MLS USA Inter Miami - Toronto FC betting tip & AI prediction: a clear home win?
Will Messi play after his return from the Copa América?
At first glance, the starting position is clear: while Inter Miami enjoy home-field advantage as the superior second-placed team in the table, Toronto have to fight against the negative trend of seven consecutive defeats. When the two teams meet on July 18 at 1.30 a.m. CEST, the exciting question remains: Can Lionel Messi help his team? While Argentina, as Copa América finalists, will face Colombia on Sunday, Messi will be aiming for arguably the most important title since the World Cup. Whether the world star will play at all and how the top MLS team will perform without their top player will make the match exciting from the point of view of all betting fans.
Inter Miami
- 2nd place in the MLS
- Star ensemble around Messi and L. Suarez
- 4 wins from the last 5 games
Toronto FC
- 19th place in the MLS
- 7 defeats in a row
- only 2 goals in the last 4 games
AI forecast for the game
Inter Miami is also the clear favorite in the AI forecast. AI providers always see the home team's chances of winning at over 50%, while the away team's chances of winning are around 20% at most. With an expected tendency to score between two and three goals, the AI tip is 2:0 or 2:1 for Inter Miami.
| #Place | Team | WGames | WWins | DDraw | LDefeats | GoalsGoals | +/- | PointsPoints | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 57:39 | 18 | 69 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 63 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 67:46 | 21 | 57 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 57:41 | 16 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | New England Revolution | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 58:46 | 12 | 55 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Atlanta United | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 66:53 | 13 | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Nashville SC | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 45:52 | -7 | 43 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Montreal Impact | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 36:52 | -16 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45:49 | -4 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:51 | -12 | 40 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | Inter Miami | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 34 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | Toronto FC | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 26:59 | -33 | 22 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Inter Miami Home | Toronto FC Away |
|---|---|
| Columbus Crew 2:1 | 4:0 Columbus Crew |
| Atlanta United 1:3 | 2:1 Atlanta United |
| DC United 1:0 | 3:0 New York Red Bulls |
| New York Red Bulls 6:2 | 2:2 DC United |
| Nashville SC 3:1 | 0:0 Philadelphia Union |
Inter Miami - confident with one lapse
Had it not been for the last away game against league leaders Cincinnati, Inter Miami would currently be playing an absolutely dominant season. With a draw and four wins in the previous five games, Miami has created a bit of a buffer to third place in the table, even though L.A. has currently played two games less. The defeat against Cincinnati in the top game on July 7 hurts for several reasons.
With the yellow-red card for the Spaniard Busquets, Miami had to make do with ten players for the last half hour and the experienced player will be missing for the clash against Toronto. But at this point, Miami were already 5:1 behind, with the final score of the game being 6:1. The absence of Lionel Messi, who was in the quarter-finals with his national team at the time and was unable to convert a penalty in the penalty shoot-out via Panenka, was felt at every turn. Possibly not the best conditions for the home game against Toronto, in which Lionel Messi is unlikely to play even if he returns from the national team in time.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| MLS USA |
FC Cincinnati
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Inter Miami
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6:1 (4:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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07.07.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Charlotte FC
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Inter Miami
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1:2 (1:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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04.07.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Nashville SC
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Inter Miami
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1:2 (0:2) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.06.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Inter Miami
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Columbus Crew
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2:1 (2:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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20.06.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Philadelphia Union
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Inter Miami
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1:2 (1:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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16.06.2024 - MLS USA
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Another success in the 4-3-3?
With Busquets suspended, Inter Miami will be without a central defender. Manager Gerardo Martino is likely to stick with the familiar 4-3-3 system, however, without the now 37-year-old Luiz Suarez, who did not play against Cincinnati, and without Lionel Messi, the team is missing the big names. German player Julian Gressel is a familiar name to many betting fans in this country, but otherwise Inter Miami has a large number of lesser-known players from the USA.
Despite or perhaps because of the heavy defeat, Martino is likely to rely on a large part of the same team, who will be looking to make amends in front of their home crowd. Although the loss of the top spot in the MLS play-off system has no direct consequences, Miami will want to put in a motivated performance to secure their position at the bottom of the table - the two teams from L.A. and Salt Lake City are waiting in the wings.
Inter Miami
System: 4-2-3-1.
Toronto FC - Fight against the losing streak
Few teams in the MLS are currently on such a negative run as the Canadians. With seven defeats in a row, both in the MLS and the Canadian Championship, the team is currently on an absolute downward trend. With the exception of the last MLS defeat 4:0 against Columbia, Toronto FC's defeats have not been heavy - often due to bad luck and a poor goalscoring record.
Toronto FC have had almost exclusively bad experiences against Inter Miami themselves. A 2-0 win for the Canadians dates back to March 2023, otherwise the team from Miami have won every game since August 2021. Combined with the current run of ten games without a win of their own, there is little hope for Toronto fans that the trend will reverse against the top team from Miami of all places.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| MLS USA |
Toronto FC
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Philadelphia Union
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2:1 (0:1) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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14.07.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Columbus Crew
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Toronto FC
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4:0 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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07.07.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Toronto FC
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Orlando City SC
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1:2 (1:2) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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04.07.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
Atlanta United
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Toronto FC
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2:1 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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30.06.2024 - MLS USA
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| MLS USA |
New York Red Bulls
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Toronto FC
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3:0 (1:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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23.06.2024 - MLS USA
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Defensive basic orientation to be expected
As against Columbia, who also went into the game as favorites a week ago, Toronto FC will likely play Miami in a 3-5-2 system. Against the ball, both wingers will withdraw into the back line to form a five-man block in defense. This has done little to change their winless streak, which is why many fans would like to see more attacking power in support of Prince-Osei Owusu and Derrick Etienne Junior.
The Italian Federico Bernardeschi is also well known in Europe as the team's captain. The same applies to Lorenzo Insigne, who often only appears as a substitute. The otherwise lesser-known team has had to learn a lot in recent weeks and is also likely to focus on defense in the game in Miami - a classic counterattacking tactic from the team from Canada is to be expected.
Toronto FC
System: 4-3-3.
Direct comparison between the two teams
The last clash between the two teams took place in September 2023 and ended in a 4-0 win for Inter Miami. Back then, Lionel Messi was the striker, Busquets worked his magic in midfield and Jordi Alba was active in the back four. The personnel of both teams has not changed fundamentally over the current MLS season. Toronto's 2-0 win in March 2023 was preceded by several Inter Miami victories - in most cases, however, only by a one-goal margin.
| Home | Visitor | Result | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Inter Miami
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Toronto FC
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4:0 (1:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.09.2023 - MLS USA
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Toronto FC
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Inter Miami
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2:0 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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19.03.2023 - MLS USA
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Toronto FC
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Inter Miami
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0:1 (0:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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01.10.2022 - MLS USA
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Inter Miami
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Toronto FC
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2:1 (2:1) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.08.2022 - MLS USA
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Inter Miami
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Toronto FC
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3:0 (2:0) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.10.2021 - MLS USA
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| Inter Miami | : | Toronto FC | ||
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7 Wins 1 |
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1 Draw 2 |
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2 Defeats 7 |
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16 Goals scored 11 |
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16 Goals received 24 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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next to the goal
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outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
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Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
What does ChatGPT predict for the game?
ChatGPT sees Inter Miami as the clear favorites in the match against Toronto FC. The AI prediction assumes that Lionel Messi will be on the pitch, who as the team's star player is likely to have a significant influence on the outcome. ChatGPT's specific tip is 3:1 ab, with Messi, Martinez and Robert Taylor scoring for Miami and Insigne for Toronto.
How does Forebet see the outcome of this game?
There are currently no predictions from the well-known platform Forebet for the match between Inter Miami and Toronto FC.According to the tendency of the AI tips and the mentioned estimates, a higher probability of a win for the home team can be expected here as well.
Where is the AI trend heading?
For most AI models, Inter Miami is a clear favorite, with many models giving a home win a probability of between 60% and 70%. Many of these models will have taken Lionel Messi into account in his leading role as the club's star player. Without the Messi factor, the AI tip is still in favor of a home win, as Toronto's streak is too negative and the table situation of both teams speaks for itself. The probability of a win for the home team or a draw is usually 80 to 85%.
How do our experts see the outcome of the match?
Due to the possible absence of Lionel Messi, our experts do not see the outcome of the match as clearly as many AI models. Nevertheless, we believe a home win is very likely. Toronto's negative form coincides with the fact that Miami will be looking to make amends at home after the bitter defeat to Cincinnati. A simple tip 1 is therefore a clear recommendation. If you want to take a little more risk and are hoping for a close game due to the absence of Lionel Messi, you can opt for a handicap bet (0:1) and hope for attractive odds.
