Liverpool Logo
FC Liverpool
:
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain Logo
D
W
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
11.03.2025 - 21:00 - Anfield
UEFA Champions League
1 19.00
X 3.90
2 5.50

Expert tip for Liverpool FC - Paris Saint-Germain with odds & prediction

Champions League round of 16: Reds in the better situation against PSG

Liverpool FC go into today's second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie with a narrow lead. Their ticket to the quarter-finals against Paris Saint-Germain is therefore far from certain. But the Reds' chances are good this Tuesday (March 11, 2025) from 9 p.m. at Anfield Road. We wanted to find out exactly how good in our betting tip analysis. Here you'll find all the important facts, our expert tips, the best odds from the betting providers and the AI prediction for this match.

FC Liverpool - Paris Saint Germain: 11.03.2025 - 21:00
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Betting tips today

FC Liverpool

  • Liverpool FC have lost just one of their last nine CL matches.
  • In their last eight matches at home, the Reds have always scored twice in the top flight.
  • They won seven of these eight Champions League games at Anfield Road.

Paris Saint Germain

  • Paris Saint-Germain have won all of their last three away matches in the Champions League.
  • Prior to that, however, the French side had also conceded three defeats in foreign stadiums - all of them to nil.
  • PSG beat Stade Rennes 4:1 in Ligue 1 last weekend.
Result tip
2:0
Liverpool FC have always scored two goals in their last eight CL home games and have even scored five times. PSG have never won at Anfield.
Racket UEFA Champions League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 6 6 0 0 13:1 12 18
2 FC Barcelona 6 5 0 1 21:7 14 15
3 FC Arsenal 6 4 1 1 11:2 9 13
4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
5 Aston Villa 6 4 1 1 9:3 6 13
6 Inter Mailand 6 4 1 1 7:1 6 13
7 Stade Brest 6 4 1 1 10:6 4 13
8 OSC Lille 6 4 1 1 10:7 3 13
9 Borussia Dortmund 6 4 0 2 18:9 9 12
10 FC Bayern Munich 6 4 0 2 17:8 9 12
11 Atletico Madrid 6 4 0 2 14:10 4 12
12 AC Milan 6 4 0 2 12:9 3 12
13 Atalanta Bergamo 6 3 2 1 13:4 9 11
14 Juventus Turin 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
15 Benfica 6 3 1 2 10:7 3 10
16 AS Monaco 6 3 1 2 12:10 2 10
17 Sporting Lissabon 6 3 1 2 11:9 2 10
18 Feyenoord 6 3 1 2 14:15 -1 10
19 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
20 Real Madrid 6 3 0 3 12:11 1 9
21 Celtic Glasgow 6 2 3 1 10:10 0 9
22 Manchester City 6 2 2 2 13:9 4 8
23 PSV Eindhoven 6 2 2 2 10:8 2 8
24 Dinamo Zagreb 6 2 2 2 10:15 -5 8
25 PSG 6 2 1 3 6:6 0 7
26 VfB Stuttgart 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
27 Schachtar Donezk 6 1 1 4 5:13 -8 4
28 AC Sparta Prague 6 1 1 4 7:18 -11 4
29 SK Sturm Graz 6 1 0 5 4:9 -5 3
30 Girona 6 1 0 5 4:10 -6 3
31 Red Star Belgrade 6 1 0 5 10:19 -9 3
32 FC Red Bull Salzburg 6 1 0 5 3:18 -15 3
33 FC Bologna 6 0 2 4 1:7 -6 2
34 RB Leipzig 6 0 0 6 6:13 -7 0
35 Slovan Bratislava 6 0 0 6 5:21 -16 0
36 BSC Young Boys Bern 6 0 0 6 3:22 -19 0

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Last 5 games FC Liverpool home vs. PSG away
FC Liverpool Home PSG Away
FC Southampton 3:1 1:4 Stade Rennes
Newcastle United 2:0 0:7 Stade Briochin
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2:1 2:3 Olympique Lyon
Tottenham Hotspur 4:0 0:1 FC Toulouse
Ipswich Town 4:1 0:3 Stade Brest 29

What speaks for Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain in the betting tip?

We start our betting tips today with the hosts, of course. Liverpool FC have already dominated the league phase of the 2024/25 Champions League, finishing first with seven wins and just one defeat. The only loss was the away game at PSV Eindhoven (2:3), when direct entry into the round of 16 was a foregone conclusion. Meanwhile, the Over 2.5 and Under 2.5 for the Reds in the top flight are in balance. Four times we recorded three or more goals, five times it was a maximum of two goals.

Last 5 results FC Liverpool
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
08.03.2025 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
FC Southampton
3:1 (0:1) S
05.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Liverpool
0:1 (0:0) S
26.02.2025 England Premier League
FC Liverpool
Newcastle United
2:0 (1:0) S
23.02.2025 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Liverpool
0:2 (0:2) S
19.02.2025 England Premier League
Aston Villa
FC Liverpool
2:2 (2:1) U

Strong performances in the home games at Anfield Road

Liverpool FC have a similar record in home matches in the Champions League, winning seven of their last eight. The Reds have always scored at least two goals. Even in the only defeat, a 5-2 loss to Real Madrid at Anfield. And again: Four times we have an Over 2.5 on the slips, four times also the Under 2.5 goals with a maximum of two goals. A goal bet is therefore unlikely to get us any further in these football predictions.Five of the seven victories in home matches in the European premier class were achieved by the Premier League club without conceding a goal and thus to zero.

WE RECOMMEND WIN 1 WIN TO NIL WITH A QUOTE OF 4.85

How good is Paris Saint-Germain's current form?

The second part of our betting prediction continues with the guests from the French capital. Paris Saint-Germain finished the new league phase in the 2024/25 Champions League in 15th place, winning four games but also losing three. If we include the 0:1 in the first leg, the French champions' record in the current season of the European top flight is therefore only balanced.


Last 5 results Paris Saint Germain
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
08.03.2025 Ligue 1
Stade Rennes
PSG
1:4 (0:1) S
05.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Liverpool
0:1 (0:0) N
01.03.2025 Ligue 1
PSG
OSC Lille
4:1 (4:0) S
26.02.2025 French Football Cup
Stade Briochin
PSG
0:7 (0:2) S
23.02.2025 Ligue 1
Lyon
PSG
2:3 (0:0) S

First very weak away, then with a better series

PSG recently won three away games in a row in the Champions League. However, the 3-0 win in Salzburg, the 4-1 win at VfB Stuttgart and the 3-0 win at Stade Brest must be properly classified. All three opponents were certainly not of the class of Liverpool FC. Paris had previously lost three times against stronger opponents without scoring a goal. First at BVB last season in 23/24, then also at Arsenal FC (0:2) and FC Bayern Munich (0:2). In this respect, even a Win To Nil could make sense for the Reds.Just like at home against OSC Lille, Paris SG also won 4:1 at Stade Rennes last weekend in Ligue 1.

Paris Saint Germain

System: 4-3-3.

Donnarumma
Hakimi Marquinhos Pacho Mendes
Neves Vitinha Ruiz
Kvaratskhelia Dembélé Barcola

Still an unblemished home record for Liverpool FC against PSG

For the best possible predictions on your betting slip, let's take a look at the H2H comparison in this betting tip analysis, in which Liverpool FC now lead 3-2 after the 1-0 win in the first leg. No duel between these two clubs has ever ended in a draw. But something else is striking: both home games so far have gone to the Reds (3:2, 2:0). Liverpool FC scored at least two goals in each of these matches.

3 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
05.03.2025 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Liverpool
0:1 (0:0)
28.11.2018 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Liverpool
2:1 (2:1)
18.09.2018 UEFA Champions League
FC Liverpool
PSG
3:2 (2:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Liverpool : PSG

7

Wins

9

2

Draw

0

1

Defeats

1

20

Goals scored

35

7

Goals received

6

12

Shots on target

8

FC Liverpool
56%
Ball possession
84%
Accuracy of passes
42%
Duels
won
PSG
54%
Duels
won
91%
Accuracy of passes
67%
Ball possession
FC Liverpool
16
Corners
10
Shots on target
24
Goal kicks
next to the goal
14
Goal kicks
blocked
34
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
14
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
6
Offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards
PSG
30
Corners
34
Shots on target
25
Goal kicks
next to the goal
26
Goal kicks
blocked
58
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
27
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
10
Offside
2
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Liverpool
20
Goals scored
7
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+13
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
PSG
35
Goals scored
6
Goals received
ø 3,50
per game
+29
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 40.23%
over 2.5 goals 59.77%
under 3.5 goals 58.99%
over 3.5 goals 41.01%
under 4.5 goals 76.43%
over 4.5 goals 23.57%
both teams to score - yes 62.92%
both teams to score - no 37.08%

Our expert tips & predictions for Liverpool FC vs Paris Saint-Germain

In our expert tips, the Home win 1 crystallizes very clearly, for which the odds are also very decent. An Under or Over 2.5 is very difficult to predict. However, the Reds have won several home games in the European premier class. Including in one of the two duels at home against Paris Saint-Germain. That's why the Tip 1 Win To Nil (win to nil) is also a good bet for this match with a slightly higher risk.

Odd comparison FC Liverpool - Paris Saint Germain

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