A struggling Liverpool face Newcastle United at home. Prediction, 31.01.2026

Will the Reds fall further down the table?

Published on 28.01.2026 17:22.

Liverpool FC is going through a difficult phase once again. The Reds are simply not getting going this season and coach Arne Slot is coming under increasing pressure. They recently went winless in 5 Premier League games in a row and after 4 draws, they even conceded a defeat on the last matchday. Another defeat against Newcastle could even see them drop out of the top 10 in the table. However, the Magpies have to score a goal to win this game and this has not always been easy for them this season. They have also failed to win their last two games in the league, failing to score a single goal.

FC Liverpool - Newcastle United: 31.01.2026 - 20:00

both teams to score - yes 1.60
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over 3.5 goals 2.45
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Betting tips today All betting tips

6th place in the table
Haven't won in 5 games
First duel against Newcastle won

9th place in the table
Haven't won in 2 games
Only 2 of 11 away games won

Result tip

2:2

The first encounter ended in a 2:3 win for Liverpool. However, the Reds are currently without a win in five games and Newcastle have failed to score in their last two matches.

Racket England Premier League
#Place	Team	WGames	WWins	DDraw	LDefeats	GoalsGoals	+/-	PointsPoints
1	FC Liverpool	5	5	0	0	11:5	6	15
2	FC Arsenal	5	3	1	1	10:2	8	10
3	Tottenham	5	3	1	1	10:3	7	10
4	AFC Bournemouth	5	3	1	1	6:5	1	10
5	Crystal Palace	5	2	3	0	6:2	4	9
6	FC Chelsea	5	2	2	1	10:5	5	8
7	AFC Sunderland	5	2	2	1	6:4	2	8
8	FC Fulham	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8
9	Manchester City	5	2	1	2	9:5	4	7
10	FC Everton	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
11	Manchester United	5	2	1	2	6:8	-2	7
12	Leeds United	5	2	1	2	4:7	-3	7
13	Newcastle United	5	1	3	1	3:3	0	6
14	Brighton	5	1	2	2	6:8	-2	5
15	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	5:9	-4	5
16	Burnley FC	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
17	FC Brentford	5	1	1	3	6:10	-4	4
18	Aston Villa	5	0	3	2	1:5	-4	3
19	West Ham United	5	1	0	4	5:13	-8	3
20	Wolverhampton	5	0	0	5	3:12	-9	0
Show all teams Show less

Last 5 games FC Liverpool home vs. Newcastle United away
FC Liverpool Home	Newcastle United Away
FK Qarabag Agdam 6:0	1:1 Paris Saint Germain
Leeds United 0:0	1:3 Burnley FC
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2:1	1:0 Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0	1:0 AFC Sunderland
AFC Sunderland 1:1	2:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Liverpool struggling for form

The Reds seemed to have recovered somewhat in the meantime and at least settled in 4th place in the table. However, this phase now seems to be history again, as the team has been struggling again for several weeks and has now slipped to 6th place in the table. They have gone winless in their last 5 Premier League games, picking up just 4 points. After 4 draws in a row, they were beaten 3:2 by AFC Bournemouth on the last matchday. Despite good performances in the Champions League, coach Arne Slot is under a lot of pressure and needs results. A win is also hugely important from a table perspective, as a defeat could even see them slip out of the top 10 in the tight standings. They also have to keep up with 4th-placed Manchester United. In order to achieve this, they must be more secure defensively.

Last 5 results FC Liverpool
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
28.01.2026	UEFA Champions League	FC Liverpool	FK Qarabag Agdam	6:0 (2:0)	S
28.01.2026 - UEFA Champions League
24.01.2026	England Premier League	AFC Bournemouth	FC Liverpool	3:2 (2:1)	N
24.01.2026 - England Premier League
01.01.2026	England Premier League	FC Liverpool	Leeds United	0:0 (0:0)	U
01.01.2026 - England Premier League
27.12.2025	England Premier League	FC Liverpool	Wolverhampton	2:1 (2:0)	S
27.12.2025 - England Premier League
20.12.2025	England Premier League	Tottenham	FC Liverpool	1:2 (0:0)	S
20.12.2025 - England Premier League

A different face is shown in the Champions League

In the top flight, it is all the more astonishing that the team is in a good 4th place and has to play Qarabag Agdam on the last matchday. A place in the top 8 should therefore be guaranteed. They have won 5 of their 7 games. Most recently, they won convincingly against Inter Milan (0:1) and Marseille (0:3). They also kept a clean sheet in both games. They even beat Real Madrid 1:0 at home. However, the two defeats came against much tougher teams such as Galatasaray and PSV Eindhoven.

Liverpool FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

Alisson

Jeremie Frimpong Ibrahima Konaté Virgil van Dijk Miloš Kerkez

Ryan Gravenberch Dominik Szoboszlai

Florian Wirtz Curtis Jones Cody Gakpo

Hugo Ekitiké

The odds for the bet "more than 3 goals" are over 2.30

To Naobet

Newcastle lack consistency this season

The Magpies have had a similar fate to Liverpool FC this season. Instead of fighting for a Champions League spot, they have actually been outside the top six for the entire season. After a truly disastrous start, they were able to recover in the meantime and at least made a leap into the top 10 in the table. However, the last two matchdays have only yielded one point again and the form curve is clearly pointing downwards again. First there was a 0-0 draw against bottom-of-the-table Wolverhampton and most recently they were beaten 2-0 by Aston Villa. In general, the newly formed attack is struggling after the departure of Alexander Isak and has only scored 32 goals in 23 games. The away performances are an even bigger problem. In 11 away games, they have only managed to pick up 10 points. They have won just 2 of 11 away games and have been beaten 5 times. With only 10 goals, they are responsible for less than one goal per game.

Last 5 results Newcastle United
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result	Form
28.01.2026	UEFA Champions League	PSG	Newcastle United	1:1 (1:1)	U
28.01.2026 - UEFA Champions League
25.01.2026	England Premier League	Newcastle United	Aston Villa	0:2 (0:1)	N
25.01.2026 - England Premier League
30.12.2025	England Premier League	Burnley FC	Newcastle United	1:3 (1:2)	S
30.12.2025 - England Premier League
26.12.2025	England Premier League	Manchester United	Newcastle United	1:0 (1:0)	N
26.12.2025 - England Premier League
20.12.2025	England Premier League	Newcastle United	FC Chelsea	2:2 (2:0)	U
20.12.2025 - England Premier League

Also a top team internationally

The situation in the Champions League is similar to that of their opponents, as they are putting in top performances there. Newcastle are in 7th place in the table one matchday before the end of the group stage and would therefore go straight through to the round of 16. However, with 13 points in their account and PSG as their last opponent, it will be difficult to stay in the top 8. Especially as they have been a little unlucky so far and have failed to win games against top teams such as Barca (1:2) or Leverkusen (2:2). In addition, they have only won one of their three away games in the top flight.

Newcastle United

System: 3-5-2.

Nick Pope

Kieran Trippier Malick Thiaw Sven Botman

Lewis Hall Lewis Miley Sandro Tonali Joelinton Harvey Barnes

Yoane Wissa Anthony Gordon

5 last games in direct comparison
Date	League	Home	Visitor	Result
16.03.2025	EFL - Carabao Cup	FC Liverpool	Newcastle United	1:2 (0:1)
16.03.2025 - EFL - Carabao Cup
26.02.2025	England Premier League	FC Liverpool	Newcastle United	2:0 (1:0)
26.02.2025 - England Premier League
04.12.2024	England Premier League	Newcastle United	FC Liverpool	3:3 (1:0)
04.12.2024 - England Premier League
01.01.2024	England Premier League	FC Liverpool	Newcastle United	4:2 (0:0)
01.01.2024 - England Premier League
27.08.2023	England Premier League	Newcastle United	FC Liverpool	1:2 (1:0)
27.08.2023 - England Premier League

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Liverpool		:	Newcastle United
6 Wins 3
3 Draw 4
1 Defeats 3
21 Goals scored 14
9 Goals received 14
12 Shots on target 8

FC Liverpool

59%

Ball possession

88%

Accuracy of passes

51%

Duels
won

Newcastle United

52%

Duels
won

84%

Accuracy of passes

55%

Ball possession

FC Liverpool

34
Corners

19
Shots on target

32
Goal kicks
next to the goal

26
Goal kicks
blocked

46
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

31
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

13
Offside

5
yellow cards

0
red cards

Newcastle United

37
Corners

38
Shots on target

22
Goal kicks
next to the goal

19
Goal kicks
blocked

66
Goal kicks
in the penalty area

13
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area

12
Offside

9
yellow cards

0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Liverpool

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 2,10

per game

+12

Goal difference

9 / 10

Games with goals

Newcastle United

Goals scored

Goals received

ø 1,40

per game

Goal difference

7 / 10

Games with goals

Odds probabilities

2.30 1.62

under 2.5 goals 41.33%

over 2.5 goals 58.67%

1.53 2.50

under 3.5 goals 62.03%

over 3.5 goals 37.97%

1.20 4.50

under 4.5 goals 78.95%

over 4.5 goals 21.05%

1.62 2.20

both teams to score - yes 57.59%

both teams to score - no 42.41%

No favorite in this game - Our prediction

Liverpool have not won any of their last 5 games. Newcastle have failed to score in their last two games. There is therefore no clear favorite. In the first duel, Liverpool won 2:3. Once again, we can imagine that the two teams will not give each other anything and there will be more than 3.5 goals. In any case, goals are to be expected on both sides.