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Manchester United Logo
Manchester United
:
Newcastle United Newcastle United Logo
W
D
W
D
L
D
W
L
D
W
26.12.2025 - 20:00 - Old Trafford
England England Premier League
1 2.45
X 3.60
2 2.75

Expert tip for Manchester United - Newcastle United with odds & predictions

Matchday 18 in the Premier League: Will Man United conquer an international place?

There is no break on the island. So the traditional game will also be played on Boxing Day. In this case, Manchester United and Newcastle United will kick off the 18th matchday in the Premier League on Friday (December 26, 2025) from 9 pm at Old Trafford. The betting tip analysis is available here with everything you need: Our expert tip, the AI forecast and of course all the important statistics as well as the best odds from the bookmakers. So read on immediately.

Manchester United - Newcastle United: 26.12.2025 - 20:00
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Manchester United

  • Manchester United lost 2-1 at Aston Villa on the final matchday of the Premier League.
  • The Red Devils have already scored 31 goals and have the second-best forward line.
  • A total of 59 goals were scored in 17 matches, an average of around 3.5 goals.

Newcastle United

  • Newcastle recently fought out a 2-2 draw against fourth-placed Chelsea FC.
  • Away from home, Nick Woltemade and Co. have just one three-pointer in eight games.
  • The only seven goals scored away from home are a particular cause for concern in the betting tips.
Result tip
3:2
A strong Red Devils offense prevails against a generally weak Newcastle in foreign stadiums. And once again, Manchester United traditionally score plenty of goals.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 5 5 0 0 11:5 6 15
2 FC Arsenal 5 3 1 1 10:2 8 10
3 Tottenham 5 3 1 1 10:3 7 10
4 AFC Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 6:5 1 10
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 6:2 4 9
6 FC Chelsea 5 2 2 1 10:5 5 8
7 AFC Sunderland 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
8 FC Fulham 5 2 2 1 6:5 1 8
9 Manchester City 5 2 1 2 9:5 4 7
10 FC Everton 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
11 Manchester United 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
12 Leeds United 5 2 1 2 4:7 -3 7
13 Newcastle United 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
14 Brighton 5 1 2 2 6:8 -2 5
15 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 5:9 -4 5
16 Burnley FC 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
17 FC Brentford 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
18 Aston Villa 5 0 3 2 1:5 -4 3
19 West Ham United 5 1 0 4 5:13 -8 3
20 Wolverhampton 5 0 0 5 3:12 -9 0

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Last 5 games Manchester United home vs. Newcastle United away
Manchester United Home Newcastle United Away
AFC Bournemouth 4:4 1:0 AFC Sunderland
West Ham United 1:1 2:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
FC Everton 0:1 1:4 FC Everton
Brighton & Hove Albion 4:2 2:1 Olympique Marseille
AFC Sunderland 2:0 3:1 FC Brentford

What speaks for Manchester United against Newcastle United in the betting tip?

So let's get started with our betting tips today and start with the hosts. With 26 points and seventh place, Manchester United are in a decent starting position. The gap to fourth-placed Chelsea FC is just one win, or three points. With a three-pointer at home, the Red Devils can also displace Liverpool FC from fifth place, at least overnight, thanks to their superior goal difference.

Last 5 results Manchester United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
21.12.2025 England Premier League
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2:1 (1:1) N
15.12.2025 England Premier League
Manchester United
AFC Bournemouth
4:4 (2:1) U
08.12.2025 England Premier League
Wolverhampton
Manchester United
1:4 (1:1) S
04.12.2025 England Premier League
Manchester United
West Ham United
1:1 (0:0) U
30.11.2025 England Premier League
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
1:2 (1:0) S

Most goals are scored in Man United matches

Manchester United have managed seven wins so far this season, plus five draws. However, the club suffered a 2-1 defeat at Aston Villa last weekend, their fifth league defeat of the season. The 31 goals scored so far are striking. That is as many as the leaders Arsenal have scored. The Red Devils therefore have the second-best offense. 59 goals in Man United's matches are also the most - an average of almost 3.5 goals per match.

Manchester United

System: 4-2-3-1.

Senne Lammens
Leny Yoro Ayden Heaven Luke Shaw Amad Diallo
Casemiro Bruno Fernandes
Diogo Dalot Bryan Mbeumo Mason Mount
Matheus Cunha
WE RECOMMEND THE HEAT WIN 1 DNB WITH BETS OF 1.80

How good is Newcastle United's current form?

With all the hype surrounding Nick Woltemade, it is easy to overlook in football predictions that Newcastle United have performed very poorly so far in the 2025/26 Premier League season. The Magpies are only eleventh in the table with 23 points ahead of matchday 18. It will take a small interim spurt to close the six-point gap to the international places. Six wins and six defeats with five draws mean they currently have a completely balanced record in the English championship.

Last 5 results Newcastle United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
20.12.2025 England Premier League
Newcastle United
FC Chelsea
2:2 (2:0) U
17.12.2025 EFL - Carabao Cup
Newcastle United
FC Fulham
2:1 (1:1) S
14.12.2025 England Premier League
AFC Sunderland
Newcastle United
1:0 (0:0) N
10.12.2025 UEFA Champions League
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Newcastle United
2:2 (1:0) U
06.12.2025 England Premier League
Newcastle United
Burnley FC
2:1 (2:0) S

The Magpies show great weaknesses away from home

When looking for the best bets for your betting slip, it's easy to see where Newcastle United are lacking. Newcastle United have won just one of their eight away games. In addition, the team has only scored seven goals in away stadiums. Newcastle also recently suffered a 1-0 defeat at Sunderland. However, the Magpies advanced to the semi-finals of the League Cup and made the most of their home advantage against Fulham FC (2:1).

Newcastle United

System: 4-3-3.

Aaron Ramsdale
Lewis Miley Malick Thiaw Fabian Schär Lewis Hall
Bruno Guimarães Sandro Tonali Jacob Ramsey
Jacob Murphy Nick Woltemade Anthony Gordon

H2H doesn't speak for Newcastle against Man United at all

In the previous 24/25 season, Man United lost twice to Newcastle, 4-1 away and 2-0 at home. However, the Red Devils have only lost two of their last twelve duels at Old Trafford. In eight of these encounters, the Over 2.5 worked out with at least three goals. Seven times, however, we also recorded an Over 3.5. In 81 Premier League games in Manchester, the Magpies have also only managed ten wins.

5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
13.04.2025 England Premier League
Newcastle United
Manchester United
4:1 (1:1)
30.12.2024 England Premier League
Manchester United
Newcastle United
0:2 (0:2)
15.05.2024 England Premier League
Manchester United
Newcastle United
3:2 (1:0)
02.12.2023 England Premier League
Newcastle United
Manchester United
1:0 (0:0)
01.11.2023 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester United
Newcastle United
0:3 (0:2)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Manchester United : Newcastle United

4

Wins

4

4

Draw

3

2

Defeats

3

22

Goals scored

18

17

Goals received

16

12

Shots on target

8

Manchester United
54%
Ball possession
83%
Accuracy of passes
51%
Duels
won
Newcastle United
53%
Duels
won
84%
Accuracy of passes
47%
Ball possession
Manchester United
24
Corners
21
Shots on target
22
Goal kicks
next to the goal
25
Goal kicks
blocked
52
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
Newcastle United
22
Corners
26
Shots on target
15
Goal kicks
next to the goal
8
Goal kicks
blocked
36
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
4
Offside
4
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Manchester United
22
Goals scored
17
Goals received
ø 2,20
per game
+5
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Newcastle United
18
Goals scored
16
Goals received
ø 1,80
per game
+2
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 43.15%
over 2.5 goals 56.85%
under 3.5 goals 63.59%
over 3.5 goals 36.41%
under 4.5 goals 78.95%
over 4.5 goals 21.05%
both teams to score - yes 58.90%
both teams to score - no 41.10%

Our prediction for Manchester United vs Newcastle United

Taking all the facts and statistics into account, we believe Manchester United have the advantage despite a rather average home record. This is because Newcastle United have only won once away from home. Nevertheless, a slight hedge is advisable, which is why we have opted for the Home Win 1 Draw No Bet in our expert tips. This means you will at least get your stake refunded in the event of a draw. The Over 3.5 offers even better odds, especially as Man United score the most goals in the Premier League. And in the last twelve duels at Old Trafford, this goal bet has paid off seven times.

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