Nice and Marseille kick off matchday 13 in Ligue 1. Prediction, 21.11.25

The guests can take the lead in the table

Published on 19.11.2025 16:39.

Nice have had a very average season so far and have a balanced record after 12 matchdays. The hosts are currently in 9th place in the table and are already 8 points behind their upcoming opponents Olympique Marseille. After 2 defeats in a row, the form curve is also clearly pointing downwards. The situation is far better for their opponents from Marseille. The visitors are still within striking distance of league leaders PSG, as they are only 2 points off the lead. Marseille have won their last two games and have not conceded a goal. To remain a serious contender, however, they must become more consistent away from home, where they have already conceded 3 defeats in 6 games.

OGC Nizza - Olympique Marseille: 21.11.2025 - 19:45

Tip 2 1.85
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over 2.5 goals 1.66
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Betting tips today All betting tips

9th place in the table
Last 2 defeats in a row
Only one defeat in 6 home games

2nd place in the table
3 defeats in 6 away games
Best offense in France

Result tip

1:2

Nice are extremely strong at home, but have recently conceded 2 defeats in a row in Ligue 1. Marseille are in a good 2nd place in the table and have won their last two games.

Racket Ligue 1
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	AS Monaco	5	4	0	1	13:7	6	12
2	PSG	5	4	0	1	10:4	6	12
3	Lyon	5	4	0	1	7:3	4	12
4	Racing Straßburg	5	4	0	1	8:5	3	12
5	OSC Lille	5	3	1	1	13:8	5	10
6	Olympique Marseille	5	3	0	2	10:4	6	9
7	RC Lens	5	3	0	2	8:5	3	9
8	Stade Rennes	5	2	2	1	7:8	-1	8
9	FC Toulouse	5	2	0	3	7:9	-2	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
11	FC Paris	5	2	0	3	9:12	-3	6
12	OGC Nizza	5	2	0	3	6:9	-3	6
13	Angers SCO	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
14	Stade Brest	5	1	1	3	9:11	-2	4
15	Le Havre AC	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4
16	FC Nantes	5	1	1	3	3:5	-2	4
17	FC Lorient	5	1	1	3	6:13	-7	4
18	FC Metz	5	0	1	4	5:13	-8	1
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games OGC Nizza home vs. Olympique Marseille away
OGC Nizza Home	Olympique Marseille Away
SC Freiburg 1:3	0:1 AJ Auxerre
OSC Lille 2:0	2:1 RC Lens
Olympique Lyon 3:2	2:1 Sporting Lissabon
FC Paris 1:1	0:3 FC Metz
AS Rom 1:2	1:2 RC Strasbourg Alsace

Nice has so far fallen short of expectations

Last year, Nice achieved a strong 4th place in Ligue 1 and qualified for the international competition. In the current season, they have found it much more difficult so far, as after 12 match days they are only in 9th place in the table and thus clearly behind their own expectations. The record is balanced with 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. While they have only won one of 6 games away from home, they are a real force at home. In 6 home games, they picked up a strong 13 points and managed 4 wins. They have only lost one home game so far and that was against FC Toulouse on matchday 1. Most recently, they faced two very strong opponents in Lyon and Lille, but won both games. Despite these successes, we would describe their current form as not good, as they have recently suffered 2 consecutive defeats in the league. .

Last 5 results OGC Nizza
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
09.11.2025	Ligue 1	FC Metz	OGC Nizza	2:1 (0:1)	N
09.11.2025 - Ligue 1
06.11.2025	UEFA Europa League	OGC Nizza	Freiburg	1:3 (1:3)	N
06.11.2025 - UEFA Europa League
01.11.2025	Ligue 1	PSG	OGC Nizza	1:0 (0:0)	N
01.11.2025 - Ligue 1
29.10.2025	Ligue 1	OGC Nizza	OSC Lille	2:0 (1:0)	S
29.10.2025 - Ligue 1
26.10.2025	Ligue 1	Stade Rennes	OGC Nizza	1:2 (0:2)	S
26.10.2025 - Ligue 1

Nice must score more goals

The hosts have only scored 17 goals in 12 games so far, the fewest of any team in the top half of the table. With Sofiane Diop, they also only have one player in the squad who has scored more than 2 goals. The Moroccan has already scored 6 goals, while the 2nd top scorer Jeremie Boga has just 2. In the last two games against Paris and Metz, they have only scored once. In 12 games so far, they have only managed to score more than 2 goals per game on 2 occasions.

OGC Nice

System: 4-2-3-1.

Yehvann Diouf

Antoine Mendy Abdulay Juma Bah Melvin Bard Tiago Gouveia

Charles Vanhoutte Salis Abdul Samed

Ali Abdi Sofiane Diop Kevin Carlos Omoruyi

Jérémie Boga

A win for the guests brings you odds of 1.85

To Wallacebet

Marseille can take the lead in the table

Once again, the visitors are likely to be the first to chase serial champions Paris St. Germain. Marseille are level on points with RC Lens in 2nd place in the table and are just 2 points behind the league leaders. They have won 8 out of 12 games so far, but have also been beaten 3 times. Despite these defeats, they have the best offense in the league with 28 goals. They are also number 1 defensively, together with PSG and Lens, with just 11 goals conceded. In contrast to their opponents, they can also score with their strong current form. They have won their last two games in the league without conceding a single goal. The away win was 0:1 at Auxerre. It was only Marseille's 3rd away win of the season. While they are the best home team in the league, they have only managed to collect 9 points in 6 games away from home. All 3 of their defeats this season have been away from home. They have also only scored 7 goals away from home.

Last 5 results Olympique Marseille
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
08.11.2025	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	Stade Brest	3:0 (2:0)	S
08.11.2025 - Ligue 1
05.11.2025	UEFA Champions League	Olympique Marseille	Atalanta Bergamo	0:1 (0:0)	N
05.11.2025 - UEFA Champions League
01.11.2025	Ligue 1	AJ Auxerre	Olympique Marseille	0:1 (0:1)	S
01.11.2025 - Ligue 1
29.10.2025	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	Angers SCO	2:2 (0:1)	U
29.10.2025 - Ligue 1
25.10.2025	Ligue 1	RC Lens	Olympique Marseille	2:1 (1:1)	N
25.10.2025 - Ligue 1

The most dangerous offensive in France

With 28 goals already to their name, the team is responsible for more than 2.00 goals per game. They have scored in 10 out of 12 games this season. Their best game was probably a 6-2 win at home against Le Havre. They also have an outstanding player in their squad in Mason Greenwood. The Englishman has already scored 8 goals and provided 3 assists. No player in the league has scored more. With Aubameyan and Vaz, two other attacking players have already scored 4 goals.

Olympique Marseille

System: 4-3-3.

Gerónimo Rulli

Benjamin Pavard Nayef Aguerd Emerson Palmieri Amir Murillo

Arthur Vermeeren Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Angel Gomes

Mason Greenwood Igor Paixão Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
26.01.2025	Ligue 1	OGC Nizza	Olympique Marseille	2:0 (1:0)
26.01.2025 - Ligue 1
14.09.2024	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	OGC Nizza	2:0 (1:0)
14.09.2024 - Ligue 1
24.04.2024	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	OGC Nizza	2:2 (1:1)
24.04.2024 - Ligue 1
21.10.2023	Ligue 1	OGC Nizza	Olympique Marseille	1:0 (0:0)
21.10.2023 - Ligue 1
05.02.2023	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	OGC Nizza	1:3 (0:2)
05.02.2023 - Ligue 1

Comparison statistics last 10 events

OGC Nizza		:	Olympique Marseille
3 Wins 6
2 Draw 1
5 Defeats 3
14 Goals scored 23
16 Goals received 10
12 Shots on target 8

OGC Nizza

41%

Ball possession

83%

Accuracy of passes

50%

Duels
won

Olympique Marseille

51%

Duels
won

90%

Accuracy of passes

60%

Ball possession

OGC Nizza

13
Corners

13
Shots on target

9
Goal kicks
next to the goal

10
Goal kicks
blocked

21
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

11
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

4
Offside

11
yellow cards

2
red cards

Olympique Marseille

15
Corners

30
Shots on target

33
Goal kicks
next to the goal

13
Goal kicks
blocked

39
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

37
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

8
Offside

11
yellow cards

1
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

OGC Nizza

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,40

per game

-2

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Olympique Marseille

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,30

per game

+13

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.12

1.73

under 2.5 goals 44.40%

over 2.5 goals 55.60%

1.44

2.75

under 3.5 goals 65.63%

over 3.5 goals 34.37%

1.17

5.00

under 4.5 goals 81.04%

over 4.5 goals 18.96%

1.62

2.20

both teams to score - yes 57.59%

both teams to score - no 42.41%

Marseille are slight favorites - Our analysis

Despite Nice's home strength, Marseille are the slight favorites in our opinion. The visitors have won their last two league games, while Nice have lost them. They also have the best offense in the league, which is why we expect more than 2.5 goals in the match.