Arsenal Logo
FC Arsenal
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Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain Logo
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01.10.2024 - 21:00 - Emirates Stadium
UEFA Champions League
1 1.80
X 3.80
2 4.70

Will Arsenal get their first win of the CL season at home against PSG? AI prediction, 01.10.24

Who will climb up the Champions League table?

Published on 26.09.2024 08:40.

Matchday 2 of the Champions League starts on Tuesday. There will once again be some top clashes, including FC Arsenal at home against Paris St. Germain. Both clubs are among the title contenders this year and naturally want to qualify directly for the knockout phase. Arsenal, however, were held to a 0-0 draw against Atalanta Bergamo on matchday 1. PSG won their home game against Girona by a narrow 1-0 margin, but their performance was anything but outstanding. Both teams will be looking to do better on matchday 2, but there is no clear favorite to win. However, with home advantage behind them, the Gunners are considered slightly stronger by most experts.

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FC Arsenal

  • 0:0 against Atalanta Bergamo
  • Not yet lost a competitive match this year
  • Haven't lost a home game since April

Paris Saint Germain

  • 1:0 against FC Girona
  • Also still without defeat this season
  • Recently only 1:1 in the league against Reims
Ergebnistipp
2:0
Arsenal have made the stronger impression on us in recent weeks. PSG are lacking a real goalscorer this season, which was already evident on matchday 1 against FC Girona.

The AI forecast refers to the strong defensive

The AI predicts a close game here, as these are two absolute top teams. Both teams are still unbeaten this season, which is why a win bet is very difficult to predict. The artificial intelligence here refers more to the fact that two such top teams often neutralize each other. Both are also among the strongest defensive teams in Europe so far this year. The AI tip for a combined betting slip in this match is therefore: less than 3.5 goals.

Last 5 games FC Arsenal home vs. PSG away
FC Arsenal Home PSG Away
Bolton Wanderers 5:1 1:1 Stade Reims
Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 1:3 OSC Lille
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 2:0 1:4 Le Havre AC
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4:1 1:1 RB Leipzig
Manchester United 2:1 2:2 SK Sturm Graz

Arsenal FC have their sights set on several titles this year

Last season, Arsenal missed out on both the Premier League and UEFA Champions League titles. They were narrowly defeated by FC Bayern Munich in the quarter-finals. Despite these two disappointments, they are once again among the absolute top favorites in every competition this year. Although the Gunners have a very small squad, they have been able to strengthen their squad with Calafiori, Merino and Sterling. It is therefore not very surprising that they have made a good start to the season and are still unbeaten after 7 competitive games. They are currently 4th in the Premier League with 3 wins and 2 draws, where they had their top game last weekend at Manchester City, which ended in an unfortunate 2:2. Apart from that game, the team has never conceded more than one goal.

Last 5 results FC Arsenal
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
25.09.2024 EFL - Carabao Cup
FC Arsenal
Bolton Wanderers
5:1 (2:0) S
22.09.2024 England Premier League
Manchester City
FC Arsenal
2:2 (1:2) U
19.09.2024 UEFA Champions League
Atalanta Bergamo
FC Arsenal
0:0 (0:0) U
15.09.2024 England Premier League
Tottenham
FC Arsenal
0:1 (0:0) S
31.08.2024 England Premier League
FC Arsenal
Brighton
1:1 (1:0) U

After the EFL Cup, the Champions League awaits

In addition to the good performances in the league, they also impressed in their first appearance in the EFL Cup. In the 3rd round, they faced off against Bolton Wanderers at home in the clash against the third-division side and won 5:1 in the end despite extensive rotation. 17-year-old talent Ethan Nwaneri scored a brace. Now they are hoping to score their first goal in the Champions League. On matchday 1, they failed to score against Atalanta. However, they did manage to draw 0-0 in what was not a good game and thus take a point home from Italy.

Arsenal FC

System: 4-2-3-1.

David Raya
Ben White Gabriel William Saliba Riccardo Calafiori
Thomas Partey Jorginho
Declan Rice Bukayo Saka Kai Havertz
Gabriel Martinelli
Arsenal is stronger - betting tip 1 is at odds of 1.75

Is PSG stronger without Kylian Mbappe?

It is a hugely important season for Paris, as it is the first without Kylian Mbappe. Unfortunately, the dream of a Champions League title did not come true with the superstar, and now they want to try with a strong collective and without big superstars. Coach Luis Enrique is now possibly even the biggest star in the squad. In his first year, he led PSG to the Ligue 1 championship title and was only eliminated in the semi-finals of the Champions League. This year, PSG can also look back on a successful start to the season, as they are top of the league table. 4 out of 5 games were won, one ended in a draw. They also have the best goal difference at 17:4 goals.

Last 5 results Paris Saint Germain
Date League Home Visitor Result Form
21.09.2024 Ligue 1
Stade Reims
PSG
1:1 (1:0) U
18.09.2024 UEFA Champions League
PSG
Girona
1:0 (0:0) S
14.09.2024 Ligue 1
PSG
Stade Brest
3:1 (1:1) S
01.09.2024 Ligue 1
OSC Lille
PSG
1:3 (0:2) S
23.08.2024 Ligue 1
PSG
HSC Montpellier
6:0 (2:0) S

Who will score the goals for Paris now?

PSG have been particularly prolific at the start of the season, scoring 16 goals in the first 4 matchdays. Ousmane Dembele and Bradley Barcola are the top scorers in the squad so far with 4 goals each. However, the squad also lacks a real center forward in Goncalo Ramos. This is particularly evident in the last few games. In addition to the 1:1 in the league, they also failed to impress on matchday 1 in the Champions League. Although they narrowly won the match against FC Girona 1:0, this is certainly not the yardstick for the French side. Especially as the goal in the Champions League was also an own goal by FC Girona.

Paris Saint Germain

System: 4-2-3-1.

Donnarumma
Hakimi Marquinhos Pacho Mendes
Zaïre-Emery Vitinha
Ruiz Dembélé Asensio
Barcola
2 last games in direct comparison
Date League Home Visitor Result
23.11.2016 UEFA Champions League
FC Arsenal
PSG
2:2 (1:1)
13.09.2016 UEFA Champions League
PSG
FC Arsenal
1:1

Comparison statistics last 10 events

FC Arsenal : PSG

6

Wins

7

3

Draw

3

1

Defeats

0

20

Goals scored

25

8

Goals received

8

12

Shots on target

8

FC Arsenal
37%
Ball possession
85%
Accuracy of passes
52%
Duels
won
PSG
49%
Duels
won
93%
Accuracy of passes
64%
Ball possession
FC Arsenal
12
Corners
15
Shots on target
5
Goal kicks
next to the goal
6
Goal kicks
blocked
21
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
5
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
5
offside
3
yellow cards
0
red cards
PSG
30
Corners
39
Shots on target
25
Goal kicks
next to the goal
14
Goal kicks
blocked
49
Goal kicks
in the penalty area
19
Goal kicks
outside the penalty area
7
offside
5
yellow cards
0
red cards

Comparison of goal statistics of the last 10 matches

FC Arsenal
20
Goals scored
8
Goals received
ø 2,00
per game
+12
Goal difference
9 / 10
Games with goals
PSG
25
Goals scored
8
Goals received
ø 2,50
per game
+17
Goal difference
10 / 10
Games with goals
Odds probabilities
under 2.5 goals 45.33%
over 2.5 goals 54.67%
under 3.5 goals 66.27%
over 3.5 goals 33.73%
under 4.5 goals 81.43%
over 4.5 goals 18.57%
both teams to score - yes 55.26%
both teams to score - no 44.74%

What is ChatGPT's tip for this game?

The AI provider sees Arsenal with a slight advantage in this game. The English side enjoy the home advantage and have been able to make the most of it recently, after all they conceded their last home defeat in April. PSG have shown some weaknesses in attack in the last 2 weeks, where they seem to lack a real goal scorer. ChatGPT would therefore rather go for a Gunners win.

The hosts are favorites - Our prediction

We take a similar view to ChatGPT and rate the Gunners as slightly stronger at home at the Emirates Stadium than the visitors from France. Arsenal will be looking for their first win of the Champions League season and will probably once again rely on a solid defense. We don't think PSG have an answer to that because they simply don't have the goalscorer. We therefore expect a narrow victory for Arsenal and recommend the following tips: Win Arsenal & under 2.5 goals.

Odd comparison FC Arsenal - Paris Saint Germain

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