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Manchester City Logo
Manchester City
:
Newcastle United Newcastle United Logo
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W
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21.02.2026 - 20:00 - Etihad Stadium
England England Premier League
1 1.55
X 5.25
2 28.00

Man City are still in the championship race, but need a win against Newcastle. Prediction, 21.02.26

Will Newcastle upset the next top team?

Published on 17.02.2026 11:03.

Manchester City may not be having an outstanding season, but they are also undergoing some upheaval. It is all the more surprising that they are still in the championship battle after 26 match days. They are currently in second place and 4 points off the lead in the table. After 10 points from the last 4 games, they are also in top form. Newcastle can only dream of such form this season. The Magpies are far below their own expectations and are only in 10th place, with the gap to the international places growing ever larger. In the duel against the top teams, however, they are always able to put in pinpricks. On the last matchday, they celebrated a 1:2 away win at Tottenham Hotspur.

Manchester City - Newcastle United: 21.02.2026 - 20:00
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Betting tips today All betting tips

Facts Team 1 Team 2

Manchester City

  • 2nd place in the table
  • Best offense in England
  • Best home team in the league

Newcastle United

  • 10th place in the table
  • As many defeats as victories
  • Only 3 of 13 away games won
Result tip
3:1
ManCity have won the last two duels and also have home advantage. Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 5 5 0 0 11:5 6 15
2 FC Arsenal 5 3 1 1 10:2 8 10
3 Tottenham 5 3 1 1 10:3 7 10
4 AFC Bournemouth 5 3 1 1 6:5 1 10
5 Crystal Palace 5 2 3 0 6:2 4 9
6 FC Chelsea 5 2 2 1 10:5 5 8
7 AFC Sunderland 5 2 2 1 6:4 2 8
8 FC Fulham 5 2 2 1 6:5 1 8
9 Manchester City 5 2 1 2 9:5 4 7
10 FC Everton 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
11 Manchester United 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
12 Leeds United 5 2 1 2 4:7 -3 7
13 Newcastle United 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
14 Brighton 5 1 2 2 6:8 -2 5
15 Nottingham Forest 5 1 2 2 5:9 -4 5
16 Burnley FC 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
17 FC Brentford 5 1 1 3 6:10 -4 4
18 Aston Villa 5 0 3 2 1:5 -4 3
19 West Ham United 5 1 0 4 5:13 -8 3
20 Wolverhampton 5 0 0 5 3:12 -9 0

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Last 5 games Manchester City home vs. Newcastle United away
Manchester City Home Newcastle United Away
FC Fulham 3:0 1:6 FK Qarabag Agdam
Newcastle United 3:1 1:3 Aston Villa
Galatasaray Istanbul 2:0 1:2 Tottenham Hotspur
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2:0 3:1 Manchester City
West Ham United 3:0 4:1 FC Liverpool

Manchester City want to stay in the championship fight

The Citizens still have a chance of winning the league title, but they have to keep up with Arsenal FC to do so. The gap after 26 match days is currently 4 points. If they lose, however, this gap could increase to 7 points. A difficult task awaits the 2nd-placed team in the table with Newcastle. However, City are in good form and have not been beaten in 4 games. During this time, they have won 3 games against Wolverhampton, Fulham and Liverpool FC. A draw was achieved against Tottenham Hotspur. Although the offense is not in top form at the moment, they were able to score at least 2 goals in each of these games. They have also managed to keep a clean sheet in their last two home games. 24 goals conceded in 26 league games is also the 2nd-best figure in the Premier League. With 54 goals, they even have the best offense in the league. They scored 32 of these goals in their 13 home games. They won 10 of them and were only beaten once at home.

Last 5 results Manchester City
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
11.02.2026 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Fulham
3:0 (3:0) S
08.02.2026 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
Manchester City
1:2 (0:0) S
04.02.2026 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester City
Newcastle United
3:1 (3:0) S
01.02.2026 England Premier League
Tottenham
Manchester City
2:2 (0:2) U
28.01.2026 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City
Galatasaray Istanbul
2:0 (2:0) S

Several title options

City still had a chance of winning the title in all 4 competitions in mid-February. In the Champions League, they made it directly to the round of 16 and won 5 out of 8 group games. In the FA Cup, they have won 2 games so far and are more than deserving of a place in the next round, where they will also face Newcastle United. In the EFL Cup, they have even made it to the final. Here, too, they had to play Newcastle in the semi-final and won in 2 games with a total score of 5:1. They will now face Arsenal FC in the final.

Manchester City

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gianluigi Donnarumma
Matheus Nunes Rúben Dias Marc Guéhi Rayan Aït-Nouri
Bernardo Silva Rodri
Nico O'Reilly Phil Foden Erling Haaland
Antoine Semenyo
Combination bet recommendation: victory for City with odds of 1.46

The Magpies are increasingly losing touch

In recent years, Newcastle United has increasingly blossomed into a Champions League contender. They are there again this year. However, this may no longer be the case next season, as the team is currently only in 10th place in the Premier League. They are already 9 points off a top 4 place and their performances in recent weeks are not necessarily pointing upwards. Although they celebrated a 1:2 away win at Tottenham Hotspur on the last matchday, they suffered 3 defeats in a row before that, including a 4:1 away defeat to Liverpool FC. They also conceded a surprising 3:2 defeat against Brentford FC in their last home game. In general, the defense is a construction site with 37 goals already conceded. Newcastle have conceded as many defeats as they have wins. In addition to 10 wins and 10 defeats, a further 6 games ended in a draw.

Last 5 results Newcastle United
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
18.02.2026 UEFA Champions League
FK Qarabag Agdam
Newcastle United
1:6 (0:5) S
14.02.2026 FA Cup
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
1:3 (1:0) S
10.02.2026 England Premier League
Tottenham
Newcastle United
1:2 (0:1) S
07.02.2026 England Premier League
Newcastle United
FC Brentford
2:3 (1:2) N
04.02.2026 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester City
Newcastle United
3:1 (3:0) N

Away performances are a cause for concern

One statistic that also clearly speaks against Newcastle United is that they have major problems away from home. In fact, they are only 13th in the away table and have only picked up 13 points in 13 games. With 6 defeats to their name, they have lost twice as many games as they have won. It is therefore not surprising that they have a negative goal difference of 13:17 goals. However, this is particularly worrying in attack. Only 3 teams in the league have scored fewer goals away from home.

Newcastle United

System: 4-3-3.

Nick Pope
Kieran Trippier Malick Thiaw Sven Botman Lewis Hall
Joe Willock Bruno Guimarães Sandro Tonali
Jacob Murphy Yoane Wissa Harvey Barnes
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
04.02.2026 EFL - Carabao Cup
Manchester City
Newcastle United
3:1 (3:0)
22.11.2025 England Premier League
Newcastle United
Manchester City
2:1 (0:0)
15.02.2025 England Premier League
Manchester City
Newcastle United
4:0 (3:0)
28.09.2024 England Premier League
Newcastle United
Manchester City
1:1 (0:1)
16.03.2024 FA Cup
Manchester City
Newcastle United
2:0 (2:0)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

Manchester City : Newcastle United

8

Wins

4

2

Draw

1

0

Defeats

5

21

Goals scored

19

5

Goals received

18

12

Shots on target

8

Manchester City
62%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
56%
Duels
won
Newcastle United
52%
Duels
won
83%
Accuracy of passes
49%
Ball possession
Manchester City
34
Corners
29
Shots on target
31
Goal kicks
next to the goal
25
Goal kicks
blocked
62
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
23
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
11
Offside
7
yellow cards
0
red cards
Newcastle United
37
Corners
27
Shots on target
27
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
50
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
20
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
Offside
9
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

Manchester City
21
Goals scored
5
Goals received
ø 2,10
per game
+16
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Newcastle United
19
Goals scored
18
Goals received
ø 1,90
per game
+1
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
2.75 1.45
under 2.5 goals 34.59%
over 2.5 goals 65.41%
1.73 2.10
under 3.5 goals 55.02%
over 3.5 goals 44.98%
1.30 3.50
under 4.5 goals 72.39%
over 4.5 goals 27.61%
1.57 2.40
both teams to score - yes 60.19%
both teams to score - no 39.81%

ManCity is the clear favorite for us - Our prediction

With home advantage behind them, Manchester City are the clear favorites in this match. Newcastle are too weak away from home and are also not in good form. City also won the two semi-final duels in the EFL Cup. In addition to a Tip 1, we think Newcastle will score in any case.

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