Champions League final between Paris St. Germain and Inter Milan. Prediction, 31.05.25

Facts Team 1 Team 2

Paris St. Germain have the chance to win their first CL title

In 2019/20, Paris St. Germain made it to a Champions League final for the first time. At that time, however, they were narrowly beaten 1:0 by Bayern. 5 years later, they are now back in the final and are possibly in their strongest form for several years. Under Luis Enrique, a team made up of superstars has finally formed into a good collective. The really big names are no longer in the squad and yet they probably put in the best performance of any team in the knockout phase. They have already won the double in France, winning both the league and the cup. Now, of course, they want to complete the treble. The fact that they are in the final and have even reached the knockout phase was not always clear. The group stage was bumpy and in the end they only finished in 15th place with 13 points. Their lead over a non-playoff place was only 2 points and the goal difference of 14:9 goals was anything but outstanding.


In the knockout phase, however, they were able to improve significantly and eliminated Brest in the intermediate round with a total score of 10:0 goals. In the round of 16, they faced Liverpool, the best team in the group stage. After a 0:1 draw at home, they managed to save themselves at Anfield Road by going through to the penalty shoot-out, which they won. This was followed by two more victories against English teams. They prevailed against both Aston Villa and Arsenal. In the semi-final against the Gunners, they won both games and only conceded a single goal.

The clear number 1 in France

The team secured the Ligue 1 title weeks ago. With 84 points, they finished 19 points ahead of their closest rivals Marseille. They dominated the league with 26 wins from 34 games. In addition, they scored an outstanding 92 goals and even had the best defense with 35 goals conceded. They only conceded 2 defeats, one at home and one away. Paris have only failed to score in one league game this season and that was a 0-0 draw against Auxerre. They scored another 7 goals in the last two matchdays alone and also won the cup final against Stade Reims 3-0. The Parisians should therefore feel confident.

Inter Milan wants to turn anger into success

Things have not gone according to plan for the Italians in recent weeks, as after being eliminated in the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia against their city rivals AC Milan at the end of April, they were also defeated by SSC Napoli in the championship. In the end, they lost the Scudetto by a single point. For Inter, the only chance left this season is the UEFA Champions League. Two years ago, they made it to the final of the top flight, but were beaten by Manchester City. This year, their performance in the Champions League makes them even stronger, but they are still slight outsiders in the final.

The Italians already cut a good figure in the group stage and secured 4th place there. In 8 games, they conceded just one defeat and that was against Bayer Leverkusen. In typical Italian fashion, the team played outstandingly well defensively. With only one goal conceded in 8 games, they were of course the clear number 1 in this statistic. They also only conceded one goal against Feyenoord in the round of 16 and won the series 4:1. In the quarter-finals, they beat Bayern 2:1 away from home and made it to the semi-finals with a 2:2 draw at home. This was a spectacle against Barcelona. In what many considered the best semi-final in history, Inter secured their place in the final with a 4-3 win at home after extra time.

The Nerazzurri have overcome their poor form

The team certainly gambled away the championship and the cup in April. They went 5 competitive games in a row without a win and suffered defeats against Bologna, AS Roma and AC Milan. On the penultimate matchday, they only managed a 2-2 draw against Lazio Roma. If they had won this home game, they would be Italian champions today. So not everything went perfectly in the spring, but they remained unbeaten in their last 6 competitive games and won 4 of them. .

Paris remain slight favorites for the title - Our analysis

Paris St. Germain have impressed us a little more in recent weeks and are considered by many to be the best team in Europe at the moment. We would therefore slightly favor them and lean towards them in a win bet. The betting tip is therefore: Paris win. For the 5th time in a row, only one side has scored in CL finals. Both teams are regarded as good defensive teams this season. It is therefore quite possible that the team that takes the lead will also manage it and goals will only be scored on one side.