarreal
2:3 (1:1)
19.01.2023 Copa del Rey
FC Villarreal
Real Madrid
2:3 (2:0)
07.01.2023 Primera Division
FC Villarreal
Real Madrid
2:1 (0:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Real Madrid : FC Villarreal

7

Wins

5

3

Draw

3

0

Defeats

2

22

Goals scored

19

7

Goals received

21

12

Shots on target

8

Real Madrid
61%
Ball possession
91%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Duels
won
FC Villarreal
55%
Duels
won
86%
Accuracy of passes
46%
Ball possession
Real Madrid
25
Corners
18
Shots on target
15
Goal kicks
next to the goal
18
Goal kicks
blocked
33
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
18
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
7
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Villarreal
20
Corners
16
Shots on target
25
Goal kicks
next to the goal
21
Goal kicks
blocked
44
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
18
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
9
offside
7
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Real Madrid
22
Goals scored
7
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+15
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
FC Villarreal
19
Goals scored
21
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
-2
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 28.10%
over 2.5 goals 71.90%
under 3.5 goals 47.30%
over 3.5 goals 52.70%
under 4.5 goals 64.85%
over 4.5 goals 35.15%
both teams to score - yes 53.95%
both teams to score - no 46.05%

Real Madrid is always the favorite at home - Our prediction

The Whites have been unbeaten for almost 9 months and are therefore favored against Villarreal. They have also won all 4 of their home games. Villarreal are also in top form, but have already been beaten 5-1 by Barcelona. We therefore recommend a betting tip of "Real Madrid win". The strengths of both teams are in any case the offense, which is why we would also recommend a risk tip "over 3.5 goals".

Odd comparison Real Madrid - FC Villarreal

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