Porto and ManU battle for 1st win in the Europa League. AI forecast, 03.10.24
Which top team can make up for the weak start?
Both FC Porto and Manchester United have high hopes in this year's Europa League. Porto is definitely one of the favorites for the title, but suffered a surprising 3:2 defeat against Bodo/Glimt on matchday 1. Manchester United is probably even the big favorite for the title due to the quality of its squad. However, they also got off to a weak start, picking up just one point at home against Twente Enschede. Things are also anything but good in the Premier League, which is why coach Erik ten Hag is once again under fire. Both teams therefore urgently need a win.
FC Porto
- 2:3 defeat against Bodo/Glimt
- 6 wins from 7 games in the league
- Only 3 goals conceded in the league
Manchester United
- 1:1 against Twente Enschede
- Haven't won in 3 competitive matches
- Only one away win this year
The AI forecast believes in hits on both sides
It is probably the top match in the Europa League this week. FC Porto started with a defeat against Bodo/Glimt, but are still in good form. The Portuguese side have won 7 of their 9 competitive matches. Manchester United, on the other hand, have only won 3 out of 8 games this year and coach Erik ten Hag is looking more and more helpless. After a 1:1 draw against Twente in the Europa League, they only picked up one point there too. A win bet is too risky an option, according to AI. Porto will score again at home. However, ManU should also be able to exploit their defensive vulnerability against Bodo/Glimt. The AI provider therefore expects goals on both sides.
| FC Porto Home | Manchester United Away |
|---|---|
| FC Arouca 4:0 | 0:0 Crystal Palace |
| SC Farense 2:1 | 0:3 FC Southampton |
| Rio Ave FC 2:0 | 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion |
| Gil Vicente FC 3:0 | 1:1 Manchester City |
| Nacional Madeira 4:1 | 2:1 FC Arsenal |
FC Porto wants to fight for the title in the Europa League
The top club from Portugal has usually been represented in the UEFA Champions League in recent years and recently reached the round of 16 there twice in a row. The last time they appeared in the Europa League was in the 2021/22 season, when they also had to bow out after the round of 16. This season, Porto are definitely among the favorites to win the title. However, the opening game against Bodo/Glimt went badly wrong. Starting as clear favorites, they were beaten 3:2 away from home. They had already fallen behind 3:1.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Primeira League |
FC Porto
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FC Arouca
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4:0 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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29.09.2024 - Primeira League
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| UEFA Europa League |
FK Bodø/Glimt
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FC Porto
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3:2 (2:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.09.2024 - UEFA Europa League
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| Primeira League |
Vitória Guimarães
|
FC Porto
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0:3 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.09.2024 - Primeira League
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| Primeira League |
FC Porto
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SC Farense
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2:1 (0:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.09.2024 - Primeira League
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| Primeira League |
Sporting Lissabon
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FC Porto
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2:0 (0:0) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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31.08.2024 - Primeira League
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FC Porto is still unbeaten at home in Portugal
After the club only finished in 3rd place last season, its worst season in almost 10 years, the decision was made to change coach in the summer. Vitor Bruno is set to bring the club its first league title since 2022. This season got off to a successful start, winning 6 of their first 7 league games. This puts them in 2nd place in the table behind reigning champions Sporting, who have won every game so far. Porto still have a perfect record of 4 wins from 4 games at home, with a goal difference of 11:1. Incidentally, their only defeat came in an away game against Sporting Lisbon. Most recently, there have been 3 wins in a row, twice without conceding a goal.
FC Porto
System: 4-2-3-1.
How much longer can Manchester United go on like this?
Once again, Manchester United are falling short of their own expectations and are only 13th in the Premier League after a poor start to the season. They are already a full 8 points behind league leaders Liverpool. ManU have only won 3 of their 8 competitive matches so far. These were against Fulham in stoppage time on matchday 1, against promoted Southampton and in the cup against Barnsley FC. The previous top games against Liverpool and Tottenham were both lost 3-0. In the Europa League, they only managed a 1-1 draw at home against Twente Enschede. With the 0-0 draw against Crystal Palace in the league, Manchester United have not won in 3 competitive matches. In these last 3 games, the Red Devils have only scored one goal. Nevertheless, they have managed to keep a clean sheet for the 4th time this year.
| Home | Visitor | Result | Form | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| England Premier League |
Manchester United
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Tottenham
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0:3 (0:1) | N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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29.09.2024 - England Premier League
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| UEFA Europa League |
Manchester United
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FC Twente Enschede
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1:1 (1:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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25.09.2024 - UEFA Europa League
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| England Premier League |
Crystal Palace
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Manchester United
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0:0 (0:0) | U | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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21.09.2024 - England Premier League
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| EFL - Carabao Cup |
Manchester United
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FC Barnsley
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7:0 (3:0) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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17.09.2024 - EFL - Carabao Cup
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| England Premier League |
FC Southampton
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Manchester United
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0:3 (0:2) | S | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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14.09.2024 - England Premier League
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Lack of punch in the offense
In the summer, the club primarily strengthened its defense with players such as Leny Yoro, Manuel Ugarte and Matthijs de Ligt. In contrast, only a second target player, Joshua Zirkzee, was brought in for the offense. However, the back line is currently somewhat thin on the ground. Bruno Fernandes has yet to find his form this year, as has Marcus Rashford. Mason Mount continues to struggle with injuries and Antony could be sold for good in the winter after he no longer plays a role. A look at the statistics clearly shows that a creative player is missing, as no attacking player has managed to score more than one goal or provide an assist.
Manchester United
System: 4-2-3-1.
| Home | Visitor | Result | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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FC Porto
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Manchester United
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0:1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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15.04.2009 - UEFA Champions League
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Manchester United
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FC Porto
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2:2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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07.04.2009 - UEFA Champions League
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Comparison statistics last 10 events
| FC Porto | : | Manchester United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
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8 Wins 4 |
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0 Draw 3 |
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2 Defeats 3 |
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23 Goals scored 17 |
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7 Goals received 12 |
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12 Shots on target 8 |
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won
won
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Shots on target
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next to the goal
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blocked
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in the penalty area
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outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
Corners
Shots on target
Goal kicks
next to the goal
Goal kicks
blocked
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
offside
yellow cards
red cards
Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches
Forebet slightly favors Manchester United
We took a look at the probabilities from Forebet's supercomputer and were somewhat surprised. The computer gives Manchester United a 39% chance of winning, while FC Porto only have a 26% chance of winning. At 35%, a draw is also very likely. However, the AI does not expect many goals here and also gives a close 0:1 as the result tip.
Our experts' forecast
We have absolutely no favorite in this game, Porto is in the better form, but ManU can also win such a game at any time. We would rather stick to a betting tip of "Both teams will score YES". Porto will almost certainly score at home, but were also very vulnerable in defense against Bodo/Glimt on matchday 1. If you want to place a risk bet, we would recommend a tip X here.
