OSC Lille Logo
OSC Lille
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Borussia Dortmund BVB Logo
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12.03.2025 - 18:45 - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
UEFA Champions League
1 2.78
X 3.50
2 2.60

Lille vs. Dortmund betting tip & prediction: Will BVB reach the quarter-finals in France?

Who will reach the last eight of the Champions League?

Based purely on the name, the Lille - Dortmund betting tip seems to be in favor of the German representative. After all, Borussia Dortmund reached the Champions League final last year. However, BVB's performance does not currently reflect this status. Even under Niko Kovac, Dortmund are still searching for consistency. OSC Lille initially look like a small fish in the big bowl of the premier class. However, the league phase ended with a finish in the top eight. This was accompanied by direct qualification for the round of 16. They are currently in fifth place in the league, but with the prospect of reaching the Champions League once again. Which brings us one step closer to the Lille - Dortmund prediction. In the following sections, we will take a closer look at the second leg of the Champions League round of 16. Kick-off is on Tuesday, March 12, 2025 (9 p.m.). Lille will play at home in front of 50,000 spectators at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

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Betting tips today

OSC Lille

  • Lille: Seventh in the CL league phase
  • Qualified with 17:10 goals
  • First leg in Dortmund: 1:1

Borussia Dortmund

  • Dortmund: 10th in the CL group
  • Finished with 22:12 goals
  • Starting position: Don't lose in Lille
Result tip
1:1
Things seem to be going a little better for BVB after the change of coach. But Dortmund have only really impressed in phases, if at all. With the exception of the PSG game, OSC Lille are not in such a bad mood. Once again, we can settle for a 1:1 result.
Last 5 games OSC Lille home vs. Borussia Dortmund away
OSC Lille Home Borussia Dortmund Away
HSC Montpellier 1:0 0:2 FC St. Pauli
AS Monaco 2:1 2:0 VfL Bochum
Le Havre AC 1:2 0:3 Sporting Lissabon
USL Dunkerque 1:1 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim
AS Saint-Étienne 4:1 2:1 FC Bologna

What speaks for Lille vs. Dortmund in our betting tips?

The first leg has only just finished and we're already looking at the betting tips for today's second leg. First, let's take a look at OSC Lille. The French side are in fifth place in Ligue 1 (after 24 league games). Ahead of them are Paris St. Germain, Olympique Lyon, OGC Nice and AS Monaco. The gap to Champions League qualification is currently five points. So far, there have been eleven wins, eight draws and five defeats. 39:27 goals are worth mentioning. Seven wins, three draws and two defeats in front of their own fans. That still leaves 23:15 goals.OGC Lille summary: Similar to Dortmund, things are not quite going to plan for Lille in the league. However, OGC do not have the same claim to the top flight as BVB. Lille can play freely and are an equal opponent after the 1:1 from the first leg.

Last 5 results OSC Lille
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
08.03.2025 Ligue 1
OSC Lille
HSC Montpellier
1:0 (0:0) S
04.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
OSC Lille
1:1 (1:0) U
01.03.2025 Ligue 1
PSG
OSC Lille
4:1 (4:0) N
22.02.2025 Ligue 1
OSC Lille
AS Monaco
2:1 (2:1) S
16.02.2025 Ligue 1
Stade Rennes
OSC Lille
0:2 (0:0) S

How OGC Lille have performed in the Champions League so far

Of course, we are also looking at the French team's performance in the group stage of the Premier League ahead of the Lille - Dortmund betting tip. This competition, which comprised eight matches, saw the French finish in seventh place. In the end, it was enough for five wins, one draw and two defeats. OGC Lille scored 17 goals. We also saw ten goals conceded. Lille won three out of four group games in front of their own fans. One draw followed. This resulted in 11:4 goals. Lille won their last league game in the Champions League with 6:1 over Feyenoord Rotterdam.

OSC Lille

System: 4-3-3.

Chevalier
Meunier Ribeiro Diaconia Gudmundsson
Mukau Bouaddi André
Haraldsson David Acpom
UNDER 3.5 GOALS WITH THIS BOOKMAKER:

How good is Dortmund's current form?

Which brings us to the Champions League forecast and a preview of a sports betting strategy for BVB. Borussia Dortmund are only in tenth place in the 1st Bundesliga after 24 games. 35 points is a meagre haul for a club that is actually aiming for the championship. However, ten wins, five draws and nine defeats do not allow for a better position. They are currently just three points off sixth place. With six more points, BVB would be level with Mainz - currently in fourth place. Away from home, the Black & Yellows have won three, drawn two and lost seven. They have scored 14:23 goals in the process.Interim conclusion on Borussia Dortmund: After the change of coach from Sahin to Kovac, we have to admit that we still don't know exactly where BVB stand. Is the upswing more illusion than reality? It doesn't look that good what Dortmund are bringing to the pitch. A draw is certainly realistic in this match.

Last 5 results Borussia Dortmund
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
08.03.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
0:1 (0:1) N
04.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
OSC Lille
1:1 (1:0) U
01.03.2025 1st German Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
0:2 (0:0) S
22.02.2025 1st German Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Union Berlin
6:0 (2:0) S
19.02.2025 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
Sporting Lissabon
0:0 (0:0) U

This is how Borussia Dortmund played in the Champions League!

In our predictions for the premier class, we're going backwards to the league phase. Dortmund finished in tenth place after eight group games. Five wins and three defeats were not a bad performance, but with 22:12 goals, it was not enough. BVB had to go through to the intermediate round. Away from home, there were two wins and two defeats (9:7 goals) in the group. Sporting awaited in the intermediate round, where BVB had a tough time with a 3:0 and 0:0.

Borussia Dortmund

System: 4-3-3.

Kobel
Ryerson Can Schlotterbeck Svensson
Sabitzer Groß Adeyemi
Brandt Gittens Guirassy

H2H comparison of OSC Lille vs Borussia Dortmund

The teams have faced each other three times in their club history. All three matches ended in a draw. These include the Europa League games from 2002, which ended 0-0 and 1-1. There is also the first leg from last week, which ended in another 1-1 draw.

Last game in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
04.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
Borussia Dortmund
OSC Lille
1:1 (1:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

OSC Lille : Borussia Dortmund

5

Wins

5

2

Draw

2

3

Defeats

3

20

Goals scored

18

13

Goals received

8

12

Shots on target

8

OSC Lille
61%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
53%
Duels
won
Borussia Dortmund
43%
Duels
won
90%
Accuracy of passes
63%
Ball possession
OSC Lille
25
Corners
18
Shots on target
19
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
38
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
15
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
Offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
Borussia Dortmund
16
Corners
11
Shots on target
17
Goal kicks
next to the goal
13
Goal kicks
blocked
26
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
15
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

OSC Lille
20
Goals scored
13
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+7
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Borussia Dortmund
18
Goals scored
8
Goals received
ø 1,80
per game
+10
Goal difference
7 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 49.97%
over 2.5 goals 50.03%
under 3.5 goals 69.38%
over 3.5 goals 30.62%
under 4.5 goals 83.89%
over 4.5 goals 16.11%
both teams to score - yes 54.96%
both teams to score - no 45.04%

Our expert tip and prediction for Lille v Dortmund

Few goals and a tendency to draw. Our first Lille - Dortmund betting tip is Under 3.5 goals. This is the safety variant. If you are looking for higher odds, choose the Draw X at your favorite bookmaker.

Odd comparison OSC Lille - Borussia Dortmund

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