Champions League top match: Manchester City face Inter Milan. AI prediction, 18.09.24
The English champions welcome the Italian champions
Wednesday's matchday 1 of the UEFA Champions League will be a real battleground. English champions Manchester City will face Italian champions Inter Milan. This was also the Champions League final of 2023. Both teams are once again among the favorites for the title this year, City probably even more so than Inter. Especially as the Citizens' start has once again been outstanding and they have won all four games in the Premier League. Inter Milan are also unbeaten, but have yet to win a game away from home. The visitors would probably be satisfied with a point in Manchester.
Low risk
Manchester City
- Premier League table leader
- Won all 4 games
- 11:3 goals scored
Inter Mailand
- 2nd place in Series A
- Still unbeaten after 4 games
- No away game won yet
The AI forecast sees Manchester City with the advantage
The AI has taken a close look at the season so far and therefore favors Manchester City in this game. The hosts have won every game in the Premier League so far and have Erling Haaland in top form. Inter Milan are also unbeaten in Serie A, but have only managed a draw away from home twice. They also lost the final game of the 2023 season against the Citizens. Manchester City therefore go into the game as favorites and the AI tip is: Win Manchester City.
| Manchester City Home | Inter Mailand Away |
|---|---|
| FC Brentford 2:1 | 1:1 AC Monza |
| Ipswich Town 4:1 | 2:2 CFC Genua |
| Manchester United 1:1 | 1:1 FC Chelsea |
| FC Barcelona 2:2 | 1:1 AC Pisa |
| AC Milan 2:3 | 2:2 Hellas Verona |
Is Manchester City the top favorite again?
The Citizens have always reached at least the quarter-finals of the UEFA Champions League since the 2016/17 season. They have made it to the final twice since 2020 and even won it in 2023. In the final match against Inter Milan, they narrowly prevailed 1:0 and were crowned Champions League winners for the first time in the club's history. Together with Real Madrid, they are probably the absolute top favorites for the title again this year. City had a comparatively easy draw and will only face 3 top teams. If they beat Inter Milan, there is a good chance that they will also win their next 4 games and thus quickly secure a place in the knockout phase. Especially as they are already in absolute top form at the start of the season. They have won all 4 games in the Premier League so far. The squad has hardly any injured players at the moment, so coach Pep Guardiola can draw from the full squad. With 9 goals from the first 4 games, Erling Haaland in particular is once again in absolute top form.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England Premier League |
Manchester City
|
FC Brentford
|
2:1 (2:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
14.09.2024 - England Premier League
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| England Premier League |
West Ham United
|
Manchester City
|
1:3 (1:2) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
31.08.2024 - England Premier League
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| England Premier League |
Manchester City
|
Ipswich Town
|
4:1 (3:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
24.08.2024 - England Premier League
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| England Premier League |
FC Chelsea
|
Manchester City
|
0:2 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
18.08.2024 - England Premier League
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| England Community Shield |
Manchester City
|
Manchester United
|
1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
10.08.2024 - England Community Shield
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
City's defense can be cracked
The opening game against Chelsea FC, which they won 2-0, was their last game without conceding a goal. In the last 3 Premier League games, they have always conceded a goal, including against newly promoted Ipswich Town. The reigning champions' defense is therefore not yet solid. However, this could also be due to the fact that Rodri had to sit out the first few games and only got his first minutes of the season at the weekend. Due to their defensive vulnerability, the hosts' last 3 games have always ended with more than 2.5 goals.
Manchester City
System: 4-2-3-1.
Inter Milan want revenge
This year, the Italian champions have the chance to take revenge from two years ago. Back then, they were beaten 1:0 in the Champions League final, despite being the better team in the eyes of many experts. This year, the task is likely to be even more difficult, because while their opponents are in absolute top form, Inter have yet to impress in Serie A. After 4 matchdays, they are in 2nd place in the table behind SSC Napoli, but their two away games against Genoa and Monza only ended in a draw. They probably had their best performance in the 4:0 home win against Atalanta Bergamo. Offensively, the team also knows how to convince with 9 goals from 4 games. Marcus Thuram has already scored 4 goals. At the same time, however, they have yet to concede a goal away from home. They have already conceded 3 goals in 2 away games.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A |
Monza
|
Inter Mailand
|
1:1 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
15.09.2024 - Serie A
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A |
Inter Mailand
|
Atalanta Bergamo
|
4:0 (2:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
30.08.2024 - Serie A
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A |
Inter Mailand
|
Lecce
|
2:0 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
24.08.2024 - Serie A
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Serie A |
CFC Genua
|
Inter Mailand
|
2:2 (1:1) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
17.08.2024 - Serie A
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Club Friendlies |
FC Chelsea
|
Inter Mailand
|
1:1 (0:1) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
11.08.2024 - Club Friendlies
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Is the squad good enough for the Champions League title?
We have to answer this question with a no. We lack a bit of quality across the board at Inter Milan. Although they have absolute world-class players in their squad in the shape of Benjamin Pavard, Nicolo Barella and Lautaro Martinez, they cannot compete with the quality of Manchester City. They are therefore also underdogs in this game. Inter Milan, however, still have enough quality to finish in the top 8 of the table and qualify directly for the Champions League knockout phase. After Manchester City, they also face two feasible opponents in Red Star Belgrade and Young Boys Bern.
Inter Milan
System: 3-5-2.
Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Manchester City | : | Inter Mailand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 Wins 4 |
||||
|
2 Draw 6 |
||||
|
3 Defeats 0 |
||||
|
23 Goals scored 22 |
||||
|
16 Goals received 8 |
||||
|
12 Shots on target 8 |
||||
won
won
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Forebet almost completely rules out a victory for the Italians
Forebet has calculated the probability of victory for both teams. The AI uses various statistics such as the last direct duels, current form and the quality of the squad. City is clearly the stronger team and will win this match with a probability of 43%. A full 40% are even in favor of a draw and an Inter victory is estimated at just 17%. A result tip was also submitted, which is 3:1. It is therefore assumed that there will be many goals.
City is also the favorite for our experts - The forecast
Manchester City is probably the best team in Europe at the moment and is therefore one of the big favorites in the Champions League. They are the favorites against almost every opponent in their own stadium. In any case, this includes against Inter Milan, who have yet to win a game away from home this year. A tip 1 should be well suited for a combination betting slip. As an alternative risk bet, we would place a goal bet on Erling Haaland, but with 9 goals in the first 4 games, this may not be a risk bet.
