Arsenal Logo
FC Arsenal
:
Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Logo
W
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15.01.2025 - 21:00 - Emirates Stadium
England England Premier League
1 1.40
X 5.25
2 7.00

London derby between Arsenal FC and Tottenham Hotspur. Prediction, 15.01.25

The Gunners need 3 points to stay in touch with Liverpool

Published on 13.01.2025 14:59.

Arsenal FC have put in a strong performance in the Premier League of late, remaining unbeaten in their last 10 games. They celebrated a win against Brentford in 2025 and most recently drew against Brighton. Although they are still in first place behind Liverpool FC, the gap is already 6 points, which is why they cannot really afford to lose. However, they face a tough opponent in Tottenham. A look at the table doesn't necessarily underline this, but on a good day Spurs are an absolute top team. The last 4 games in the Premier League have not been won, however, and the defense in particular is struggling due to various absences. The victory in the EFL Cup against Liverpool may have given them a boost.

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Betting tips today

FC Arsenal

  • 2nd place in the table
  • No home defeat yet
  • Haven't lost in 10 games

Tottenham Hotspur

  • 12th place in the table
  • None of the last 4 games won
  • 5 defeats in 9 away games
Ergebnistipp
4:2
Arsenal have yet to lose at home and are unbeaten in 10 Premier League games. Tottenham, on the other hand, have not won in 4 games.
Racket England Premier League
#Place Team WGames WWins DDraw LDefeats GoalsGoals +/- PointsPoints
1 FC Liverpool 18 14 3 1 45:17 28 45
2 FC Arsenal 19 11 6 2 38:17 21 39
3 Nottingham Forest 19 11 4 4 26:19 7 37
4 FC Chelsea 19 10 5 4 38:23 15 35
5 Newcastle United 19 9 5 5 32:21 11 32
6 Manchester City 19 9 4 6 32:26 6 31
7 AFC Bournemouth 19 8 6 5 29:23 6 30
8 FC Fulham 19 7 8 4 28:25 3 29
9 Aston Villa 19 8 5 6 28:31 -3 29
10 Brighton 19 6 9 4 29:28 1 27
11 Tottenham 19 7 3 9 41:28 13 24
12 FC Brentford 19 7 3 9 33:35 -2 24
13 West Ham United 19 6 5 8 23:35 -12 23
14 Manchester United 19 6 4 9 21:26 -5 22
15 Crystal Palace 19 4 8 7 20:27 -7 20
16 FC Everton 18 3 8 7 15:24 -9 17
17 Wolverhampton 19 4 4 11 31:42 -11 16
18 Ipswich Town 19 3 6 10 18:33 -15 15
19 Leicester City 19 3 5 11 22:42 -20 14
20 FC Southampton 19 1 3 15 12:39 -27 6

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Last 5 games FC Arsenal home vs. Tottenham away
FC Arsenal Home Tottenham Away
Manchester United 1:1 1:0 Nottingham Forest
Newcastle United 0:2 0:5 FC Southampton
Ipswich Town 1:0 1:1 Glasgow Rangers
Crystal Palace 3:2 1:0 AFC Bournemouth
FC Everton 0:0 0:4 Manchester City

Arsenal need a win in the derby

The Gunners are certainly not having an outstanding season, having won just 11 of their 20 Premier League games. Due to the weakness of the other teams, they are still in a good 2nd place in the table. However, the gap to Liverpool could grow to a full 12 points in the event of a defeat, should they also win their catch-up game! Arsenal can therefore not really afford to lose and absolutely need a win. This is also working very well at home this season, as they are still unbeaten after 9 home games. They have won 6 of these 9 home games. First and foremost, their defense has been outstanding, conceding the fewest goals of any team with just 6. They have not conceded a single goal in their last 4 home games, including a 2-0 win over Manchester United.

Last 5 results FC Arsenal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
12.01.2025 FA Cup
FC Arsenal
Manchester United
1:1 (0:0) U
07.01.2025 EFL - Carabao Cup
FC Arsenal
Newcastle United
0:2 (0:1) N
04.01.2025 England Premier League
Brighton
FC Arsenal
1:1 (0:1) U
01.01.2025 England Premier League
FC Brentford
FC Arsenal
1:3 (1:1) S
27.12.2024 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Ipswich Town
1:0 (1:0) S

The Gunners are getting bigger and bigger injury worries

Arsenal have come through this season very well so far, but more and more players have found themselves on the injured list in recent weeks. In attack, they are now without Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Jesus and Ethan Nwaneri. All will be out for several weeks. Ben White, Riccardo Calafiori and Takehiro Tomiyasu are also missing from the defense, which is particularly detrimental to the width of the squad.

Arsenal FC

System: 4-3-3.

David Raya
Jurriën Timber William Saliba Gabriel Magalhães Myles Lewis-Skelly
Martin Ødegaard Jorginho Mikel Merino
Gabriel Jesus Kai Havertz Gabriel Martinelli
Safe combination bet with a win for Arsenal - odds: 1.40

Tottenham wants to get back to winning ways in the league

Spurs have fallen far short of their own expectations this season and are only 12th in the league. They are currently closer to the relegation places than the international starting places. This is partly due to the last few weeks. They have failed to win their last 4 games, picking up just a single point in the process. During this period, they also suffered a 3:6 defeat against Liverpool FC. Their only win in the last 8 games came away at Southampton FC (0:5). This was also only Tottenham's 3rd away win of the season. They have lost 5 of their last 9 away games and are only 11th in the away table, although their goal difference of 16:9 is certainly a positive. Most recently, there were two defeats in top games against Liverpool and Chelsea. Before that, however, they were able to impress against bigger teams and celebrated victories against Manchester United and Manchester City. The first clash against Arsenal was also evenly poised for a long time. In the end, however, they were narrowly beaten 1:0.

Last 5 results Tottenham Hotspur
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
08.01.2025 EFL - Carabao Cup
Tottenham
FC Liverpool
1:0 (0:0) S
04.01.2025 England Premier League
Tottenham
Newcastle United
1:2 (1:2) N
29.12.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
Wolverhampton
2:2 (2:1) U
26.12.2024 England Premier League
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
1:0 (1:0) N
22.12.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Liverpool
3:6 (1:3) N

Spurs want to finally win against Arsenal again

Tottenham do not have a good record in the derby against Arsenal in recent years. The last 5 duels could not be won and they had to admit defeat 4 times. At Arsenal FC, Tottenham have also been waiting for a win for 5 games. Their last game at the Emirates Stadium ended in a 2-2 draw. Their only win since December 2020 came in May 2022 when they won 3-0 at home.

Tottenham Hotspur

System: 4-2-3-1.

Antonin Kinsky
Pedro Porro Radu Drăguşin Archie Gray Djed Spence
Lucas Bergvall Yves Bissouma
Rodrigo Bentancur Dejan Kulusevski Dominic Solanke
Heung-min Son
5 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
15.09.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
0:1 (0:0)
28.04.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
2:3 (0:3)
24.09.2023 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Tottenham
2:2 (1:1)
15.01.2023 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
0:2 (0:2)
01.10.2022 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Tottenham
3:1 (1:1)

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Arsenal : Tottenham

5

Wins

3

4

Draw

2

1

Defeats

5

18

Goals scored

20

9

Goals received

20

12

Shots on target

8

FC Arsenal
64%
Ball possession
89%
Accuracy of passes
52%
Duels
won
Tottenham
50%
Duels
won
83%
Accuracy of passes
54%
Ball possession
FC Arsenal
22
Corners
22
Shots on target
22
Goal kicks
next to the goal
20
Goal kicks
blocked
48
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
16
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
16
offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
Tottenham
27
Corners
25
Shots on target
24
Goal kicks
next to the goal
16
Goal kicks
blocked
50
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
15
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
6
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Arsenal
18
Goals scored
9
Goals received
ø 1,80
per game
+9
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Tottenham
20
Goals scored
20
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
0
Goal difference
8 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 34.35%
over 2.5 goals 65.65%
under 3.5 goals 54.58%
over 3.5 goals 45.42%
under 4.5 goals 72.39%
over 4.5 goals 27.61%
both teams to score - yes 57.02%
both teams to score - no 42.98%

Arsenal are the favorites at home - Our analysis

Arsenal FC have yet to lose a Premier League match at home and are unbeaten in 10 games. The Gunners also won their first match of the season against Tottenham 1-0. Spurs have picked up just one point from their last 4 games. We therefore see Arsenal FC as the clear favorites. Based on the last duels, we would also bet on more than 3.5 goals this time.

Odd comparison FC Arsenal - Tottenham Hotspur

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