Promoted FC Paris hosts a top club - analysis & betting predictions

Marseille hoping for three points in the battle for the top three

Published on 29.01.2026 16:48.

There are some interesting matches on the Ligue 1 program this weekend. This includes the clash between promoted FC Paris & Olympique Marseille. With our Paris - Marseille betting tip, you are well provided for your betting strategies for this clash, as always we provide a compact overview. Kick-off is on January 31st at 17:00 CET.

FC Paris - Olympique Marseille: 31.01.2026 - 16:00

Tip 2 1.93
Average risk

Bet Now

both teams to score - yes 1.55
Low risk

Bet Now

Bonus 100% Bonus up € 100 on your first deposit Bonus code: 100START

Get the bonus

You can find more expert tips here:

Betting tips today All betting tips

Paris is currently 13th in Ligue 1.
They clearly lost the first duel of the season with Marseille
Most recently, Paris remained unbeaten twice in a row

Marseille has personnel advantages
Marseille have had several problems away from home this season
Marseille is in 3rd place in the table

Result tip

1:3

We expect an away win for Olympique Marseille.

Racket Ligue 1
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	AS Monaco	5	4	0	1	13:7	6	12
2	PSG	5	4	0	1	10:4	6	12
3	Lyon	5	4	0	1	7:3	4	12
4	Racing Straßburg	5	4	0	1	8:5	3	12
5	OSC Lille	5	3	1	1	13:8	5	10
6	Olympique Marseille	5	3	0	2	10:4	6	9
7	RC Lens	5	3	0	2	8:5	3	9
8	Stade Rennes	5	2	2	1	7:8	-1	8
9	FC Toulouse	5	2	0	3	7:9	-2	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
11	FC Paris	5	2	0	3	9:12	-3	6
12	OGC Nizza	5	2	0	3	6:9	-3	6
13	Angers SCO	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
14	Stade Brest	5	1	1	3	9:11	-2	4
15	Le Havre AC	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4
16	FC Nantes	5	1	1	3	3:5	-2	4
17	FC Lorient	5	1	1	3	6:13	-7	4
18	FC Metz	5	0	1	4	5:13	-8	1
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games FC Paris home vs. Olympique Marseille away
FC Paris Home	Olympique Marseille Away
Angers SCO 0:0	3:0 Club Brugge
FC Toulouse 0:3	2:3 Union Saint-Gilloise
AJ Auxerre 1:1	1:0 OSC Lille
Stade Rennes 0:1	1:5 OGC Nizza
Olympique Lyon 3:3	0:1 AJ Auxerre

Paris FC wants to keep going up - Forecasts & form check

Paris FC is certainly one of the most ambitious promoted teams that Ligue 1 has seen in recent years. Accordingly, they will probably not be satisfied with their current 13th place in the table in the capital; at least a place in the top 10 was probably expected. They are currently some way off that, trailing 10th-placed Monaco by four points. According to our betting tip analysis, it is not necessarily to be expected that Paris will add more points on Saturday. But first things first: The past few weeks have been anything but successful for the league newcomers. They have only managed one win in their last 8 league games. If you take a look at the form table ahead of this Paris - Marseille betting tip, it becomes clear that the home side are currently exactly where they belong, with the statistics for the last 5 games also showing the promoted side in 13th place. Most recently, they had to settle for a 0-0 draw against Angers, followed by a 2-1 win against FC Nantes. They have now gone two games without defeat, but these results are not overly optimistic ahead of a clash with a top opponent such as Marseille. However, there is at least a slightly positive trend and the win in Nantes also widened the gap at the back. We have recently identified problems in attack in particular.

In 3 of the last 5 games before this Paris - Marseille betting tip, the newly promoted team failed to score, including the 3-0 home defeat against Toulouse, who were 9th in the table at the time. The home game factor is not necessarily an advantage for Paris. They have only won two of their nine home games to date, with their last full victory in front of their own fans coming on October 3, 2025, which was almost four months ago at the weekend. The fact that they can also keep up with top teams on a good day was shown by the narrow 2-1 away derby win against PSG.

Last 5 results FC Paris
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
25.01.2026	Ligue 1	FC Paris	Angers SCO	0:0 (0:0)	U
25.01.2026 - Ligue 1
20.12.2025	French Football Cup	US Raon-l'Etape	FC Paris	0:3 (0:1)	S
20.12.2025 - French Football Cup
13.12.2025	Ligue 1	FC Paris	FC Toulouse	0:3 (0:2)	N
13.12.2025 - Ligue 1
07.12.2025	Ligue 1	Le Havre AC	FC Paris	0:0 (0:0)	U
07.12.2025 - Ligue 1
29.11.2025	Ligue 1	FC Paris	AJ Auxerre	1:1 (1:1)	U
29.11.2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

Kevin Trapp

Hamari Traoré Moustapha Mbow Timothée Kolodziejczak Otávio

Nhoa Sangui Ilan Kebbal

Adama Camara Vincent Marchetti Alimami Gory

Jean-Philippe Krasso

Bet on an away win for "OM" with the following provider - odds: 1.93

To Magneticslots

Marseille fighting for top 3 place - analysis & betting tips

Olympique Marseille is currently one of the top three teams in Ligue 1, so the visitors are naturally the favorites in this Paris - Marseille betting tip. However, the third-placed team in the table has shown itself to be vulnerable of late. The best example was the 3-0 defeat to Bruges last Wednesday on the final matchday of the Champions League league phase. The double burden could well be a factor at the weekend, which could result in at least one or two goals being conceded, as this is not the first English week that Marseille have had to play before this Paris - Marseille betting tip. Let's now turn to the results in Ligue 1, which read better than those in the Champions League. In particular, the 3:1 win against Lens on the previous matchday put "OM" in a position where they not only helped PSG to lead the table, but were also able to close the gap to second-placed RC Lens. Before that, they won clearly and emphatically 5:2 against Angers. They lost 2:0 to Nantes, but this was the only home defeat they have suffered so far in the 2025/26 season. As a reminder, Paris FC narrowly won against Nantes shortly before this Paris - Marseille betting tip. The "away game" factor could well become a problem for Marseille on Saturday. 4 out of 5 defeats this season were suffered away from home before this Paris - Marseille betting tip. In this context, we see the performance of the defense as particularly problematic. 17 goals have been scored in the 9 away games so far, a value of almost two goals per away game, but at the same time 10 goals less than at home.

Nevertheless, we expect the visitors to win and recommend a corresponding Paris - Marseille betting tip. This is not least due to the first match of the season between the two teams. Roberto De Zerbi's team clearly had the upper hand with 5:2. It should also be obvious that Marseille have more personnel than the home side. The attacking duo of Greenwood & Aubameyang is particularly dangerous. Together, these two players have already been responsible for no fewer than 26 goals, meaning they have been directly involved in over 50 percent of all their team's league goals. As things stand, only full-back Emerson will be absent. .

Last 5 results Olympique Marseille
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
28.01.2026	UEFA Champions League	Club Brugge	Olympique Marseille	3:0 (2:0)	N
28.01.2026 - UEFA Champions League
24.01.2026	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	RC Lens	3:1 (2:0)	S
24.01.2026 - Ligue 1
14.12.2025	Ligue 1	Olympique Marseille	AS Monaco	1:0 (0:0)	S
14.12.2025 - Ligue 1
09.12.2025	UEFA Champions League	Saint-Gilloise	Olympique Marseille	2:3 (1:2)	S
09.12.2025 - UEFA Champions League
05.12.2025	Ligue 1	OSC Lille	Olympique Marseille	1:0 (1:0)	N
05.12.2025 - Ligue 1

Olympique Marseille

System: 4-2-3-1.

Gerónimo Rulli

Leonardo Balerdi Nayef Aguerd Facundo Medina Timothy Weah

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Quinten Timber

Igor Paixão Ethan Nwaneri Hamed Junior Traorè

Amine Gouiri

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Paris		:	Olympique Marseille
2 Wins 6
4 Draw 1
4 Defeats 3
11 Goals scored 19
14 Goals received 12
12 Shots on target 8

FC Paris

59%

Ball possession

87%

Accuracy of passes

50%

Duels
won

Olympique Marseille

50%

Duels
won

90%

Accuracy of passes

56%

Ball possession

FC Paris

16
Corners

10
Shots on target

22
Goal kicks
next to the goal

9
Goal kicks
blocked

26
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

15
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

7
Offside

7
yellow cards

0
red cards

Olympique Marseille

25
Corners

21
Shots on target

28
Goal kicks
next to the goal

14
Goal kicks
blocked

33
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

30
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

8
Offside

6
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Paris

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,10

per game

-3

Goal difference

6 / 10

Games with goals

Olympique Marseille

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,90

per game

Goal difference

7 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.10 1.73

under 2.5 goals 45.17%

over 2.5 goals 54.83%

1.44 2.75

under 3.5 goals 65.63%

over 3.5 goals 34.37%

1.17 5.00

under 4.5 goals 81.04%

over 4.5 goals 18.96%

1.62 2.20

both teams to score - yes 57.59%

both teams to score - no 42.41%

What is our forecast?

As already mentioned, we see the visitors as relatively clear favorites, even if Paris FC have managed to recover somewhat recently. Accordingly, we are sticking to the prediction we already made in our betting tip analysis: Tip 2.