Leipzig vs. Bayern betting tip & prediction: Will the Bulls fight for the Champions League?

Or will Vincent Kompany's squad stroll to the championship?

The Leipzig - Bayern betting tip is one of the last highlights on the Bundesliga 1 calendar. What is at stake? Munich are mathematically champions with a win. This also applies to Harry Kane, who is missing through yellow card suspension. But RB Leipzig have slipped to fifth place. The Bulls are therefore playing for the Champions League. This Leipzig - Bayern prediction is therefore not lacking in excitement. As part of our analysis, we take a look at the latest Bundesliga results. We also take a look at the overall record for the 24/25 season and finally focus on the H2H statistics. From this, we put together two betting suggestions. The two heavyweights of German soccer will meet on Saturday, May 3, 2025 (3:30 p.m.). The Red Bull Arena in Leipzig will host the 32nd matchday. Sky will be responsible for broadcasting the match - individually or in the conference.

RB Leipzig - FC Bayern Munich: 03.05.2025 - 15:30

Tip 2 1.65
Low risk

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under 3.5 goals 1.91
Average risk

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You can find more expert tips here:

Betting tips today All betting tips

Leipzig: 49 points from 31 games
5th place with 48:42 goals
Most recently the 0:4 at Eintracht Frankfurt

FC Bayern: 75 points from 31 games
1st place and with a chance of becoming champion
The recent 3:0 win over Mainz

Result tip

0:2

Leipzig are currently weak and Munich are strong. But top scorer Harry Kane is missing. In our Bundesliga prediction, we still expect FCB to win three games. We are only lowering our expectations a little in terms of the score. A 2-0 win for FC Bayern opens the door to interesting odds in our sports betting.

Racket 1st German Bundesliga
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	FC Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	47:13	34	36
2	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	15	9	5	1	37:21	16	32
3	E. Frankfurt	15	8	3	4	35:23	12	27
4	RB Leipzig	15	8	3	4	24:20	4	27
5	1. FSV Mainz 05	15	7	4	4	28:20	8	25
6	Borussia Dortmund	15	7	4	4	28:22	6	25
7	Werder Bremen	15	7	4	4	26:25	1	25
8	Gladbach	15	7	3	5	25:20	5	24
9	Freiburg	15	7	3	5	21:24	-3	24
10	VfB Stuttgart	15	6	5	4	29:25	4	23
11	VfL Wolfsburg	15	6	3	6	32:28	4	21
12	1. FC Union Berlin	15	4	5	6	14:19	-5	17
13	FC Augsburg	15	4	4	7	17:32	-15	16
14	FC St. Pauli	15	4	2	9	12:19	-7	14
15	Hoffenheim	15	3	5	7	20:28	-8	14
16	1. FC Heidenheim	15	3	1	11	18:33	-15	10
17	Holstein Kiel	15	2	2	11	19:38	-19	8
18	VfL Bochum	15	1	3	11	13:35	-22	6
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games RB Leipzig home vs. FC Bayern Munich away
RB Leipzig Home	FC Bayern Munich Away
Borussia Dortmund 2:0	1:1 1. FC Union Berlin
1. FSV Mainz 05 1:2	0:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg 1:0	1:3 VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2	0:0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli 2:0	1:2 Celtic Glasgow

What speaks for Leipzig vs. Bayern in our betting tips?

RB Leipzig are currently in fifth place in the Bundesliga 2024/25 season. With 49 points and a goal difference of 48:42, the team is still clearly in the race for the international places. In the last five games, Leipzig have won two, drawn one and lost two. Leipzig have been particularly solid at home, with two wins, two draws and just one defeat in their last five home games. Most recently, Leipzig drew 1-1 at home against Holstein Kiel. These facts provide an interesting starting point for football predictions, even if the recent fluctuations in performance have become clear.

Last 5 results RB Leipzig
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
15.03.2025	1st German Bundesliga	RB Leipzig	Borussia Dortmund	2:0 (1:0)	S
15.03.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
08.03.2025	1st German Bundesliga	Freiburg	RB Leipzig	0:0 (0:0)	U
08.03.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
01.03.2025	1st German Bundesliga	RB Leipzig	1. FSV Mainz 05	1:2 (1:0)	N
01.03.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
26.02.2025	DFB Cup \| German Football Cup	RB Leipzig	VfL Wolfsburg	1:0 (0:0)	S
26.02.2025 - DFB Cup \| German Football Cup
23.02.2025	1st German Bundesliga	RB Leipzig	1. FC Heidenheim	2:2 (1:2)	U
23.02.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga

That was Leipzig's last game!

RB Leipzig's recent results show an interplay of performances. A narrow 1-0 defeat at Borussia Mönchengladbach was followed by a convincing 3-1 home win against Hoffenheim RBL also impressed in the 3-2 away win at Wolfsburg according to the Leipzig - Bayern betting tip, before only managing a 1-1 draw against Kiel. On matchday 31, Leipzig then suffered a clear 4-0 defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt. Overall, the results reflect a certain inconsistency. The defense in particular revealed weaknesses, while the offense showed some strong approaches. These inconsistent results are an important factor for betting tips today, especially with regard to upcoming challenges.

RB Leipzig

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gulácsi

Nedeljković Klostermann Bitshiabu Lukeba

Baku Seiwald

Vermeeren Baumgartner Šeško

Openda

SIEG BAYERN MÜNCHEN WITH THIS PROVIDER:

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How good is Bayern's current form?

FC Bayern Munich is the clear leader in the Bundesliga. With 75 points and an impressive goal difference of 90:29, the record champions are also dominating the current 2024/25 season. In the last five league games, Bayern have remained unbeaten, celebrating four wins and drawing once. The team has also impressed on the road: three wins and two draws in the last five away games speak for impressive stability on foreign pitches. The recent 4-0 win at Heidenheim in particular underlines their current top form. Anyone looking for Leipzig - Bayern tips will quickly recognize a clear picture here: Bayern shows hardly any weaknesses and remains the favourite in almost every Bundesliga duel.

Last 5 results FC Bayern Munich
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
15.03.2025	1st German Bundesliga	1. FC Union Berlin	FC Bayern Munich	1:1 (0:0)	U
15.03.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
11.03.2025	UEFA Champions League	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	FC Bayern Munich	0:2 (0:0)	S
11.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
08.03.2025	1st German Bundesliga	FC Bayern Munich	VfL Bochum	2:3 (2:1)	N
08.03.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga
05.03.2025	UEFA Champions League	FC Bayern Munich	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	3:0 (1:0)	S
05.03.2025 - UEFA Champions League
28.02.2025	1st German Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart	FC Bayern Munich	1:3 (1:1)	S
28.02.2025 - 1st German Bundesliga

That's how Bayern played last time!

FC Bayern Munich's results in the last five league games confirm the league leaders' strong form. A 3-2 home win against St. Pauli and a 3-1 victory in Augsburg set the course for success early on. In the top match against Dortmund, Bayern had to settle for a 2:2 draw before celebrating a commanding 4:0 away win in Heidenheim. Most recently, this was followed by an unchallenged 3:0 home win over Mainz. This series documents the team's offensive power and defensive stability in equal measure. For all those concerned with the Leipzig - Bayern prediction, this consistency provides a clear orientation in the analysis of upcoming matches.

FC Bayern Munich

System: 4-3-3.

Urbig

Laimer The Kim Stanišić

Kimmich Pavlović Olise

Sané Kane Gnabry

H2H comparison of Leipzig vs. Bayern

In direct comparisons, the numbers speak in favor of FC Bayern Munich. Out of a total of 21 duels, Bayern won eleven, seven ended in a draw and Leipzig prevailed only three times. If you only look at Leipzig's home games against Bayern's away games, the picture is somewhat more balanced: Leipzig won once in ten games, while five encounters ended in draws and Bayern won four times. This H2H comparison shows that Leipzig can certainly make pinpricks in their own stadium, even if the record champions have historical advantages. For well-founded Bundesliga predictions, such records are particularly revealing.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
20.12.2024	1st German Bundesliga	FC Bayern Munich	RB Leipzig	5:1 (3:1)
20.12.2024 - 1st German Bundesliga
24.02.2024	1st German Bundesliga	FC Bayern Munich	RB Leipzig	2:1 (0:0)
24.02.2024 - 1st German Bundesliga
30.09.2023	1st German Bundesliga	RB Leipzig	FC Bayern Munich	2:2 (2:0)
30.09.2023 - 1st German Bundesliga
12.08.2023	DFL Supercup	RB Leipzig	FC Bayern Munich	0:3 (0:2)
12.08.2023 - DFL Supercup
20.05.2023	1st German Bundesliga	FC Bayern Munich	RB Leipzig	1:3 (1:0)
20.05.2023 - 1st German Bundesliga

Comparison statistics last 10 events

RB Leipzig		:	FC Bayern Munich
3 Wins 6
5 Draw 3
2 Defeats 1
10 Goals scored 21
7 Goals received 7
12 Shots on target 8

RB Leipzig

53%

Ball possession

81%

Accuracy of passes

57%

Duels
won

FC Bayern Munich

46%

Duels
won

88%

Accuracy of passes

66%

Ball possession

RB Leipzig

8
Corners

15
Shots on target

14
Goal kicks
next to the goal

8
Goal kicks
blocked

20
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

17
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
Offside

1
yellow cards

0
red cards

FC Bayern Munich

18
Corners

21
Shots on target

19
Goal kicks
next to the goal

11
Goal kicks
blocked

35
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

4
Offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

RB Leipzig

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,00

per game

Goal difference

6 / 10

Games with goals

FC Bayern Munich

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,10

per game

+14

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

3.20

1.36

under 2.5 goals 30.73%

over 2.5 goals 69.27%

1.91

under 3.5 goals 49.80%

over 3.5 goals 50.20%

1.40

3.00

under 4.5 goals 67.77%

over 4.5 goals 32.23%

1.41

2.88

both teams to score - yes 66.35%

both teams to score - no 33.65%

Our expert tip and prediction for Leipzig v Bayern

A first Leipzig - Bayern tip is found incredibly quickly. The teams' form is far apart. We are therefore assuming an away win for Munich. We are still aiming for under 3.5 goals - also because Harry Kane is missing.

Leipzig vs. Bayern betting tip & prediction: Will the Bulls fight for the Champions League?

Or will Vincent Kompany's squad stroll to the championship?

RB Leipzig

FC Bayern Munich

What speaks for Leipzig vs. Bayern in our betting tips?

That was Leipzig's last game!

RB Leipzig

How good is Bayern's current form?

That's how Bayern played last time!

FC Bayern Munich

H2H comparison of Leipzig vs. Bayern

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Our expert tip and prediction for Leipzig v Bayern

Odd comparison RB Leipzig - FC Bayern Munich