Paris Saint Germain Logo
Paris Saint Germain
:
FC Arsenal Arsenal Logo
W
L
W
W
W
W
D
D
L
W
07.05.2025 - 21:00 - Parc des Princes
UEFA Champions League
1 2.15
X 3.60
2 3.40

Expert tip for Paris Saint-Germain - FC Arsenal with odds & predictions

Champions League semi-final: Will the Gunners turn the tables?

Who will reach the final of the UEFA Champions League 2024/25? This question will be answered this week when the second legs of the semi-finals of Europe's top flight are on the program. At the Parc des Princes on Wednesday evening (May 7, 2025), hosts Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal FC will meet from 9 pm. We not only offer you our expert tips for this match, but also take a look at the AI forecast, the best odds of the betting providers and particularly interesting statistics that this pairing brings to light in this comprehensive betting tip analysis.

Paris Saint Germain - FC Arsenal: 07.05.2025 - 21:00
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Paris Saint Germain

  • Paris Saint-Germain beat the Gunners 1-0 in the semi-final first leg.
  • PSG have already suffered defeats against English teams against Liverpool (0:1) and Aston Villa (2:3).
  • The Over and Under 2.5 has been balanced in the last eight CL home games.

FC Arsenal

  • Arsenal FC lost the first leg, but had not lost to Paris SG in five previous matches.
  • In the last eight games before the 0:1, the Londoners always scored at least twice.
  • The Gunners have also won their last four CL away games across the board.
Result tip
1:1
Arsenal FC may have the slightly better record in the H2H comparison, but they have also stumbled in the league recently and have never managed more than two 1-1 draws in Paris.
Last 5 games PSG home vs. FC Arsenal away
PSG Home FC Arsenal Away
Olympique Marseille 3:1 1:1 Manchester United
FC Liverpool 0:1 2:1 BATE Baryssau
OSC Lille 4:1 1:7 PSV Eindhoven
Stade Brest 29 7:0 0:0 Nottingham Forest
AS Monaco 4:1 0:0 Smorgon

What speaks for Paris Saint-Germain vs FC Arsenal in the betting tip?

The first part of today's predictions is all about the French champions. Paris Saint-Germain go into the second leg of the Champions League semi-final with a 1-0 lead. Ousmane Dembele scored the all-important goal for PSG at the Emirates Stadium after just four minutes. However, the French side should be warned. They have already lost twice to English teams in the current 2024/25 CL season. With 0:1 at home against Liverpool FC and with 2:3 away at Aston Villa.

Last 5 results Paris Saint Germain
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
16.03.2025 Ligue 1
PSG
Olympique Marseille
3:1 (2:0) S
11.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
FC Liverpool
PSG
0:1 (0:1) S
08.03.2025 Ligue 1
Stade Rennes
PSG
1:4 (0:1) S
05.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Liverpool
0:1 (0:0) N
01.03.2025 Ligue 1
PSG
OSC Lille
4:1 (4:0) S

Mixed results at PSG's home matches

In our football predictions, we have noted three wins in the French champions' last four home games. In the last eight games at home in this competition, the Under 2.5 has come up four times and the Over 2.5 another four times. The same applies to the Both Teams To Score and Not To Score, which initially makes goal betting more complicated. That's why we'll be looking at a lot more data on the Gunners in a moment.The dress rehearsal went down the drain for Paris Saint-Germain, however. The capital side suffered a 2-1 defeat at Racing Strasbourg in Ligue 1, after PSG had already lost 3-1 at home to FC Nantes.

Paris Saint Germain

System: 4-3-3.

Donnarumma
Hakimi Marquinhos Pacho Mendes
Neves Vitinha Ruiz
Doué Dembélé Kvaratskhelia
WE RECOMMEND THE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE WITH A QUOTE OF 1.50

How good is Arsenal FC's current form?

So let's continue with the visitors from the island in this betting tip analysis. 86 minutes plus stoppage time were not enough for the Gunners to at least make up for the early 1-0 deficit in the first leg. The English side's chance conversion must therefore improve considerably if they are to have any chance of reaching the CL final. However, Arsenal have scored at least twice in each of their last eight matches since a 1-0 draw at Inter Milan. Including against another French team, AS Monaco (3:0).

Last 5 results FC Arsenal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
16.03.2025 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
FC Chelsea
1:0 (1:0) S
12.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
FC Arsenal
PSV Eindhoven
2:2 (2:1) U
09.03.2025 England Premier League
Manchester United
FC Arsenal
1:1 (1:0) U
08.03.2025 Club Friendlies
BATE Baryssau
FC Arsenal
2:1 (2:0) N
04.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven
FC Arsenal
1:7 (1:3) S

High-scoring and successful away games for the Gunners

The Londoners are certainly encouraged by the run they have enjoyed in the European premier class at foreign stadiums. After all, they recently recorded four wins in a row. The 2:1 at Real Madrid in particular was a sporting exclamation mark and would at least be enough to take the game to extra time in Paris. In the last four away games, we have also always recorded the Both Teams To Score and an Over 2.5. A total of 20 goals were scored, which means an average of four goals per England away game.

Arsenal FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

Raya
White Saliba Kiwior Lewis-Skelly
Ødegaard Party
Rice Saka Trossard
Martinelli

Paris Saint-Germain have only beaten Arsenal FC once

For the most accurate predictions on your next betting slip, you should take a look at the H2H comparison with us. Especially as it has some interesting facts to offer. The Gunners lost 1-0 to Paris in the first leg of the current semi-final. But before that, the Londoners had not lost to the team from the French capital in five matches. We have recorded two wins and three draws so far. Added to this is a clear 5:1 in a test match in the 2018 calendar year. The Gunners' two away games in Paris both ended in 1:1 draws. And in five out of six duels in competitive matches, the Under 2.5 goal bet came true.

3 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
01.10.2024 UEFA Champions League
FC Arsenal
PSG
2:0 (2:0)
23.11.2016 UEFA Champions League
FC Arsenal
PSG
2:2 (1:1)
13.09.2016 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Arsenal
1:1

Comparison statistics last 10 events

PSG : FC Arsenal

9

Wins

3

0

Draw

4

1

Defeats

3

33

Goals scored

15

6

Goals received

10

12

Shots on target

8

PSG
73%
Ball possession
92%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Duels
won
FC Arsenal
46%
Duels
won
88%
Accuracy of passes
55%
Ball possession
PSG
30
Corners
32
Shots on target
23
Goal kicks
next to the goal
28
Goal kicks
blocked
60
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
23
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
10
Offside
0
yellow cards
0
red cards
FC Arsenal
19
Corners
16
Shots on target
18
Goal kicks
next to the goal
10
Goal kicks
blocked
37
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
7
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
2
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

PSG
33
Goals scored
6
Goals received
ø 3,30
per game
+27
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
FC Arsenal
15
Goals scored
10
Goals received
ø 1,50
per game
+5
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 43.47%
over 2.5 goals 56.53%
under 3.5 goals 63.03%
over 3.5 goals 36.97%
under 4.5 goals 78.96%
over 4.5 goals 21.04%
both teams to score - yes 59.03%
both teams to score - no 40.97%

Our prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Arsenal FC

Arsenal FC often score in the Champions League, the 0:1 against Paris was the exception rather than the rule. In addition, the last two duels with PSG in the French capital ended 1-1, so we recommend the goal bet on Both Teams To Score in our expert tips. And if you want to take advantage of better odds with a little more risk, you can also play the Draw X, especially as three out of six duels between these two teams have ended without a winner.

Odd comparison Paris Saint Germain - FC Arsenal

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