Marseille will be looking to consolidate their 2nd place in the clash against Lens. Prediction, 08.03.25

Can Lens end the negative trend in the top match?

Published on 04.03.2025 02:26.

Marseille are currently in second place in the table but no longer have any chance of winning the championship, as Paris St. Germain are already too far away for that. However, they want to continue to secure their 2nd place, as Nice are only 3 points away in 3rd place. Marseille will go into the match against RC Lens as favorites. Although they have always been one of the top clubs in recent years, the visitors are struggling this year and are only in 9th place in the table. They have lost all of their last 4 games and will now be looking to halt this trend and celebrate a win in the top game of all places.

Tip 1 1.61
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both teams to score - no 2.00
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Betting tips today

2nd place in the table
Won 4 of the last 5 games
First duel against Lens won

9th place in the table
4 defeats in a row
Only 3 defeats in 12 away games

Result tip

2:0

Marseille have already won their first match against Lens. The hosts have won 4 of their last 5 games, while Lens have lost 4 in a row.

Racket Ligue 1
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	PSG	16	12	4	0	44:14	30	40
2	Olympique Marseille	15	9	3	3	32:18	14	30
3	AS Monaco	16	9	3	4	26:16	10	30
4	OSC Lille	15	7	6	2	25:15	10	27
5	Lyon	15	7	4	4	27:20	7	25
6	OGC Nizza	15	6	6	3	28:19	9	24
7	RC Lens	15	6	6	3	19:14	5	24
8	AJ Auxerre	15	6	3	6	23:23	0	21
9	FC Toulouse	15	6	3	6	17:17	0	21
10	Stade Reims	15	5	5	5	20:18	2	20
11	Stade Brest	15	6	1	8	24:27	-3	19
12	Stade Rennes	15	5	2	8	20:20	0	17
13	Racing Straßburg	15	4	5	6	25:27	-2	17
14	FC Nantes	15	3	5	7	17:24	-7	14
15	Angers SCO	15	3	4	8	14:26	-12	13
16	AS Saint-Étienne	15	4	1	10	12:34	-22	13
17	Le Havre AC	15	4	0	11	11:29	-18	12
18	HSC Montpellier	15	2	3	10	15:38	-23	9
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games Olympique Marseille home vs. RC Lens away
Olympique Marseille Home	RC Lens Away
FC Nantes 2:0	3:1 FC Nantes
AS Saint-Étienne 5:1	2:0 OGC Nizza
Olympique Lyon 3:2	0:2 HSC Montpellier
RC Strasbourg Alsace 1:1	1:2 Le Havre AC
OSC Lille 1:1	2:2 AJ Auxerre

Marseille is the clear number 2 in France

The hosts are still the clear number 2 in the French Ligue 1. League leaders Paris St. Germain have pulled away, but behind them they have been in 2nd place for months. After 24 match days, they currently have 49 points and are therefore 3 points ahead of Nice, who are in third place. However, they still need wins to defend their place, having won 4 of their last 5 games. In total, they have a record of 15 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats. With 52 goals, they have the 2nd best offense in the league and the 4th best defense with 29 goals conceded. Marseille only occupy 7th place in the home table and have scored just 22 points in 12 games. They have won 6 of their 12 home games, 4 have ended in a draw and only 2 games have been lost. While they are responsible for more than 2.00 goals per game with 25 goals, they have also conceded 16 goals. They lost their last away game 3-0 against Auxerre. Before that, they celebrated a 0:2 win at Angers.

Last 5 results Olympique Marseille
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
02.03.2025	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	FC Nantes	2:0 (0:0)	S
02.03.2025 - Ligue 1
22.02.2025	Ligue 1	AJ Auxerre	Olympique Marseille	3:0 (1:0)	N
22.02.2025 - Ligue 1
15.02.2025	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	AS Saint-Étienne	5:1 (1:0)	S
15.02.2025 - Ligue 1
09.02.2025	Ligue 1	Angers SCO	Olympique Marseille	0:2 (0:0)	S
09.02.2025 - Ligue 1
02.02.2025	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	Lyon	3:2 (0:0)	S
02.02.2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille makes it through the season without injury problems

A major advantage for Marseille this season is that they have come through without any major injury worries and hardly any key players are out for a long period of time. Coach Roberto De Zerbi will only be without striker Faris Moumbagna for the match against Lens. However, the team is relying more on other players in attack anyway. Mason Greenwood is by far the team's top scorer with 15 goals. Amine Gouiri, who also scored against Nantes on the last matchday, has been at the forefront of the attack.

Olympique Marseille

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gerónimo Rulli

Michael Murillo Leonardo Balerdi Geoffrey Kondogbia Luís Henrique

Ismaël Bennacer Pierre-Emile Højbjerg

Quentin Merlin Mason Greenwood Adrien Rabiot

Amine Gouiri

The odds for a win for Marseille are 1.61

To Onestep

Lens has lost too many key players

In recent years, the club has always finished in the top 7 of the table, regularly qualifying for the European competition. This is of course the goal again this year, but they have struggled so far this season. Lens are only in 9th place in the table and have an even record of 9 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats. One reason for the difficult season is the many departures. Kevin Danso and Abdukodir Khusanov, the club's two regular central defenders, left for top clubs in the winter alone. They also lost Elye Wahi in the summer, which meant that the offense suffered considerably. Only center forward M'Bala Nzola has scored more than 5 goals and is on 6 goals for the season. Their second-best goalscorer is already a full-back. In total, only 29 goals have been scored in 24 games, more than 20 goals less than their opponents. In 12 away games, only 16 goals were scored, yet they are in a strong 4th place in this table. They have only lost 3 of these 12 away games and won 5.

Last 5 results RC Lens
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
01.03.2025	Ligue 1	RC Lens	Le Havre AC	3:4 (2:2)	N
01.03.2025 - Ligue 1
23.02.2025	Ligue 1	FC Nantes	RC Lens	3:1 (1:0)	N
23.02.2025 - Ligue 1
16.02.2025	Ligue 1	RC Lens	Racing Straßburg	0:2 (0:0)	N
16.02.2025 - Ligue 1
08.02.2025	Ligue 1	OGC Nizza	RC Lens	2:0 (1:0)	N
08.02.2025 - Ligue 1
31.01.2025	Ligue 1	HSC Montpellier	RC Lens	0:2 (0:1)	S
31.01.2025 - Ligue 1

The current form curve is clearly pointing downwards

Lens are currently in atrocious form and probably in their worst form of the season. They have lost all of their last 4 games, conceding a total of 11 goals in the process. In the defeats against Nice and Strasbourg, they were unable to score a goal themselves. Most recently, they even lost 4-3 at home to relegation candidates Le Havre. Their last win came away against HSC Montpellier at the end of January. There they were able to prevail with 0:2.

RC Lens

System: 4-3-3.

Mathew Ryan

Ruben Aguilar Jonathan Gradit Malang Sarr Facundo Medina

Deiver Machado Adrien Thomasson Neil El Aynaoui

Anass Zaroury Florian Sotoca Wesley Saïd

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
23.11.2024	Ligue 1	RC Lens	Olympique Marseille	1:3 (0:0)
23.11.2024 - Ligue 1
28.04.2024	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	RC Lens	2:1 (1:0)
28.04.2024 - Ligue 1
12.11.2023	Ligue 1	RC Lens	Olympique Marseille	1:0 (0:0)
12.11.2023 - Ligue 1
06.05.2023	Ligue 1	RC Lens	Olympique Marseille	2:1 (1:0)
06.05.2023 - Ligue 1
22.10.2022	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	RC Lens	0:1 (0:0)
22.10.2022 - Ligue 1

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Olympique Marseille		:	RC Lens
6 Wins 3
2 Draw 1
2 Defeats 6
21 Goals scored 11
12 Goals received 16
12 Shots on target 8

Olympique Marseille

69%

Ball possession

91%

Accuracy of passes

49%

Duels
won

RC Lens

46%

Duels
won

84%

Accuracy of passes

54%

Ball possession

Olympique Marseille

20
Corners

6
Shots on target

8
Goal kicks
next to the goal

8
Goal kicks
blocked

16
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

6
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

3
Offside

1
yellow cards

0
red cards

RC Lens

34
Corners

12
Shots on target

26
Goal kicks
next to the goal

23
Goal kicks
blocked

37
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

24
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

4
Offside

9
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Olympique Marseille

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,10

per game

Goal difference

8 / 10

Games with goals

RC Lens

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,10

per game

-5

Goal difference

7 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.40

1.66

under 2.5 goals 40.50%

over 2.5 goals 59.50%

1.58

2.40

under 3.5 goals 60.37%

over 3.5 goals 39.63%

1.22

4.33

under 4.5 goals 77.39%

over 4.5 goals 22.61%

1.70

2.10

both teams to score - yes 54.76%

both teams to score - no 45.24%

Marseille are the favorites based on form - Our prediction

Marseille are in 2nd place in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 games. They also won their first match against Lens. Lens have lost all of their last 4 games in the league, which is why we expect Marseille to win at home. We don't expect too many goals, as the visitors have too harmless an offense and too stable a defense. We believe that only one team will score, most likely Marseille.

Marseille will be looking to consolidate their 2nd place in the clash against Lens. Prediction, 08.03.25

Can Lens end the negative trend in the top match?

Olympique Marseille

RC Lens

Marseille is the clear number 2 in France

Marseille makes it through the season without injury problems

Olympique Marseille

Lens has lost too many key players

The current form curve is clearly pointing downwards

RC Lens

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Marseille are the favorites based on form - Our prediction

Odd comparison Olympique Marseille - RC Lens